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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Stock-Markets

Friday, October 26, 2018

US Stocks Are Nowhere Near a Bubble Today / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Stephen_McBride

“This is the longest bull market in US stocks ever” they say.

Technically, they are right. This bull broke the all-time record formerly held by the 1990–2000 rally.

As I’m sure you remember, that one ended with a historic 80% crash in the Nasdaq that wiped out millions of overeager investors.

If you’re troubled by this, you’ll want to read the rest of this article carefully.

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Commodities

Friday, October 26, 2018

Stronger Dollar is Bullish Catalyst for Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

The US$ index is breaking higher. Its trading at 96.41 as we pen this.

A daily close above 96.61 marks a new 52-week high and puts the dollar in position to eventually retest its bull market high at 104.

If this strength continues then the relief rally in precious metals could be over.

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Personal_Finance

Friday, October 26, 2018

Four Online Games You Should Play In 2018 / Personal_Finance / Gambling

By: Dylan_Moran

...

 


Politics

Friday, October 26, 2018

The USMCA Quest for ‘America First' World Trade / Politics / Protectionism

By: Dan_Steinbock

The era of post-1945 multilateralism is fading. After the revised NAFTA, Trump's dream is U.S.-dominated world trade and the ‘America First’ Asian Century, says Dan Steinbock.

President Trump seeks to redefine all major free trade agreements on the basis of U.S. economic and geopolitical leverage.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, October 26, 2018

Top Trading: How to Trade Like the Pros / Stock-Markets / Learn to Trade

By: Submissions


It's becoming more open than ever before and while it may have once only been open to certain clientele several years ago, a lot more people seem to be getting in on the trading act.

Of course, through things like the MT4 demo trading account, this is quite understandable. After all, it wasn't too long that software like this was accessible to the Average Joe, and there's no doubt that it makes life as a trader a whole lot easier.
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Commodities

Thursday, October 25, 2018

Rome vs Brussels. Will That Battle Benefit Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

Only one digit has changed. But it may have profound consequences, sending the country closer to junk status. Meanwhile, Rome and Brussels clash over budget plan. Will that duel benefit or harm the yellow metal?

Only One Notch Above Being Junk

Italian drama continues. On Friday, Moody’s, one of the most significant rating agencies in the world, downgraded the Italian credit rating from Baa2 to Baa3. It means that Italy’s local and foreign-currency bonds are now only one notch above junk territory. The move was not surprising, as well as the reasons behind this decision:

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Commodities

Thursday, October 25, 2018

U.S. Shale Oil Has A Glaring Problem / Commodities / Shale Oil and Gas

By: OilPrice_Com

Oil prices are down a bit, but are still close to multi-year highs. That should leave the shale industry flush with cash. However, a long list of U.S. shale companies are still struggling to turn a profit.

A new report from the Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis (IEEFA) and the Sightline Institute detail the "alarming volumes of red ink" within the shale industry.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, October 25, 2018

Stock Market Sky is Falling / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Gary_Savage

For nine years now every time we have an intermediate degree correction the perma bears crawl out of the woodwork and start screaming the sky is falling. If you had listened to these people you would have missed one of the greatest bull markets in history.

We had one of the most destructive bear markets in history in 2008/09. It stands to reason it should generate one of the strongest bull markets. As I’ve noted many times in the past, markets act like a pendulum. The further it swings in one direction the harder the reaction in the opposite direction.

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Companies

Thursday, October 25, 2018

Intermediate Term Outlook Bullish on CAT Despite Current Correction / Companies / Company Chart Analysis

By: Mike_Paulenoff

About 11 months ago, I told our members to watch for a continued rally in Caterpillar Inc. (CAT). The stock had exploded to the upside after breaking above 6-7 year resistance at 112-117.

As it resided at just above 136, I wrote: "CAT still looks like it has unfinished biz on the upside into the 145-146 area next."

I noted that while CAT certainly was overbought, "my work considers momentum to be in a 'healthy overbought' condition, rather than a divergent overbought condition. Usually a healthy overbought condition suggests that higher-highs will be forthcoming prior to the onset of a significant correction."

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Housing-Market

Thursday, October 25, 2018

UK Average Mortgage Fee Highest in Over Five Years / Housing-Market / Mortgages

By: MoneyFacts

Remortgage activity is currently high as borrowers seek to get the best deal after the base rate rise. As a result, many providers are trying to look attractive as possible. However, although many lenders are reducing rates to appeal to remortgagors, this trend is not being seen for arrangement fees. In fact, the latest research from Moneyfacts.co.uk shows that average mortgage fees* are on the rise, increasing by £15 since August to stand at £1,005 this month – the highest average recorded in more than five years.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, October 25, 2018

Predictive Price Modeling Shows New Price Highs Are Imminent / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Our proprietary adaptive learning tools, specifically our adaptive predictive price modeling tool, is clearly illustrating higher price rotation over the next few weeks with a strong potential that the US equities markets will break to be all-time highs near Dec 2018 or early 2019.

Our research team has spent more than a decade studying the markets and developing specialized tools to assist us in understanding current and future price activities.  This one tool, the Adaptive Dynamic Learning (ADL) Price Modeling system is one of the more dynamic tools we have ever created.  We can ask it what it believes is the highest probability future outcome many weeks, months or years in advance.  Today, we are sharing with you what we believe will be a strong upside price rotation to close out 2018 and lead into 2019.

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Commodities

Wednesday, October 24, 2018

Sentiment Is The Most Important Factor To Focus On in Gold Market / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Avi_Gilburt

I have now been a contributor at Seeking Alpha for seven years, during which time I have written for approximately six years, as I took a one-year hiatus. And, during that time, I have had the honor of penning almost 400 articles.

During the six years I have been actively writing on Seeking Alpha, 30,000 of you have trusted me enough to begin following my work, as I just hit the 30,000-follower mark. For that I am very grateful, honored and humbled. So, I wanted to first thank you all.

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InvestorEducation

Wednesday, October 24, 2018

Trading Online: How to Find the Best Broker / InvestorEducation / Learn to Trade

By: Boris_Dzhingarov

Online trading is a burgeoning global industry. The comfort, convenience, and cost effectiveness of financial trading brokerages has put paid to the institutional systems that governed the industry. Prior to the advent of user-friendly online brokers, traders, investors, and speculators were limited to institutional brokers in their ivory towers.

The age-old model favored the broker and the range of financial instruments that he or she was peddling to traders. In the days of old, traders would call their brokers, requesting them to invest in stocks, commodities, indices, forex, or bonds accordingly. Alternatively, brokers would simply recommend ‘company’ funds which benefited the brokerage enterprise and the broker who was paid a hefty commission.

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Companies

Tuesday, October 23, 2018

Skilled Traders Can Find Profits In Small Caps / Companies / Investing 2018

By: Chris_Vermeulen

The recent downside price rotation in the US Equities markets has been a blessing for skilled traders.  The opportunities for profits are setting up all over the markets – you just have to look for them and understand price theory.

The Small Cap ETF, TNA, is setting up a nearly perfect example of a quick in and out trade for a potential profit of 8% to 15% or more.  We understand the fear that many traders may have in the markets right now and we understand the reason why many experienced traders decide to sit on the sidelines while these types of moves play out.  Yet, we believe the opportunities that exist while these volatile market moves are playing out are some of the best setups for experienced and skilled traders.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, October 21, 2018

SPX/Gold, 30yr Yields & Yield Curve – Amigos 1, 2 & 3 Updated / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018

By: Gary_Tanashian

We began the Amigos theme last year in order to be guided by the goofy riders during the ending stages of a cyclical, risk-on phase that was not going to end until the proper macro signals come about, no matter how many times the bears declared victory along the way. The fact that grown adults see conspiracies around every corner (okay, I see them around every third corner myself, but work with me here) makes such macro signaling very necessary in order to keep bias at bay.

To review…

  • Amigo #1 is the SPX/Gold Ratio (more generally, stocks vs. gold) and a counter cyclical and risk ‘off’ environment simply will not engage until stocks top out vs. gold, if even for a cyclical down phase within the up phase.
  • Amigo #2 is the 30yr Treasury Yield and it’s 100 month EMA ‘limiter’, which has supported the funding mechanism (unrestrained credit creation) for the leveraged economy for decades. If the limiter holds yet again, while there could be some deflationary problems the system will persist. If it breaks for the first time in decades well, we are not in Kansas anymore and the door would open up to an inflationary Crack Up Boom (von Mises style).
  • Amigo #3 is the Yield Curve, which is in the late stages of flattening. When it turns up it will either be under pains of deflationary or inflationary pressure. Note the word “pains” because there would be pain, either way; but in different financial and economic areas.
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Commodities

Sunday, October 21, 2018

Gold Stocks Sentiment Shifting / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018

By: Zeal_LLC

The gold miners’ stocks have been largely ignored and neglected for years.  Speculators and investors wanted little to do with them for various reasons.  But that apathetic sentiment is finally starting to shift thanks to last week’s stock-market plunge.  Capital is starting to return to this battered sector as traders begin to realize how radically undervalued it is.  Sentiment mean reversions can catapult gold stocks far higher.

Sentiment is defined as “a thought, view, or attitude, especially one based mainly on emotion instead of reason”.  We humans are inherently-emotional creatures riddled with sentiment on almost everything.  That’s especially true in our perceptions of the financial markets, which heavily influence if not dominate our trading decisions.  We buy and sell stocks when it feels good, when markets appear to validate our outlooks.

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Currencies

Sunday, October 21, 2018

Why Is the Weakness In GBP/USD Likely? / Currencies / British Pound

By: Nadia_Simmons

In recent days, the British pound declined quite sharply against the greenback, which caused several negative developments. Will currency bears be strong enough to trigger further deterioration in the coming week?

EUR/USD – Double Bottom or Further Declines?

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, October 21, 2018

Stock Market Bubbles, Balloons, Needles and Pins / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Raul_I_Meijer

It’s no surprise that China has its own plunge protection team -but why were they so late?-, nor that Beijing blames its problems on Trump’s tariffs. GDP growth was disappointing at 6.5%, but who’s ever believed those almost always dead on numbers? It would be way more interesting to know what part of that growth has been based on debt and leverage. But that we don’t get to see.

So we turn elsewhere. How about the Shanghai Composite Index? It may not be a perfect reflection of the Chinese economy, no more than the S&P 500 is for the US, but it does raise some valid and curious questions.

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Commodities

Saturday, October 20, 2018

The Incredibly Bullish Set-Up for Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: The_Gold_Report

Precious metals expert Michael Ballanger discusses the bullish set-up for gold and why he believes this time is different. For the first time in months, Fido the Wonder Dog has been in my office and at the foot of my bed 24/7 for the past few days giving me great solace that the current advance in precious metals prices is here to stay. Gone are his nervous tics every time my chair squeaks or when I give a little "Whoop-whoop!" at the sight of decent gold quote and most certainly absent are all of the caked mudballs in his fur from having to sleep (hide) under the tool shed.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, October 20, 2018

Here Comes the Stock Market Retest / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

Over the past 2 days I’ve been demonstrating quantitative studies about why the U.S. stock market will probably retest its lows (here and here).

The retest wave is happening right now.

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