Tuesday, September 25, 2018
Sector Rotation Continues. Bullish for Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
We’ve been looking at sector rotation quite a bit recently here at BullMarkets. Last week we mentioned that the Dow:Russell ratio (large cap vs. small caps) is about to cross above its 200 day moving average for the first time in a long time.
This means that the Dow is starting to outperform the Russell 2000 for the first time in a long time.
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Tuesday, September 25, 2018
Whose Trillion is it Anyway? US Federal Government Shocker! / Interest-Rates / US Debt
By: Andy_Sutton
The headline reads ‘Trump adds a trillion dollars to the national debt in 14 months’. Before you stop reading, give us a minute; this isn’t an article about Trump or politics for that matter. It’s about a process, a series of policies, and an approach that has been in place for decades now, irrespective of political parties. What we are going to give you are facts, not opinions. Those of you who read regularly should know us well enough to understand that we have no use for the ‘lesser of two evils / left-right paradigm’ approach to our Republic. Or what is left of it to be accurate.
Tuesday, September 25, 2018
Lessons from Lehman's Collapse 10 Years After Failing / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
By: Michael_Pento
Global financial services firm Lehman Brother’s stock was in free-fall during the first week of September 2008. After making huge bets in the mortgage securities space, Lehman’s President Dick Fuld feared bankruptcy and frantically sought out a buyer. The company was hopeful to strike a weekend deal with either Barclays PLC or Bank of America.
Nevertheless, Lehman’s outsized investments in the mortgage market ultimately proved them too risky a partner for anyone; and the giant investment bank went belly-up on September 15th. Prior to this event, Lehman had reported record earnings every year from 2005 to 2007. The Street believed the company to be infallible. Analysts held on to hope until the bitter end. Their mantra went something like this, “nothing to see here, this is a small correction in a small section of the housing market that has little effect on the overall economy.”
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Tuesday, September 25, 2018
Focus on the Stock Market’s Price Action and Ignore the Failed Hindenburg Omen / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
Our recent quantitative market studies have shown an interesting divergence:
- The U.S. stock market’s own price action suggests that the stock market will continue to rally for another year.
- Various studies of the stock market’s breadth have been bearish. They’ve pointed to a “bear market” or “big correction” very soon. Some of these have been the Hindenburg Omen.
So which of these 2 market studies is right? Which is more important? Price action or breadth?
As U.S. stock market investors and traders, our job is to separate the signal from the noise.
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Tuesday, September 25, 2018
Venezuela's Retrogressing Socialist Economy, Spotlight on the Failing PDVSA / Economics / Venezuela
By: Steve_H_Hanke
Two hallmarks characterize capitalist economies. Firstly, property is predominately in private hands. Consequently, goods and services are allocated via market mechanisms in which prices provide signals for businesses, workers, and consumers. Secondly, capitalist economies are highly capitalized. Indeed, the stocks of physical and human capital are relatively large in relation to the capitalist economies’ income flows.
On those two counts, Venezuela is retrogressing. With Chavismo, which commenced when Hugo Chavez took power in 1999, Venezuela has beaten a hasty retreat from anything that would qualify as “capitalist.” Today, it is clearly in the throes of a socialist-interventionist system.
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Tuesday, September 25, 2018
5 Problems All Restaurant Owners Will Face / Companies / Sector Analysis
By: Dylan_Moran
Owning a restaurant is a common dream for millions of people—but it’s also a dangerous one due to the simple fact that owning your own restaurant is complicated, expensive, and incredibly risky. It is a fact that about 80% of restaurants will not last more than 5 years, costing their owners hundreds of thousands—if not millions—of dollars in debt.Let’s take a closer look at 5 common problems that all restaurant owners will face in order to give you a more realistic idea of what it takes to own your own restaurant business.
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Tuesday, September 25, 2018
Gold Price Trend Forecast 2018 - Video / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Nadeem_Walayat
This is the fifth and final part of my Gold analysis that concludes in a detailed trend forecast for the Gold price for the whole of the remainder of 2018.
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Monday, September 24, 2018
How the US Dollar Penalizes Emerging Asia / Economics / Emerging Markets
By: Dan_Steinbock
Foreign exchange rates in emerging markets have suffered significant damage against US dollar, including Asia’s high-growth economies (India, Indonesia, Philippines). Is the severity of the damage justified?Internationally, US dollar has been fueled by the Federal Reserve’s rate hikes, oil price increases, and the Trump administration’s trade wars.
Domestically, the worst foreign-exchange performers have been emerging economies - including Argentina, Turkey, Brazil, and Russia - that are vulnerable to rate normalization, exposed to Trump tariffs, major energy importers, or whose sovereign interests have conflicted with US geopolitics.
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Monday, September 24, 2018
Stock Market Macro/Macro View: Waves and Cycles Part II / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Brad_Gudgeon
Last week, I mainly discussed the coming economic crash and where we are in the cycles. I also talked about the short term stock market cycles, which I believe have peaked as of Friday or will peak on Monday. In this segment, I will mainly talk about my short term work.Due to the fact that the waves no longer move up in 5 wave sequences anymore, and the normal cycles are changing rapidly, I have had to augment my wave work with other data including astro-cycles and more technical data. This has forced me to buy other timing experts’ work to meld with my own so I can hone my timing skills better.
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Monday, September 24, 2018
Gold and Miners are About to Explode Upward / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018
By: Chris_Vermeulen
After many weeks of pricing pressure as the US Dollar extended a rally delivering nearly unending devaluation pricing in most commodities, Gold is setting up for a big upside rally and is likely to extend beyond $1240 in this initial run higher. We believe the immediate bottom has formed in Gold and we believe the upside move will consist of two unique legs higher. The first leg is likely to run to near $1240~1250 and end near the middle of November 2018. The second leg of this move will likely run to near $1310 and end near May 2019.
Monday, September 24, 2018
DJIA Makes New High / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Andre_Gratian
SPX: Long-term trend – The bull market is continuing with a top expected in the low 3000s.
Intermediate trend – Breaking to a new high has only delayed the anticipated correction into mid-October; it has not eliminated its potential.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Monday, September 24, 2018
Destroy America with Information Warfare / Politics / US Politics
By: BATR
The populace has been misled for decades by the information that comes from the establishment. Most people believe that foreign powers are the primary providers of disinformation. Few are willing to confront the reality that the most destructive culprits are the international monopolists who dominate the global economy. These plutocrats may be part of boards of public companies that are listed in the U.S. but their allegiance is with the globalist model of transnational economic hegemony. This commercial pattern supersedes any nationalistic obligation to accept President Trump's goal of making America great again.
Monday, September 24, 2018
Gold Price Trend Forecast 2018 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Nadeem_Walayat
This is the fifth and final part of my Gold analysis that concludes in a detailed trend forecast for the Gold price for the whole of the remainder of 2018.
- Gold Price Trend 2018 Recap
- Trend Analysis
- Seasonal Analysis
- US Dollar
- Forecast Conclusion
Monday, September 24, 2018
The Stock Market Has Been Exceptionally Strong this September. What’s Next for Q4 2018 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
From a seasonality perspective, the U.S. stock market is weakest in September.
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Sunday, September 23, 2018
Gold / US Dollar Inverse Trend Relationship Video / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Nadeem_Walayat
This is my fourth video in a series of 5 to conclude in a detailed trend forecast for the Gold price for the whole of the remainder of 2018.
- Gold Price Trend 2018 Recap
- Trend Analysis
- Seasonal Analysis
- US Dollar
- Forecast Conclusion
Sunday, September 23, 2018
US and Global Stocks, Commodities, Precious Metals and the ‘Anti-USD’ Trade / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
By: Gary_Tanashian
The most recent leg of the US stock market rally and the bounces in global equities, commodities and precious metals are coming as part of an “anti-USD trade”. Certain US stock sectors, most global stock markets, commodities and precious metals were pressured by the USD rally that began in April and now, as the buck eases, a relief valve opens.
All charts below are as of Thursday’s close.
US – S&P 500
The S&P 500 – in essence a collection of sectors that are ‘pro’, ‘anti’ and ‘neutral’ the USD’s status – appears to be on the way to our target of 3000+, based on a conservative measurement of its daily chart pattern. This was the NFTRH alternate scenario after our expected summer drive to test the January top did not prove out a then favored view that the test would fail. As you can see, SPX broke out, dropped to test the breakout and off it goes. We have since been operating to the new favored plan.
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Sunday, September 23, 2018
Gerald Celente Warns Fed May Bring Down the Economy, Crash Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: MoneyMetals
Welcome to this week’s Market Wrap Podcast, I’m Mike Gleason
Coming up the one and only Gerald Celente joins me for another explosive interview on the state of the markets. Gerald tells us why he’s not only focused on the dollar but also oil and explains what is likely to happen if the Fed continues to hike interest rates. Don’t miss my conversation with the top trends forecaster in the world, Gerald Celente, coming up after this week’s market update.
Precious metals finally put together an across the board rally this week, led by platinum and palladium. The palladium market is surging 7.0% this week to a 7-month high at $1,054 per ounce. Platinum, meanwhile is putting together a 4.0% weekly advance – though prices still remain deeply depressed on a long-term basis at $831.
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Sunday, September 23, 2018
Top 3 Side Jobs for Day Traders / Stock-Markets / Learn to Trade
By: Boris_Dzhingarov
The financial markets present a lot of opportunities for investors and traders, but they are not without their challenges. Today’s market volatility means you have more opportunities to bank profits in the financial markets of your choice, but you also have more risks to manage.
If you are day trading, a volatile market means you have to spend a lot of time in front of the computer. Most of the time, what you do is spend time looking at market movements and waiting for the right signals to appear.
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Sunday, September 23, 2018
Two Scenarios for the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Harry_Dent
The Trump rally into January 2018 looked like the classic final blow-off top.It had been advancing in a clear channel, then it broke above that in a classic “overthrow” pattern, followed by a sharp correction.
Was that the beginning of the final and greatest crash?
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Saturday, September 22, 2018
The Trade War With China Could Last A While / Economics / Protectionism
By: Harry_Dent
I agree with him!The richest man in China, Alibaba co-founder Jack Ma, reckons the trade war is the beginning of a long-term battle for supremacy between China and the U.S.
He’s sees no effective short-term solution to this big global issue.
China needs to strengthen its economy to fulfill its long-term shift to stronger domestic consumption while focusing on the real global growth markets in Southeast Asia, India, and Africa.
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