Thursday, October 12, 2017

Tesla - Can A Company Be Great And A Great Short? / Companies / Electric Cars

By: John_Rubino

One of the fascinating things about financial bubbles is how they transform great companies into screaming short sale candidates. Put another way, bear markets tend to throw even the prettiest babies out with the bathwater.

Here, for instance, is what happened to Cisco Systems, the dominant maker of networking gear (the devices that run the Internet) when the 1990s tech stock bubble burst, bankrupting many of its customers and causing its earnings to miss expectations. Its stock fell by more than three-fourths and those who had bought it during the previous year’s euphoria got hosed.

Thursday, October 12, 2017

Stock Market Charts Show Smart Money And Dumb Money Are Moving In Opposite Directions—Here’s Why / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: John_Mauldin

BY STEPHEN MCBRIDE : While all seems calm in the markets, with stocks continuing to hit all-time highs, an interesting trend has emerged underneath the surface.

Combing through the latest Commitments of Traders report from the CFTC, we found that commercial traders (“smart money”) have a record number of short positions in the Dow Jones (DJIA).

At the same time, noncommercial traders (“dumb money”) have a record number of long positions.

Thursday, October 12, 2017

Why We’ll See A Wave Of Failed Smart-Beta ETFs In The Next 2–3 Years / Companies / Exchange Traded Funds

By: John_Mauldin

BY JARED DILLIAN : My first encounter with a smart beta ETF was a WisdomTree product over ten years ago.

WisdomTree uses index weighting methods other than market capitalization for its ETFs. This one in particular was weighted by earnings or dividends—I can’t remember.

Thursday, October 12, 2017

Your Pension Is a Lie: There’s $210 Trillion of Liabilities Our Government Can’t Fulfill / Politics / Pensions & Retirement

By: John_Mauldin

In the US, we have two national programs to care for the elderly. Social Security provides a small pension, and Medicare covers medical expenses. All workers pay taxes that supposedly fund the benefits we may someday receive.

The problem is that's not actually true. Neither of these programs is comprehensive.

Thursday, October 12, 2017

DJ Commodity Index is Supporting Higher GOLD / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: ElliottWave-Forecast

The Dow Jones Commodity Index is a broad measure of the commodity futures market that emphasizes diversification and liquidity through a equal-weighted approach. It doesn’t allow any sector to make up more than 33% of its portfolio or any single commodity to make up more than 15%.

Thursday, October 12, 2017

Two Highly Recommended Books from Bob Prechter / InvestorEducation / Trader Psychology

By: EWI

Hello,

Bob Prechter's two new socionomics books showcase one of the most exciting disciplines in the social sciences today. Social mood undergirds the entire Elliott wave forecasting model, and I can't recommend these books more as an intro to how mood works throughout society. Here's a short note from Bob about the books and a special offer:

Wednesday, October 11, 2017

Samsung Smartphone Galaxy Gear VR Headset Unboxing and First Use - What to Expect / Personal_Finance / Virtual Reality

By: HGR

Samsung with their series of Gear VR headsets, typically for under £60, have made VR affordable to anyone with a high end Samsung smartphone. The key thing is the ease of use, just slot the phone into the headset and after a quick automated software install the user is immediately immersed in a surprisingly high resolution VR world.

So here is what to expect on unboxing and first use of the Samsung VR Gear headset with your galaxy smartphone as there are pitfalls to watch out for which could have you scratching your heads!

Wednesday, October 11, 2017

Young Guns of Gold Podcast – ‘The Everything Bubble’ / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: GoldCore

– Young Guns of Gold Podcast – ‘The Everything Bubble’
– Precious Metal Roundtable discuss gold in 2017 and outlook
– Gold +9.1% year to date; Performing well given Fed raising rates, lack of volatility and surge in stock markets
– “People are expecting too much from gold”
– Economy: Inflation indicators, recession on the horizon, global debt issues
– Global demand: ETF inflows, Russia central bank purchases, Germany investment figures and international coin demand bode well for gold

Wednesday, October 11, 2017

EURJPY Stays Above Ascending Trend Line / Currencies / Euro

By: Franco_Shao

EURJPY stays above an ascending trend line on its daily chart, indicating that the price remains in the uptrend from 114.85. As long as the trend line support holds, the upside movement could be expected continue.

Wednesday, October 11, 2017

Oil Breaking Out, But the Money Is Elsewhere, Lithium / Commodities / Lithium

By: The_Energy_Report

Tom Beck, founder of Portfolio Wealth Global, discusses the energy sector and highlights one commodity that he says appreciates when oil becomes overpriced.

One resource industry dwarfs the rest of them put together: energy.

The mega-shift of the 21^st century is urbanization. For the first time in human history, more people live in cities than in rural areas. The consequences of this pivotal moment are attracting billionaire moguls across the globe, and they are all looking for a profit center to attach themselves to.

Wednesday, October 11, 2017

The “Amazon Effect” Is Coming To Oil Markets / Commodities / Oil Companies

By: OilPrice_Com

While OPEC mulls over further steps to once again support falling oil prices, tech startups are quietly ushering in a new era in oil and gas: the era of the digital oil field.

Much talk has revolved around how software can completely transform the energy industry, but until recently, it was just talk. Now, things are beginning to change, and some observers, such as Cottonwood Venture Partners’ Mark P. Mills, believe we are on the verge of an oil industry transformation of proportions identical to the transformation that Amazon prompted in retail.

Wednesday, October 11, 2017

Turning Point Nations On The Stage / Politics / GeoPolitics

By: Jim_Willie_CB

Many are the turning points with individual nations, once firmly in the Western alliance camp, but no longer. They are flipping eastward or in the case of China cutting the major cords. The Shanghai developments are by far the most important in the financial setting. The Petro-Dollar is seeing its last months after a 43-year reign as defacto standard. Its retirement will begin in the East, then spread to the decaying loyal Western nations. The entire geopolitical chessboard is becoming more aligned with the Eurasian Trade Zone, one nation after another. Its cornerstones are Russia, China, and increasingly Iran. It has gathered some Eastern European countries like Turkey, and will gather more. It has pursued the Middle East oil monarchies, and will succeed in lassoing them into the zone corral. Whether they deploy financial connections, or trade ties, or security links, these nations no longer see the United States and British (who walk the American dog with a monetary leash) as the leading global players any longer. The leaders are China with its financial and industrial might and Russia with its energy and commodity strength.

Wednesday, October 11, 2017

The Profoundly Personal Impact Of The National Debt On Our Retirements / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Dan_Amerman

In this analysis we will take a look at something deeply personal – which is how the $20 trillion United States national debt may change the day-to-day quality of life for savers and retirees in the decades ahead. That is likely a somewhat unusual perspective for many savers and investors.

On the one hand, we have what are often thought of as abstract economic concepts - such as how large will the national debt be in 10 or 20 years? How will Federal Reserve actions to increase interest rates change future government deficits and debts?

On the other hand, we have something that is typically presented as being entirely different, which is individual financial planning. What are the savings and investment choices that we need to make today that will help determine what our standard of living may be in retirement 10, 20 or 30 years from now?

Tuesday, October 10, 2017

Gold and Silver Report – Several Interesting Charts / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Peter_Degraaf

The Gold Direction Indicator has just turned positive again, at 71%.

Featured is the daily gold chart. Price found support on Friday and produced an upside reversal. Then on Monday gold began to break out at the downtrendline. A close above the blue arrow will confirm the breakout with a target at $1360. The supporting indicators are positive, as well as the moving averages which are in positive alignment and rising. The Gold Direction Indicator closed at 71%.

Tuesday, October 10, 2017

Catalonia Has Already Lost This Battle / Politics / Spain

By: John_Mauldin

By Jacob L. Shapiro : Catalonia held its independence referendum on October 1.

Initial results show that of the 42 percent of Catalan voters who turned out, about 90 percent voted for independence. It’s an impressive figure, but not exactly an overwhelming mandate for Catalonian independence.

No doubt a significant number of Catalans want independence, but we already knew that.

Tuesday, October 10, 2017

London House Prices Are Falling – Time to Buckle Up / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: GoldCore

– London house prices fall in September: first time in eight years
– High-end London property fell by 3.2% in year
– House sales down by over a very large one-third
– Global Real Estate Bubble Index – see table
– Brexit, rising inflation and political uncertainty causing many buyers to back away from market
– U.K. housing stock worth record £6.8 trillion, almost 1.5 times value of LSE and more than the value of all the gold in world
– Homeowners and property investors should diversify and invest in gold

Tuesday, October 10, 2017

The Truth About Elliott Wave Analysis / InvestorEducation / Elliott Wave Theory

By: Avi_Gilburt

This evening, one of my members forwarded me a public post made by another “analyst” about Elliott Wave analysis, which seemed to be supported by his novice acolytes.  And, yes, that perspective suggested that Elliott Wave is “useless as a tool for market analysis.”

So, please allow me to deal with the substance of the issue at hand, and that is the accuracy and usefulness of Elliott Wave analysis.

Tuesday, October 10, 2017

Six-month Surge in One Year Fixed Interest Rates / Interest-Rates / UK Interest Rates

By: MoneyFacts

The recovery in the savings market over the past six months has caused the average one-year fixed bond rate to surpass the average return that was available on a two-year fixed bond back in April 2017, according to the latest research by moneyfacts.co.uk.

Today, the average return on a one-year fixed bond has hit 1.14%, a marked increase from April, when the average one-year bond paid less than 1%. At the same time, the average two-year bond paid 1.13%, below the one-year average of today.

Tuesday, October 10, 2017

NZDUSD Broke Below Important Support At 0.7131 / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Franco_Shao

The NZDUSD pair recently broke below an important support level at 0.7131 and extended its bearish movement from 0.7557 to as low as 0.7055, indicating that the bearish movement from 0.7557 has resumed. Further decline towards 0.6817 would likely be seen over the next several weeks.

Tuesday, October 10, 2017

On Bulls and Bears, and the Delicate Balance Between Them / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: EWI

On Bulls and Bears, and the Delicate Balance Between Them