Monday, June 12, 2017
UK SVR Difference Closing in on Mortgage Averages / Housing-Market / Mortgages
Moneyfacts UK Mortgage Trends Treasury Report data, available today, shows not only that borrowers who are coming off a two-year fixed rate deal this month are more likely to remortgage from their SVR than at any time since October 2008, but also that by doing so they will be saving approximately the cost of a two-year variable rate
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Monday, June 12, 2017
Prepare for the Great Monetary Shift / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis 2017
As advanced economies struggle with stagnation, one monetary era is about to change. After a decade of massive easing, the US Fed is hiking rates and moving to reduce its massive $4.5 trillion balance sheet. There are no historical precedents but there will be global repercussions.As the central banks of major advanced economies are pondering the shift from massive easing to gradual tightening, all other nations must adjust to these huge shifts, whatever their current status quo.
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Monday, June 12, 2017
US-China Ties in the Shadow of the Mueller Investigation / Politics / US Politics
In the foreseeable future, the Trump administration will be constrained by the special counsel’s Russia investigation. How will it impact the White House’s relations with China?It was a strange month. First, the Department of Justice (DOJ) dismissed James Comey, Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI), who the center-right Democrats blame for Hillary Clinton’s 2016 electoral loss. In turn, the center-left Sanders-supporters attribute the loss to Hillary Clinton’s gross abuse of public office and funds, Bill Clinton’s corrupt Global Initiative, collusion with the Democratic Leadership Committee (DLC) and mainstream media.
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Monday, June 12, 2017
How The Smart Money Is Playing The Lithium Boom / Commodities / Lithium
Lithium is the hottest commodity on the planet right now, and investors trying to profit from it don’t understand how to invest in it.
MOST ARE MAKING A CRITICAL MISTAKE and investing in the wrong companies.
That’s because, in this game, lithium GRADE is the key to profitability.
Why? First, lithium...
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Monday, June 12, 2017
Will Trump Get Away With All of It? / Politics / US Politics
The good news for Trumptarians is that Donald J. Trump is not going to be legally impeached, indicted, removed from office or otherwise until his protectors and enablers are weakened first: Congressional Republicans. And they won’t be weakened until mid-term elections in 2018. In “Washington time” that might as well be the next century.
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Monday, June 12, 2017
Cryptocurrencies: Intrinsic Value Boil Down / Currencies / BlockChain
Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies have exploded in value since their genesis in 2009; Lior Gantz, editor of Wealth Research Group, discusses the reasons why.
Wealth Research Group's main purpose is to provide cutting-edge special reports, and none could be more important than how to protect your purchasing power.
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Monday, June 12, 2017
Gold Price Failed to Break above 1.295.44 Resistance / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
Under pressure by the resistance of the April 17 high of 1295.44, XAUUSD pulled back to 1265 and broke below the bullish trend line from the May 9 low of 1214.17 to the June 2 low of 1258.92 at 1270 on its 4-hour chart, suggesting that the short term uptrend from 1214.17 is complete.
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Monday, June 12, 2017
Active Trader Predicts Stock Market Vix Spike & Nasdaq Selloff / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
A potential increase in risk may create massive opportunities for investors.
Throughout our ongoing analysis of the US markets, metals, energy and other market sectors, one thing we have seen over and over is that markets can, and often do, develop longer term trends than most people believe are possible or believable.
Recently, numerous analysts have been warning of potential “critical crashes” and “deep retracements” because of the fear that this rally is nearing some type of end cycle. We believe the charts tell the story of the investor sentiment and that, at some point in the future, these predictions may become true – but not today.
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Sunday, June 11, 2017
Stock Market Bubble Watch: We’ve Passed 2007 and Are Closing In on 2000 / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
We continue to see articles and comments in the financial media proclaiming that stocks are not in a bubble.
The people claiming this are either delusional or intentionally lying.
Most people would argue that Warren Buffett knows a thing or two about investing. He’s possibly the single most famous investor of all time and is widely thought to be one of the greatest, if not THE greatest investor in history.
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Sunday, June 11, 2017
Trump's UK Visit on Hold / Politics / UK Politics
It may be cancelled altogether. Reportedly he told Prime Minister Theresa May he won't come until Brits support him - highly unlikely any time ahead.
He doesn't want to visit London if large-scale protests are planned during his visit.
Days after his inauguration, in response to May revealing he accepted Queen Elizabeth's invitation to come, anti-Trump campaigners used social media, calling for London's "biggest protest ever."
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Sunday, June 11, 2017
Gold Breakout? Not Yet / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
Traders and investors noted and celebrated Gold’s alleged breakout from a its downtrend that began in 2011. Tuesday Gold closed at $1297/oz after nearly touching $1299/oz. Gold appeared to break its downtrend on the many charts that made the rounds. However, upon further inspection, there was no breakout from the 6-year downtrend on the weekly chart nor is Gold likely to sustain its strength in the days ahead.
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Saturday, June 10, 2017
High Flying NDX/NAZ Hit an Air Pocket / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
An interesting end to a mostly choppy week. The market started the week at SPX 2439. After a tick up to the all-time high at SPX 2440 on Monday, the market pulled back to 2425 by Wednesday. Then after the ECB meeting, the much awaited Comey testimony, and the UK election fiasco, the SPX hit an all-time high at 2446 on Friday. After the high, however, the Tech sector went into freefall, pulling down the SPX to end the week at 2432. For the week the SPX/DOW were mixed, and the NDX/NAZ lost 2.0%. Economic reports for the week were mostly negative. On the downtick: ISM, factory orders, consumer credit, the WLEI and the Q2 GDP estimate. On the uptick: weekly jobless claims improved. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by the FOMC meeting, retail sales, and industrial production. Best to your week!
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Saturday, June 10, 2017
Is 2017 The Year Of The Bitcoin? / Currencies / Bitcoin
2016 was a huge year for Bitcoin. There were not many that predicted that the cryptocurrency was going to double in value. The common prediction was a top point of around $800. With this in mind, what will 2017 hold for BTC?Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, June 10, 2017
Gold’s “Bearish Bulls” Addressed, Now What? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
An NFTRH subscriber named Joe, who is a former fund guy and current chart cranking, idea generating maniac (←said with admiration) came up with the term “bearish bulls” recently, by which he meant that a whole lot of people were looking down in the gold sector, especially heading into this week as the dreaded ‘GDXJ rebalance’ and then next week’s FOMC loomed.
On the former, some bounce opportunities were created in oversold companies involved in the rebalance (with bearish bulls’ short covering providing the accelerant) and on the latter, I very much expect the Fed to raise the Funds Rate next week; and so does the futures market. From CME Group…
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Saturday, June 10, 2017
Gold Stocks Inflection Nears / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2017
The gold miners’ stocks remain deeply out of favor, largely shunned by traders. Since this sector just spent the better part of a year grinding sideways, such bearish sentiment isn’t surprising. But with a giant technical formation nearing a major inflection point, things look to be coming to a head in gold-stock land. A big breakout is nearing, and gold stocks’ deep undervaluation relative to gold argues it will be to the upside.
Every investor’s portfolio should always include a core position in gold bullion. As a rare asset that tends to move counter to stock markets, gold acts like insurance. It rallies strongly when stocks and bonds are falling in serious corrections or bear markets, mitigating overall portfolio losses. Gold certainly has risks of its own, but they pale in comparison to the additional layers of risk heaped on by gold-mining stocks.
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Saturday, June 10, 2017
Billionaire Jim Mellon: Hoard Cash, Gold And Invest In Biotech Science / Stock-Markets / Investing 2017
My friend and British investor extraordinaire Jim Mellon, who made a large amount of money traveling the world doing real estate, is now focused on thinking about and investing in life extension and its derivatives.
But he's also worried about what happens when a lot of people live longer and how we pay for it. He shares my concern about the demographic bubble that we are already in becoming even worse as we live longer than we expected.
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Saturday, June 10, 2017
Gold Trading Cycle Update / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
I have Gold on day 21 seeking out its next TC Low. My normal timing band, low to low is 23-29 days so I will be looking for the next low between mid-June to perhaps June 20-22.
My Blue Boxes on the Gold and GDX charts show you Time and Price possibilities. On Gold, the box should project at least a 38% retrace as a minimum but more likely a 50% retrace or lower.
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Saturday, June 10, 2017
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Friday, June 09, 2017
Is The Great Commodity Bear Finally Over ? / Commodities / Commodities Trading
There is something happening in the commodities complex that has been going on for awhile now that needs to be addressed tonight. A subtle change actually started earlier this year and has been gaining momentum especially in the energy sector. I know for a lot of you, with the weak US dollar, you are thinking, “how could commodities be declining,” which goes against everything you have learned about how the markets are supposed to work. If the markets always behaved like everyone thinks they should then there would be no markets, because everyone can’t be right. That’s the nature of the beast we’re trying to tame.
Tonight I would like to show you some bearish rising wedges which have formed all over the place in the commodities complex. Many of the rising wedges took over a year to build out so that sets up a healthy decline. The bigger the pattern the bigger the move.
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Friday, June 09, 2017
Precious Metals’ Reply to US Dollar’s Small Rally / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
Gold, silver and mining stocks finally moved lower after several days of higher prices and one can say the opposite about the USD Index. Was this just a pause or a beginning of a bigger downtrend?
The latter is quite likely and the reasons come from the precious metals charts as well as from the one of the USD Index. In short, the points that we made in the previous alerts this week remain up-to-date, especially those that we discussed yesterday regarding the “when” factor. We will move to this issue in a few minutes and in the meantime, let’s start today’s discussion with gold’s short-term chart (chart courtesy of http://stockcharts.com).
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