Friday, April 21, 2017
No Such Thing as a Stock Market Quadruple Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Gary_Savage
When a resistance zone gets tested multiple times it usually breaks. It shouldn’t be long before the Nasdaq breaks through this resistance. After it does it will pull the rest of the market up with it.
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Friday, April 21, 2017
Silver, Platinum and Palladium as Investments – Research Shows Diversification Benefit / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
By: GoldCore
– Silver, platinum and palladium see increased role as investment vehicles
– Increase in academic output on the white precious metals is in line with this
– Silver and particularly gold are safe haven assets
– Silver was a safe haven at times during which gold failed to be
– Platinum and palladium less so but have diversification benefits
– Silver manipulation is possible and indications of, if not legal proof
– Benefits platinum and palladium could provide as money not been fully addressed
– Main focus in investment drivers is price – not on drivers of physical demand
– Platinum, palladium and silver have different relationships with other assets and divergent abilities in hedging risk
– White precious metal investors should employ a buy-and-hold strategy
– Silver markets have become more efficient since 1977
– White precious metals are increasing in investment importance
– Research shows hedging role and diversification benefits of precious metals
Friday, April 21, 2017
U.S. Stock Market and Gold, Post Tomahawks and MOAB / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Gary_Tanashian
It happens when inflammatory events (usually political, terror or war related, but also including things like Ebola, Bird Flu and the like) crop up; stocks go down and hysteria starts to build. The mainstream media jump aboard and next thing you know you've got people heading for the exits… right into the next bottom. In the case of the current corrective consolidation, a disappointment in the Trump administration's Healthcare follies rolled right into the war-like events in Syria and Afghanistan. Presto! A much needed correction of the over-bullishness was on.
Friday, April 21, 2017
French Elections and Gold Price / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
In the previous edition of the Market Overview, we analyzed the potential impact of the European elections on the gold market. As the Dutch elections are behind us, let's see how the Wilders' defeat affected the markets and the political outlook for France, where people will vote for the president on April 23.
Investors reacted positively to the outcome of the Dutch election, relieved that populists did not win. European stocks and the euro rose, while the France-Germany 10-year bond yield spread declined after the elections. This is because Wilders' failure is considered to indicate that “the wrong kind of populism” is losing momentum.
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Friday, April 21, 2017
Volatile Week for Financial ETFs / Stock-Markets / Exchange Traded Funds
By: Nicholas_Kitonyi
Earnings season is around, and it tends to add some volatility back into the market. Now, major banks and financial firms have already reported their earnings, most beat expectations. However, there were also mixed results with financials. Goldman Sachs Group Inc (NYSE: GS) and Morgan Stanley (NYSE: MS) were some notable earnings that surprised the Street. Consequently, this added some volatility to exchange-traded funds (ETFs), such as the Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSEARCA: XLF) and Vanguard Financials ETF (NYSEARCA: VFH).Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, April 20, 2017
Gold Miners Intermediate Cycle Top? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks 2017
By: Gary_Savage
The large volume surge in DUST a few days ago was the warning bell that the miners may have topped.
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Thursday, April 20, 2017
Stock Market More Uncertainty As Investors Await Quarterly Earnings Releases / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,410, and profit target at 2,200, S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Thursday, April 20, 2017
An In Depth Look at the Precious Metals Complex / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
By: Rambus_Chartology
Before we look at todays charts I would like to thank Sir Plunger for putting on the short oil trade this week while I was recovering from surgery. You won't find a more through and in depth look at oil than what Sir Plunger offered. And wouldn't you know it his timing as usual was impeccable. Oil dropped almost 4% today.
Now lets turn our attention to the sector which many members have a love hate relationship with.
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Thursday, April 20, 2017
The Real Story of China’s Strong First-Quarter Growth / Economics / China Economy
By: Dan_Steinbock
After the solid first quarter performance, the central government may be in the unique position to achieve its growth target - even while tightening.In the first quarter, China’s economy grew 6.9 percent; slightly faster than expected and led by strong expansion at factories. What the first quarter data reflects is solid growth in several fronts.
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Thursday, April 20, 2017
Toward the New Gold-en Era / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
By: Dan_Stinson
In the past half a decade, gold prices were fueled by negative rates. Now gold is driven by geopolitical risks, efforts at gold-backed trade and local prices.
Not so long ago, the conventional wisdom was that the continued recovery of the US economy would support rate hikes and thus the strengthening of the US dollar, which would pave way for gold’s further decline.
Thursday, April 20, 2017
3 Types Of Life-Changing Crisis That Make You Wish You Had Some Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
By: HAA
Stephen McBride : On November 8, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi took to the airwaves to declare that Rs500 and Rs1,000 banknotes—which made up 86% of the currency in circulation—would be invalid effective from midnight. While the policy created chaos at banks, the real story lies elsewhere.
When rumors of a ban on gold spread two weeks later, Indians began rioting. To quell the panic, the Finance Ministry was forced to release a statement saying there was “no plan to restrict gold holdings.”
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Thursday, April 20, 2017
The Last Time This Happened, Gold Rallied 20% / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
By: HAA
John Grandits : With much of the price action in gold driven by sentiment and technical analysis, you should keep an eye on the broader trends, even if you consider yourself a buy-and-hold investor.
Traders use technical analysis to predict future market moves based on recent price action. Most of it sounds complicated, but it really boils down to simple math.
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Thursday, April 20, 2017
The Truth is a Dangerous Thing / Politics / Propaganda
By: Andy_Sutton
This time in history might be like no other – or at a minimum is on a much bigger scale. There is more access to information, analysis, and expert opinions than ever. Obviously, everyone claims to be telling ‘the truth’. A few psychopathic individuals notwithstanding, nobody sets out in the business of providing information, then says ‘But we’re going to lie like a rug, 24/7, how about them apples?’. Everyone is telling the truth. The odd thing about all this is that the stories that come out of these ‘truth telling’ outfits couldn’t be further apart from each other. That leaves the average person with a distinct problem – it is up to YOU to find the truth. To seek it, to think it, to try to live it.
Thursday, April 20, 2017
2 Choke Points That Threaten Oil Trade Between Persian Gulf And East Asia / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: John_Mauldin
BY GEORGE FRIEDMAN : The flow of international trade has always been subject to geopolitical risk and conflicts. At all stages of the supply chain, trade inherently faces challenges posed by the geopolitical realities along a given route.
Some routes are more perilous and harder to navigate than others. One such trade route is the maritime path for transporting oil from Persian Gulf exporters to East Asian consumers. This route faces two major choke points that are unavoidable given geographic constraints.
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Wednesday, April 19, 2017
Stock Market Rally May be Complete / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
It has become obvious that the higher Cup with Handle formation was not triggering the sell-off that would be expected. Both the daily chart and the 2-hour chart actually show a better position for a clean Cup with Handle pattern with the Lip at 2322.25. The Broadening Wedge remains the same.
SPX appears to have halted its rally at the 50% retracement level. It remains on a sell signal with additional confirmation beneath 2322.25.
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Wednesday, April 19, 2017
Gold’s Next Downside Target Is Around $700… Even if It Breaks Up First / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
By: Harry_Dent
Many analysts have been so excited that gold broke to new highs, above $1,262, in late February.I was excited as well, but for a different reason.
I’d forecast that gold could bounce back just above the July 2016 highs of $1,373, to around $1,400 or $1,450.
And ANY bounce, no matter how high it went, would be a good place to get rid of any gold you’re still holding.
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Wednesday, April 19, 2017
The Fed Must Be Reading Our Work / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank
By: Rodney_Johnson
It’s too much of a coincidence. Fed officials must be reading our work.OK, they don’t really have to be… but if they don’t, they should.
It’s not that we deserve credit for what comes next at the Fed, but I was glad to read the details last week in the nitty-gritty of the Fed’s minutes of its March meeting. (You would’ve had to have read it there; Fed chair Janet Yellen didn’t talk about it at all in her post-meeting press conference.)
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Wednesday, April 19, 2017
Stock Market to Push Higher? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Gary_Savage
I suspect the market will be near the all-time highs ahead of the FOMC meeting on May 3rd.
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Wednesday, April 19, 2017
Soothing East Asia's Nerves as Trump's Administration Reaffirms US Power in Asia-Pacific / Politics / US Military
By: STRATFOR
Forecast
- U.S. Vice President Mike Pence's 10-day tour of East Asia will focus primarily on easing uncertainty among U.S. allies about the administration's policies in the region.
- U.S. moves to contain North Korea and compel China toward cooperation will dominate discussions in Seoul and Tokyo, though tension over the Trump administration's trade policies will loom large in both visits.
- Indonesia and Australia will remain wary of joining U.S. initiatives that risk provoking China but also receptive to U.S. efforts to lay the groundwork for more robust defense cooperation.
Wednesday, April 19, 2017
Stock Market Turn-Around Tuesday Closes Negative / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Harry_Boxer
It looks like turn-around Tuesday for the stock market indices today as the markets reversed yesterday, gains for losses, and pretty decent ones, too, but they did come back. The day started out with a gap down, but then a really sharp rally got them to their highs very quickly, within the first thirty minutes. At that point, they came down in a sharp, 3-wave decline, and reached their session lows by midday. An early afternoon rally back got to resistance and backed off late afternoon, and then surged into the close to reach the morning highs, but were unable to get through, and in the last five minutes they backed off.
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