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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Commodities

Friday, January 14, 2022

Gold Price Lagging Inflation / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2022

By: Zeal_LLC

Gold is lagging the raging inflation unleashed by the Fed’s epic money printing.  Despite leading inflation benchmarks skyrocketing to multi-decade highs, gold prices have barely budged.  Serious inflation initially fuels record-high stock markets, which stunt gold investment demand.  But festering inflation increasingly erodes corporate earnings, hitting stock prices.  As stock markets roll over, gold will start reflecting this inflation.

Runaway inflation is increasingly plaguing the United States, as evident in this week’s major economic releases.  The December Consumer Price Index headline number came in up 7.0% year-over-year, its hottest print since June 1982!  That’s a 39.5-year high, despite the CPI being intentionally lowballed by the government to mask inflation.  Fast-rising general prices slash standards of living, angering American voters.

This latest CPI report claimed food and shelter costs only climbed 6.3% and 4.1% over this past year.  Is that your experience?  The actual increases in grocery bills, housing, and rent costs have likely soared at triple-to-quadruple those pretend trajectories.  Leading into this latest CPI release, new research from Bank of America reported food, housing, and rent prices have blasted about 27%, 18%, and 12% higher YoY!

Shelter accounts for about a third of the CPI, which is held artificially-low through a fiction called owners’ equivalent rent.  That is just a survey asking homeowners to guess how much they’d expect to pay to rent a house of similar quality!  Most Americans who aren’t real-estate professionals wouldn’t have a clue on that.  The CPI is full of similar statistical trickery instead of using honest hard free-market data on prices.

The December Producer Price Index showing wholesale price trends looked even worse, soaring 9.7% YoY!  That was a record high in this current PPI iteration.  Far more inflation is baked into the pipeline, as an intermediate-demand PPI subindex rocketed up 24.4% YoY!  These soaring input costs are cutting into corporate earnings, and will ultimately be passed along to customers driving more price increases.

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Companies

Friday, January 14, 2022

Get Your Startup Idea Up And Running With These 7 Tips / Companies / SME

By: Steve_Barker

Starting a business is no easy task. It takes a lot of hard work, dedication, and sacrifice. But with the right attitude and these 7 tips, you can get your startup idea off the ground and running in no time.

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ConsumerWatch

Friday, January 14, 2022

What Happens When Your Flight Gets Cancelled in the UK? / ConsumerWatch / Travel & Holidays

By: Stefan_Paulo

Flight cancellation happens for various reasons; it could be due to security, bad weather, lack of passengers, crew out of time, lack of aircraft or crew, or mechanical issues, among others. If you are a frequent traveller, you’ve probably have had to deal with flight cancellations at some point. But what happens after that? If you are travelling from the UK or intend to land in the UK, what do you do in the event that your flight gets cancelled? This article seeks to address the most important things following a flight cancellation. 

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Companies

Tuesday, January 11, 2022

How to Profit from 2022’s Biggest Trend Reversal / Companies / Electric Cars

By: Stephen_McBride

I’m kicking off 2022 with a big call…

One of the longest-running disruptive trends is set for a surprising reversal this year.

This trend sits at the center of one of America’s largest and most important industries—autos.

Everyone from Ford to GM and Tesla will soon be talking about it. It will be plastered on the front pages of The New York Times and Wall Street Journal too.

Yet virtually nobody has a clue this reversal is coming.

I’m betting this will become one of 2022’s biggest investment stories. And today I’ll show you the one stock set to make a killing from it.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, January 11, 2022

Stock Market Sentiment Speaks: Are We Ready To Drop To 4400SPX? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2022

By: Avi_Gilburt

With the market breaking the support I noted last week, it has sent a warning shot across the bow of the bulls. But, before I discuss my market view, I want to first address something that you are all thinking: The Fed caused the decline this past week.

Well, before you go off so certain in your theory, consider that when the Fed had the actual meeting a few weeks ago and announced that it was going to tighten, the market rallied 140 points off its low that day. Yes, the market rallied on the tightening announcement. And, when the market dropped when the Fed minutes to that same meeting came out, you want me to accept that the Fed “caused” the drop?

I have said it many times and I will say it again: While a news event can be a catalyst to a market move, the substance of that news is not going to provide you with an indication for the direction of the move. Here we have a clear instance where the market received the same message regarding the Fed’s tightening two weeks apart. One instance saw the market move up strongly by 140 points, and the other saw the market move down by 110 points.

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Companies

Tuesday, January 11, 2022

What's the Role of an Affiliate Marketer? / Companies / Marketing

By: Sumeet_Manhas

If you visit most of the e-commerce sites, you'll come across the 'become an affiliate marketer' link. Affiliate marketing has gained momentum, although most people don't understand what it's all about.

Simply put, affiliate marketing refers to a marketing technique in which an organization pays others to market its services or products. The marketers earn a commission whenever a customer buys the product through their links. Affiliates normally place product links on their blog, app, or website. Once someone purchases the product through the link, the affiliate gets a commission. This helps companies to get more sales hence more profit. However, affiliate marketing may not be a success without support from affiliate managers. These play a central role as far as affiliate marketing is concerned.

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Companies

Tuesday, January 11, 2022

Essential Things To Know Before You Set Up A Limited Liability Company / Companies / SME

By: Steve_Barker

When it comes to running your own business, there are a number of important steps involved. One of the most significant steps in any business owner’s life is setting up their own limited liability company. With the market getting back up from the damage caused by the pandemic, now is the best time to set up your company. An LLC allows you to combine the best features of corporations and partnerships so that your business can kick off the way you want. Not only will you have flexibility within your company if you set it up as an LLC, but you’ll also be able to protect all the stakeholders from legal liability. This sounds like a win-win situation, and it actually is. However, there are a few things that you must know before you set up your company as an LLC.

In this article, we’re going to take a look at some of the things you should do before you even go ahead with establishing the company. These steps will make it easier for you to start operating as soon as possible, and you’ll get a head start over others who might start at the same time. So without further ado, let’s get to it and find out the essentials of setting up a limited liability company.

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Companies

Monday, January 10, 2022

NVIDIA THE KING OF THE METAVERSE! / Companies / Metaverse

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The GPU King is fast branching out across the AI spectrum, targeting all with it's processing power form Cloud computing to Autonomous vehicles. But you have to PAY TOP DOLLAR for piece of the KING of the Metaverse! And what am I doing? I am SHORT Nvidia! Yikes, that could prove to be a short lived short (stop $352). BUY THE DIP, ANY DIP JUST BUY THE DIP AND THEN FORGET ABOUT IT! I need to practice what I preach where Nvidia is concerned, over thinking can be dangerous to ones portfolio!

The bottom line is virtually every tech stock on my list is a META-VERSE stock! I literally have to do nothing more than to be invested in the stocks on my list (yes I know I don't hold Microsoft, and Apple right now) to be invested in some of the best and safest exposure to Meta-verse stocks.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, January 10, 2022

Fiscal and Monetary Cliffs Have Arrived / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2022

By: Michael_Pento

According to Doug Ramsey of the Leuthold Group, 334 companies trading on the New York Stock Exchange recently hit a 52-week low, more than double the amount that marked new one-year highs. That’s happened only three other times in history -- all of them occurring in December 1999.

How did we get back to the precipice of the year 2000, where tech stocks plunged 80% and the S&P 500 lost 50% of its value over the ensuing two years? Well, start off with the fact that the amount of new money created by our central bank in the past 14 years is $8 trillion. That, by the way, is an increase in base money supply only and does not include all of the new money created by our debt-based monetary system. So, from 1913 to 2008, the Fed created $800 billion. And, it took from 2008 until today—just 14 years--for it to have created $8.8 trillion in base money supply. Is there really any wonder why inflation has now become a salient issue, especially for the middle and lower classes, and why the stock market is now set up for a meltdown similar to the NASDAQ collapse of two decades ago?
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Personal_Finance

Monday, January 10, 2022

The Meteoric Rise of Investing in Trading Cards / Personal_Finance / Investing 2022

By: Steve_Barker

The first thing that always comes to mind when people mention trading cards is the fun and wonder, and curiosity associated with them. Most of us have had a trading card collection at some point during our childhood, and some of us might have been still interested far into our teenage years; there’s no shame in that! However, the majority of people wouldn’t even know where their cards are now. Very few people actually held on to their collections and those who didn’t would have never imagined the value that these cards would assume. Had people known about the money that these trading cards can fetch, all of their cards would’ve been locked up in a high-security vault. There are many reasons behind the rise of trading cards, but the exact ones still remain unclear and ambiguous.

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Companies

Sunday, January 09, 2022

IBM The REAL Quantum Metaverse STOCK! / Companies / AI

By: Nadeem_Walayat

IBM is another sleeping tech giant that the so called the analysts are clueless about.

What comes to mind when you think of IBM ?

It's stock price chart ?

Logo?

What comes to my mind is a quantum computer and then the 2001 Space Oddessy movie Monolith. If you have not watched the movie then watch it even though it is over 50 years old.

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Personal_Finance

Sunday, January 09, 2022

WARNING Failing NVME2 M2 SSD Drives Can Prevent Systems From Booting - Corsair MP600 / Personal_Finance / Computing

By: HGR

NVME drives are supposed to herald greater speeds coupled with greater reliability over traditional platter spinning drives. However clearly the technology has yet to mature. And worse than mechanical hard drives when they go they tend to go fast! As illustrated by this 1tb Corsair MP600 drive which despite being listed as being 93% Good died within minutes, with the failure resulting in preventing the system from booting from it's good boot drive. So a sign that your NVME2 is on the verge of dying is if you experience failure or slow boot times.

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Commodities

Sunday, January 09, 2022

The Fed’s inflated cake and a ‘quant’ of history / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: Gary_Tanashian

A stroll through recent and not so recent inflationary history

[edit] Some wording and a couple typos cleaned up from original post, no changes to themes…

A Cynical Fed is a Dangerous Fed

On ‘Fed minutes Wednesday’ the media amplified the noise, the machines are doing what the machines do and running with it, and it’s all eyes on the great and powerful Fed (of Oz).

The Fed created the cyclical inflation (in NFTRH we detailed and managed the process successfully in real time) and thus the Fed created the cycle. In 2021 the Fed was exposed to the public as the agent of inflation it actually is, and when the inflation threatened to get out of hand they went into damage control mode. Now the Fed is trying to cool the inflation, which means cooling the cycle itself. You can’t have your inflated cake and eat it too. Not when the racket is exposed to the public.

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ConsumerWatch

Sunday, January 09, 2022

NVME M2 SSD FAILURE WARNING Signs - Corsair MP600 1tb Drive / ConsumerWatch / Computing

By: HGR

Corsair MP600 is a PCIE4.0 SSD drive with advertised read speeds of upto 4950 mb/s and write speeds of upto 4250 mm/s. After some 8 months of usage had already dropped in performance to about half advertised, well that should have been taken as a warning of worse to come as one of the two 1tb MP600 drives in my system FAILED within a few hours of first showing warning signs. Find out why you NEED TO BACK UP YOUR MP600 DRIVES ASAP because when you first get a warning you may not have much time left to start backing up as transfer speeds drop! It also illustrates why it's wise to have multiple drives in case one fails.

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Local

Sunday, January 09, 2022

Meadowhall Sheffield Christmas Lights 2021 Shopping - Before the Switch on / Local / Sheffield

By: Eliza_Walayat

Here's a unique look at Meadowhalls Christmas lights and decorations just BEOFORE they were switched on.

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Personal_Finance

Sunday, January 09, 2022

How Does Insurance Work In Europe? Find Out Here / Personal_Finance / Insurance

By: Steve_Barker

The basic principles of insurance remain the same wherever you are in the world. One takes insurance out to provide financial insurance for one’s belongings or life. Legislation and implementation, however, differ depending on the country that one is in.

In Europe, insurance legislation and implementation are fairly uniform. This is because Europe acts as a borderless, single body. Across Europe at the moment, companies are incorporating new technologies into their operations, which is known as insurtech.

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Companies

Friday, January 07, 2022

MATTERPORT (MTTR) - DIGITIZING THE REAL WORLD - METAVERSE INVESTING 2022 / Companies / Metaverse

By: Nadeem_Walayat

And lastly MATTERPORT that digitises the real world via it's Pro2 3D camera's by turning image data into 3d models. Of specific interest is that it holds 38 patents and 28 pending patterns in the digitisation of the real world space which is going to make it tough for new entrants to deploy similar systems without having to enter into a licence agreement with Matterport. Matterport is a small cap very high risk stock i.e. Q3 revenue was just $27, 7 million, accompanied with a net loss of $14 million or negative EPS of $0.06. However the numbers mean diddly squat right now for we are looking out across brave new virtual worlds towards which Matterport looks set to play it's pivotal role where for me the key metrics right now are market cap $6.6bn, and shareholder dilution for which it is early days but I strongly suspect they will print a lot of shares in early years at least, which means it's best to bide ones time than to FOMO.

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Commodities

Friday, January 07, 2022

Effect of Deflation On The Gold Price / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2022

By: Kelsey_Williams

The higher price for gold over time reflects the loss in purchasing power of the US dollar. The loss in the dollar’s purchasing power is an effect of inflation.

Over the past century, the US dollar has lost approximately ninety-nine percent of its purchasing power. The loss in purchasing power is reflected in a gold price that has increased one-hundred fold ($20.67 oz.  x 100 = $2067 oz).

The effect of deflation on the gold price is different. To be more accurate, the effect of deflation on gold’s price is opposite to the effect resulting from inflation.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, January 07, 2022

Stock Market 2022 Requires Different Strategies For Traders/Investors / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2022

By: Chris_Vermeulen

I started this article by highlighting how difficult some 2021 strategies seemed for many Hedge Funds and Professional Traders. It appears the extreme market volatility throughout 2021 took a toll on many systems and strategies. I wouldn’t be surprised to see various sector ETFs and Sector Mutual Funds up 15% to 20% or more for 2021 while various Hedge Funds struggle with annual returns between 7% and -5% for 2021.

After many years in this industry and having built many of my own strategies over the past decade, I’ve learned one very important facet of trading strategy development – expect the unexpected. A friend always told me to “focus on failure” when we developed strategies together. His approach to strategy design was “you develop it do too well in certain types of market trends and volatility. By focusing on where it fails, you’ll learn more about the potential draw-downs and risks of a strategy than ignoring these points of failure”. I tend to agree with him.

In the first part of this research article, the other concept I started discussing was how traders/investors might consider moving away from strategies that struggled in 2022. What if the markets continue trending with extreme volatility throughout 2022 and into 2023? Suppose your system or strategy has taken some losses in 2022, and you have not stopped to consider volatility or other system boundaries as a potential issue. In that case, you may be looking forward to a very difficult 12 to 14+ months of trading in 2022 and 2023.

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Commodities

Friday, January 07, 2022

Old Man Winter Will Stimulate Natural Gas and Heating Oil Demand / Commodities / Natural Gas

By: Submissions

Happy new year, everyone! We hope that 2022 will be a prosperous one for all our readers. However, will it be successful for oil?

Energy Market Updates

Yesterday, crude oil prices ended higher, after a volatile session as US inventories fell by 6.4 million barrels – more than twice the previous week – which is another positive sign for demand.

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