Monday, August 08, 2016
Top Silver Mining CEO Makes a Remarkable Price Forecast / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
First Majestic's Keith Neumeyer: “Silver Mines & Silver Are Way Rarer Than People Actually Think”
Welcome to this week’s Market Wrap Podcast, I’m Mike Gleason.
Coming up we’ll hear a fantastic interview with Keith Neumeyer, CEO of First Majestic Silver Corp. Keith gives an insider’s take on the tremendous and unsustainable imbalance that exists between the available mine supply of silver compared to gold and what it likely means for the silver to gold ratio. And you’ll definitely want to hear Keith’s long term price target for the white metal, which may surprise you. Don’t miss my conversation with Keith Neumeyer coming up after this week’s market update.
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Monday, August 08, 2016
FTSE Possible Double Top Before Lengthy PBrexit Consolidation / Stock-Markets / UK Stock Market
The FTSE has had a dramatic run since Brexit and appears on a short term basis to be overbought, our current forecast is for a high over the coming weeks at or about 7,000, this short term top remains likely as long as the 10, 20 and 50 day moving averages remain in positive alignment.
You will notice the 300 day moving average beginning to turn up in a positive fashion in our forecast whilst price becomes weak, that is a perfectly reasonable part of a consolidation process. The 50 day moving average should act as support if we get a mini consolidation before we get to 7,000.
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Monday, August 08, 2016
Today is a Stock Market Pi Date / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Good Morning!
The SPX Premarket is marginally higher, along with the global equities markets.
ZeroHedge reports, “The meltup continues with the S&P500 set to open at new all time highs as futures rise 0.2% overnight, with European, Asian stocks higher, as job data pushed MSCI Asia Pacific Index towards highest close since Aug. 2015. Germany, U.K. economic data seen positive, with dollar, oil rising, and gold declining.”
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Monday, August 08, 2016
Gold to Thrive in a Fiat Ponzi with Negative Yield / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
Summary:
- So if you are buying government bonds, expecting a decent return at the current puny level of yields, you are chasing the price. You are a speculator focusing on price, not yield. …If you are buying equities at current sky-high prices, you are chasing the yield. The mirror image of bonds.
- Gold bottomed in December 2015, after a much-anticipated Federal Reserve interest rate hike – the first in 7 years. Perhaps the market sensed that the Fed has done away with its interest hike campaign?
Monday, August 08, 2016
Irish Banks Most Vulnerable In Stress Tests – UK Banks RBS and Barclays At Risk / Companies / Financial Markets 2016
– Irish banks vulnerable in stress tests: AIB/ BofI amongst worst 5 banks in EU
– Ulster Bank’s parent Royal Bank of Scotland emerged as 2nd worst bank
– AIB, Banca MPS especially vulnerable & ‘failed’ in adverse scenario (see table)
– Impairment of financial assets was the largest negative contributor to results
– Bad loans continue to pose risks to Irish financial system
Monday, August 08, 2016
Beware the False Stock Market Breakout / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Beware of a false breakout early week. This is how big money gets out of a position. They create a breakout and then sell to the clueless retail traders that buy the breakout. Buying breakouts rarely works in modern markets.
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Monday, August 08, 2016
Gold Counter Cyclical? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
The title of this segment is actually the subject line of an email sent by subscriber ‘RK’ on Friday, after the post-Payrolls update that included the following statement that RK questioned. From the update…
“Gold is getting clobbered as it should. Let’s please keep it real, because a lot of gold bugs are not going to. The case for gold, silver and commodities rests on an inflationary phase, which strong jobs and wages would indicate out ahead. But for now, the hit to the precious metals is logical.”
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Monday, August 08, 2016
Stock Market Headed for 10% Decline / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
All the cycles that I follow are topping for the stock market. In fact, ideally, the SPX should top on Monday 8/8 near 2189. I believe we see 1972 by September 1.
The week ahead should see weakness after initial strength. A rally on Thursday should be the “b” wave of an a-b-c type drop into Friday. The expected large drop on Friday could be a monetary issue as Venus squares Saturn on the 13th as Saturn turns stationary/direct. Venus rules money. Saturn also conjuncts the moon Friday (the moon in Sagittarius is often times the low of the cycle); is also an 8 TD low from the 5 week low last week on August 2.
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Monday, August 08, 2016
Nasdaq Composite Cup With Handle / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks
I expect we will have new highs in Dow Jones, S&P 500, and the Nasdaq by next week. This is actually a better set-up to short but does not mean this trio will all make new highs next week.
The chart below is of the Comp., with a cup and handle chart pattern. You may have to use a little imagination, but it is there.
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Monday, August 08, 2016
New Stock Market Top Forming? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: The long-term trend is up but weakening. Potential final phase of bull market.
SPX Intermediate trend: The uptrend from 1810 continues.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
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Monday, August 08, 2016
Now The Markets Themselves Are Too Big To Fail / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
The First Rebuttal website has coined a term that gets to the heart of an increasingly dysfunctional system: The too-big-to-fail stock market. The general thesis is that most major countries are over-leveraged to that point of maybe being unable to survive a garden variety equities bear market – and are doing whatever it takes to keep that from happening. Here’s First Rebuttal on the effects of such a prop-up-asset-prices-at-any-cost policy:
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Sunday, August 07, 2016
Stocks Bull Market Climbs Wall of Worry, Bubble? When Will it End? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
The Dow once more appears imminently ready to set a new all time high after closing Friday at 18,543, barely 50 points away from the last closing all time high of 18,595. Well given the perma-doom of not just the past year but for the duration of this bull market then it should be clear that most stock market analysts, perhaps as many as 95% just don't get it, and likely never will. Which is indicative of a systemic defective thought process which again should not be so surprising since its a case of new analysts learning from old failed analysts forced to make a living by writing and selling books on trading markets.
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Sunday, August 07, 2016
Gold's Multiple Resistance Zones / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
Gold has multiple resistance zones at the 1380-1400 level. It’s going to take some work to break through these. Gold will need some help from the dollar, which it will eventually get as the dollar will be due for its intermediate cycle low by the end of September or early October. Once the breakout occurs, gold should make a beeline for the 50% Fibonacci retracement, and then maybe to $1550 before this intermediate cycle tops.
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Sunday, August 07, 2016
Stocks will have a Waterfall Decline and Silver Price will Skyrocket in August! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
In their latest announcement, the FED attempted to prop up the stock market. They attempted to sound hawkish, however, the market paid not any heed to it. The FED annulment was reflected in a manner that lead the way to the dollar tanking and precious metals rising. Silver has industrial uses as well as monetary ones, which will come to the forefront as the gold bull market progresses.
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Sunday, August 07, 2016
Banker Bunker Mentality, Big US Banks On The Brink / Interest-Rates / Financial Crisis 2016
The big US banks are dead, as in giant hollow reeds. Such has been the Jackass refrain for eight straight years. They are insolvent monsters and destroyers of wealth and capital. They are massive criminal enterprises. Events prove the case well. The Too Big to Fail policy has instead assured the wreckage and destruction of the USEconomy. Save the big banks, but ruin the capital base. The USGovt under the management of the banker cartel since the 9/11 event, which they orchestrated in a bold move, has systematically brought down the macro business sector, permitted the USDollar platforms to decay completely, and rigged the financial markets in every conceivable arena. The central bankers are running scared. The Jackass wishes they would all depart in exile, locate on a lovely Polynesian island, and eat each other, with the winners wearing their bones and teeth.
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Sunday, August 07, 2016
Gold Price Sideways for Awhile? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
In my last chart of the day I noted that gold and the metals sector in general were too stretched above the 200 DMA and would likely have to churn for awhile before the next leg up could begin. After seeing the sell off following Friday’s employment number I think I probably called that one correctly. The metals may have to churn sideways for most of August before the next rally begins.
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Sunday, August 07, 2016
SPX Interesting Stock Market Juncture / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
The week started at SPX 2174. After making an all time high on Monday at SPX 2178 the market pulled back to 2148 on Tuesday. After that the market worked its way higher to make another new all time high on Friday. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 0.50%, and the NDX/NAZ gained 1.2%. Economic reports for the week were mixed. On the downtick: ISM manufacturing/services, construction spending, factory orders, consumer debt, plus weekly jobless claims and the trade deficit rose. On the uptick: personal income/spending, PCE prices, the ADP, monthly Payrolls, and Q3 GDP estimates. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by Retail sales, Business inventories and Export/Import prices. Best to your weekend and week!
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Saturday, August 06, 2016
Donald Trump Warns of ‘Very Scary Scenarios’ for Stocks Ahead / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
I’m not sure Trump is aware of this Jubilee year, but he certainly understands that the stock market is at a highly dangerous level.
“Interest rates are artificially low,” Trump told Fox in an interview, HERE. “The only reason the stock market is where it is is because you get free money.”
That is absolutely true and unheard of to be acknowledged by a front-running Presidential candidate.
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Saturday, August 06, 2016
Gold And Silver Charts / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
Our pace for posting commentaries will slow down for August by design over the next few weeks, and for the last week of August, there will be no posting due to vacation time. This week, focus will be solely on the charts. There is so much going on in the world and with the Bread and Circuses election in the United States, the sum of which is enough to send the price of precious metals considerably higher, but the reality is price is still under the control of Chinese buying at bargain prices while the West’s central bankers try to keep alive the Ponzi scheme facade regarding gold and silver.
The globalists behind the fiat curtain have been exposed for their financial and political chicanery to keep the vastly underwater banking system “alive and well,” yet the public has no unified voice to be so shocked by the extreme theft by the bankers and their political hacks, so the game plays on.
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Saturday, August 06, 2016
The U.S. Political year of ‘Neither’ and the 12th Amen? What if? / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
What if the results of Election 2016 failed to give either major party presidential candidate 270 Electoral votes? In this event, the Twelfth Amendment of the U.S. Constitution stipulates the President is elected by the House of Representatives, and the Vice President is elected by the Senate. This process is referred to as “contingent election”.
What are the chances of this event occurring? Which House and which Senate is stipulated: the sitting or the newly elected? What deadline dates are imposed? What occurs when either the upper house or lower house - or both houses - reach a stalemate? When does the Supreme Court decide the outcome?
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