Monday, March 21, 2016
Unemployment vs Inflation - May the Phillips Curve Rest in Peace / Economics / Economic Theory
By: Michael_Pento
In 1958, economist William Phillips claimed there was a historical inverse relationship between the rate of unemployment and the corresponding rate of inflation. His conclusion was that full employment (whatever that means) was inflationary. He illustrated his claim through a chart referred to as the Phillips Curve.
Monday, March 21, 2016
Silver Price About to Slump Lower / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Clive_Maund
Whilst silver had a good week last week, outperforming gold and rising to multi-month new high, it looks like that may have been its "swan song" for a while. It looks quite positive at first sight on its latest 6-month chart with the new high and moving averages starting to swing into a more positive alignment, but once you "look under the hood" you quickly realize things are not so good at all.
Monday, March 21, 2016
Gold Price Intermediate Top / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Clive_Maund
All the technical evidence suggests that gold is building out an intermediate top area here, which fits with the fundamental situation where complacency and "risk on" are making a comeback, thanks to the boundless generosity of Central Bankers.
Starting with gold's 6-month chart we see that after its parabolic ramp up in January and early February, it has been struggling to make further progress. The supposed (by some) bull Flag or Pennant turned out to be false and although it has edged ahead a little, the passage of time has resulted in its breaking down from the parabola simply by moving sideways, which has, unknown to many, opened up the risk of a potentially severe drop. The most plausible interpretation of pattern development since the parabolic blowoff spike in early - mid February is that it is a bearish Rising Wedge, which the price broke down from about a week ago, before a backtest of the breakdown point with the big up day last Wednesday when the Fed didn't raise rates, which triggered panic short covering.
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Monday, March 21, 2016
Stock Market Extends Its Month-Long Uptrend, Will It Go Even Higher? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.
Our intraday outlook is now neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral. Our medium-term outlook remains bearish, as the S&P 500 index extends its lower highs, lower lows sequence:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): neutral
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): neutral
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Monday, March 21, 2016
Budget 2016: Borrowing, Lifetime ISA, House Prices, Economy, Syria, Brexit and Stocks / Politics / UK Tax & Budget
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Budget 2016 and its aftermath has given a window into the politics of the Conservative Party as Britain counts down to the EU Referendum (June 23rd). The plan was supposed to be for George Osborne to play ultra safe in the run up to the vote, but he appears to have been well and truly duped by Ian Duncan Smith (IDS), Britain's welfare minister who apparently whilst in agreement with the proposed benefits cuts before the budget speech that includes £1billion of cuts for the disabled. Instead now, suddenly after 6 years in the job of delivering benefits cuts he apparently has developed a conscious and decided to resign as he cannot go along with the latest series of cuts.
Monday, March 21, 2016
Stock Market Top Near, GDX Makes New Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Brad_Gudgeon
Last week, I was looking for a top in the stock market within a week or two. We are still very close to that top and nothing has changed. The SPX needs to break decisively below the rising trend line. Normally, markets coming off a top are slow to descend, giving the short seller plenty of time to react. A strong move down into June looks forthcoming.
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Monday, March 21, 2016
Cisco Systems (CSCO) Stock Price To Explode Higher in 2016 / Companies / Company Chart Analysis
By: Austin_Galt
Cisco Systems Inc (CSCO) is in the business of designing, manufacturing and selling internet protocol-based networking products and services related to the communications and information technology industry. It is listed on the NASDAQ with a market capitalisation of around $145billion. Price last traded at $28.33.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, March 21, 2016
Stock Market Pushing The Envelope / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: Severe correction underway
SPX Intermediate trend: Rally pushing the envelope
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
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Sunday, March 20, 2016
Stocks Bear Market Continues to Gravitate Towards New All Time Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The supposed great bear market of 2016 keeps on trending in the WRONG direction as the bears latest hopes for an imminent bear market apocalypse, the March Fed meeting on which they hoped to be raptured into perma-bear heaven following a second rate hike in this series, instead resolved in the exact opposite outcome, with not only the Fed keeping interest rates on hold but issuing a dovish statement on the future prospects for US interest rates which apparently caught many by surprise. What's the surprise? When over a month ago we saw BoJ panic!, and only a week ago we saw the ECB panic of negative interest rates! I could go on at length with why the Fed, BoJ, ECB and BoE are clueless and what they actually should be forced to do for it will take force because they only tend to print trillions to save and support their bankster brethren and of course inflating asset prices at the expense of the purchasing power of earnings of the wage slaves, but I will save this for another article.
Sunday, March 20, 2016
General Electric (GE) Bullish Stock Price Outlook / Companies / Company Chart Analysis
By: Austin_Galt
General Electric Company (GE) is a diversified technology and financial services company and is listed on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) with a market capitalisation of around $290billion. Price last traded at $30.92.
Let’s begin the analysis by looking at the big picture with the yearly chart.
Sunday, March 20, 2016
Fed Clown Show Has Come and Gone / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank
By: Gary_Tanashian
The opening segment from this week’s edition of Notes From the Rabbit Hole has a little fun with the post-FOMC market situation. Unfortunately, there is all too much reality in this clowning around. From NFTRH 387:
Our main theme has been that the ironclad post-2011 confidence in the Federal Reserve among conventional market participants would slowly but surely start to fade because macro parlor tricks, so vigorously employed by the Bernanke Fed, were only tricks or in some cases (Operation Twist) borderline magic, after all.
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Sunday, March 20, 2016
Stock Market Manipulation: You Better Believe / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Gary_Savage
Let me start off and say the longer one continues to operate under the assumption that we still have free markets the less likely you are to make money, and the more likely it is you will lose money.
Folks we have virtually every central bank in the world printing money (and I think this includes the US). We have negative interest rates in many parts of the world and 0 every place else. I can say without a bit of hesitation that market intervention is now just a fact of life in modern markets. To ignore it is to ignore a very big fundamental piece of the puzzle.
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Sunday, March 20, 2016
Even As Russians Withdraw, Their Legacy in Syria Remains / Politics / Russia
By: STRATFOR
As the departure of Russian forces from Syria announced March 14 continues, evidence of construction at Russia's main air base in the country demonstrates Moscow’s intention to maintain a military presence there. Imagery dated March 17 acquired by Stratfor of the Bassel al Assad air base in Latakia province and the naval base at Tartus highlights the ongoing Russian drawdown of its forces in Syria that Moscow contends will be largely completed by March 20.
Sunday, March 20, 2016
Erdogan Repudiates Democracy, Freedom and Rule of Law / Politics / Turkey
By: Stephen_Lendman
Tyrants operate their own way, eliminating whatever interferes with their iron-fisted rule - Erdogan one of the region’s worst, a tinpot despot in a part of the world ruled by dictators.
Anyone supporting freedom fighting Kurds he calls “terrorists” are considered enemies of the state, subject to prosecution, imprisonment or assassination.
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Sunday, March 20, 2016
Donald Trump will Make America “Great” (Again?) / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Michael_T_Bucci
Donald Trump is going to make America “great again”. What is greatness?
Is greatness measured by money and armaments? If so, America is already great. It is the wealthiest country with the largest military in the world. If Mr. Trump wishes the country to be isolationist, he will need to withdraw or reduce 800 military bases in 80 countries and minimize the role of Wall Street in global markets.
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Saturday, March 19, 2016
Major Stock Market Reversal Signal from Waning Enthusiasm for Share Buybacks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: EWI
"State of the Global Markets Report -- 2016 Edition" (excerpt)
Editor's note: The following article was adapted from the just-published State of the Global Markets Report--2016 Edition, one of our most anticipated annual reports for technically minded investors and analysts around the world. We are making the first 10,000 copies of this $99 report available 100% free. Click here to get your free copy now >>
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Saturday, March 19, 2016
Stocks Bear Market Rally Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Tony_Caldaro
The week started at SPX 2022. After a small rally to SPX 2025 on Monday the market pulled back to 2005 on Tuesday. After that the market continued to rise for the rest of the week, with only 10 point pullbacks, to SPX 2052 on Friday. Ending the week at SPX 2050. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 1.80%, the NDX/NAZ gained 1.05%, and the DJ World gained 1.40%. On the economic front reports continued to come in with a negative bias. On the uptick: the NY/Philly FED, business inventories, leading indicators housing starts, and the WLEI. On the downtick: retail sales, the CPI/PPI, building permits, industrial production, capacity utilization, consumer sentiment, GDPN, plus weekly jobless claims rose. Next week we get reports on Durable goods, the Q4 GDP and more Housing.
Saturday, March 19, 2016
Gold And Silver - Shanghai Exchange Effect On Silver? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Michael_Noonan
The trend for silver remains down, for now, but there is something going on within this market that does not confirm a change in trend but "appears" to be indicting a one. It has been acknowledged that the fundamentals for both silver and gold are overwhelmingly positive, yet price has not responded. More accurately, price has not been allowed to respond by the globalist's manipulation via their central banks, in general, and specifically by the both military and money might of the also manipulated United States, the federal corporate government version.
Saturday, March 19, 2016
Delivering Quality Education for All Under the Threats of Islamic Terrorism, Refugee Crisis and Budget Cuts / Politics / Educating Children
By: Dr_R_M_Mathew
New Roles of UNESCO, Internet, Google and FacebookThe humanity is heading towards the unprecedented growth of ignorance and denial of education to millions of children all over the world, including those of the Islamic Terror-ridden Syria, Iraq, Libya, Nigeria and several other African countries. Islamic Terrorism has emerged as the darkest force to deny knowledge and education to its targeted victims, including girls, for, it fears Knowledge, Skills, Education and above all 'Women Empowerment' as the stumbling blocks for establishing its Caliphate or Islamic Republic.
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Saturday, March 19, 2016
Pepsi Max UEFA Champions League Promo Compared Against Walkers Crisps Entries / ConsumerWatch / Freebies and Comps
By: Adnaan_Walayat
After having successfully having won over 80 prizes in the walkers crisps UEFA promo. I decided to try and see what I could win from the Pepsi-Max drinks bottles.
Find out in this video how to enter and whether you have more or less chance to win than the walkers crisps codes entries.
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