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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Commodities

Monday, October 18, 2021

Gold Price Flag Suggests A Big Rally May Start Soon / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021

By: Chris_Vermeulen

As precious metals traders have waited out this extended sideways/downward price contraction in price over the past 14+ months, a very broad Pennant/Flag price formation is nearing an APEX level which suggests Gold may begin a new rally phase over the next 60+ days. Support near $1675 is a critical price level that has been tested three times over the past 8 months. The true APEX of the Pennant/Flag price formation will be reached near November 15, 2021 – nearly 30 days before the US Debt Ceiling issue will become another big issue in Washington DC.

Gold Price Flag Initiated After The $1675 Level Based In March 2021

Let’s start with this Gold Daily Chart. I’ve drawn an upper line from the peak price level, in August 2020, across the recent highs in June 2021. Additionally, I’ve drawn a lower line from the lows near September 2020 across a series of price levels that are acting as support. These two major price channels have converged into a Pennant/Flag type of price formation recently.

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Economics

Sunday, October 17, 2021

US Economy and Stock Market Addicted to Deficit Spending / Economics / Inflation

By: Nadeem_Walayat

What to know what's driving the stock market into the stratosphere? US Deficit Spending! (actually twin deficits including Trade).

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Commodities

Sunday, October 17, 2021

The Gold Price And Inflation / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021

By: Kelsey_Williams

An understanding of the relationship between between the gold price and inflation requires historical observation and factual understanding. Below are three specific statements that are rooted in historical fact…

1)  GOLD IS REAL MONEY

Lots of things have been used as money during five thousand years of recorded history.  Only gold has stood the test of time. It has earned its role as real money because it is the only thing which meets the three specific criteria for money: a measure of value, a medium of exchange, and a store of value.

Gold is and has been easily incorporated into recognizable forms and amounts for use within various standards of weight and measure. Also, gold is scarce, malleable, indestructible and beautiful.

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Commodities

Sunday, October 17, 2021

Went Long the Crude Oil? Beware of the Headwinds Ahead… / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Submissions

Falling oil demand and bearish US inventories are not of any good to WTI investors. However, a deeper slide might be a great place to enter the trade…

Fundamental Analysis

The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) has downgraded its estimate of world oil demand for 2021. The demand has been lower than expected so far despite strong prospects for the end of the year.

In fact, in its monthly report, the cartel estimates that oil demand will rebound by 5.82 million barrels per day (mb/d) this year, while it forecast 5.96 mb/d last month.

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Companies

Sunday, October 17, 2021

Watch These Next-gen Cloud Computing Stocks / Companies / Tech Stocks

By: Submissions

By Justin Spittler : Adapt or die.

That was the tough choice facing many small businesses when COVID-19 hit.

It was truly survival of the fittest.

The good news is millions of American entrepreneurs rose to the occasion.

According to CNBC, a record 4.3 million new business applications were processed last year. And 77% of those were online businesses!

Meanwhile, millions of existing mom-and-pop shops rapidly retooled to do business on the internet.

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Personal_Finance

Saturday, October 16, 2021

Overclockers UK Custom Built PC 1 YEAR Use Review Verdict - Does it Still Work? / Personal_Finance / Computing

By: HGR

It's now Over 1 year since we bought a Custom Built PC from Overclockers UK for £1,000 for a student to hopefully study hard with, though with the specs to game in spare time. Anyway the desktops been used for a whole year now, does it still work? any issues, where the student who used it gives their 1 year real customer use verdict.

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Personal_Finance

Saturday, October 16, 2021

Altonville Mine Tours Maze at Alton Towers Scarefest 2021 / Personal_Finance / Travel & Holidays

By: Anika_Walayat

Altonville Mine Tours, are you brave enough to venture into an abandoned mine? And face the crazy inbred hillibies can you find your way out!. Here' Anika takes us to the start of your scarefest nightmare maze!

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InvestorEducation

Thursday, October 14, 2021

How to Protect Your Self From a Stock Market CRASH / Bear Market? / InvestorEducation / Learning to Invest

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Stock Market CRASH / Correction

We will soon be moving into the window for a stock market correction where I penciled the probable expectations for it to take place sometime between Mid Sept to Mid October, though it could start earlier hence why I was not willing to wait around and de risked ahead of the window.

How much could the general indices such as the Dow drop? I have in mind a drop of somewhere between 15% to 20% as being the most provable outcome, though it is early days, so it could be less or it could a more but 15% to 20% is what I have had in mind for the likes of the Dow for some time.

Whether it will be just a correction and resume it's raging bull market or signal start of a bear market proper is uncertain, probability favours continuation but this is not 2011 when we were in a hated stealth bull market that few took seriously instead now every tom dick and harry thinks that stocks can only go up! And so will assume that buying the dip is a one way bet to stock market riches. Which is why one needs to focus on VALUATIONS! Buy when Stocks are CHEAP! For it allows one to survive BEAR MARKETs and not end up with a 20 year Dead Parrots like Cisco and Intel!

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, October 14, 2021

The Only way to Crush Inflation (not stocks) / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2021

By: Stephen_McBride

Folks are freaking out about inflation.

The US government’s own numbers show prices are rising at their fastest pace in 12 years…

Google searches for inflation hit their highest level ever last month…

You’re likely feeling it in your pocket too.

Tried to buy a car lately? If you can get your hands on one, it’ll cost you 40% more than last year.

Home prices are rising at their fastest pace in more than 30 years. And here in Ireland, the average heating bill is expected to jump $500 this winter.

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InvestorEducation

Thursday, October 14, 2021

Why "Losses Are the Norm" in the Stock Market / InvestorEducation / Learning to Invest

By: EWI

"I can measure the motions of bodies, but I cannot measure human folly."

Did you know that Sir Isaac Newton "lost his shirt" in the South Sea Bubble of the 1720s?

This great scientist and mathematician lost more than the equivalent of a million 2021 dollars.

Here's a brief description of Newton's investment actions from Robert Prechter's landmark book, The Socionomic Theory of Finance:

[Sir Isaac Newton] invested a little bit early in the trend and "wisely" took a small profit. Watching the trend continue, he finally bet heavily and "wisely" held on for the long run. He eventually sold out at a near-total loss.

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Personal_Finance

Thursday, October 14, 2021

Sub Species Castle Maze at Alton Towers Scarefest 2021 / Personal_Finance / Travel & Holidays

By: Anika_Walayat

Prepared to be Scared! Very Sacred! Alton Towers Scarefest is BACK! Post pandemic frights for all you teens and adults and maybe a few brave kids too! Here Anika tours the Castle that houses the Sub Species maze.

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Currencies

Thursday, October 14, 2021

Which Wallet is Best for Storing NFTs? / Currencies / Nanotech

By: Sumeet_Manhas

NFTs have been taking the world by storm over the last year or so. With some NFTs selling for millions of dollars, lots of investors and collectors are joining the craze all hoping to make a lot of money or collect unique digital art. The value of NFTs will differ, depending on how popular they are or who created them.  

To store or exchange non-fungible tokens, users must have an NFT wallet. If you are looking to get into the NFT game, you should first find a wallet that suits your trading requirements. It's not possible to exchange NFTs without having a crypto wallet. Luckily, there are plenty of wallets out there to choose from. It is vital that you get a reputable wallet that protects your NFTs from fraud and hackers.

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Currencies

Thursday, October 14, 2021

Ailing UK Pound Has Global Effects / Currencies / British Pound

By: Justin_Weinger

Are you among the millions of financial news watchers who wonder what is going on with the British pound (GBP)? If so, you've probably already noticed that one of the big four currencies has been dropping in recent months. Not since the first few weeks after the Brexit deal took effect has the UK's denominated currency been hit so hard. Its most recent value in terms of US dollars (USD) was $1.357, but what's worrying most traders is the GBP's volatility, which also stands are recent highs. There's no question that the pound is taking a pounding, but two questions are uppermost in the minds of forex enthusiasts:

  • How will FX markets react to this recent development?
  • What kinds of opportunities does the pound's woes offer to foreign exchange traders?
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Personal_Finance

Wednesday, October 13, 2021

How to Get 6 Years Life Out of Your Overclocked PC System, Optimum GPU, CPU and MB Performance / Personal_Finance / Computing

By: HGR

How to maximise your desktop computers life without sacrificing performance, how to achieve that sweet spot of overclocking your processor without shortening it's life due to over heating, watch the video and you too can get a full 6 years use out of your system before the silicon starts to fail.

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Economics

Tuesday, October 12, 2021

The Demand Shock of 2022  / Economics / US Economy

By: Michael_Pento

Investors are growing cautious as we approach the fourth quarter, and their trepidation is justified. Here’s a brief summary of the situation: there is a potential global financial crisis stemming from the Chinese property market meltdown, supply chain bottlenecks are growing worse, Q3 Earnings warnings are being reported from many large corporations, interest rates are rising, inflation is at a 40-year high, tax hikes are coming in ’22, and the threat of a U.S. debt default still hangs in the air until the end of November.

The macroeconomic situation today is one of stagflation. Meaning, inflation rates are higher than normal at the same time GDP growth is slowing. To this point, the data shows that 6.2 million people lost their benefits in the week of September 11tt, as most government pandemic unemployment relief programs expired. These people all need to find a job, and quickly, to supplant that huge government weekly stipend that is now gone. Instead, we find that weekly layoffs are consistently higher than any other time since before the pandemic all the way back through 2015. And, we see that only 194k net new jobs were added during the month of September.
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Personal_Finance

Tuesday, October 12, 2021

4 Reasons Why NFTs Could Be The Future / Personal_Finance / cryptocurrency

By: Sumeet_Manhas

The NFT craze has taken the digital world by storm. People all around the globe are investing in these non-fungible tokens for different reasons. Some are trying to make a profit while others are creating a collection of digital art.

Some people believe the NFT craze won’t last, while others think we are at the stone age of something incredible. There are several reasons to be skeptical, and it's impossible to tell what the future has in store for these digital assets, but there are a few reasons why NFT’s future is looking bright. Before getting into why NFTs isn’t just another flash in the pan, let's take a quick look at what NFTs actually are.

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Commodities

Tuesday, October 12, 2021

Crimex Silver: Murder Most Foul / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021

By: The_Gold_Report

Precious metals expert Michael Ballanger decries last week's manipulations in the silver market. Anyone schooled in the Canadian educational system in the 1960s is by default familiar with William Shakespeare’s famous play Hamlet about a Danish prince that seeks revenge upon his uncle who was believed to have murdered his father to seize the Danish throne. As students forced to utilize a learning method called “rote,” we had to memorize literally the entire scene where the ghost of the murdered king utters those immortal words “Murder most foul.” Claimed to be the “most-filmed” of all literary works, Hamlet was also the genesis of Bob Dylan’s 17-minute-long ballad whose topic was JFK’s assassination in Dallas in November 1963, an event virtually every baby-boomer remembers vividly.

"Last Wednesday, traders watched an aberration, a deformity in the principles of “best price possible.”

They should also add September 29, 2021, to the list of notable murders because the victim this time was the integrity of the Comex trading arena (or “theater” in honor of Willie Shakespeare). To an even greater degree, it marked the final death of any respect or reverence for the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CTFC) because between the Crimex “exchange” and the CFTC, the rare remaining believers in free-market capitalism were led to slaughter by a mob of hedge funds that decided to take full and blatant advantage of the lack of regulatory oversight in order to pad their bonus pools the second-to-last trading day of the third quarter of 2021.

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Currencies

Tuesday, October 12, 2021

Bitcoin Rockets In Preparation For Liftoff To $100,000 / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Submissions

By Jason Appel - In my September article updating expectations and possibilities for Bitcoin to reach $100k, three paths were discussed that detail various perspectives for the near-term in Bitcoin (BTC-USD) on its way to $100k.

In this article, we will review the various paths presented in the September article, and reconcile the present action to find which of the scenarios appears most likely.

From the September article:

Three potential regions to catch price on the coming drop:

Black Count: In this count, we consider the prospect that the lows are in. Pullbacks are buying opportunities. Based on the low and high of the rally structure in question, our first region to watch ranges from approximately $36k-$42k. Should price form a symmetrical 3 wave move from the September 6th high into the aforementioned region and strongly bounce, we will have some additional evidence that the decline is complete and price is on its way to $100k+. Confirmation of this count displayed in black notation will ultimately confirm by price maintaining above $36k and breaking out above the September 6th high. Alternatively, should the price make a sustained break below the $33,600 region, we have a strong signal that lower lows are incoming.

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Companies

Monday, October 11, 2021

INTEL Tech Stock to the MOON! INTC 2000 vs 2021 Market Bubble WARNING / Companies / INTEL

By: Nadeem_Walayat

INTEL's 2000 stock price high of $76 had the chip giant trading on an earnings multiple of 42, which is hardly exuberant in today's terms. Today Intel trades at $54 on a P/E of just 12. If intel was trading on par with that of its 2000 high then the stock price today would at $189. Which also suggests Intel has never managed to fully recover from the dot com bust mostly down to failure to innovate due to bad management, hence for a good 6 years was stuck at 7nm whilst tiny competitors such as AMD have grabbed CPU market share. In recent years every time Intel dips below $48 I tend to buy a little, who knows given it's low valuation a breakout above $76 may send Intel to the moon once more. And this is how the Intel stock price has faired over the past 21 years.

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Companies

Monday, October 11, 2021

AI Stocks Portfolio Buying and Selling Levels Going Into Market Correction / Companies / Tech Stocks

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The US stock market has been content to rally to new highs with many stocks going to the Moon including most of our AI tech giants, a rally that I have been distributing into to the extent that I have now sold 80% of my holdings in the Top 6 AI stocks in my portfolio some of which I have been accumulating for over a decade (Microsoft). The primary objective of this analysis is the determine where we stand in terms of THE TOP, after all, all bull markets eventually do top either ending with a CRASH (1987) or a bear market (2000 and 2007). So what to hold and what to sell is the question I am asking myself, with a view to riding out a potential bear market / crash, where this analysis deploys a new automated metric of individual stock SELLING LEVELs so that one better knows where one stands in terms of ones portfolio, all in just one table. After all the risk we all fear is that of a 2000 style collapse that sends stocks lower for the next 20 years! Remember that bear market bottomed with a 85% collapse for tech stocks! Yes, one could say the likes of Amazon, Microsoft, Apple had become dirt cheap, but that would have been a very painful and prolonged discounting event. So a case of balancing the risks of letting some stocks ride whilst cashing in those that will pay a heavy price for their over exuberance all whilst being aware of the AI mega-trend trundling along in the background.

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