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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Currencies

Saturday, July 24, 2021

Bitcoin Black Swan - GOOGLE! / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The stock to flow model to is too easy and that Bitcoin halving can do what it does to pump the price ever higher, but what happens if next time that does NOT HAPPEN where instead bitcoin pricing rising it FALLS! If the biggest bullish case for Bitcoin turns out to be FALSE then that crypto is heading towards $1 rather than the stock to flow models $1 million plus coins.

So yes, it worked last time, and could work next time. However, on it's own it has to be coin flip, and eventually those coins are going to flip TAILS - GAME OVER!

Which means don' get sucked into such hype and make sure not to over commit to the crypto casino i.e. Even at maximum exposure I am not going to spend MORE than 1% of my total fiat on crypto's. One has to be prepared for assets that have no intrinsic value to reflect that lack of intrinsic value so keep exposure small.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, July 24, 2021

Stock Market Stalling Signs? Taking a Look Under the Hood of US Equities / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021

By: Submissions

Equities traded quietly higher in Thursday's NY session. Simultaneously, bonds were bid rather firmly, sending interest rates even lower. What is going on beneath the surface?

Greetings. I hope this article finds you and yours well. Today, we are taking a look at some additional market indicators and internals to get an unbiased perspective on things.

First, I want to preface things by mentioning that I am not suggesting that I am fully bearish on the S&P 500 or stocks right now. However, I am taking more of a cautious stance at the moment.

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Politics

Saturday, July 24, 2021

Biden’s Dangerous Inflation Denials / Politics / Inflation

By: MoneyMetals

This week he superficially addressed the problem by admitting the obvious – that prices have been rising rapidly this year – while denying that the inflation surge represents anything out of the ordinary.

“Some folks have raised worries that this could be a sign of persistent inflation, but that’s not our view,” Biden said. “Our experts believe and the data shows that most of the price increases we’ve seen [were] expected and expected to be temporary.”

Trust the experts! After all, when have they been wrong about anything…besides wars and pandemics?

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, July 24, 2021

How does CFD trading work / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Submissions

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Politics

Friday, July 23, 2021

The Government Is Culpable for America’s Retirement Crisis / Politics / Pensions & Retirement

By: MoneyMetals

America faces a retirement crisis.

The chairman of the world’s largest asset management firm is sounding the alarm. BlackRock CEO Larry Fink told CNBC last week that he sees a “silent crisis of retirement.”

Fink cited ultra-low interest rates, combining with elevated inflation rates, as steadily diminishing the real value of retirement savings.

“People are going to have to, unfortunately, whether they like it or not…work longer because they’re not earning the same returns on their savings,” he said.

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Commodities

Friday, July 23, 2021

Junior Gold Miners: New Yearly Lows! Will We See a Further Drop? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2021

By: P_Radomski_CFA

It seems that choosing GDXJ to short the PMs was a good decision – juniors closed the day at new 2021 lows. Will our profits only grow from now on?

Gold’s yesterday’s intraday attempt to rally was not bullish. On the contrary, it was what usually happens right before a big slide. Especially given the USDX’s breakout.

Let’s start with the latter.

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Currencies

Friday, July 23, 2021

Best Forex Strategy for Consistent Profits / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Submissions

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Currencies

Thursday, July 22, 2021

Popular Forex Brokers That You Might Want to Check Out / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Steve_Barker

Investing in Forex opens up a lot of opportunities for beginners since the investment is minimal. Nevertheless, one thing you need to consider is which broker you will use. This is not as simple as it sounds because of various factors such as regulation, currency, and more that you must think about before settling on one.

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Currencies

Thursday, July 22, 2021

Bitcoin Black Swan - Will Crypto Currencies Get Banned? / Currencies / cryptocurrency

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Whilst we can all get carried away projecting into the future based on past trends, comfortable in the reliability of calculations. However, there are always black swans lurking out of sight that could result in that panic event that few see coming. And where Bitcoin and the crypto's are concerned is if the Governments decide to BAN trading and investing in crypto's.

I know the crypto bugs will come out with statements such as it is impossible to ban decentralised crypto currencies.

However, bitcoin / crypto's threaten the fiat currency banking system that effectively the worlds central banks have a monopoly over.

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Currencies

Thursday, July 22, 2021

Bitcoin Price Enters Stage #4 Excess Phase Peak Breakdown – Where To Next? / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Over the past few months, I’ve been interviewed in podcasts and on Kitco where I’ve discussed the US and global market setups and trends based on my unique understanding of Technical Analysis and price patterns.  Even though I’ve heard/read some comments from viewers sharing their own opinions which may not always agree with my interpretation of the market setups, I like to let the market trends do their thing and ultimately someone will be proven correct at the end of the day.  Today, we’ll revisit some research I completed back in November 2020 and see how that research played out to today with Bitcoin.

Attempting to predict any future trend in any market is a difficult task, to say the least.  The markets do what they do and part of my experience is to understand technical analysis setups and the underlying psychological aspect to the market cycles.  I’m never 100% accurate in my predictions or expectations either – no one is 100% accurate in predicting any future event.  All we can do is try our best at identifying these setups and take trades when the opportunity strikes for profits.

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Commodities

Thursday, July 22, 2021

Powell Gave Congress Dovish Signs. Will It Help Gold Price? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

Powell admits that inflation is well above the Fed’s target, but he still considers it transitory. Gold increased in response – only to fall again.

Last week, Powell testified before Congress. On the one hand, Powell admitted in a way that inflation had reached a level higher than expected and is above the level accepted by the Fed in the longer run:

Inflation has increased notably and will likely remain elevated in coming months before moderating.

It means that the Fed was surprised by high inflation, but it doesn’t want to admit it explicitly. Instead, Powell admitted that inflation would likely stay at a high level for some time. The obvious question here is: why should we believe the Fed that inflation will really moderate later this year, given that the US central bank failed in forecasting inflation in the first half of 2021?
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Commodities

Thursday, July 22, 2021

What’s Next For Gold Is Always About The US Dollar / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021

By: Kelsey_Williams

Since the origin of the Federal Reserve in 1913 the US dollar has lost ninety-nine percent of its purchasing power.

Not coincidentally, but in direct reflection of the dollar’s loss in purchasing power, the price of gold has multiplied one hundred fold from $20.67 oz to $2060 oz as of August 2020.

The chart (source) below shows the ever-increasing price of gold over the past century…

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Personal_Finance

Thursday, July 22, 2021

URGENT! ALL Windows 10 Users Must Do this NOW! Windows Image Backup Before it is Too Late! / Personal_Finance / Computing

By: HGR

A disaster is waiting to strike in the background for all windows users! The day when you start your windows desktop or laptop PC and are confronted with the dreaded blue screen message "your device ran into a problem and needs to restart. We'll restart for you" and so begins your decent down the Windows recovery rabbit hole where no matter what you do, what options you select, many, many hours later you still have not managed to get back into Windows because Windows 10 is LESS robust, LESS forgiving them Windows 7 was before it! THUS every Windows user must follow the steps in this video to avoid this inevitable disastrous outcome or risk facing the final solution have having to format and perform a clean install, all of your data and software WIPED! When all you needed to do was follow the steps in this video that ensure that no matter what happens there is a way back into a working system with all of your software and data intact!

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Currencies

Wednesday, July 21, 2021

Bitcoin Price CRASH, How to SELL BTC at $40k! Real Analysis vs Shill Coin Pumper's and Clueless Newbs / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Nadeem_Walayat

For the duration of this crypto bear market the so called crypto experts that populate Youtube, vested interest in their HODL psychosis have seen every dip to buy more and that the bottom was in, and so was the response to the latest dive lower to below BTC $30k, with the moronic response across the broad spectrum of crypto youtube channels proclaiming it to be another buying opportunity just as has been the case for the past 30,000 points drop to date! The reality is that whilst they are good at producing youtube videos, gathering millions of views but in reality they don't have a clue of how to actually analyse markets hence the example of the WYCOFF pattern endlessly regurgitated that in reality has no more value in forecasting trends than a COIN FLIP!. And then you have the crypto shills, selling their garbage scam coins such as Tech Lead's ,Million token alt scam coin videos pumping for liquidity to an extreme, with every video now with a click bait title "My wife left me for Bitcoin, Please Buy My Scam Coin" etc. Just focused on pumping their Alt garbage coins.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, July 21, 2021

Emotional Stock Traders React To Recent Market Rotation – Are You Ready For What’s Next? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Most traders don’t really have a solid strategy in place to protect assets and assist them in knowing when to pull risk capital away from market trends.  If you are trading on MEME stock content, variable technical strategies or flying by the seat of your pants when making trading decisions, you are probably very concerned and emotional about the recent downside price rotation in the major markets right now.

What is happening is that the markets are attempting to potentially start a reversion event – a price rotation.  This rotation in price may turn into a bigger price correction or downtrend at some point in the near future. But right now, we are only seeing moderate price rotation in the US and global markets.  Should you be concerned about this spike in volatility and the timing of this correction? This a good and valid question. Let my team and I try to help you regarding what may happen in the near future.

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Personal_Finance

Wednesday, July 21, 2021

Killing Driveway Weeds FAST with a Pressure Washer - 8 months Later - Did it work?- Block Paving Weeds / Personal_Finance / Home Maintenance

By: N_Walayat

Over 8 months ago I used a Karcher K7 pressure washer to blast the weeds away on our weed infested drive way, since when many have commented that it would not last and that the weeds would soon return, well here 8 months on is the state of our driveway to show the extent of the return of the weeds, to see if this is a good way to get rid of weeds for decent amount of time all without using a single drop of chemicals.

Again the block paving was covered with weeds and too much to use a wire brush to scrub them out so I used our new pressure washer for the first time on full power hoping that it would work, else the power washer would be heading back to amazon. And it did the job at them time all the weeds were gone!

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, July 21, 2021

Post-Covid Stimulus Payouts & The US Fed Push Global Investors Deeper Into US Value Bubble / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2021

By: Chris_Vermeulen

In this second part of our research into how capital is being deployed across the globe and why traders/investors continue to pour capital into the US equities markets, we’ll explore how the US major indexes have reacted to the continued investments by the US and foreign investors compared to foreign market trends.

Using methods like this to determine where capital is being allocated and why traders/investors decide to move capital into and out of various global indexes, suggests one of the most important aspects of swing trading is to stay keenly aware of how capital is moving and deploying across the globe.

In October of 2019, we attempted to highlight how capital is shifting and how trends are setting up in currencies, global major indexes, and other global sectors.

October 17, 2019: CURRENCIES SHOW A SHIFT TO SAFETY AND MATURITY – WHAT DOES IT MEAN?

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Companies

Wednesday, July 21, 2021

What is Social Trading / Companies / Social Media

By: Sumeet_Manhas

The world of trading is advancing all of the time, and one type of trading that has become very popular in recent years is social trading. Social trading can help you to deal with a number of challenges, for example, the difficulty that comes with staying up to date with all of the latest trends, reports, and news events impacting the business world. Keeping that in mind, continue reading to discover everything you need to know about it.

Understanding social trading
Social trading is pretty much like a social network for traders. The only difference between the likes of Instagram and Facebook is that you won’t be sharing lunch photos or selfies! Instead, you will be sharing and following trading strategies and suggestions. Here, traders will brainstorm on market situations, watch the trading results of other professionals, and interact with one and other.

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Currencies

Wednesday, July 21, 2021

Would Transparency Help Crypto? / Currencies / cryptocurrency

By: Adam_Walker

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Companies

Tuesday, July 20, 2021

AI Predicts US Tech Stocks Price Valuations Three Years Ahead (ASVF) / Companies / Tech Stocks

By: Nadeem_Walayat

My initial attempts some years ago at feeding raw financial data such as PE ratios, EBITA, PEG into neural nets failed to deliver anything useful, clearly it was not going to be that easy! What's required is to preprocess the data to make the various inputs better gel together rather than producing noise which means input from human intelligence (me) to preprocess the data before training the neural nets, and so was born what I call the Expensive / Cheap (EC) Indicator that includes 15 stock financial indicators all fine tuned manually to resolve in better being able to discriminate between stocks in fundamental valuation terms, add price to that to become 16 inputs. that have been preprocessed as per their formulation into the EC indicator.

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