Thursday, February 27, 2020
Advantages of Enrolling in a Retirement Plan / Personal_Finance / Pensions & Retirement
By: Submissions
At some point in life, we all wish to have a happy old age ending in the countryside, free of city hassles and full of tranquility. Retiring is inevitable, and the earlier you start making preparations for the same, the better. Don't you want to have a peaceful home in the woods where your grandchildren would play later? Well, you can buy a home with your current earnings, but how do you ensure financial independence once you hang the boots? Remember, you'll still have bills to pay, and your children may not be around to help at all times. Moreover, they are probably looking up to you and wish they could be like daddy. So, either way, you have to set the pace, you lead first by example, then they'll follow.
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Wednesday, February 26, 2020
South Korea Coronavirus Outbreak Data Analysis Warning Rate of Infection is Exponential! / Politics / Pandemic
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The latest Coronavirus / COVID19 pandemic news has South Korea effectively declaring a national emergency as the nations Coronavirus cases continue to rocket ever higher, now totaling 1261 infected and 12 deaths, this despite deploying immense resources towards containment. Meanwhile the basket case north of the border with far greater cross border travel with China apparently has zero cases, whilst reports continue of mass cremations taking place.
Therefore given the reliability of South Korea's monitoring and systems, then the outbreak in this nation is likely a more accurately reflect of what for outbreaks in the West than China's statistics, that everyone now agrees have grossly under reported the true number of infections AND deaths by several magnitudes. Where my recent in-depth analysis concluded that Chinese reported cases are under reported by at least X7, and deaths by X2.
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Wednesday, February 26, 2020
Gold Price Long-term Trend Analysis Forecast 2020 / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The gold bull market ended 2019 with a strong gain of 19%. The first half the year was marked with uncertainty as the price after an early year surge to $1350 gave up all of it's gains to drift lower to trade down on the year by early May. However, this was the calm before the bull market storm and that set the stage for a powerful bull run starting early June that saw the Gold price rocket higher to a early September peak of $1566, up over 25% on the year! Igniting Gold bug fever and encouraging prominent gold bugs to get carried away with headlines of Gold heading for $5000 and beyond.
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Wednesday, February 26, 2020
Fake Markets Are on Collision Course with Reality / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2020
By: MoneyMetals
Keeping up appearances is about to get a lot harder for the central planners trying to manage perceptions of the U.S. (and global) economy. The coronavirus is going to have a meaningful impact on global supply chains, even if stock market cheerleaders haven’t fully realized it yet.
This might be because the corporate media and ruling elites are burning a lot of what is left of their fading credibility trying to ignore or downplay the problem.
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Wednesday, February 26, 2020
Microsoft is Crushing the S&P 500, Secret Trait Of Stocks That Soar 1,000%+ / Companies / Microsoft
By: Stephen_McBride
Microsoft (MSFT) has been on a tear over the past year. Shares of the software pioneer have jumped 70% since last February—triple the S&P 500’s gain, as you can see:Keep in mind, Microsoft is the furthest thing from a volatile penny stock. It’s a $1.39 trillion company—the second biggest stock in the world.
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Wednesday, February 26, 2020
Europe's Best Ski Resorts For The Ultimate Adventure / Personal_Finance / Holidays
By: Submissions
If you are looking for the best ski resorts, with great infrastructure and especially guaranteed snow, then this article will be of great help. You can give yourself some comfort with Fast Cover Travel Insurance and then start enjoying your holidays without the worry of not having any cover. Not to mention that the following places are the best of the best when it comes to the perfect holiday spots in the snow!
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Wednesday, February 26, 2020
Samsung Galaxy S20+ vs Galaxy S10+ Which One to Buy? / Personal_Finance / Samsung
By: HGR
Samsung's latest high end phones the S20 range are due to ship early March (barring coronavirus supply chain disruption) with many looking to upgrade next to the S20 range. However, as an owners of a now ageing S7 edge subject to much wear and tear, the choice I and many would be upgraders face is whether to take the leap fro an S20+, and for most the S20+ will be the best fit within the S20 range, or to go for last years model the S10+?
So which one should most go for? The still excellent S10+ that can be bought for £650 (Amazon).
Or Samsung's latest and greatest S20+ that will cost £1000 ?
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Wednesday, February 26, 2020
Gold Is Taking on $1,700 amid Rising Coronavirus Fears / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
Gold rally goes on, reaching almost $1,700 per ounce. What the heck is just happening in the precious metals market?
Gold Rallies Above $1,680
Wow, what an escalation! On Thursday, we reported that gold jumped above $1,600. On Friday, its price surpassed $1,640, as the chart below shows. And today morning, it has rallied even further, reaching $1,684.
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Wednesday, February 26, 2020
Is This What Falling Through the Floor Looks Like in Stocks? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: P_Radomski_CFA
While last week brought us higher stock prices, Thursday and Friday were bad days for the bulls. And little wonder, as the technical deterioration continues to play out. Looking at both the closing prices on Friday and today’s premarket action, how close to the end in this correction are we?
Let’s check yesterday’s price action in the weekly chart’s context (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com).
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Wednesday, February 26, 2020
Gold Minsky Moment Coming / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: Richard_Mills
“Minsky Moment” refers to the idea that periods of bullish speculation will eventually lead to a crisis, wherein a sudden decline in optimism causes a spectacular market crash.
Named after economist Hyman Minsky, the theory centers around the inherent instability of stock markets, especially bull markets such as the current one that has been in place for over a decade.
As Investopedia defines it, “A Minsky Moment crisis follows a prolonged period of bullish speculation, which is also associated with high amounts of debt taken on by both retail and institutional investors.”
The Levy Economics Institute of Bard College describes his seminal theory as follows:
“Minsky held that, over a prolonged period of prosperity, investors take on more and more risk, until lending exceeds what borrowers can pay off from their incoming revenues. When overindebted investors are forced to sell even their less-speculative positions to make good on their loans, markets spiral lower and create a severe demand for cash — an event that has come to be known as a ‘Minsky moment.”
There are five stages in Minsky’s model of the credit cycle:
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Wednesday, February 26, 2020
Why Every Student Should Study Economics / Personal_Finance / Education
By: Submissions
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Wednesday, February 26, 2020
Stock Market Correction Over? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: Uptrend from the 2009 low continues.
SPX Intermediate trend: Uncertain. Need time to evaluate
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
Daily market analysis of the short-term trend is reserved for subscribers. If you would like to sign up for a FREE 4-week trial period of daily comments, please let me know at anvi1962@cableone.net
Tuesday, February 25, 2020
US Bond Market Yield Curve Patterns – What To Expect In 2020 / Interest-Rates / Inverted Yield Curve
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Quite a bit of information can be gleaned from the US Treasury Yield Curve charts. There are two very interesting components that we identified from the Yield Curve charts below. First, the bottom in late 2018 was a very important price bottom in the US markets. That low presented a very deep bottom in the Yield Curve 30Y-10Y chart. We believe this bottom set up a very dynamic shift in the capital markets that present the current risk factor throughout must of the rest of the world. Second, this same December 2018 price bottom set up a very unique consolidation pattern on the 10Y-3Y Yield Curve chart. This pattern has been seen before, in late 1997-1998 and late 2005-2008.
The reality of these two patterns setting up in the Yield Curve charts suggests that the US and global markets are going to experience a surge in volatility and a very real potential that the US and global markets will contract over the next 6 to 24 months. Within about 3 to 6+ months of these patterns setting up, one of two separate outcomes typically takes place.
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Tuesday, February 25, 2020
Coronavirus IN Sheffield! Royal Hallamshire Hospital treating 2 infected Patients, UK / Politics / Pandemic
By: N_Walayat
So the UK government relocated 38 people from onboard the coronavirus infested Diamond Princess cruise ship docked in Japan to Britain, who despite being in quarantine for 2 weeks, and supposedly NOT infected however when landing in Britain many tested positive, and so instead treating the infected at a remote facility so as to limit the risk of exposure to the general population, the government disbursed them to the very heart of Britians largest cities such as Sheffield, where the Royal Hallamshire Hospital situated at the very heart of Sheffield is now host to 2 infected patients!
It's mindless actions such as this which ensures that Britain is going to have a Coronavirus epidemic because it is clear 2 weeks quarantine is NOT enough, that and our government is bloody incompetent!
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Tuesday, February 25, 2020
Has Stock Market Waterfall Event Started Or A Buying Opportunity? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Over the past 5+ days, a very clear change in market direction has taken place in the US and global markets. Prior to this, the US markets were reacting to Q4 earnings data and minimizing the potential global pandemic of the Coronavirus. The continued “rally to the peak” process was taking place and was very impressive from a purely euphoric trader standpoint. Our researchers found it amazing that the markets continued to rally many weeks after the news of economic contraction and quarantines setup in China/Asia.
Make sure to opt-in to our free market trend signals newsletter before you continue reading this or you may miss our next special report!
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Monday, February 24, 2020
Dow Short-term Trend Analysis - Coronavirus Trigger a Stocks Bear Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Nadeem_Walayat
- Stock Market Deviation from Overall Outlook for 2020
- QE4EVER
- As Goes January So Goes the Year
- Short-term Trend Analysis
- Long-term Trend Analysis
- ELLIOTT WAVES
- Formulating a Stock Market Trend Forecast
- Dow Stock Market Forecast Conclusion
- TRADING THE DOW
- Will Trump Win US Presidential Election 2020?
TREND ANALYSIS
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Monday, February 24, 2020
Sustained Silver Rally Coming? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: Hubert_Moolman
Silver is still in consolidation mode since early September, but it appears ready to rally over a sustained period of time.
On the chart there appears to have formed some fractals. The current one has also broken out at the black line recently (just after point C).
As expected, price survived the test of the 50-day moving average, and is looking really bullish.
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Monday, February 24, 2020
Should Investors Worry about Repo Market and Buy Gold? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
$500 billion. This is the sum the Fed has already pumped into the repo market since the crisis there started. On September 17, 2019, the secured overnight funding rate – a broad measure of the cost of borrowing cash overnight collateralized by Treasury securities, based on the repurchase transactions – more than doubled, as the chart below shows, while the intraday range jumped to about 700 basis points! As a reminder, we are talking about the repo market, where interest rates usually fluctuate in an intraday range of 10, or at most 20 basis points.
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Monday, February 24, 2020
Are FANG Technology Stocks Setting Up For A Market Crash? / Companies / Tech Stocks
By: Chris_Vermeulen
As we continue to get more and more information related to the Coronavirus spreading across Asia and Europe, the one thing we really must consider is the longer-term possibility that major global economies may contract in some manner as the Chinese economy is currently doing. The news suggests over 700+ million people in China are quarantined. This is a staggering number of people – nearly double the total population of the entire United States.
If the numbers presented by the Chinese are accurate, the Coronavirus has a very high infection rate, yet a moderately small mortality rate (2~3%). Still, if this virus continues to spread throughout the world and infects more and more people, there is a very real potential that 20 to 50 million people may be killed because of this event. It may become one of the biggest Black Swan events in recent history.
We really won’t know the total scope of the damage to the Chinese and Asian economies for another 35+ days – possibly longer. The information we have been able to pull from available news sources and from the Chinese press is that hundreds of millions are quarantined, the Chinese Central Bank is pouring capital into their markets in order to support their frail economy and, just recently, President Xi suggested stimulus will not be enough – austerity measure will have to be put into place to protect China from creating a massive debt-trap because of this virus.
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Monday, February 24, 2020
Gold Above $1,600 Amid FOMC Minutes and Coronavirus Impact / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
Ladies and Gentleman, gold has overcome yet another barrier, jumping above $1,600 amid the fresh FOMC minutes and the renewed fears about the coronavirus economic consequences. What’s next for the yellow metal?
Fed More Optimistic about Global Economy
Gold bulls can be happy. As the chart below shows, the yellow metal has jumped above $1,600 amid the FOMC minutes and concerns about the coronavirus. Let’s now analyze these two important developments.