Monday, January 14, 2019
Has the Fed Already Gone Too Far? / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates
By: Michael_Pento
It is crucial for investors to understand that the Federal Reserve has not yet turned dovish and the Fed “Put” it not yet in place. Wall Street sometimes hears what it desperately needs, but that does not make it fact. While Jerome Powell has moved incrementally towards the dovish side of the ledger in the past few weeks, the Fed is still firmly in hawkish territory. If, however, Mr. Powell was actively reducing the Fed Funds Rate (FFR) and expanding the balance sheet, then we would have a dovish Fed. However, by just indicating that the FOMC might be close to finishing its rate hiking campaign, while still selling nearly $50 billion of bonds every month from its balance sheet, the Fed is still tightening monetary policy--and in a big way.
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Monday, January 14, 2019
New Shortfall in Production Capacity for Fabricated Silver and Gold / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: MoneyMetals
The two largest private producers of bullion bars and rounds in the U.S. have gone defunct over the past two years. Premiums for silver bars and rounds are already on the rise as markets adjust to the lack of supply.At present, demand for these products is manageable. A surge in buying activity, however, could lead to serious difficulty finding low-premium products.
Monday, January 14, 2019
S&P 500 Bounces Off 2,600, Downward Reversal? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
Stocks were little changed on Friday, as investors hesitated following the recent rally. The broad stock market has retraced its recent decline following the S&P 500's breakdown below 2,600. Will the short-term uptrend continue? Or is this still just an upward correction before another leg lower?
The U.S. stock market indexes were mixed between -0.2% and 0.0% on Friday, as investors hesitated following the recent advance. The broad stock market has retraced its recent decline following the S&P 500's breakdown below 2,600. It continued its recent rebound off the December the 26th medium-term low of 2,346.58 recently. The index traded 20.2% below September the 21st record high of 2,940.91 on that day. Then the market rallied and retraced some of the downtrend. It got very close to 2,600 mark again. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was unchanged and the Nasdaq Composite lost 0.2% on Friday.
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Monday, January 14, 2019
Gold A Rally or a Bull Market? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne
Although the financial media conflates the two, there is a difference between a rally and a bull market.
A rally implies a rebound after or a reprieve from weakness. A bull market is higher highs and higher lows for a period of at least a few years.
Gold’s strength in the 2000s was not a rally, as many have deemed it, but a bull market. Gold’s rebound in 2016 was a rally.
Nevermind the Gold pundits who insist Gold is in an invisible or stealth bull market or even a correction. A market that pops for seven months then doesn’t make a new high for almost two and a half years is not a bull market.
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Monday, January 14, 2019
Is the Stock Market Recovery Rally Nearing Exhaustion? / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: Mike_Paulenoff
My article last week, "Tale of the S&P 500 Tailwind," came on the heels of the Emini S&P 500 (ES)'s rally of 100.75 points (4.1%) off the 2019 low and 53.25 points (+2.1%) above the Christmas week close. On its face, the advance was impressive, but recall that I qualified my enthusiasm, stating the following:
"In the aftermath of the Christmas Upside Reversal, last week ES (e-Mini March S&P) traversed a range from 2438.50 to 2539.25... and ALL OF IT occurred on Friday (1/04/19) after Jay Powell acquiesced to the wounded easy money masses, appearing to become a kinder, gentler, and more investor-sensitive Fed Chairman."
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Monday, January 14, 2019
Will Natural Gas Breakout Or Breakdown Next? / Commodities / Natural Gas
By: Chris_Vermeulen
We called the move from $4.75 to $2.90 in Natural Gas, and our predictive modeling solutions are suggesting a new upside rally in price is setting up for early Spring.
Very cold weather across the Northwest and Eastern US, as well as moderate demand globally, should prompt a renewed rally in Natural Gas through at least March or April of 2019. A move to, or above, $3.30~$3.40 would indicate there is little chance of a Washout-Low price formation and that a new rally is in place.
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Monday, January 14, 2019
Gold Stocks, Dollar and Oil Cycle Moves to Profit from in 2019 / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2019
By: readtheticker
Every thing has a cyclical manner, some more than others. And when price and the cycle runs together, it great to be in it for the ride! Of course fundamentals are the reason for a price move, yet the laws of nature seems to co ordinate fundamentals, price and time together, hence the outcome can be seen via a sine wave cycle. If you use some math called 'Bartels' (more here) you can scan many sine waves periods to see if they fit into your price time series, each time series will have it's own characteristics, some cycles will be a better with either a daily, weekly or monthly periods. Back testing the cycle is critical, as cycles do come into form and fall out of form, but over time they do add to the investors arsenal while working out the next risk reward price move. Consider these possible big movers in 2019.
Monday, January 14, 2019
How To Profit From The Death Of Las Vegas / Companies / Gambling
By: OilPrice_Com
Earlier this year, a little-known U.S. Supreme Court decision ripped open the door to a potential multi-billion dollar market. Only, it’s not what you think.
I’m not talking about legal cannabis.
I’m talking about America’s other favorite vice: gambling.
According to Forbes, illegal betting on NFL and college football will hit $93 billion in 2018. Global Market Advisors estimate illicit sports betting is a $150 billion industry.
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Monday, January 14, 2019
Real Reason for Land Rover Crisis is Poor Quality of Build / ConsumerWatch / Auto Sector
By: N_Walayat
Land Rover is under severe distress due to a collapse in sales. In my opinion I think Land Rover is deing due to poor quality of build. For instance a car thats 2 years old should NOT have bubbling paint work! So here's what you need to know before buying an approved used Land Rover in 2019. My comprehensive review after having owned and driven Land Rover's popular Discovery Sport's model (HSE Black trim) for over 1 year. Now knowing what I should have known a year earlier of what to look out for, with the video covering the following topics -
Sunday, January 13, 2019
Stock Market Looking Toppy! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend – Correcting within the very long-term bull market trend.
Intermediate trend – A bearish correction has started which could retrace as low as 2200 before it is complete
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
Sunday, January 13, 2019
Liquidity, Money Supply, and Insolvency / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2019
By: Andy_Sutton
Liquidity is becoming of central importance once again. It is frequently mentioned in mainstream media articles, interviews, and ‘educational’ programs. It was a central point of discussion during the financial market blowout in 2008.
The killing off of a little-known (until it was dead!) data series earlier this year by the not-so-USFed has gotten the beehive buzzing once again about a liquidity crisis – or the possible aversion of one in the short term. It has also gotten things buzzing about the longer term as well.
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Sunday, January 13, 2019
Turkey Holidays 2019 - Checking In at Letoonia Club Hotel Resort Fethiye Dalaman / Personal_Finance / Travel & Holidays
By: Anika_Walayat
Planning a trip to the Dalaman / Fethiye area of Turkey during 2019? Well here's what it's like to arrive and check in at the popular Letoonia Club Hotel Resort, situated about 40 miles south of Dalaman and across the bay from the city of Fethiye. Check in followed by what to expect in terms of your first meal at the Mariner À la carte Restaurant.
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Sunday, January 13, 2019
Top Ten Trends Lead to Gold Price / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Jim_Willie_CB
The year 2018 was a memorable year of great transitions. They involved changes in the political arena. They saw enormous changes in the debt picture, for both the USGovt and the major Western corporations. They saw a struggle to terminate the QE bond monetization, laced with hype-inflation. They offered staggering damage to California, whose effects are easily 100 times greater than the World Trade Center fallout. They offered resistance to the US-led bully tactics, in slapping sanctions even on the US allies, a forecast by the Jackass two years ago. The globalist cabal agenda has been dealt a powerful damaging blow, perhaps lethal, during a year of great exposure for their criminality. The transitions offered a complete shift away from the perception of USMilitary full spectrum dominance. But the most important changes have come in the finance & economic sectors.
The Gold Standard has seen a paved road for its implementation, arrival, and acceptance. The road can be identified for its several major constructed arteries. The pathways are built by the Eastern nations, which will continue to champion the financial reform, and thus wrest global control from New York and London. History is being made. It will still take time, but the momentum is gathering in a notable and convincing manner. The common theme of all the leading factors is the movement away from the USDollar, a theme so popular and widespread that it has been given a name, de-Dollarization. In the next year, even the compromised corrupted Wall Street bank community will openly discuss that Gold must be the solution to the unresolved crisis.
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Sunday, January 13, 2019
Silver: A Long Term Perspective / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Rambus_Chartology
Tonight I would like to show you a couple of long term charts for Silver that puts where silver is currently trading into perspective. We can look at the hourly charts or even the daily charts for the short term patterns, but if you really want know where a stock is relative to its history we need to look at the long term view. The more history a stock has the more relative the current price action is.
Lets start with a 16 year monthly chart for silver which seems like a long time but in the big picture it only shows us a small part of its history. The dominate chart pattern is the 2011 bear market downtrend channel which is almost perfectly parallel. I purposely left the top rail of the 2011 downtrend channel and the top rail of the 2016 triangle thin so you can see the critical area silver is now trading at, red circle. So far this month silver has traded as high as 15.95 which puts it right against the top rail of the 2011 bear market downtrend channel and the top rail of the 2016 triangle.
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Saturday, January 12, 2019
Trump's Impeachment? Watch the Stock Market / Politics / US Politics
By: EWI
Will Negative Social Mood Oust Trump? Watch the Stock Market
Special Q&A With Alan Hall on Elections and Impeachment
At the end of this article you'll have the opportunity to hear Alan discuss his impeachment research with ETV Correspondent Dana Weeks.
You cannot afford to miss Alan's insightful political analysis. Please login to view the interview after reading the article.
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Saturday, January 12, 2019
Big Silver Move Foreshadowed as Industrial Panic Looms / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: MoneyMetals
Welcome to this week’s Market Wrap Podcast, I’m Mike Gleason.
Coming up we’ll hear one of the more important interviews we’ve ever done on the broken nature of the precious metals’ futures exchanges, and what might be the driving force that ultimately destroys the confidence in these markets, paving the way to true price discovery. Mining analyst and precious metals expert David Jensen joins me to talk about how palladium might just be the straw that breaks the back of the paper market. Don’t miss this must-hear interview, coming up after this week’s market update.
As the government shutdown persists, and a declaration of national emergency by President Donald Trump looms, financial markets are unfazed. The Dow Jones Industrials have swung approximately 500 points higher so far this week.
However, the U.S. Dollar Index did hit a 3-month low on Wednesday. That helped boost oil prices in a big way. Crude climbed 10% to $53 a barrel.
The price action in precious metal markets is more subdued. Gold shows a modest gain of 0.4% this week to bring spot prices to $1,291 per ounce. The yellow metal flirted with the $1,300 level last Friday. More backing and filling may be needed before the market is ready to push through that resistance.
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Saturday, January 12, 2019
Gold GDXJ Upside Bests GDX / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2019
By: Zeal_LLC
Gold miners’ exchange-traded funds are surging with gold powering higher. These mounting gains are naturally fueling growing interest in the leading gold-stock investment vehicles. Traders looking to deploy capital are wondering which major gold-stock ETF is superior, offering the best balance between upside potential, component fundamentals, and risks. GDXJ takes the crown, besting its larger big brother GDX.
By my count, there are currently 14 gold miners ETFs trading in US markets. But that’s not authoritative, as the broader ETF industry is constantly in flux. These gold-stock ETFs collectively held $17.5b in net assets as of the middle of this week. And two major ETFs utterly dominated, commanding fully 85.1% of all those gold-stock investments! They are of course GDX and GDXJ, which dwarf everything else in this sector.
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Saturday, January 12, 2019
Devastating Investment Losses Are Coming: What Is Your Advisor Doing About It? / Stock-Markets / Investing 2019
By: Nick_Barisheff
I hold financial professionals who recommend monetary gold to their clients in the highest esteem. It is their sage advice that will protect investors from the unprecedented dangers they face today in the markets. However, many advisors are no longer permitted to recommend physical gold or precious metals in client portfolios as a result of the new rules defining risk in mutual funds. Many clients who had been holding gold for years were forced to reduce their positions last year by their investment advisor’s dealer. The timing for this couldn’t have been worse, as the resulting rise in their gold holdings would have reduced the losses in their portfolios from the market carnage we have witnessed since late September.
Saturday, January 12, 2019
Things to do Before Choosing the Right Credit Card / Personal_Finance / Credit Cards & Scoring
By: Submissions
So, you have been getting these emails from your banks, subject - “You are eligible for our credit card”. After prolonged brainstorming and numerous consulting sessions you have decide to apply for your first credit card. However, have you done your research well enough? Here are 5 things you need to do before selecting the right credit card.
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Friday, January 11, 2019
Is It Time To Prepare For The Precious Metals To Get Whacked? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Avi_Gilburt
This article was originally published on Sun Jan 6 for members of ElliottWaveTrader: Over the last several weeks, I have seen those that were absolutely certain back in September and October that gold was going to drop below $1,000 now turn into major bulls in the metals complex. The silver rally especially has gotten the attention of many metal’s traders, and has everyone now all bulled up for a major break out in the complex.
It really is amazing to watch how price extremes dictate the manner in which investor’s views are driven about a market. Yet, as Roy Prassad, one of our more astute members at Elliottwavetrader.net, noted: “the goal of Elliott Wave is to analyze sentiment, not participate in it.”
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