Monday, January 07, 2019
Gold Golden Long-Term Opportunity / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Dan_Steinbock
As global jitters are escalating with economic uncertainty and market volatility, gold looks more attractive. But there’s a big difference between its short- and longer-term prospects.Those analysts who believe that fear has made a comeback argue that gold is benefiting as equities slide and investors are increasingly concerned about the economic prospects of the U.S., China, Europe and Japan. Yet, even at $1,290, gold still remains more than 30% behind its all-time high of $1,898 in September 2011 amid the U.S. debt-limit crisis.
Although U.S. dollar has not strengthened as much as anticipated, the Fed’s rising rates have contributed to the fall in gold prices. In this view, a reversal may be unlikely because the investor assumption is that the Fed will continue to normalize, though perhaps slower than anticipated.
In the postwar era, such tightening meant a strengthening U.S. economy and a stronger dollar. But at the time, American economy was not haunted by budget and trade deficits or a debt burden. Today, it suffers from both twin deficits and a massive $22 trillion sovereign debt burden.
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Monday, January 07, 2019
Natural Gas Through our $3.20 Target – What Next? / Commodities / Natural Gas
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Our research team has been nailing the markets moves with our proprietary price modeling tools. Our December 12, 2018 call that Natural Gas would collapse nearly 30% after reaching a price peak was a very bold call. Who would have thought that predictive price modeling could be so accurate and could identify a move like this – or call for what is expected to happen next?
Back when Natural Gas breached the $4.60~4.80 range, our ADL predictive modeling system was suggesting a massive price anomaly was setting up. These types of triggers are becoming more common as volatility in the general markets increases. The ADL system suggested that a massive -30% downside price move would happen before the end of February 2019.
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Monday, January 07, 2019
Olympus TG-5 Tough Camera First Look Test Review / Personal_Finance / Reviews
By: HGR
Were back from Jessops with a brand new Olympus TG-5 Tough Camera after returning a faulty TG-5 bought from Curry's that had a stuck or dead pixel. So lets find out if the TG-5 camera's are not prone to having dead / stuck pixels which should NOT happen to brand new cameras! Or if the previous camera was a one off, as we test this TG-5 for the first time.
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Sunday, January 06, 2019
The Fed IS the Ugly Truth / Politics / US Federal Reserve Bank
By: Raul_I_Meijer
This Fed thing just keeps going on, and it needs to stop. There is nothing in the discussion about the Federal Reserve these days that has any value other than it provides even more proof that the Fed has killed off the most essential elements of what once made the US economy function. All markets, stocks, bonds, housing markets, all price discovery, all murdered. No heartbeat. Pining for the fjords.
And instead of addressing that, and I’m not even talking about addressing fixing what is wrong, all I see is neverending stuff about Jay Powell using, or not using, terms such as “patient” or “accommodative”. Like any of it means anything coming from him and his ilk. Other than for making ‘investors’ a quick buck. Like a quick buck could ever trump the survival of entire market systems.
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Sunday, January 06, 2019
Stock Market Counter-trend Still on Track / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Andre_Gratian
SPX: Long-term trend – Correcting within the very long-term bull market trend.
Intermediate trend – A bearish correction has started which could retrace as low as 2200 before it is complete
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
Sunday, January 06, 2019
Market Volatility Skyrocketing, Trump & Pelosi Spar / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: MoneyMetals
Precious metals markets are off to a strong start in 2019. Gold and silver both closed Thursday at multi-month highs as the stock market reversed sharply to the downside.
Investors were disappointed by manufacturing data showing a slowdown in industrial output. They dumped economically sensitive stocks and bid the U.S. dollar lower on foreign currency exchanges. Markets now expect the Federal Reserve to pause its rate hiking campaign and possibly even begin cutting rates later this year.
The weaker dollar helped boost crude oil and precious metals prices. The energy and mining sectors are among the only gainers in the stock market. The HUI gold miners index closed at a 5-month high on Thursday.
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Sunday, January 06, 2019
Gold Stocks Upleg Breaking Out / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2019
By: Zeal_LLC
The gold stocks’ young upleg is really growing, on a trajectory to become major. This contrarian sector is breaking out to the upside on multiple fronts technically, which is really improving sentiment. Traders’ extreme bearishness of late summer has mostly abated, with bullish shoots taking root. Fundamentals certainly justify the mounting gold-stock buying, with earnings set to surge on higher gold prices in coming quarters.
This baby new year should prove far happier for gold stocks than 2018. This sector’s performance is measured by the share price of the flagship gold-stock investment vehicle, which is the GDX VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF. This week it held shares worth $10.5b in 46 major and mid-tier gold and silver miners from around the world. GDX is now 60.1x larger than the next-biggest 1x-long major-gold-miners ETF!
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Saturday, January 05, 2019
Silver Price Trend Analysis 2019 Video / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Nadeem_Walayat
This is the 3rd video in a series of 4 that concludes in a trend forecast for the Silver price 2019.
- Silver Price Trend Forecast 2018 Review
- Gold - Silver Ratio
- Silver Price Trend Analysis 2019
- Silver Price Trend Forecast Conclusion for 2019
Saturday, January 05, 2019
Gold At 6 Month High $1,300 and All Time Record Highs In Australian Dollars / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: GoldCore
– Gold over 6-month high at $1,300 on global slowdown fears
– Bullion surges 5% in December and consolidates on gains this week
– Gold surges to all time record highs in Australian dollars ($1,871)
– Safe haven demand for safe havens as risk assets sold
– Apple’s poor outlook sees stocks fall; Markets now wagering on Fed rate cut
– “2019 is already getting off to a volatile start and we expect to see the political and economic uncertainty of 2018 continue and deepen,” GoldCore told Bloomberg News
Friday, January 04, 2019
The Last Time the Yield Curve Inverted, Stocks Soared 30%! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: John_Mauldin
Everybody is suddenly talking about the inverted yield curve.They’re right to do so, too, but alarm bells may be premature. Inversion is a historically reliable but early recession indicator. Even a fully inverted yield curve—which is not yet—isn’t saying recession is imminent.
What we see now is really more of a flattened yield curve. It has a smaller but still positive spread between short-term and long-term interest rates.
That’s not normal, but it’s also not a recession guarantee. However, when we combine this with other threats, it adds to the concerns.
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Friday, January 04, 2019
Oil Is At The Mercy Of Financial Markets / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: OilPrice_Com
Oil prices regained more ground on Wednesday, pushed higher after equity markets rebounded from an initial selloff at the start of 2019 trading.
The price gains are not entirely convincing. WTI and Brent posted strong gains, each up more than 3 percent by midday in New York, but come largely after U.S. equity markets shook off an earlier bout of pessimism.
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Friday, January 04, 2019
China, Global Economy has Tipped over: The Surging Dollar and the Rallying Yen / Economics / Global Economy
By: FXCOT
We had noted of the coming storm in equity markets worldwide in our research to clients. A part of that research can be found herE: The coming storm . Also here: We did say. We also had noted of the fall in USDJPY rom 113 to 110 levels. But the pair fell even more and wiping away billions in retail margins.
We do suggest to forex traders to keep us boookmarked and also follow us on twitter. You can also register to be updated of important research we send so you are not caught on the wrong side of the market.
We run a highly successful forex trade copier. It is has made over +130% return in 2018. It has been running since 2010 and has made over 100% return every single year since 2010.
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Friday, January 04, 2019
Safe Havens are Surging. What this Means for Stocks 2019 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Troy_Bombardia
While the U.S. stock market has been trending downwards from December 2018 – present, safe havens (e.g. gold and Yen) have been going up.
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Friday, January 04, 2019
Will the Futures Markets Save Gold? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
The extreme bearish CoT positions necessarily imply the turning point in the gold market. Myth or fact? We invite you to read our today’s article about Comex positioning and find out whether futures will save gold.
Usually, the Comex is seen by precious metals investors as the main public enemy. After all, it’s a marketplace for all these short futures which allegedly suppress the gold prices. But now, the gold permabulls use the CoT report as an bullish argument in the discussion on the future of gold.
Why? Let’s look at the chart below. As you can see, the speculators (non-commercials) maintain very small long position, while the commercial traders are unusually close to being neutral. Although both groups have moderated their bets recently, their positioning is still extreme.
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Friday, January 04, 2019
The Men Who Stare at Charts: Decades of Disinflation & 7 Years Post-Op Twist / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Gary_Tanashian
I was going to look around to see if I could find a media article out there (complete with a TA trying to sound really important) that would be appropriate to be made fun of in our little Men Who Stare at Charts series. But then I decided to create my own chart, stare at it a little, post it and talk about it (hopefully not too self-importantly).
Introducing an all too busy long-term (monthly) view of the Gold/Silver ratio, along with some key nominal markets.
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Friday, January 04, 2019
What to do With Your Money in a Stocks Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Stephen_McBride
“Sell everything, I can’t take anymore!”
My stockbroker friend got a phone call from a hysterical client on Christmas Eve.
She was panicking over all the money she had lost in the market… and was demanding to sell her whole portfolio of stocks.
December, as you surely know, was horrendous for U.S. markets.
The S&P fell 10% for its worst December since 1931 during the Great Depression.
In fact, it was the S&P’s worst month overall since February 2009.
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Friday, January 04, 2019
Bitcoin: Another Bullish Attempt / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Ryan_Wilday
Some time has passed since I wrote a more lengthy article, but not nearly as long a time as this gruelling bear market in cryptos - now 12 months long, and counting. So, in this article I’d like to rewind the clock a bit.
When we first saw our bull market top in cryptos, I did not fully expect a long bear market such as we’ve seen. While the March breakdown confirmed in my mind that the $3000 to $4700 zone would be visited again, I did not think it would take this long.
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Friday, January 04, 2019
Rising Cost of Moving Home / Personal_Finance / UK Housing
By: Submissions
It continues to be a time of uncertainty for the housing market with the ongoing Brexit saga. Therefore many people are choosing not to move home, when they usually would have done so. The cost of moving home also continues to rise as expected. Here we cover the breakdown of the average costs in 2018.
It is difficult to figure out an exact overall cost but based around the average house price in the UK, and the different services required for moving home, it is likely to add up to around £10,000. This of course would include the main areas of buying, selling and moving home. This is all based around the average house sold in the UK which in 2018 was £224,144 (according to the Property Price Index).
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Friday, January 04, 2019
Silver Price Trend Analysis 2019 / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Nadeem_Walayat
This is the 3rd article in a series of 4 articles that concludes in a trend forecast for the Silver price 2019.
- Silver Price Trend Forecast 2018 Review
- Gold - Silver Ratio
- Silver Price Trend Analysis 2019
- Silver Price Trend Forecast Conclusion for 2019
The whole of this analysis was first been made available to Patrons who support my work.
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Friday, January 04, 2019
What to Know When Buying an Approved Used Land Rover 2019 / ConsumerWatch / Motoring
By: N_Walayat
Here's what you need to know when buying an approved used Land Rover in 2019. As my comprehensive mega review of after having owned and driven Land Rover's popular Discovery Sport's model in a HSE Black trim for over 1 year! Answering questions I should have asked a year earlier of what you would need to know before buying, after having put the car through its paces of what to expect under real world driving conditions, with the video covering the following topics -