Friday, November 23, 2018
Christmas Projector Light Ideas for Holidays 2018! / Personal_Finance / Shopping
Christmas is just around the corner and this year many households are looking to go beyond the usual string and icicle light by adding animated projector lights to their x-mas lights aresenel. Not only do the represent something different, but are much easier to put up then string lights.
Here we test out 3 various projector lights all of which can be bought from Amazon.
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Friday, November 23, 2018
RedSpottedHanky.com Unreliable Train Travel Evouchers Bookings for Tesco Club Card Customers / Personal_Finance / Travel & Holidays
Unfortunately it's not just Britain's network rail services that are proving unreliable for Britain's long suffering train passengers, now even booking agents such as Red Spotted Hanky are letting down travelers, leaving them in the lurch for those who use their evouchers system such as Tesco Club Card customers, many of whom had come to rely on this service as a means of utilising their tesco club card points.
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Friday, November 23, 2018
XLY – Don’t Count the American Consumer Out Yet / Stock-Markets / Retail Sector
The U.S. Consumer Measured Via the XLY
“The U.S. economy is the global economic driver. And within the U.S. economy, the U.S. consumer is the global driver.” James P. Gorman
We’re Entering In Negative Territory for 2018
The stock market (measured via the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average) has officially erased all of its 2018 gains. I can see from the headlines like the one pictured below from The Drudge Report that there’s certainly starting to be a bit of panic in the air.
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Friday, November 23, 2018
There is evidence that deflationary forces are already taking hold in America / Economics / Deflation
By Murray Gunn
When I was writing technical analysis reports for the customers of a major global bank, I received some interesting feedback from one of the bank's relationship managers. The customers liked the reports, she said, but it would be good if I made them less "technical." Making technical analysis reports less technical, hmmm. (To be fair, it is actually good advice because striking a balance between technical details and readability is an art.) Sometimes, though, an explanation of a concept cannot help but delve into some detail. So please bear with me on this one.
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Friday, November 23, 2018
Factors Behind Why People Move House / Housing-Market / UK Housing
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Friday, November 23, 2018
DNA Breakthrough: Scientists Repair Genes in Human Embryos / Companies / BioTech
The medical field is set to change tremendously owing to a recent breakthrough by medical researchers. A team of researchers recently managed to use gene-editing tools to remove mutations in embryos which develop into human diseases. The team that comprised of the Oregon Health and Science University and other researchers were able to make breakthrough discoveries. The particular disease, hypertrophic cardiomyopathy, is passed down genetically and is a cause of many deaths especially among young athletes. It is not clear yet as to when the technology will be applied in the real world.
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Thursday, November 22, 2018
China Stock Market Preparing New Elliott Wave Bullish Cycle / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
The trade war between USA & China had led to a global fear around the stock market and causing a mid-term “bear market” in China which lost 30% since the start of 2018. The latest plan is that the two leaders US President Donald Trump and Xi Jinping would meet for dinner on December 1 immediately after the G20 meeting in the Argentine capital Buenos Aires.
Trump says US is ‘doing extremely well’ with China but deal not done yet. Therefore the next meeting could be critical for this ongoing war trade talk and its result will have important effect around the market.
At ElliottWave Forecast, we believe the market is ruled by technical aspect and the news is an after-fact event to drive the market into the pre-determined direction. Therefore, understanding the Nature of the Market is key for traders to stay in the right side and follow a clear path which have nothing to do with Fundamentals or events.
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Thursday, November 22, 2018
Facebook Ends Cycle from IPO. What’s Next For The Social Networking Giant / Companies / Social Media
Even today with the explosion of advancements in quantitative analysis utilizing the most sophisticated algorithms and artificial intelligence available the debate rages on between whether a technical-based trading methodology is superior to a fundamental-based trading methodology and vice versa. That debate is examined below via analysis of individual financial instruments such as Facebook (FB).
The price of Facebook’s stock has pretty much been on bullish rip higher ever since the IPO of 2012 reaching an all-time high over this past July at 218.62. However, the company has been mired in unflattering publicity that the fundamentalists claim has taken the wind out FB’s sails. The first chink in the armor of FB came during US General Elections of 2016 when a Russian company named Internet Research Agency start buying Facebook digital ads to allegedly spread propagandist messages about various politically hotspots that included religion and immigration. This event brought the company into the biggest crises of its short history. I have to say it’s definitely a unique event to see an American company as the tool of a foreign plot to influence a major democratic election. Even so, the stock pushed higher. However, on this very day we read about a seemingly endless series of “events” which are said to have caused the company stock to decline nearly $100/share with its most recent print of 126.85.
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Thursday, November 22, 2018
Amazon (AMZN) – Highlighting Next Area For Buyers / Companies / Amazon
We recently wrote an article explaining why Mr Jeff Bezos had nothing to worry about after being down $45B in October’s market sell off and also stated the obvious fact that trend in Amazon (AMZN) is up and pull backs are a buying opportunity. AMZN reached our blue box area starting from $1477 at the end of October and buyers were waiting there as expected. We keep mentioning that once a blue box is reached, two things can happen, either the trend will resume or there will be a minimum 3 waves reaction from the blue box to allow the longs to eliminate risk on the trade by trailing stops or booking partial profits and then trailing stops. Amazon bounce quickly reached 50% Fibonacci retracement of the decline from 9/4/2018 peak which was good enough for the longs from $1477 to get risk free. However, sellers have managed to push price below 10/30/2018 low which creates an incomplete 5 swings sequence down from 9/4/2018 peak. Let’s take a look at the chart below
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Thursday, November 22, 2018
Thanksgiving for Proper Gold Stock Fundamentals / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018
All through the bear market hopeful rationalizations were served up for a bullish case on the gold miners. All through the bear market we warned people not to eat that rotten turkey!
China demand, the China and India “love trade”, cyclical inflation driving up the prices of commodities and resources and the classic… economic growth in the US will create cost-push inflation through wage increases with the smart money seeking inflation protection in gold. All of those and a veritable Turducken of mishmashed ingredients were served to gold bugs as a decidedly not delectable appetizer before the main course.
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Thursday, November 22, 2018
Roaring Stock Market Rally Coming! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
Stocks have been under selling pressure for the lst 8 weeks and yet the indices continue to be above the key support levels. By most measures the U.S. economy is in excellent health. Yet stocks are sinking, yields on corporate bonds are rising and commodity prices are tumbling—all typical precursors of a slowdown or recession. There are a few reasons which we can immediately forsee. First, while the U.S. is cruising a wave of fiscal stimulus, growth in the rest of the world is slowing. That’s creating problems for companies that do export business. Second, FED is set on a rigid path of raising rates, tightening conditions and reducing balance sheet.
Given the simulataneous actions of ECB and BoJ, we believe has fared way beyond what could have been a much sharper decline. However we are just about 15% from the highs seen this year.
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Thursday, November 22, 2018
When Stock Market Computer Herds Hit Exits / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
"In a 2010 study of the 2010 Flash Crash, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission and the Commodities Futures Trading Commission found that high frequency traders substantially increased volatility during the event and accelerated the crash...The Australian Securities and Investments Commission, the stock regulator in Australia, found in a 2012 study that during volatile markets high frequency traders reduce their liquidity supply and increase their liquidity demands....The Bank of Int'l Settlements looked at foreign exchange markets and concluded in a 2011 study that high frequency traders exacerbate volatility in stressed markets... The UK Gov't Office for Science published a large 2012 study of capital markets around the world and concluded that HFT/AT may cause instabilities in financial markets in specific circumstances.... High Frequency Trading: A Bibliography of Evidence -Based Research, March 2015
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Thursday, November 22, 2018
Stock Market Retests October 2018 Bottom. What’s Next / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
As per our recent market studies, we said that the stock market would probably bounce and then pullback. Sometimes that pullback leads to a marginal high (vs. the initial low), sometimes it leads to an exact retest, and sometimes it leads to a marginal low (vs. the initial low).
The stock market has made such a retest.
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Thursday, November 22, 2018
Return of Stock, Oil and Forex Markets Volatility / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
Market volatility is back. Forex markets have seen whipsaws as the dollar index tries to price in a weakening US economy and a FED which is raising rates. Stocks have suffered a series of pullbacks this fall that have chipped away at much of their 2018 gains. Downbeat forecasts from former market leaders such as Apple Inc. and Facebook Inc. have raised questions over whether the past year’s gains can be justified. Adding to those worries, investors are already expecting a broader slowdown in corporate earnings growth as rising rates and a stronger dollar take a greater toll on profits.
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Thursday, November 22, 2018
Getting to the Bottom of Debt: Smart Strategies You Should Follow / Personal_Finance / Debt & Loans
We all go through debt at some point in our lives. In fact, debt has become a way of life for Americans and the numbers are staggering. By September 2018, US consumer debt has reached $3.95 trillion. Education and auto loans took up the biggest chunk at $2.909 trillion and credit card debt totaled $1.041 trillion.
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Wednesday, November 21, 2018
How to Catch Bottoms in Gold Stocks / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018
It is very difficult to pick exact bottoms but there are many tools we can use to help us pinpoint potential bottoms.
You don’t hear technical analysts talk about fundamentals but we do for a reason. Major shifts in the primary trend are supported by fundamental shifts, though they can be very hard to spot until after the fact.
Because of our extensive study of history, we are convinced that precious metals will not begin a real bull market until the Fed stops hiking rates. The data shows that many times (though not every time) the gold stocks bottomed soon after the Fed’s final rate hike.
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Wednesday, November 21, 2018
Did We Just Witness The Bottom in the Gold Market? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
Markets are deceptive…but we all know that. Beyond deceptive, markets are actually down right diabolical. Mr. Market operates through his two most trustworthy lieutenants Mr. Bull and Mr. Bear. He has tasked Mr. Bull to climb and reach the top of the mountain using investors buying power to fuel the rise. But he has also instructed Mr. Bull to not allow those same investors to complete the journey themselves, he wants to reach the top without them. It’s a hard job to pull off and Mr Bull needs to use every trick in the book to throw off these investors after they use their money to power the trend upward. It’s a process that takes time and Mr. Bull’s prime tools are greed and fear in the minds of investors.
Mr. Bear however, has been assigned a totally different mission. When it’s his turn he has been tasked to use those very same investors to power the trend to un-dreamed of lows. This is a mission even more difficult than Mr. Bull’s because counter to Mr. Bull it’s Mr. Bear’s duty to actually keep those investors in the market despite it falling over time, which is no easy task. This is because if these investors just gave up and left the market it would simply stop going down. His mission requires a particularly high level of deviance to pull off. It’s why Mr. Market retains a particularly fond place in his heart for Mr. Bear, since Mr. Market has a diabolical nature and like the Grand Inquisitor, he has no problem drawing blood.
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Wednesday, November 21, 2018
Is A Sharp Stock Market Crash Ahead? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash
I’ve warned for years, and with increasing frequency of late, that the first crash when a major stock bubble of this magnitude finally tops is 42% in the first 2.6 months.
That’s the average of seven bubble crashes in the last century.
The 1929 crash started off with a 49% crash in just over two months – the most extreme.
Look at this correction thus far, compared to 1929 for the Dow…
Wednesday, November 21, 2018
Have We Seen The Worst of the Gold Bubble Burst? / Commodities / Commodities Trading
You know I’ve been fighting the gold bugs for a long time. Gold is an inflation hedge, not a deflation hedge. Turn to gold for safety during a deflationary period and you’ll get your ass handed to you on a golden platter!
Gold is simply another commodity and it burst in the 30-year cycle top between 2008 and 2011, just like it did after the 1980 top.
But my bubble model projected that gold would fall to at least $700 and possibly as low as $400 to $450 per ounce…
Wednesday, November 21, 2018
The Real Price of LNG, Climate Change, Coming Fracking Environmental Disaster / Politics / Climate Change
“This is a spectacular day for all British Columbians, again not one that happened today, not one that happened yesterday but one that has happened over the past few decades. I can’t tell you how proud and pleased I am to have the opportunity to lead the government to work with all levels of government to make life better for British Columbians. I can’t stop smiling.”
That was John Horgan, the Premier of British Columbia, declaring his support for, what, a plan to tackle unaffordable housing? Ending the fentanyl crisis? A major infrastructure project that will lower the frustration of Lower Mainland commuters?
No, what Premier Horgan was smiling about on October 2nd, was the signing of a final investment decision by LNG Canada. Flanked by industry leaders and Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, Horgan said that despite belching out 3.45 megatonnes of carbon emissions a year, BC would meet its climate change goals of cutting greenhouses gases by 40% by 2030 and 80% by 2050. The Pembina Institute estimates that between LNG Canada and Woodfibre LNG, the other, so far, approved BC liquefied natural gas project, the plants will increase annual carbon pollution by 9.1 megatonnes by 2030 and 10.2MG by 2050. But the targets will be met, somehow. Trust us.
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