Friday, August 10, 2018
Mixed Results at Major Gold Companies / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018
Fund manager Adrian Day takes a look at several major gold companies in his portfolio.
Wheaton Precious Metals Corp. (WPM:TSX; WPM:NYSE, US$21.18) continues to diversify away from silver with two new streams, a gold and palladium stream on the Stillwater Mine (a long-life mine in the U.S.) and a cobalt stream on Voisey's Bay nickel mine. Both streams are front-loaded; Wheaton will receive 4.5% of the palladium reducing on hurdles to 2.25% and 42% of the cobalt (expected to commence in 2021 after a mine expansion) down to 21% over time. The first has a 6.1% IRR, and second 11% (before tax), reasonably high in the current streaming environment.
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Thursday, August 09, 2018
Gold and Silver Kill Zone / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
There is nothing bullish happening on the gold and silver charts. Nothing bullish on the miner Index/ETF charts. Nothing bullish on the HUI/Gold ratio. In other words, when it comes to a segment as volatile and sentiment-dependent as the precious metals, we are in the kill zone.
That can be read a couple of different ways. First, the inflationist gold bugs are getting exterminated as the US dollar first rose and since has stubbornly refused to take a pullback.
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Thursday, August 09, 2018
Even More Cracks in the Gold Dam / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
We’re getting there. Inch by inch, we’re moving closer to the tipping point of the decline when the slow, regular, and somewhat boring move lower turns into a violent drop. Yesterday’s session was still in line with the less exciting manner of declining, but we saw another crack in the dam that’s still somewhat holding the prices at the current levels. It doesn’t seem that it’s going to last for long. Are you prepared?
Before moving to the details of yesterday’s session, we would like to stress that the key bearish factors that we outlined in our Monday’s analysis remain up-to-date, so if you haven’t had the chance to read it yet, we strongly encourage you to do so today. Gold is likely to drop far in the next 2.5 weeks.
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Thursday, August 09, 2018
NZD/USD Holding Important Supports / Currencies / Forex Trading
The weekly chart of NZD/USD suggests that the pair is trading in a bearish zone, but it is currently trading near important support levels.
Key Points
- NZD/USD is currently testing a key connecting support trend line at 0.6700 on the weekly chart.
- The pair could correct higher, but upsides are likely to be capped by 0.6850.
Thursday, August 09, 2018
Ignore the Stock Market “midterm election year”, Which is “supposed” to be Weak / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
October 2017 – September 2018 (i.e. this year) is the 2nd year of the “presidential cycle”, also known as the midterm election year.
According to conventional seasonality, the midterm election year is “supposed” to be weak (bearish).
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Thursday, August 09, 2018
Stock Market Trend and Volatility Analysis - Video / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
This is part 4 of my stock market in-depth analysis that seeks to conclude in a detailed trend forecast for the whole of the remainder of 2018. The whole of this analysis that includes my detailed trend forecast was first made available to Patrons who support my analysis. To get immediate First Access to ALL of my analysis and trend forecasts then do consider becoming a Patron by supporting my work for as little as just $3 per month. https://www.patreon.com/Nadeem_Walayat.
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Thursday, August 09, 2018
Tips on Maximizing Small Serviced Offices Space / Personal_Finance / SME
When I was beginning my insurance business, I was bummed. I did not have enough capital to rent those huge office buildings for my job. This led to me having to work with what I got and maximize. Having serviced offices is almost as satisfying as working in you owning your own business. Although my office space was small, I had a lot of work prey soon and needed add more employees to my working are so found that I needed to maximize the space to accommodate the new office workers and the increase in jobs.
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Thursday, August 09, 2018
VIX’s Collapse is Bullish for VIX and the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
VIX (volatility index) has fallen back to where it last was in January 2018, before the stock market’s recent “small correction” began. VIX is now below 11 for the first time in more than 6 months. This means that the stock market’s volatility has subsided.
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Thursday, August 09, 2018
Serious Bitcoin Price Decline / Currencies / Bitcoin
Bitcoin is depreciating. This might be just the turnaround you have been waiting for. But is there really enough weight behind the short-term action to pummel Bitcoin lower?
A startup backed by Starbucks, Microsoft and a couple of other companies is said to potentially pave the way for the Bitcoin ETF. In an article on CNN, we read:
Starbucks going all-in on cryptocurrency is "the biggest news of the year for bitcoin" — because it paves the way for a bitcoin ETF, according to BK Capital Management founder Brian Kelly.
Thursday, August 09, 2018
US Economic Fundamentals and the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
This is part 7 of my stock market in-depth analysis that concludes in a detailed trend forecast which takes a quick look at US economic fundamentals.
- Part 1 - Trumponomics Stock Market 2018 - The Manchurian President
- Part 2 - The Inflationary Exponential Stocks Bull Market
- Part 3 - Dow Stock Market Elliott Wave Analysis
- Part 4 - Stock Market Trend and Volatility Analysis
- Part 5 - Yield Curve Inversion and the Stock Market
- Part 6 - Stock Market US Presidential Cycle and Seasonal Analysis
The whole of this analysis that includes my detailed trend forecast was first made available to Patrons who support my analysis. To get immediate First Access to ALL of my analysis and trend forecasts then do consider becoming a Patron by supporting my work for as little as just $3 per month. https://www.patreon.com/Nadeem_Walayat.
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Wednesday, August 08, 2018
Vestles Platform Offers Several Key Trading Tools / InvestorEducation / Learn to Trade
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Wednesday, August 08, 2018
US Stock Markets Higher Until November 2018 - Part 2 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
Now, we are ready to share some new research that will help all of us understand the current and future market conditions given the ratios of the capital markets to GDP as represented in our previous article Part I. The research team at www.TheTechnicalTraders.com believe we have identified a means of structurally understanding the US capital markets in relation to risks or reversal and crisis contagion. As the Buffet Indicator is now warning that the US capital market may be nearing a critical price top, we can now attempt to put this data into perspective in relation to capital flows and capabilities. Yes, in terms of historical price appreciation, we are now at or near levels that have historically been associated market tops and price collapses. Let’s look at how the Buffet Indicator has reacted at times using our new Custom Market Cap Volatility Index.
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Wednesday, August 08, 2018
Assange, Infowars and the Constitution / Politics / Censorship
This morning I woke up, looked around me, and saw a world sinking into a quagmire of voluntary censorship, a world willing to let someone far away choose what it can and cannot see of itself, and about itself. A world that no longer appears to recognize, or care, that this goes directly against its founding principles of liberty, freedom of speech, freedom of the press.
I can think of many reasons why someone would want to ban Infowars and Alex Jones, and I don’t even know them other than from incidental tweets and comments. But I also acknowledge that that is not the point. Just because you would like to ban a person or organization, just because you don’t agree with them, doesn’t mean you can, or should be able to.
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Wednesday, August 08, 2018
US Stock Markets Higher Until November 2018 - Part 1 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
Our research team at Technical Traders Ltd. have been laboring over the recent market moves attempting to identify if and when the market may be likely to turn lower or contract. We’ve been pouring over all types of various data from numerous sources and have concluded the following is the most likely outcome for when the US stock markets may find a reason to pause of contract. As you read this research post, please allow us a brief introduction of the facts that supported our research.
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Wednesday, August 08, 2018
Borrowers and Savers - How to Survive the Base Interest Rates Rise / Personal_Finance / UK Interest Rates
Just a few short days after the Bank of England’s historic base rate increase to 0.75%, everyone has had time for the news to sink in. Now it is time for both borrowers and savers to take action – but what can be done?
Charlotte Nelson, Finance Expert at Moneyfacts.co.uk, said:
“A base rate rise can either be a blessing or a curse depending on where you stand. Regardless of whether you are a borrower or a saver, there are things you can do now to help either get the most from your savings pot or soften the blow of the rise itself.”
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Wednesday, August 08, 2018
Stock Market US Presidential Cycle and Seasonal Analysis / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
This is part 6 of my stock market in-depth analysis that concludes in a detailed trend forecast which takes a look at the the US Presidential Cycle and Seasonal analysis expected impact on the stock market.
- Part 1 - Trumponomics Stock Market 2018 - The Manchurian President
- Part 2 - The Inflationary Exponential Stocks Bull Market
- Part 3 - Dow Stock Market Elliott Wave Analysis
- Part 4 - Stock Market Trend and Volatility Analysis
- Part 5 - Yield Curve Inversion and the Stock Market
The whole of this analysis that includes my detailed trend forecast was first made available to Patrons who support my analysis. To get immediate First Access to ALL of my analysis and trend forecasts then do consider becoming a Patron by supporting my work for as little as just $3 per month. https://www.patreon.com/Nadeem_Walayat.
Wednesday, August 08, 2018
Tesco Petrol / Diesel Fuel 10p off per Litre Money Saving Promotion / Personal_Finance / Motoring
Tesco have just started a new promotion that runs until the 26th of August 2018 that allows drivers to save 10p per litre of fuel (upto 100 litres) at Tesco petrol stations which amounts to an approx saving of 7.5% on fill ups. To get a fuel discount coupon one needs to spend at least £60 either in store or online. Where coupons issued at the till are valid for 2 weeks whilst those issued online are valid until the 9th of September.
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Tuesday, August 07, 2018
Is the Stock Market Correction Over? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend – The bull market is continuing with a top expected in the low 3000s.
Intermediate trend – A correction in the intermediate trend should keep prices above the 2680 level.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
Tuesday, August 07, 2018
Yield Curve Inversion and the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
In part 5 in this stock market analysis series I take a look at what the Yield Curve Inversion implies for stocks.
- Part 1 - Trumponomics Stock Market 2018 - The Manchurian President
- Part 2 - The Inflationary Exponential Stocks Bull Market
- Part 3 - Dow Stock Market Elliott Wave Analysis
- Part 4 - Stock Market Trend and Volatility Analysis
However, the whole of this analysis, including the detailed stock market trend forecast was first made available to my Patrons who support my work. To get immediate First Access to ALL of my analysis and trend forecasts then do consider becoming a Patron by supporting my work for as little as just $3 per month. https://www.patreon.com/Nadeem_Walayat.
Tuesday, August 07, 2018
Stock Market Elliott Wave Analysis and Forecast - Video / Stock-Markets / Elliott Wave Theory
This video is part 3 of my stock market in-depth analysis that seeks to conclude in a detailed trend forecast for the whole of the remainder of 2018
- Part 1 - Trumponomics Stock Market 2018 - The Manchurian President
- Part 2 - The Inflationary Exponential Stocks Bull Market
The whole of this analysis that includes my detailed trend forecast was first made available to Patrons who support my analysis. To get immediate First Access to ALL of my analysis and trend forecasts then do consider becoming a Patron by supporting my work for as little as just $3 per month. https://www.patreon.com/Nadeem_Walayat.
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