Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Saturday, October 10, 2015
Why I'm Bearish on Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015
Tony Mermer writes: Many investors have turned bullish on gold since it fell below $1080 in July, which was the 50% retracement level since gold's secular bull market began in 2001. These investors believe that gold's cyclical bear market is now over and that the secular bull is about to resume. I disagree. Gold will fall below $1000 before this cyclical bear market is over. Here's why.
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Friday, October 09, 2015
Gold and Silver Bucket Shop / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
"The terrible, cold, cruel part is Wall Street. Rivers of gold flow there from all over the earth, and death comes with it. There, as nowhere else, you feel a total absence of the spirit: herds of men who cannot count past three, herds more who cannot get past six, scorn for pure science and demoniacal respect for the present.
And the terrible thing is that the crowd that fills the Street believes that the world will always be the same, and that it is their duty to keep that huge machine running, day and night, forever."
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Friday, October 09, 2015
Gold Stocks Major Breakout / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015
The left-for-dead gold stocks have rallied dramatically this past week, surging to a major breakout. This pivotal technical event reveals the hyper-bearish psychology plaguing this sector in recent months is dissipating, paving the way for investment capital to return. And given the fundamentally-absurd price levels in this battered sector, this new gold-stock buying is likely just the initial vanguard of a massive new upleg.
Even among contrarians, the overwhelming consensus view is that gold miners’ stocks are doomed to grind lower indefinitely. Pretty much everyone even aware of this obscure sector totally despises it, the inevitable result of recent years’ dismal price action. The flagship gold-stock index, the NYSE Arca Gold BUGS Index better known by its symbol HUI, certainly reflects the unbelievable misery in this business.
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Thursday, October 08, 2015
Dr Copper Back from the Dead - Time to Buy or Blink / Commodities / Copper
Anxiety is a thin stream of fear trickling through the mind. If encouraged, it cuts a channel into which all other thoughts are drained.Arthur Somers RocheOnce upon a time, in the good old days, before QE changed everything, any signs of strength from copper could be construed as a sign that the economy was on the mend. After QE, this story came to an end, and a new reality came into play. The Fed manipulated the markets in favour of short-term gains through what could be determined as borderline illegal monetary policy; a policy that has maintained an ultra-low interest rate environment that favours speculators and punishes savers.
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Thursday, October 08, 2015
Bundesbank “Reassures” Re. Gold Bullion Reserves as Deutsche Bank Shocks With €6 Billion Loss Warning / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
The German Bundesbank released an inventory of its gold reserves yesterday in order to quell ongoing public concerns about the true amount of actual unencumbered reserves and the location of the reserves stored in vaults in Frankfurt, London, Paris and particularly in the New York Federal Reserve.
The central bank said its gold reserves amount to 3,384 tonnes of gold worth just €107 billion at today’s prices.
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Thursday, October 08, 2015
Silver Price Manipulation – Where are the Regulators and How Will It End? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
The following is an edited excerpt from our recent Q&A interview with Ted Butler.
It’s the even worse than the fox guarding the henhouse. It’s more like rabid raccoons.
In this section continue the discussion of HFT, while answering the question of how the regulators could miss all of this. We end on how it will end.
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Thursday, October 08, 2015
Lithium Market Set To Explode – All Eyes Are On Nevada / Commodities / Lithium
While other commodities are floundering or completely collapsing in this market, lithium—the critical mineral in the emerging battery gigafactory war—is poised to explode, and going forward Nevada is emerging as the front line in this pending American lithium boom.Most of the world’s lithium comes from Argentina, Chile, Bolivia, Australia and China, but American resources being developed by new entrants into this market have set up the state of Nevada to become the key venue and proving ground for game-changing trade in this everyday mineral. Nevada is about to get a boost first from Tesla’s (NASDAQ:TSLA) upcoming battery gigafactory, and then from all of its rivals.
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Thursday, October 08, 2015
Gold Price testing its Bear Market Trend Line / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
The Gold price is testing it's bear market trend line. It's probably going to take more than one attempt to get through that resistance but I think it will.
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Thursday, October 08, 2015
Optimistic Natural Gas Forecasts Underreport Risks / Commodities / Natural Gas
Gordon Meagher writes: Natural gas prices have not been immune from the broader deflationary forces impacting commodities across the globe. Production gluts and oversupply are testament to the industry’s problems as company’s produce at breakneck speed to stave off bankruptcy after borrowing substantial funds to fund exploration and production projects across the lower 48 US states. Even though an LNG export terminal is expected to come online this quarter, improving the export market capacity, it is unlikely to tackle the problem at its root. Even though the supply-side of the equation can remain very fluid, stimulating demand has proven difficult. Even though certain factors such as the falling rig count are contributing to optimism of a potential rebound, longer-term factors dictate further weakness in prices.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, October 07, 2015
Don't Be Fooled: A Stealth Bull Market in Gold and Silver Is Underway / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
What gold and silver investors want to know above all is when the bull market will resume. In a very real sense, it already has resumed. Futures market prices aside, evidence abounds that a raging bull market in physical precious metals is now underway.
In the third quarter (ending September 30th), coin demand went through the roof. Mints literally couldn't keep up with demand. The dysfunctional U.S. Mint rationed deliveries of Silver Eagles, failing to fulfill its mandate under law of keeping the market supplied. Even so, investors bought up a record 18.59 million ounces' worth of silver Eagle coins in the past 4 months.
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Wednesday, October 07, 2015
Gold Versus Central Banks Paper Ponzi / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
by David Bryan
The future direction of the planet is a choice between independent money and the central bankers counter-party paper Ponzi. Gold is independent monetary wealth with incredible wealth value that cannot go broke and over time will progress in value.
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Wednesday, October 07, 2015
How to Profit from Government Mandates in Biofuels / Commodities / Bio-Fuels
New proposed EPA requirements for the renewable fuel standard program, combined with challenging sugarcane harvests in South America, could increase demand for biodiesel, creating opportunity in a struggling energy sector. In this interview with The Energy Report, Piper Jaffray Analyst Brett Wong names a growing company that could profit from government mandates.
The Energy Report: New proposed Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) requirements for the renewable fuel standards (RFS) program could change the landscape for biofuels. What is the new supply-and-demand picture for corn ethanol, biodiesel and sugarcane ethanol?
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Tuesday, October 06, 2015
A Key Oil Price Trend That Everyone Is Missing / Commodities / Crude Oil
David Fessler writes: My friend Rick Rule likes to say, “The cure for low prices is low prices.”
Here’s what’s supposed to happen...
Marginal producers can’t make money at today’s prices. Therefore they shut in wells (turn them off). As supplies get tighter, prices move higher.
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Tuesday, October 06, 2015
Peter Schiff Predicts Gold Price Breakout - Video / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
Standard Wall Street analysis says a Federal Reserve rate hike would be bearish for gold. Peter Schiff debunks this assumption by looking at gold's behavior under the tenure of both Paul Volcker and Alan Greenspan. However, after Friday's terrible jobs report, Peter believes the debate over a 2015 rate hike is practically moot. He explains how the latest economic data is more strongly indicative of a looming recession than anything else, and the surge in the price of silver is the first sign that markets may be waking up to this fact.
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Tuesday, October 06, 2015
Gold Price October High / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
Gold lost $8.90/oz. last week to close at $1,137.10 but on Friday printed an engulfing bullish candlestick. Gold gained $22.90 on Friday marking last week's expected cycle low and closed on the 89-dma. The 89-dma is an important marker of regime change but beware past Pinocchio breakouts. Any breakout through the 89-dma will find next resistance close-by from the 8/21/15 high near 1,160.
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Tuesday, October 06, 2015
Silver and The Bond Market Collapse / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
Debt is at the root of money creation in this debt-based monetary system. In fact, as the name suggests, money is debt in this system. Historically, instead of debt as money, there would have been gold or silver.
Gold is still somehow linked to the monetary system, albeit in a very small way, as can be seen by the fact that many central banks own gold as part of their reserves. Silver, on the other hand, has been completely eliminated from the monetary system.
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Tuesday, October 06, 2015
Gold price to double in price and surpass its inflation-adjusted high of $2,500 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
The bullish outlook for gold prices was covered by Dow Jones Marketwatch yesterday.
“Gold prices may be ready to make a significant move higher as holdings of the precious metal in the SPDR Gold Trust exchange-traded fund climb to their highest level in more than two months.”
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Tuesday, October 06, 2015
Silver Prices and HFT / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
This is part of an ongoing series describing silver “Electronic Price Discovery versus the Fundamental Reality”.
In this discussion, we will go a little deeper and narrow with HFT and algorithm trading, and more specifically its impact on the market.
First off, I don't think that speed, electronics or computers are necessarily a bad thing in and of themselves. Nor are the tactics employed, including “sub-millisecond trading” or “co-location of servers”, the latter meaning one can physically place servers closer to the exchanges and therefore gain a speed advantage. I don't think they're necessarily bad things in and of themselves.
Tuesday, October 06, 2015
Key Chart Shows Silver Price at Critical Crossroads / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
Stefan Gleason writes: Gold and silver markets enter the week with an opportunity to build on last Friday's strong reversal. The metals had drifted lower through Thursday's close, but they got a big boost Friday after the Labor Department released disappointing jobs numbers.
Even though the official unemployment rate held steady at 5.1%, the number of jobs added in September fell short of analyst expectations. Worse, a record 94.6 million Americans of working age now aren't working. Most of these jobless Americans don't get counted as "unemployed" - making the unemployment rate a dubious statistic. It's so obviously unrepresentative of real-world realities that even mainstream financial reporters are catching on.
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Monday, October 05, 2015
Gold Rose 2.2%, Silver Surged 5.4% After Poor Jobs Number On Friday / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
– BIS warns “unrealistic and dangerous to expect that monetary policy can cure all the global economy’s ills”
– Bank of International Settlements warns that recent turmoil is not caused by isolated incidents
– Debt levels are now so extreme they threaten the financial system
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