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Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Saturday, October 18, 2014

Leading Indicators for Gold Price Turnaround / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

Gold is currently getting a reprieve as it trades close to $1240 which is above important weekly support at $1200. It's safe for the time being but we believe that Gold will ultimately break back below $1200 and below $1100 before the end of the already long in the tooth bear market. Because Gold is somewhat of an anti-asset, it's important to chart its course against other asset classes. Gold performs best when its strong against all other classes. Moreover, prior to recent important bottoms Gold bottomed first against other classes before bottoming in nominal terms. It appears that could happen again.

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Commodities

Saturday, October 18, 2014

Gold and Silver Extreme Shorting Peaks / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Zeal_LLC

The world's financial markets are changing dramatically with the Federal Reserve on the verge of ending its third quantitative-easing campaign. The Fed's massive deluge of inflation drastically distorted markets, which are finally starting to normalize. The precious metals were crushed by the Fed's artificial levitation of the stock markets, leading to extreme futures shorting. But that looks to have peaked, a very bullish omen.

What a difference a few weeks makes! Back in mid-September, the US stock markets were drenched in euphoria and hitting nominal record highs. Nearly everyone was totally convinced equities would keep on climbing forever. You couldn't turn on CNBC or open a financial newspaper without seeing endless predictions for a big end-of-year rally. And gold and silver were despised, believed to be doomed to spiral lower.

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Commodities

Friday, October 17, 2014

“Save Our Swiss Gold ” - Game Changer For Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: GoldCore

We believe that the “Save Our Swiss Gold” campaign has the potential to be a game changer in the gold market - both in terms of the ramifications for the current global monetary system and in terms of higher gold prices. 

There has been a lack of coverage of this important story and there is therefore a lack of awareness about the possible implications for the gold market. Thus, in the weeks prior to the referendum on November 30th, we are going to analyse the referendum, the important context to the referendum and the ramifications of a yes or a no vote.
Mark O’Byrne, Head of Research GoldCore

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Commodities

Friday, October 17, 2014

When... Not if... Crude Oil Price Drops Below $70 / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Andrew_Butter

Since mid 2010 the oil industry was getting used to Brent averaging around $110. From then to mid 2014 share prices of Halliburton (HAL) Schlumberger (SLB), Hercules (HERO), Transocean (RIG) etc, went up by average 250%. By way of a benchmark for the collective enthusiasm in the idea of the irreversibility of Peak Oil, MODU (jack-up drilling rigs) utilization and day rates climbed into the champagne-all-round arena. According to IHS, a consultancy, there are 118 new ones being built so as to complement the current worldwide fleet of 550. About 40% of those are in China thanks in part to the 5% you used to be able to put down grace of the beneficence of the Bank of Chairman Mao...which incidentally has the smell of the dry bulk carrier enthusiasm seven years ago, also largely financed by the Bank of Chairman Mao.

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Commodities

Friday, October 17, 2014

Gold Benefits from Market Uncertainty / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Alasdair_Macleod

The outlook for gold is now more positive than it has been for some time. After a prolonged period of low volatility as funds invested in ever-greater risk, markets have snapped and volatility has jumped. In short, we are swinging very suddenly from complacency to reality.

Financial markets hit a serious air-pocket this week, with a collapse in US Treasury bond yields in a dash-for-cash, illustrated in the chart below.

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Commodities

Friday, October 17, 2014

Three Ways to Play Uranium: Top Stock Picks / Commodities / Uranium

By: The_Energy_Report

Investors in the uranium space are like Goldilocks: They have three major ways to play, says David A. Talbot, senior mining analyst at Dundee Capital Markets. The Athabasca Basin entices with high rewards for high risks. U.S.-based in-situ recovery offers stable cash flow from stable operations. And companies challenged by current market prices that are positioning themselves smartly for an upswing also provide opportunity. In this interview with The Energy Report, Talbot explains the turbulent currents roiling the uranium space, and names eight players he thinks are positioned just right.

The Energy Report: David, the uranium spot price has recovered to a 52-week high of about $35 per pound ($35/lb) after nearly three months in the doldrums. What drove the rise?

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Commodities

Thursday, October 16, 2014

Gold Prices Since 9-11 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: DeviantInvestor

The world as we knew it changed after the dot-com crash of 2000 and especially after 9-11.

  • National debt zoomed much higher
  • Stock markets crashed
  • The Fed introduced more “stimulus” and helped create a housing bubble
  • Government became larger and more intrusive
  • Gold, silver, crude, and other commodities rallied
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Commodities

Thursday, October 16, 2014

Flight To Safety - Gold Rises As Stocks, European Bonds Sink / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: GoldCore

Today’s AM fix was USD 1,241.00, EUR 969.38 and GBP 775.87 per ounce.
Yesterday’s AM fix was USD 1,223.50, EUR  967.58  and GBP 768.63 per ounce.

Gold climbed $4.40 or 0.36% to $1,237.80 per ounce and silver slipped $0.03 or 0.17% to $17.43 per ounce yesterday. Gold s now nearly 5% above its recent lows and is again acting as a hedging instrument in investment portfolios after sharp falls in stock and many bond markets.

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Commodities

Thursday, October 16, 2014

Crude Oil Prices Continue to Define Geopolitics / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: STRATFOR

Editor's Note: Oil prices dropped steeply Oct. 14, with crude oil futures falling 4.6 percent to $81.84 per barrel -- the biggest decrease in more than two years. Brent crude dropped by more than $4 a barrel at one stage in the day, dipping below $85 for the first time since 2010. While these are relatively substantial drops, they are just one part of a continuing trend Stratfor has been tracking over the past few months. Factors behind the slump include weak demand, a surfeit of supply and the fact that many large Middle Eastern producers are reluctant to reduce their output.

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Commodities

Wednesday, October 15, 2014

King Coal Strikes Back at the Obama Administration / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Money_Morning

Dr. Kent Moors writes: The latest salvo in the “Coal Wars” comes from the American Coalition for Clean Coal Electricity (ACCCE), and it’s aimed squarely at the Obama Administration.

Of course, the ACCCE isn’t exactly an impartial observer. In fact, you might say it has one huge dog in this fight.

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Commodities

Wednesday, October 15, 2014

Secret Scheme To Manipulate Silver Price - Lawsuits Against Banks Proceed / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: GoldCore

The lawsuits against banks that alleges they engaged in a secret scheme to manipulate the price of silver bullion is proceeding.

Gold fixing in London at NM Rothschild and Sons began in September 1919

Litigation alleging that Deutsche Bank, Bank of Nova Scotia and HSBC Plc illegally fixed the price of silver were centralised in a Manhattan federal court yesterday. The banks have been accused of rigging the price of billions of dollars in silver to the detriment of investors globally.

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Commodities

Tuesday, October 14, 2014

Peter Schiff - China's Boom and Lust for Gold - Video / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Peter_Schiff

Synopsis: With the launch of the iPhone 6, Americans now wait in line for hours to sell wealthy Chinese the smartphones at 10X the price. How did we become the waiters and they the big spenders? Peter explains China's ongoing boom and what it means for their favorite commodity - gold.

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Commodities

Tuesday, October 14, 2014

Silver, Warfare and Welfare / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: DeviantInvestor

US policies that promote warfare and welfare have produced massively increased debt, much higher consumer prices, larger government, and more central bank intrusion into the markets. And yes, higher silver and gold prices also resulted from these policies.

Fifty years ago we were bombing North Vietnam "back into the stone age" while also declaring a "war on poverty." The consequences of both "wars" have not been encouraging. Since then we have created considerable indebtedness by promoting such questionable ideas as a war on Iraq, a war on drugs and a war on terrorism. Future uses of national income and more debt could include a war on ebola, war on ISIS, and many other "wars."

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Commodities

Tuesday, October 14, 2014

Swiss Gold Referendum “Propaganda War” Begins / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: GoldCore

The referendum for the Swiss Gold Initiative is scheduled for November 30th and the propaganda war - between the Swiss National Bank (SNB) and the Swiss Parliament on one side and the Swiss People's Party (SVP) on the other - has begun and we expect it to escalate  as the day draws nearer.

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Commodities

Tuesday, October 14, 2014

How To Blow Up OPEC In 3 Easy Steps / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Raul_I_Meijer

It’s easily been longer than I care to remember that I first wrote it was only a matter of time before individual OPEC members would throw out the cartel’s agreements on prices and production, and just produce at full force and capacity, and then some. We may have seen that time arrive.

The underlying reason I first talked about it was two-fold. First: the economic crisis, which could lead to one thing only: less global demand. And second: the fast increasing wealth and population numbers in oil-producing nations which, as initially defined by Jeffrey Brown and Sam Foucher in the Export Land Model, has proven to be a much bigger factor in OPEC economies than people realized.

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Commodities

Monday, October 13, 2014

Powerful Reversal and Shakeout in the Junior Gold Mining Stocks at May Lows Around $33 / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014

By: Jeb_Handwerger

Summary

  1. Three years ago in early 2011, I cautioned my readers to be careful to chase gold and silver higher as it was moving parabolic. Now it is oversold and ignored.
  2. Be careful now of parabolic rises in the S&P500 (SPY), Long term US Treasuries (TLT) and US dollar (UUP). Investors are scared and looking for liquidity.
  3. Silver (SLV) is trading below $17, Gold (GLD) is testing major support at $1200. The GDXJ has been outperforming and has not violated 2013 lows.
  4. If $1180 does not hold, gold (GLD) may test lower prices near $1050 as that is the approximate 50% retracement of the 2001-2011 bull market.
  5. Some smart traders are expecting a triple bottom at $1180 on gold with a bounce off current oversold levels with a small pullback in December for tax loss selling.
  6. Junior Gold Mining ETF (GDXJ) Makes Bullish Reversal at May Lows around $33.
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Commodities

Monday, October 13, 2014

Gold and Silver Price To Rally Or Not To Rally / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Austin_Galt

Both gold and silver rallied nicely off their lows the past week. So, is this the start of something bigger or just another blip in a doom and gloomy bear market? Let's have a look at the charts to find out. We'll begin with gold.

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Commodities

Saturday, October 11, 2014

Why Overpriced Crude Oil Failed / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Andrew_McKillop

Forget the Secret Deals
US-Saudi petrodollar recycling or the "Secret Deal" between the USA and Saudi Arabia dating from the early 1970s and heavily associated with Richard Nixon, Henry Kissinger, the US Treasury  Dept and US Federal Reserve was anything but a secret deal, and public domain information on this system is easily available. Ultra basically, petrodollar recycling worked best with high oil prices. The long slump of oil prices through 1986-2002, was basically engineered, at its beginnings, by Saudi Arabia with full US support to deny revenues to Khomenei's Iran in its 1980-88 war against Saddam Hussein's Iraq, seen by the Sunni-dominated Gulf States as holding back the Islamic revolutionary Shia of Iran. Saudi Arabia certainly did not profit from low oil prices and after the period of 1974-86, it consistently reduced its deposits of "windfall gain" petrodollars in the US Fed Reserve system.

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Commodities

Saturday, October 11, 2014

Gold And Silver Still No End In Sight / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Michael_Noonan

Miscellaneous, with a central not-so-apparent binder. Do they relate to gold and silver? In a way, yes.

At the end of September, Yahoo ran a picture of Putin along side of Stalin. No too much in the way of suggestive association at play here by the media intent on pleasing the elites and federal government. The caption was what the two have in common, both from Russia certainly being one. What we know for sure is that neither ever won a Nobel Peace Prize, and neither has been responsible for inciting wars all across the globe and bombing other countries into submission, so Obomba is one-up on them in that regard, but his photo did not appear in the line up.

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Commodities

Saturday, October 11, 2014

Gold and Silver Getting a Temporary Reprieve / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

Gold closed last week below $1200 for the first time but has since rebounded from support at $1180. Silver has also rebounded but only after declining in 11 of the past 12 weeks. Precious Metals endured a very rough September and became very oversold. With Gold near its daily low and the gold miners (HUI, GDX) near their December lows, a rebound was probable. Precious metals bulls need to stay patient and disciplined as we believe this is an oversold bounce in a sharp downtrend until proven otherwise.

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