Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Friday, May 04, 2012

Natural Gas Coiling After Upmove / Commodities / Natural Gas

By: Mike_Paulenoff

On April 24, with natural gas futures in the 1.970 to 2.028 range, we alerted subscribers to an imminent up-move, writing: "The little speck of an upturn off of last Thursday's decade low at 1.902 into yesterday's high at 2.022 (+6.03%) accompanied by powerful anecdotal oscillator evidence that natural gas is exhausted on the downside, and that we are witnessing the initial up-move within what should be a base building period ahead of a forthcoming bull phase."

Friday, May 04, 2012

Gold Antidote to The Most Investment Destructive Force / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012

By: DeepCaster_LLC

“[Fed Chairman Ben] Bernanke and the Fed have zero credibility… Bernanke has never been right about anything.

“We have inflation in the U.S., and it’s going to get worse.

“They’ve printed staggering amounts of money. They’ve taken staggering amounts of debt on their balance sheet. Much of it is garbage.

Friday, May 04, 2012

Crisis in Mining / Commodities / Metals & Mining

By: Richard_Mills

A combination of mass retirements and increasing natural resource demand from emerging economies has created a crisis in the resource extraction sector - one which is definitely not on investor’s radar screens.

Currently there is a “massive talent gap” that is going to get worse because the global mining industry is experiencing the biggest wave of workforce retirements in 70 years - the oldest baby boomers turned 65 years old in 2011.

Friday, May 04, 2012

Gold Rallies Following Disappointing U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls Jobs Data / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012

By: Ben_Traynor

U.S. DOLLAR gold prices rallied to $1640 an ounce Friday, following the release of disappointing US nonfarm jobs data, though they remained more than 1% down on last Friday's close.

Silver prices also spiked higher, touching $30.19 per ounce – still 3.4% down on the week – while European stocks were down on the day and government bond prices up by Friday lunchtime in London.

Friday, May 04, 2012

Keynes, the closet Gold bug / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012

By: Jan_Skoyles

In his 1923 book ‘A Tract on Monetary Reform’, John Maynard Keynes famously wrote ‘In truth, the gold standard is already a barbarous relic.’

Many gold bugs have come to take this quote as a belief that Keynes applied this line of thought, by implication, to gold as well.

Friday, May 04, 2012

Gold Bubble? “More People That Own Apple Stock Than Gold" / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012

By: GoldCore

Gold’s London AM fix this morning was USD 1,629.50, EUR 1,240.20, and GBP 1,007.54 per ounce. Yesterday's AM fix was USD 1,642.50, EUR 1,251.24 and GBP 1,015.90 per ounce.

Silver is trading at $29.99/oz, €22.93/oz and £18.60/oz. Platinum is trading at $1,533.50/oz, palladium at $657.40/oz and rhodium at $1,350/oz.

Friday, May 04, 2012

The Case for Higher Gold Prices / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012

By: Money_Morning

Diane Alter writes: Gold prices had gold bugs giddy in the fall of 2011. In September, the luminous yellow metal touched an intraday high of $1,920 a troy ounce, putting the precious metal up roughly 35% for the year.

At the time it seemed like investors, traders and even the guy at the corner store were all buying, hoarding, and lusting for gold.

Friday, May 04, 2012

The Silver Bull Market Is Over? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012

By: Investmentscore.com

Is the Silver Bull Market Over?  This is one question that we feel very confident that the answer to it is no; but still we are specifically watching for articles or news stories suggesting that the precious metals bull market is over.  We have seen a few articles announcing the end of the metals bull market and we will explain why this is significant to us later in this article.  But first, there are a host of reasons why we think the bull market in precious metals is alive and well and we will address a few of these reasons in this article.

Friday, May 04, 2012

Precious Metals: Don’t Want To Play Anymore? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012

By: Dudley_Baker

We suspect that many precious metals investors are saying, “We don’t want to play anymore!” and our reply is, “You want to quit right now, right at the bottom of this cycle? You must be crazy - crazy with a capital C!” True, this is a very challenging market environment for resource shares, but we know what the ultimate outcome will be: higher share prices. The only question is “when” and our opinion is that we are very close in time (within days or a week or two at most) of being able to say that the lows are behind us. Let me explain.

Friday, May 04, 2012

Lindsay: No Final Bottom in Gold before Summer / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012

By: Submissions

Ed Carlson writes: In the course of a Ûyear career George Lindsay never applied his methods to anything other than the equity markets. The reasons were obvious; the Standard Time Spans, an integral part of his methods, were derived from a study of the equity markets covering more than 150 years of market data. An undertaking such as that would have been exhausting. No doubt, Lindsay left the investigation and application of his methods to other asset classes for other analysts.

Thursday, May 03, 2012

Gasoline Futures in Decline ... Ominous Sign for Economy? / Commodities / Gas - Petrol

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Let's notice that nearby gasoline futures have been in the grasp of a meaningful decline from its March 29 high at $3.45/gal into today at $3.04.

With weekly RSI pointed straight down, suggesting more weakness directly ahead, gasoline points towards an approaching confrontation with its rising 40-week (200 Day) moving average, now at $2.99. This needs to contain the selling pressure to avert downside acceleration towards a test of the major support line at $2.69 off of the December 2008 low ($0.79).

Thursday, May 03, 2012

The Most Boring Gold Market Ever? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012

By: Ben_Traynor

We've just had the quietest 40 days since the financial crisis began...

HOW OFTEN are gold prices as range bound as this? 

The London gold fix on Wednesday afternoon marked the fortieth trading day in a row that gold fixed between $1600 and $1700.

Thursday, May 03, 2012

Gold "Lackluster" in "Calm Before Storm" / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012

By: Adrian_Ash

THE PRICE OF GOLD in wholesale trading slipped to a new 1-week low at $1640 per ounce in London on Thursdayb as the US Dollar rose and crude oil slipped again.

Ahead of Friday's much-anticipated US Non-Farm Payrolls report for April, weekly data showed a fall in the number of jobless benefit claimants.

Thursday, May 03, 2012

Were We Wrong About the U.S. Dollar? Is it Safer than Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012

By: Jan_Skoyles

As figures are released this week which cast yet more negative light on the US economy we ask why is the US dollar not suffering much as a result? Were wrong about the dollar? Is it a safer safe haven than gold investment?

This week figures were released to show that US debt is now at a record $15.962bn, or 101.5% of GDP. One wonders if President Obama, or in fact any potential sovereign leader out there has any idea how to solve this without printing yet more money and issuing yet more debt.

Thursday, May 03, 2012

Catalytic Events Moving Gold Stocks / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012

By: The_Gold_Report

Sagient Research Systems is known for its investor research in the drug and medical device field, but the firm has also tailored its scientific approach to market-moving catalysts in the precious metals industry. In this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, Senior Analyst Jocelyn August discusses looming events in a select group of natural resource stocks that are expected to move as information flows out.

The Gold Report: Jocelyn, you are following catalysts that affect resource stocks. Tell me about that.

Thursday, May 03, 2012

What Do Americans Think About Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012

By: Eric_McWhinnie

Precious metals have been relatively quiet this week. After posting its best weekly gain in two months, gold is trading slightly lower at about $1,650 per ounce. Meanwhile, silver is trading near $30.50 per ounce. Gold and silver are currently taking a pause, but have been in a bull market for more than a decade and apparently Americans are taking notice.

Thursday, May 03, 2012

Betting Against Crude Oil Falling Below $40 / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Marin_Katusa

At the latest Casey Research conference, respected investment analyst Porter Stansberry stood at the podium and predicted that the price of oil will fall below US$40 per barrel within the next 12 months. Part of his reasoning revolves around the impact that the shale gas revolution has had in the United States – he believes a similar thing will happen with oil.

Porter is a friend of mine and a very smart, successful individual… but I think not.

Thursday, May 03, 2012

Gold Price Breaks 3-Month Rule for 1st Time in 11 Years / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012

By: Adrian_Ash

Last time gold fell for 3 months running was March 2001. And so...?

IT HAD BECOME so rare, you could take its absence for granted to buy gold on the cheap.

Thursday, May 03, 2012

A Weak Economy Remains Gold's Best Friend / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

It was Bob Prechter of Elliott Wave fame, likely among others who noted that correlations between all asset classes are quite strong during a Depression. This is true in a cyclical sense but not in a structural sense. Stocks tumbled in the 1929-1941 period while commodities, led by Gold and gold producers, increased in value. We've experienced similar phenomena in the past 12 years. Cyclically, there has been a correlation between these asset classes. Structurally, stocks have been in a bear market and resource sector has been in a bull market. The driving force has been a weak economy and bear market which usually leads to more inflationary policy, which in turn benefits the resource sector. Are we soon to see a replay of this scenario?

Thursday, May 03, 2012

Manganese Production Gearing Up Worldwide / Commodities / Metals & Mining

By: Anthony_David

Manganese may be the fourth most used metal in the world but last year ended on a relatively weak note for manganese products. While Chinese ports had large stockpiles of manganese ore, the weak demand for steel long products was reflected in a weak demand for manganese. The economic uncertainty and low business confidence in Europe and the USA were key reasons for the lack of interest in manganese. The recovery of the construction industry in these regions would certainly be a big boost to the manganese market and prices would firm up by 2013.