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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Tuesday, December 05, 2017

The True Meaning of Bitcoin's 'Success' / Commodities / Bitcoin

By: The_Gold_Report

Precious metals expert Michael Ballanger discusses Bitcoin, currency devaluation, and gold and silver. In the year 301 AD, the Roman unit of barter was the denarius, which had originally been 95% pure silver when introduced by Augustus at the end of the first century BC but by the time of Diocletian's rule, it had moved to 50,000 denarii to a pound of gold. Ten year later, it took 120,000 denarii to buy a pound of gold and by 337, that figure was 20,000,000. What had occurred in a mere 400 years was that a slow and agonizing erosion in the purchasing power of the Roman currency accelerated to full fiat disintegration and that complete and total disregard for the denarius was attributed as one of the underlying causes of the Fall of the Roman Empire. Nothing was more evident in the underlying rot permeating Roman society, economics and national security than the refusal by the Barbarian armies to accept anything but gold as payment for their leaving the Roman legions alone. Rejection of the currency of the Roman Empire was complete and irreversible.

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Commodities

Tuesday, December 05, 2017

Gerald Celente: Middle East Wild Cards Could Bring Down Markets, Drive Up Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: MoneyMetals

Mike Gleason: It is my privilege now to welcome Gerald Celente, publisher of the renowned Trends Journal. Mr. Celente is perhaps the most well-known trends forecaster in the world and it's always great to have him on with us.

Gerald, thanks for taking the time and welcome back.

Gerald Celente: Thanks for having me on.

Mike Gleason: Well, Gerald, to start off here, we still have the equities markets ripping and roaring and there is seemingly no news that can derail the train. So, as we head into the end of the year, what does your forecast show for the crowd on Wall Street? Is the party going to end anytime soon?

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Commodities

Tuesday, December 05, 2017

Geopolitical Risk Isn’t Driving Rising Oil Prices / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: John_Mauldin

By GEORGE FRIEDMAN AND XANDER SNYDER : At the end of October, Brent crude prices crossed $60 per barrel for the first time in two years. They peaked at around $64.

Experts explained the spike with vague references to “geopolitical risk,” without really detailing what those risks entailed. Such explanations are not wrong, but they are careless.

A proper geopolitical risk assessment goes beyond vague wording. It contains a deep understanding of relevant economic, political, and military factors.

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Commodities

Monday, December 04, 2017

Silver’s Positive Fundamentals Due To Strong Demand In Key Growth Industries / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: GoldCore

– Increased efforts in green energy and advanced technology set to boosts silver’s demand
– Four-year supply deficit set to increase due to fewer mine openings and discoveries
– Bank manipulation may be why silver under performing
– TD Securities and the Bank of Montreal expect silver to be best performing precious metal in 2018
– Growing industrial demand combined with monetary safe haven makes silver an excellent diversifier

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Commodities

Monday, December 04, 2017

Bitcoin Achieved What The Gold Market Never Could & Never Will? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Sol_Palha

There is no absurdity so palpable but that it may be firmly planted in the human head if you only begin to inculcate it before the age of five, by constantly repeating it with an air of great solemnity. Arthur Schopenhauer

Gold bottomed in 2002, and it took nine years for its trade to a high of roughly $1900 (September 2011). Contrast that to Bitcoin, in less than 1/3rd of the amount of time it is showing gains of more than 11,000%.  It took nine years for Gold to show gains of roughly 700% and Gold has given up a substantial portion of those gains.

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Commodities

Monday, December 04, 2017

Gold Intermediate Cycle Update / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: SurfCity

Please also see my weekend post on the USD. I will be adding a few more updates over the next few hours.

This weekend, I would like to step back and take a longer term perspective on where Gold is likely headed in 2018. My first chart is a 20+ year weekly showing that Gold is at a major inflection point in my long term uptrend channel. It shows a massive 20+ year Bull Flag that is either going to continue its breakout above the 2011 down trend or this will be a false breakout and my uptrend channel will fail.

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Commodities

Sunday, December 03, 2017

War on Gold Intensifies: It Betrays the Elitists’ Panic and Augurs Their Coming Defeat Part2 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Stewart_Dougherty

Dictatorship (noun): Definition #3: absolute power or authority (Websters);
Def. #2: absolute, imperious or overbearing power or control (Random House);
Def. #3: Absolute or despotic control or power (American Heritage);
Def. #3: Absolute or supreme power or authority (Collins English Dictionary);
                              Def. #1: A type of government where absolute sovereignty is allotted
to an individual or small clique (Wikipedia).

“If you know the enemy and know yourself, you need not fear the result of a hundred battles. If you know yourself but not the enemy, for every victory gained, you will also suffer a defeat. If you know neither the enemy nor yourself, you will succumb in every battle.” Sun Tzu, The Art of War

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Commodities

Saturday, December 02, 2017

How Will Gold End 2017? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

The 2017 is almost gone. The last eleven months were not perhaps a spectacular time for gold, but it managed to rise more than 12 percent year-to-date, as one can see in the chart below.

Chart 1: Gold prices year-to-date (London P.M. Fix).

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Commodities

Saturday, December 02, 2017

Gold Junior Stocks Q3’17 Fundamentals / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks 2017

By: Zeal_LLC

The junior gold miners’ stocks have spent months grinding sideways near lows, sapping confidence and breeding widespread bearishness.  The entire precious-metals sector has been left for dead, eclipsed by the dazzling Trumphoria stock-market rally.  But traders need to keep their eyes on the fundamental ball so herd sentiment doesn’t mislead them.  The juniors recently reported Q3 earnings, and enjoyed strong results.

Four times a year publicly-traded companies release treasure troves of valuable information in the form of quarterly reports.  Companies trading in the States are required to file 10-Qs with the US Securities and Exchange Commission by 45 calendar days after quarter-ends.  Canadian companies have similar requirements.  In other countries with half-year reporting, many companies still partially report quarterly.

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Commodities

Friday, December 01, 2017

Why Have You Been So Quiet About Metals? / Commodities / Metals & Mining

By: Avi_Gilburt

The question in the title is one of the most frequent comments I have been getting of late. And, the answer is quite simple: They are not doing anything right now. In fact, if you look at the charts, we have been in the same general region for several months.

But, you see, many of you really don’t want an update to know what I really think about the complex. Rather, many of you want an update to either soothe your emotions about the market, or to provide some confirmation bias for you. It has become purely emotional for you, so you feel the need to constantly deal with your emotions.

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Commodities

Thursday, November 30, 2017

The War on Gold Intensifies: It Betrays the Elitists’ Panic and Augurs Their Coming Defeat / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Stewart_Dougherty

Dictatorship (noun): Definition #3: absolute power or authority (Websters);
Def. #2: absolute, imperious or overbearing power or control (Random House);
Def. #3: Absolute or despotic control or power (American Heritage);
Def. #3: Absolute or supreme power or authority (Collins English Dictionary);
Def. #1: A type of government where absolute sovereignty is allotted
to an individual or small clique (Wikipedia).

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Thursday, November 30, 2017

Low Cost Gold In The Age Of QE, AI, Trump and War / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: GoldCore

‘Fear and Loathing In the Age of QE … AI’ is a presentation given at Mining Investment London earlier this week.

Stephen Flood, CEO of GoldCore presentation (28 minutes) was well received at the conference which is a strategic mining and investment conference for leaders in the mining and investment sectors, bringing together attendees from 20 countries.

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Commodities

Wednesday, November 29, 2017

Gold Being Odd and USD Being Tricky / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Every now and then we see some kind of anomaly on the precious metals market. Sometimes it’s particularly useful and sometimes it’s just something random. Yesterday was one of those days when something didn’t seem right. The USD Index rallied, silver declined, mining stocks declined and yet, gold closed the session higher. What can we infer from this uncommon event?

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Commodities

Wednesday, November 29, 2017

Own Gold Bullion To “Support National Security” – Russian Central Bank / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: GoldCore

– We own gold bullion to “support national security” – Russian Central Bank
– Russia warns Washington: Confiscating fx reserves would be “declaration of financial war”
– Russia has quadrupled its gold bullion reserves in decade
– BRICs discussing ‘the possibility of establishing a single (system of) gold trade’
– Russia, China & maybe Saudi Arabia form alliances to unseat petrodollar

– Putin warns state-owned and private companies: be ready for rapid transition to war-time operations
– Russia, China gold-buying, Saudi strategic shift signal petrodollar era ending

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Commodities

Wednesday, November 29, 2017

Gold Fundamentals Are Not Bullish Yet / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

Too many technical analysts dismiss fundamentals. True, technicals usually lead fundamentals but understanding the fundamental drivers (when it comes to Gold) can give you an edge. Gold and gold stocks have remained below their 2016 peaks even in the face of a very weak US Dollar because the fundamentals are not there. Real rates have been stable in 2017 while the yield curve has been flattening. Until things change, Gold and gold stocks have little chance to breakout.  

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Commodities

Wednesday, November 29, 2017

Quotes, Gloats, and Anecdotes from the Silver & Gold Summit / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: GoldSilver

Jeff Clark : I attended the Silver & Gold Summit in San Francisco November 20 and 21. It was great connecting with the many people I know in the industry, but I will tell you that a) attendance was low, and b) crypto promoters were out in force. It turned out to be more of a gold and crypto conference than anything else. Some of the more lively sessions were the gold vs. crypto debates, and one company offered “free bitcoin!” if you opened an account with them.

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Commodities

Wednesday, November 29, 2017

The Oil Information Cartel Is (Finally) Broken / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: OilPrice_Com

By Keith Schaefer : The below article was written by Keith Schaefer of Oil and Gas Investments Bulletin

A determined James Stafford of OilPrice.com just busted wide open an oil industry information cartel that has existed for decades.

Most investors look at WTI and Brent prices at Bloomberg or CME Futures, and figure the oil price is in the public domain.  You would be about 2 percent correct, because there are hundreds of different grades of oil, and hubs where it is bought and sold.  And they all have different prices.

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Commodities

Wednesday, November 29, 2017

Gold's Global Supply Artery: Heading for Cardiac Arrest / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: MoneyMetals

By David Smith: An oceanic-scale demand push from "all parts Far East" is building, as the desire to own gold and silver promises to place an increasingly solid foundation for years to come.

China, India, and Southeast Asia have historically accumulated precious metal as a savings vehicle, a hedge against political uncertainty (e.g. India's surprise call-in last year of 80% of the country's paper currency), and as an expression of affection. China's newly-emerging affluent middle class alone is set to become larger than the population of the U.S. Frank Holmes collectively refers to these elements as "love and fear trades".

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Commodities

Wednesday, November 29, 2017

There’s No Silver Deficit, and Hasn’t Been One For 10 Years / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: David_Morgan

The ongoing debate in the industry is whether or not there is a surplus or a deficit of silver supply. However, to silver expert David Morgan of The Morgan Report, there hasn’t been a deficit in at least a decade. “In the past, we were in a deficit, from 1990 to 2006. From 2006 until now, we’ve been in a surplus,” he told Kitco News at the Silver & Gold Summit in San Francisco. “We are not and have not been in a silver deficit for the last 10 years.” However, Morgan remains optimistic that silver prices can move higher. “We have a good base here, we’re at the launch point in next 3-6 months,” he said. “2018 is going to be a good year for silver.”

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Commodities

Tuesday, November 28, 2017

Inflation Target, Taylor Rule and Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

The central banks’ inability to achieve their inflation targets led some analysts to argue for modifying these targets. Are they inappropriate in a modern, globalized economy? Should central banks change them? Or should they conduct a more rule-based policy, as John Taylor argues? How would such moves affect the gold market?

As a reminder, the Fed (as well as other major central banks) targets 2-percent inflation. It may seem to be strange, as such a level is far away from the price stability (which, taken literally, means neither inflation nor deflation), which the central banks should are obliged to ensure. However, deflation is a central banks’ worst nightmare, so they want to have some buffer in case of negative demand shock. With the inflation target at zero, the margin of error would be very limited. But central banks have been missing their targets for years – should they change them?

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