Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Monday, April 16, 2018
Junior Mining Stocks are Close to Breaking Downtrend / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018
By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne
A few weeks ago we wrote that it may not be Gold’s time yet but a few recent developments suggest its time could be sooner than we anticipated. Although Gold failed to breakout last week, we should note the positive action in the miners. Over the past seven trading days the miners have strongly outperformed Gold. That includes the juniors, which appear very close to breaking out of the downtrend that has been in effect for over 12 months.
Sunday, April 15, 2018
Time for the Gold Bulls to Show their Mettle / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Rambus_Chartology
For the last three months gold had been chopping out a rectangle trading range which has completed four reversal points so far. Wednesday of this week it looked like gold may breakout above the top rail but the bears stopped the advance just when it looked like the bulls were finally going to win.
Many times before a rectangle is finished building out there can be one last move back down to the center of the rectangle where support is found. If the bulls are truly in charge they could take this oppurtunity to rally gold up and through the top rail to complete the rectangle as a halfway pattern. If the bulls can muster up enough energy to take out the top rail the rectangle would have a price objective up to the 1445 area as shown by the blue arrows. At this point there is no way to know if we’ll see another reversal all the way back down to the bottom of the rectangle which would complete the 5th reversal point. It’s still a consolidation pattern at this time.
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Saturday, April 14, 2018
Sugar Commodity Buying Levels Analysis / Commodities / Commodities Trading
By: Austin_Galt
Pattern – price is clearly in a downtrend…which I think is finished, for the time being anyway. Price made a little inside candle the day before last and the last day’s trading saw price breach the high of the previous day which is often a sign of a change in trend. Price will, obviously, need to trade further up to confirm this suspicion of mine.
PSAR – this has indicator has now turned bullish with the dots now underneath price. A good sign for the bulls but nothing to get too excited about.
Saturday, April 14, 2018
The Oil Trade May Be Coming Alive / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: WMA
In all asset classes, following a major bear market, prices tend to stumble along at depressed levels – sometimes for years. Negative sentiment permeates across all types of investors, from the short-term traders to long-term retail investors. Once everyone is convinced that the paradigm has changed for the asset and prices at depressed levels are the “new normal”, the seeds will have been sown for the next bull market.
Friday, April 13, 2018
Will Debt Leverage Leverage Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
Attention, please! The leverage in the stock market has been recently rising. As one can see in the chart below, the stock market margin debt surged more than $113 billion in 2017, one of the largest annual surges. Moreover, it was the ninth annual increase in a row.
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Friday, April 13, 2018
Coup d'État That May Shake the Gold World / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
Everyone focuses now on the chemical attack in Syria. Meanwhile, the most important turnover in the world remains mostly unnoticed. But we’re on guard. Let’s read our analysis of the key revolution of 2018 and find out the implications for the gold market.
Hawks Take Over the Fed
Are we going to write about Syria? North Korea? China? No. You already know everything you should about these geopolitical threats. The media bomb you with news about bombings, trade wars, nuclear trials, etc. But the key upheaval is taking place in silence, in the cool marble rooms of the Federal Reserve Banks. ‘The Hawkish Revolution’ – this is how the future historians will call it.
Friday, April 13, 2018
How I Own My Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Axel_Merk
Those who own gold often argue how to best own it. I encourage anyone holding gold to assess the pros and cons of different choices of gold ownership to make an educated rather than emotional decision. Let me explain.
I commissioned the above cartoon back in 2011 in response to an assertion by CNBC’s Steve Liesman no one would accept a gold coin in a grocery store. My take was that, hell, if I offered a gold coin, I’m pretty sure I would find a taker if I wanted to exchange it for some groceries.
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Thursday, April 12, 2018
Rise Of The New Commodities Bull Market? / Commodities / Commodities Trading
By: Chris_Vermeulen
New massive breakout patterns have been setting up in the markets for months and our research team at the Wealth Building Newsletter has been quietly watching these setups – waiting for the right time to alert our followers of these exceptional opportunities. Today, we are announcing our research and triggers to all of our followers so you can attempt for profit from our hard work and see just how critical our “Adaptive Learning Tools” are for success.
We believe the following charts clearly show just how important these breakout patterns are for traders. This first chart shows the Stage 1 Basing formation that we’ve been following for quite a while with our Adaptive Dynamic Learning Cycles. These cycle projections help us to determine the future potential of any markets as well as help us to understand historical and current price cycle rotations.
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Thursday, April 12, 2018
Gold Hedging From Hedge Funds & Traders Continues to Surge / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: GoldSilver
It’s a relatively quiet trend, but the most active of investors—hedge funds and traders—are aggressively putting gold hedges in place.
It shouldn’t really be a surprise, given the recent spike in volatility in the stock market. It hasn’t been reported much in the mainstream, but an increasing number of people who make their living from investing are betting on gold.
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Tuesday, April 10, 2018
Gold Cycle is Up / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: The_Gold_Report
Technical analyst Jack Chan updates the gold and silver charts and finds buy signals for both gold and silver.
Our proprietary cycle indicator is up.
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Tuesday, April 10, 2018
Gold Holding Its Own / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Richard_Mills
As a general rule, the most successful man in life is the man who has the best information
What the heck is going on with gold? The past few weeks have seen global equities falling amid a broad selloff in tech stocks, but the traditional safe haven metal has barely budged, floating along in a fairly tight range of between around $1320 and $1330 an ounce with the exception of a spike to $1354 on March 26 and a slip on March 16 and 20. See the tech stock-dominant Nasdaq one-month chart versus one-month gold.
Tuesday, April 10, 2018
David Morgan: Silver Market Set Up Is “Best I’ve Seen for a Very Long Time” / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: MoneyMetals
Mike Gleason: It is my privilege now to welcome in our good friend David Morgan of The Morgan Reports. David it's always a real pleasure to have you on and welcome back, how are you sir?
David Morgan: Mike I'm doing well, thank you very much for having me on the show.
Mike Gleason: Well David we've seen a tremendously tight trading range in the metals markets over the last several months, especially in silver, and before we get into some other topics with you today I wanted to get your thoughts on what these prolonged periods of a range trade or a base building market generally means for us moving forward. When you see this type of thing on the charts for one of the precious metals or for some other commodity for that matter, I know you cover a lot of different markets, does it mean that we're likely to see a big move one way or the other? Is it a bullish indicator that we're building a major base of support from which to launch, what do you think?
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Monday, April 09, 2018
Which is Right: Gold or Real Rates? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne
Readers know that I have beaten this drum all too often. Gold’s major fundamental driver is declining or negative real rates. There is a strong inverse correlation because Gold is money. That’s what JP Morgan said and he’s far more qualified to understand than quotable celebrities like Mark Cuban. But I digress. When real rates are increasing or strongly positive (during most of the 1980s and 1990s and 2011 through 2015) Gold performs poorly because one can earn a real return on their money unlike with Gold. However, when real rates decrease and particularly when they are negative, Gold flourishes. That being said, right now there is an interesting development. Real rates have increased over the past year but Gold has held steady. Reviewing recent history can help us answer which is right.
Monday, April 09, 2018
The Beautiful Chartology of SLV Silver ETF / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Rambus_Chartology
SLV along with the PM stocks have been under performing gold in a pretty significant way. Normally you would like to see the PM stocks outperforming gold on the front end of a bull market similar to what we saw back in the beginning of the 2000 bull market in the PM complex. So far that hasn’t been the case.
Below is a weekly chart for SLV we’ve been following for a long time now as it has been chopping out the nearly four year diamond trading range. The first thing that would get my attention would be if the price action could takeout the top rail of the seven point diamond which is technically a reversal pattern at the moment. A touch of the bottom rail would complete the 8th reversal point which would be a consolidation pattern to the downside if the bottom rail is broken. It wouldn’t hurt to see SLV trade back above the 65 week ema if one is a bull.
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Monday, April 09, 2018
Gold to Rally Due to Increased Stock Market Volatility? Really?! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: P_Radomski_CFA
We were recently asked if the price of gold is likely to rally because of the increased volatility in stocks. This seems believable at the first sight, as gold is seen as a safe-haven asset and thus people could be buying it when the stock market’s movement becomes chaotic, scary and/or unpredictable.
So, the stock market’s volatile decline in the recent days is likely to become the catalyst for gold’s breakout above the $1,350 - $1,400 trading range, right?
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Monday, April 09, 2018
Donald Trump's False Bravado Trade War, Implications for Gold Market / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: The_Gold_Report
Precious metals expert Michael Ballanger discusses Donald Trump's trade war with China and the implications for the gold market. When I played pro hockey in Richmond, Virgina, it was during the era of "Slapshot!" and the Broad Street Bullies when gooning (fighting) was fashionable and an integral part of the sport. Stocking your team with two-or three enforcers meant that the finesse players could sail around the ice doing pirouettes and triple axles and dipsy-doodles without the fear of some 250-lb lumberjack from northern Quebec impaling them. I learned quickly from our coach, the legendary Forbes Kennedy (one of the toughest NHL players ever) that the way to avoid getting into a donnybrook with someone you really did not wish to engage was "Don't fookin' look at 'em!" because if they caught your eye and were staring you down, you then were forced to drop the gloves. I made a habit of staring into the eyes of all the finesse players and upon the skates of the goons. Of course, there was the odd occasion I forgot and wound up holding on for dear life when one of the Neanderthals tricked me up and forced me to drop 'em but for the most part, old "Forbie" was absolutely spot on and you could stay safe if you avoided the glaring, maniacal eyes of the Gilles Bilodeaus and Billy Goldthorpes of the world but ONLY if you just "didn't fookin' look at 'em."
Saturday, April 07, 2018
New Silver Bull Market Coming / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Zeal_LLC
Silver has been dead money over the past year or so, relentlessly grinding sideways to lower. That weak price action has naturally left this classic alternative investment deeply out of favor. Silver is extremely undervalued relative to gold, while speculators’ silver-futures positions are extraordinarily bearish. All this has created the perfect breeding ground to birth a major new silver bull market, which could erupt anytime.
Silver’s price behavior is unusual, making it a challenging investment psychologically. Most of the time silver is maddeningly boring, drifting listlessly for months or sometimes years on end. So the vast majority of investors abandon it and move on, which is exactly what’s happened since late 2016. There’s so little interest in silver these days that even traditional primary silver miners are actively diversifying into gold!
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Saturday, April 07, 2018
21 Trillion Reasons to Own Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
Do you know how much a trillion is (we refer here to the short scale)? A billion is hard enough to imagine, much less a trillion. But let’s try. We can write it as 1,000,000,000,000 – that’s a 1 with twelve zeroes. In other words it’s million million, or ten to the twelfth (1012). One trillion of dollars in $100 dollar bills would stack up to about 631 miles high. Given that the average annual income in the U.S. is around $50,000, Joe Schmo would have to save 20 million of years (and not consuming at all) to stockpile a trillion dollars. Sounds enormous, right? So now multiply it by 21 and you will obtain the new level of the U.S. federal debt (here you can watch a movie visualizing the U.S. debt of $20 trillion).
Thursday, April 05, 2018
As Volatility Spikes, Here’s What Could Be Ahead for Gold and Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: GoldSilver
The shift from low to high volatility in the markets is on. And almost by default, that’ll include gold and silver, since they’re inversely correlated to stock markets most of the time.
We’ve already seen this at work. The S&P 500 fell 2.2% on April 2, and in response, gold rose 1.2% and silver 1.6%.
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Thursday, April 05, 2018
Gold Price Set For Sparkling Rally / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Austin_Galt
Latest Price – $1340.20
Pattern – price looks to have been consolidating these past few months and as price rose into this consolidation pattern it should leave the same way – up. Breaking below the low of this consolidation phase at $1303 could be one area to place stops.
Bollinger Bands – price found support three separate times at the lower band. I doubt there will be a fourth time and price looks to have recently found support at the middle band.