Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Tuesday, May 23, 2017

Today's Stunted Oil Prices Could Cause Oil Price Shock In 2020 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: OilPrice_Com

As oil prices remain unsteady and OPEC continues to make headlines every hour, the world is focused on oil’s immediate future. As Saudi Arabia announces plans to slash production and move their economy away from oil dependency, many industry insiders are predicting that the now over-saturated market will reach an equilibrium with higher commodity prices by 2018 and U.S. shale production will continue to grow along with global demand.

Tuesday, May 23, 2017

The Only Metal Trump Wants More Than Gold / Commodities / Metals & Mining

By: OilPrice_Com

Tuesday, May 23, 2017

Is the Gold Price Correction Over? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: The_Gold_Report

With confidence in the post-election "Trump inflation trade" waning, Rudi Fronk and Jim Anthony, cofounders of Seabridge Gold, set out their thesis for the end of the current correction in the gold market.

Tuesday, May 23, 2017

Gold Long-Term Trend Is Bullish Despite Resistance / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Ed_Carlson

Gold rallied $26.50/oz. last week closing at 1,252.70 and above the 200-dma. Gold is finding resistance from the December trendline and the detrended oscillator is overbought warning of a pullback. Gold priced in Euros (lower) isn’t very bullish on gold’s prospects either. Cycles have us looking for a decline into mid-May and possibly as early as last week.

Monday, May 22, 2017

What an America First Trade Policy Could Mean for the US Dollar / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: John_Mauldin

JACOB L. SHAPIRO : It was only a few months ago that OPEC, once the de facto arbiter of oil markets, seemed to have a plan to inflate the price of oil: The cartel, along with several non-OPEC members, agreed in December to cut production by roughly 1.2 million barrels per day.

And for the first quarter of 2017, OPEC largely made good on its pledge. It produced 1.1 million fewer barrels of oil per day in the first quarter of 2017 than it did in the final quarter of 2016. Saudi Arabia, OPEC’s largest producer, accounted for 55% of the cuts.

Monday, May 22, 2017

James Rickards: Gold’s “Decisive Turn Around” – “Next Stop Is $1,300 Or Higher” / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: GoldCore

James Rickards via Daily Reckoning

But the most important development this week may be the one you never heard about on the news or the internet.

On May 10, gold launched a decisive turnaround from its most recent decline.

Monday, May 22, 2017

Gold and Sillver Markets - Silver Price Sharp Selloff - 22nd May / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: The_Gold_Report

Technical analyst Jack Chan charts the latest moves in the precious metals market, noting a price bounce off positive divergence

Saturday, May 20, 2017

Gold Somewhat Ignores US Dollar Weakness / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

The precious metals complex rebounded as expected after becoming very oversold just a few weeks ago. The rebound has been aided by weakness in the US Dollar, which plunged roughly 2% over several days. However, upon further inspection Gold’s rebound has been entirely dollar-centric. Gold has remained weak in real terms and strength in the gold stocks and Silver has been rather muted. In short, the lack of much stronger performance in the face of US Dollar weakness bodes for increasing downside risk over the near term.

Friday, May 19, 2017

Gold Mining Junior Stocks GDXJ 2017 Fundamentals / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2017

By: Zeal_LLC

The junior gold miners’ stocks suffered a serious thrashing between mid-April and early May.  Relentless heavy selling blasted many back down near deep mid-December lows, leaving sentiment in tatters.  But traders distracted by weak technicals need to keep their eyes on the fundamental ball.  The gold juniors just finished their Q1 earnings season, which was solid.  Their low stock prices are disconnected from reality.

Four times a year publicly-traded companies release treasure troves of valuable information in the form of quarterly reports.  These are generally due by 45 days after quarter-ends in the US and Canada.  They offer true and clear snapshots of what’s really going on operationally, shattering the misconceptions bred by the ever-shifting winds of sentiment.  There’s no junior-gold-miner data that is more highly anticipated.

Friday, May 19, 2017

The End of Reflation? Implications for Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

In the previous editions of the Market Overview, we wrote about the reflation trade. We analyzed the important signals of the uptick in economic activity and inflation all over the world, arguing that the upcoming reflation does not look encouraging for the gold bulls. However, we now see signs that reflation is weakening. What happened and what are the implications for the gold market?

As a reminder, reflation started to attract the attention of investors at the end of 2016 and was based on two pillars: 1) Trump’s rally, i.e. rising expectations about the fiscal stimulus provided by the new administration, and 2) accelerating global inflation and economic growth. As a result, interest rates surged, while the price of gold plunged.

Friday, May 19, 2017

Gold Update…Shaking The Tree / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Rambus_Chartology

There is a pattern forming on gold which wasn’t there yesterday. With yesterday’s big move up and no follow through to the upside today there is a potential H&S top building out. Many times I will use a neckline symmetry line which is taken from the neckline and moved up to the top of the left shoulder to show the possible high for the right shoulder. There is another technique I use where I will use a horizontal line from the top of the left shoulder that can sometimes show the height for the right shoulder. Today’s high at 1265 matches the high for the left shoulder. I’ve been showing the possible neckline as a S&R line, but now after yesterday’s move it’s looking more like a possible neckline. The breakout will come into play around the 1220 area which will confirm the H&S top.

Friday, May 19, 2017

Gold and Silver Trading Alert: New Important Technical Development / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: P_Radomski_CFA

During yesterday’s session, the USD Index plunged once again and so did the general stock market, while gold rallied over $20 and we see a new major technical development that we’ve been expecting to see for some time now. What’s new and what changed?

Thursday, May 18, 2017

Silver: Train Leaving Station Soon! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Gary_Tanashian

Silver prices are rising along the bottom of a 20 year log scale trend channel (shown later). There are no guarantees in a manipulated paper market, such as COMEX silver, but it is possible that silver prices will collapse further, or more likely, move substantially higher, sooner rather than later.

Thursday, May 18, 2017

Here’s The Truth About Russia’s OPEC Crude Oil Cuts / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: John_Mauldin

By Geopolitical Futures : In December 2016, Russia joined OPEC in a pledge to cut oil production by roughly 1.2 million barrels per day.

And for the first quarter of 2017, OPEC largely made good on its pledge. It produced 1.1 million fewer barrels of oil per day in the first quarter of 2017 than it did in the final quarter of 2016.

Thursday, May 18, 2017

Gold Investment & The Tech Stocks Bubble / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: GoldCore

by Jan Skoyles, Editor Mark O’Byrne : Tech is the umbrella word for all things fashionable to invest in right now. Take the recent flotation of Snap Inc. (parent company of teen and narcissists’ favourite app SnapChat), everyone wanted in on the $20 billion flotation.

Snap is likely a sign of a tech bubble that will cost a lot of savers and investors huge amounts of money … again.

Wednesday, May 17, 2017

Gold Prices Spike On Heavy Volume On Trump Risks / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: GoldCore

Gold prices rose for a fifth day to a two week high in early European trading on increasing U.S. political risk pertaining to the Trump Presidency and the increasing risk of impeachment and a U.S. political civil war.

Stocks and U.S. Treasury bond yields tumbled as investors moved cash into safe-haven gold amid a global market selloff.

Wednesday, May 17, 2017

Gold $10,000 May Be Reasonable; Or Wishful Thinking; Or Meaningless / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Kelsey_Williams

Is $10,000 gold reasonable?

Right now, from gold’s current price point of $1240.00 per ounce, we are speaking of an eight fold increase to get to that gloriously celebrated (at least by some) number.  Even if the specific price target is more modest – say $7000.00 per ounce – it is still a huge jump from where we are today. 

It is, however, a reasonable possibility.  Between August 1976 and January 1980, gold rose from $100.00 per ounce to over $800.00 per ounce.

Wednesday, May 17, 2017

Is It A Bull Market Or Bear Market In Precious Metals? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Avi_Gilburt

By Avi Gilburt : First published on Saturday May 13 for members of ElliottWaveTrader.net: Without fail, each and every time the metals have dropped since bottoming over a year ago, many panic and proclaim the bear market to have returned. Moreover, many have looked to the USD as their guide to what the metals will do, and are completely befuddled when the dollar trades in tandem with the metals, as we have seen for almost two months.

As for me, well, since I was taught at a young age not to “ASSUME,” I only listen to price and try to ignore emotion as much as humanly possible. For this reason, I rely on my analysis to make decisions, as relying upon emotion often puts you on the wrong side of the market at the exact worst time.

Wednesday, May 17, 2017

A ‘Must-See’ Chart for Gold and Silver Aficionados  / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Peter_Degraaf

Every now and then a chart appears that provides us with a great opportunity.

The following chart fits that mold.

Tuesday, May 16, 2017

How Silver Price Could Rally Significantly Over The Coming Months / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Hubert_Moolman

The silver price and the US Dollar/South African Rand exchange rate (USD/ZAR) have a very interesting relationship that goes back a long way.

In the long run, the two move in opposite directions. When the USD/ZAR rate is moving up, the silver price is moving down, and vice versa. Furthermore, when the USD/ZAR rate is making a top, then a bottom in silver is normally very close (before or after the USD/ZAR peak).