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Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Saturday, December 14, 2013

Silver Rigged Market Manipulation Coming To An End / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Michael_Noonan

No one can question the fact that the demand for silver has grown exponentially in the past few years, record sales for American Eagle coins being one small example, record buying in India, another larger example. Demand has never been greater. Supply, on the other hand, keeps diminishing.

Global mining production is at its lowest in the past decade. The annual Consumption/ Production ratio is indicative of acute deficits. Whenever there is a situation where demand rises sharply, while supply commensurately declines, it is a recipe for higher prices, and usually, much higher prices. This is true, unless one is talking about the silver market. Under the conditions of record rising demand and considerably less supply, the price of silver is at its lowest levels in the past three years.

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Commodities

Saturday, December 14, 2013

Gold Price Drop Due to Market Manipulation or Lack of Demand? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: The_Gold_Report

What is holding down the gold price? Fear of the end of quantitative easing? Manipulation by a few big players? Central banks leasing inventories? CPM Group Managing Partner Jeffrey M. Christian says forget about all of that. The bottom line is that demand is down as investors big and small wait to see where the price will settle before they start buying again. In this interview with The Gold Report, he explains the impact of new gold investors buying—and selling—ETFs, hedge funds, algo traders and central banks—all factors that could lead to an upward trend in gold equities in 2014 and reinforce the long-term case for owning gold.

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Commodities

Friday, December 13, 2013

Contrarian Gold Stocks Investing / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2013

By: Zeal_LLC

The gold-mining stocks have suffered a disastrous year, plummeting while the rest of the stock markets soared.  This vast performance gap has catapulted bearishness on this sector to epic extremes.  Few own gold stocks anymore, and everyone aware of them loathes them.  This has crushed their stock prices to unsustainable fundamentally-absurd levels.  They now offer the ultimate contrarian buying opportunity.

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Commodities

Friday, December 13, 2013

Signs of Gold's Upcoming Price Decline / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: P_Radomski_CFA

This week was full of action for precious metals investors and traders. Gold, mining stocks, and (especially) silver rallied in the first days of the week only to disappoint on Wednesday and Thursday. No wonder; the rally didn't have "strong legs" as gold's strength was meager compared to that seen in the euro - another USD alternative.

In today's essay we will provide you with 3 gold-related charts (courtesy of http://stockcharts.com), each will tell a different story about gold's performance, but ultimately, they will all point in the same direction - the direction of another move lower in the price of gold.

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Commodities

Friday, December 13, 2013

GOLD Bear Market Ending in December / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: David_Banister

Our Last major Elliott Wave Analysis of Gold came in early September when Gold had touched the 1434 area, and in that analysis we called for a re-test of 1271-1285 levels.  This was based on our Elliott Wave Analysis of the patterns involved since the 1923 spot highs in the fall of 2011.  Our clients of course were updated on a regular basis since that public analysis and we have been looking for clues to a bottom in this Gold bear cycle from the 2011 highs.

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Commodities

Friday, December 13, 2013

Critical Week Ahead for Gold Bugs as Bear Market Continues / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Adrian_Ash

LONDON gold in Dollars terms traded flat for the week Friday morning, holding around $1230 per ounceafter what one analyst calls "a tumultuous few days."

Stockmarkets ticked higher but London's FTSE100 headed for a 1.5% drop on the week.

Silver also erased the last of its mid-week gains, which reached 5.0% yesterday morning, to trade back at $19.55 per ounce.

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Commodities

Friday, December 13, 2013

Gold Price Could Retest 1180 June Low / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Gregor_Horvat

Gold reversed sharply to the downside at the start of September, through the rising trend line of a corrective channel. As we know that's an important signal for a change in trend, which means that bearish price action is now back in view that could accelerate to the downside soon if we consider recent break of 1251 swing low that confirms a completed wave 2 and wave 3 underway to the lows.

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Commodities

Friday, December 13, 2013

China and the Great Precious Metals Migration / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

The desire of gold is not for gold. It is for the means of freedom and benefit. ~ Ralph Waldo Emerson

The century-old fiat experiment is playing out its final stages. With instability rising, the massive shift in wealth is accelerating to the East. Precious metals are one vehicle leading the way.

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Commodities

Friday, December 13, 2013

Gold Opportunity Today Same as It Was for Stocks in 2009 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Profit_Confidential

Michael Lombardi writes: I turned bullish on gold bullion in 2002. At that point, gold bullion was trading around $300.00 an ounce. Now, it trades above $1,250. Simple math suggests this is an increase of about 260% in 11 years, or an average gain of about 23.6% a year.

Other asset classes, like stocks, haven’t performed this well. In 2002, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was trading near 10,000. Now, it hovers close to 16,000, up 60%, or an average of 5.45% per year, over the last 11 years.

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Commodities

Friday, December 13, 2013

Gold The “For Sale” Sign / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: DailyGainsLetter

Sasha Cekerevac writes: Do you feel wealthier today compared to last year?

According to the Federal Reserve, you should, as the household net worth of Americans rose 2.5% between the second and third quarters of 2013 for a total of $77.3 trillion. (Source: “Financial Accounts of the United States,” Federal Reserve, December 9, 2013.)

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Commodities

Friday, December 13, 2013

Has Shale Oil Broken OPEC's Grip? Oil Stocks Powerhouses of the Future / Commodities / Shale Oil and Gas

By: The_Energy_Report

The Shale Age is the age of the nimble junior, and exploration has revealed oil and gas resources that could forever alter the global production profile. Peter Dupont, oil and gas analyst for Edison Investment Research, tells The Energy Report how companies in North and South America, Australia, Africa and the U.K. are upending the oil and gas order and creating a whole new energy investment landscape.

The Energy Report: The price of Brent is holding steady above $100/barrel ($100/bbl) while West Texas Intermediate's (WTI) price is slipping back into the $90s. How are these prices and the spread between them affecting exploration and production of oil and gas?

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Commodities

Thursday, December 12, 2013

Oil Stocks - Change of Trend or Just a Correction? / Commodities / Oil Companies

By: Nadia_Simmons

In our last essay on oil stocks from Dec. 2, we checked the oil-stocks-to-oil ratio to find out what impact it could have on future oil stocks' moves. Back then, we emphasized the strong positive correlation between the ratio and the oil stock index in recent months. As we wrote in the summary:

(...) connecting the long-, medium- and the short-term pictures, we clearly see that the ratio reached a strong resistance zone created by the long-, medium- and short-term lines. Although we saw breakouts above them, they all were invalidated. This is a strong negative signal for oil stocks holders, which suggests that further declines are just around the corner.

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Commodities

Thursday, December 12, 2013

Gold Price Drops $20, "I'd Rather Buy Silver," Says Jim Rogers / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Adrian_Ash

WHOLESALE LONDON gold tumbled more than $20 per ounce in quiet trade Thursday morning, falling with world stock markets after the week's "three-day rally [in gold] prompted some profit-taking" according to one dealing desk.

"The fact that India," said investor, fund manager and best-selling author Jim Rogers to BullionVault overnight, "which has been the largest buyer, has reduced its buying a lot is one of the main factors that's causing gold prices to go down."

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Commodities

Thursday, December 12, 2013

Gold Stocks Bear of a Lifetime Takes No Prisoners / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2013

By: Rambus_Chartology

Today I would like to update some of the Diamonds that have been in play for several months now. Chartology is giving us an edge over most of the other technical disciplines out there , in that it has been showing us the way lower to a T. Nobody but Rambus Chartology folks are seeing the precious metals stocks from this angle that got us short, for the first ride down, one year ago during the first impulse leg down. It was in the first week of December of 2012 that we took our first DUST position and added to it from there until the Kamikaze Portfolio was full. Here we are one year later and we have the exact same setup staring us in the face. This time we are one step ahead of the game by being fully invested in the Kamikaze Portfolio before things broke down.

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Commodities

Thursday, December 12, 2013

Gold 1200+ Tonnes Extra Supply, 1000 Tonnes Blocked / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Julian_DW_Phillips

Indian Politics

The events in India have taken a most interesting turn for gold. The one year-old political party that is anti-corruption is shaking the political foundations there. The ruling National Congress Party is having to change its stance in a hurry and is already losing influence in the capital, Delhi. With elections in May, one of the changes we expect to see will be the Finance Minister relaxing (what effectively is) the blockade on the importing of gold, which is hammering the gold jewelry industry as well as denying Indians access to market gold.

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Commodities

Thursday, December 12, 2013

Indicators to Turn Your Trust Back to Gold and Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: DailyGainsLetter

John Paul Whitefoot writes: Despite the wintry Arctic chill, the economic recovery is in full bloom. Or is it? Wages are stagnant, unemployment remains stubbornly high at seven percent, and consumer confidence remains tepid at best. The average American investor clearly isn’t enjoying the Wall Street perpetual momentum machine.

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Commodities

Thursday, December 12, 2013

Falling Back in Love with Gold Stocks / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2013

By: The_Gold_Report

There's a saying that old love never rusts. James West, publisher and editor of The Midas Letter, might have broken it off with the gold space for a while, but he always knew he'd be back when the time was right. In this interview with The Gold Report, West talks about what has convinced him to start shopping for gold stocks again and the unconventional indicators he's using to signal a buy.

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Commodities

Wednesday, December 11, 2013

Gold Will Crash to $500! Charles Ponzi and I Believe It / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: DeviantInvestor

Yup, that is the story. The following arguments explain why Charles and I think gold will plummet to around $500 per ounce. Also, after my luncheon date with Elvis, I have a large bridge for sale. If you are interested, and willing to make a SERIOUS OFFER, see below.

The price of gold has roughly followed (up, up, and away) the growth of the U.S. national debt since 1971. The national debt is rising like 8% per year, or like $1,000,000,000,000 per year. But don't jump to the conclusion that gold prices will continue rising along with the debt! Charles Ponzi and I have faith in congress, lobbyists, and the sincerity of the budget process. We believe the national debt will rapidly fall due to the positive economic stimulus from ObamaCare, from actual budget cuts, and therefore gold should drop to new lows. Mr. Ponzi thinks it could go real low - like $450 or $500.

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Commodities

Wednesday, December 11, 2013

Crude Oil Prices Could Fall to $80/Barrel? / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: InvestmentContrarian

George Leong writes: Oil prices are heading higher on the chart with the cash West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude rallying back toward the $100.00 level after threatening to test $90.00.

Steady economic signs in the United States, China, and Japan—the three largest economies in the world—along with some muted growth in the eurozone and Europe are adding some spark to the oil futures… But hold on; doesn’t the buying seem somewhat premature?

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Commodities

Wednesday, December 11, 2013

Landmark Ruling in Mexico a Boon for These U.S. Oil Stocks? / Commodities / Oil Companies

By: InvestmentContrarian

Sasha Cekerevac writes: In 1938, Mexico nationalized its oil industry, taking over all aspects from production to final distribution. This ban on ownership by foreign companies continues today; however, changes are underway.

Under the leadership of Mexico’s new president, there is a growing desire and need for the knowledge and technical skills developed by foreign companies, many of which are U.S.-based, to stem the decline in oil production and revive the industry in that country.

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