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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Wednesday, October 14, 2020

Gold and Silver Price Ready For Another Rally Attempt / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: Chris_Vermeulen

After nearly three weeks of sideways/downward price action in Gold and Silver, our researchers believe both metals have already set up another breakout/rally attempt after breaching downward resistance (shown as the downward sloping CYAN line). This could be another huge opportunity for precious metals traders as the next move higher should prompt a rally above recent highs. That means a target price level in Gold above $2100 and a target price level in Silver above $30.50.

ARE METALS POISED TO RALLY TO NEW HIGHS SOON?

The deep price retracements recently in both Gold and Silver have come from news events. First, the EU Banking Report that destroyed the market on September 21. Then, just recently, the news that President Trump contracted COVID-19. The resilience in both Gold and Silver near these recent lows suggests demand for metals is still skyrocketing – otherwise, we believe much deeper price lows would have been reached.

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Commodities

Monday, October 12, 2020

A Big Move In Silver: Watch The Currency Markets / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: Hubert_Moolman

The USD/ZAR chart has been a good predictor for silver rallies. Similar to the US Dollar index, but a bit more accurate or precise. Very important silver bottoms tend to coincide with tops of the USD/ZAR chart.

Below, is a chart of silver as compared with the USD/ZAR chart, to demonstrates this fact:

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Commodities

Sunday, October 11, 2020

Precious Metals and Commodities Comprehensive / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: Rambus_Chartology

For the last 2 days our internet has been down which really makes you appreciate this miracle invention. We’ve had intermittent problems through the years that no one has been able to figure out until today. The phone company finally came to the conclusion that there was a tiny defect in their phone line that would only show up from time to time which made the problem so hard to track down. Today they replaced 1/4 of a mile of telephone line which seems to be working. We’ll know in a few days if this fix is going to work which I can already tell is working.

I would like to start out by looking at the long term weekly combo chart for the PM complex we’ve been following since its inception. I’m out of annotations so you’ll have to use your own imagination where the areas that need a trendline or a breakout symbol occurs.

I just wanted to point out that these are massive 4 year reversal patterns that suggests years of bull market price action. A whole lot of energy has now been stored up in these 4 year trading ranges. Big bull markets don’t start from small reversal patterns but the bigger the bottom the bigger the bull market.

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Commodities

Sunday, October 11, 2020

Gold Stocks Are Cheap, But Not for Long / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2020

By: The_Gold_Report

Peter Krauth explains why he believes gold stocks are "churning out some serious profits that are likely to just keep getting better."

It's not too late for you to buy gold and gold stocks on the cheap.

If you haven't already, you may want to seriously consider it.

That move might set you up for a run over the next few years that could turn into your single best investment…ever.

You see, gold stocks are churning out some serious profits that are likely to just keep getting better.

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Commodities

Saturday, October 10, 2020

Gold Miners Ready to Fall Further / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2020

By: P_Radomski_CFA

It didn’t take long for the mining stocks to turn south once again. No wonder, given that their breakdown was more than verified.

Additionally, they also got bearish support from gold, the stock market, and the USD Index, which also confirmed their decisive move. For more details, let’s take a closer look at the chart below.

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Commodities

Friday, October 09, 2020

A complete paradigm shift will make gold the generational trade / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: Michael_J_Kosares

‘A complete paradigm shift will make gold the generational trade’

As we turn the calendar to October, often a daunting month for financial markets, the same toxic mix that has bedeviled the global economy for most of 2020 remains in full force – the pandemic, the crippled economy, the money printing, and the disheveled politics. For its part, gold held up under the pressure of a September consolidation that threatened at one point to become a full correction, but the selling dissipated, cautious buying re-entered the market and the price went back over the $1900 mark. October always brings a sense of foreboding given its history, and we can only hope that the rest of the month will go significantly better than the start. Gold tends to move to the forefront when things go bump in the night, but then again, gold has been in the forefront for most of 2020 – prompting some analysts to proclaim the launch of a new leg in its long-term secular bull market.

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Commodities

Thursday, October 08, 2020

Gold vs. Silver – Absolutely No Comparison / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: Kelsey_Williams

In the five months between March and August this year, the price of silver increased from a fourteen-year low of $11.77 per ounce to a seven-year high of $29.26. That is a whopping gain of one hundred sixty-three percent.

Meanwhile, gold’s price rose from its low of $1472 per ounce to a recent high of $2061. That represents a gain of forty percent, which is certainly a handsome number. Nevertheless, silver’s performance outshone gold by a ratio of four-to-one.

However, five months doesn’t tell the whole story. For those who were and are, hopeful that this is just the beginning of silver’s day in the sun, be warned. Looking at the bigger picture historically, silver can’t hold a candle to gold.

We referred above to silver’s price outperformance relative to gold for the most recent five months. Here is a chart that shows that same performance within the context of the past five years…

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Commodities

Thursday, October 08, 2020

Gold: Why You Should Be Wary of the "Consensus" / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: EWI


Recent sentiment toward the yellow metal matched peak 2011 levels

You may recall investor optimism that attended gold's then record high of $1921.50 in September 2011.

A Gallup poll from that time period captured the prevailing sentiment. The Sept. 2, 2011 Elliott Wave Financial Forecast said a monthly publication which provides forecasts for major U.S. financial markets, said:

Perhaps the strongest sign of a gold top is a recent Gallup poll showing Americans now consider gold to be the best long-term investment. Gallup parsed the survey by gender, age, income level and political affiliation and in every single subset, gold won out. ... Everyone is onboard gold's uptrend. It is surely a sign of exhaustion.

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Commodities

Tuesday, October 06, 2020

Markets Chop & Grind: Gold, Stocks & Commodities / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: Gary_Tanashian

Whether the market is foreign or domestic, equity, commodity or metal the grind is on. Speaking of grind, the one in gold has been expected as the metal builds out its big picture Handle to the bullish Cup with an objective that is much higher. Let’s take a look at a few NFTRH charts to gauge the grind in several markets and by extension, the grind many feel on their nerves these days. It’s not a time to make money. It’s a time to preserve gains and patiently position.

For gold the grind would be the making of a Handle after the Cup’s key higher high to the 2011 high.

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Commodities

Tuesday, October 06, 2020

Silver Price Great Buy Spot Ahead of Second Big Upleg / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: Clive_Maund

Technical analyst Clive Maund takes a look at silver and explains why he believes it's a good time to build positions.

More than a few traders are confused about what is going on with silver here after its recent reaction, but when we look at its long-term chart the situation quickly becomes clear. So we will start this update by looking at silver's 13-year chart in order to get big picture perspective.

On the latest 13-year chart we see that only broke out of its giant 7-year long base pattern as recently as July. The high-volume surge that occurred upon its breaking out was a sign that it was genuine. What has happened in recent weeks is that it has reacted back to test support at the upper boundary of the base pattern, which is normal. In the last update we were too optimistic in thinking it would continue higher, but the good news is not just that the post-breakout reaction is perfectly normal, but that this reaction back to support is a healthy development that is "recharging the batteries" for the next upleg.

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Commodities

Monday, October 05, 2020

Gold Price Limited Downside, Big Upside / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: Clive_Maund

Technical analyst Clive Maund charts recent movements in the gold market and what they may indicate going forward.

In the last Gold Market update we had thought that it might break out upside from the Triangle that was forming, mainly because of its positive Accumulation line coupled with favorable seasonal factors, but instead, after moving sideways for a while, it broke down, as we can see on its latest 6-month chart below. The good news is that no technical damage was incurred because of this breakdown, as gold is well above important support and well above its rising 200-day moving average. So the fact is that that this drop has actually improved its technical condition by completely unwinding its earlier overbought condition.

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Commodities

Monday, October 05, 2020

Gold Price Is Doing It Again / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: Hubert_Moolman

Gold is trading really close to its 2011 all-time high. This is obviously a critical level for the future of gold prices.

Historically gold in US dollars often clears significant all-time highs only some time after significant currencies like the Euro and British pound.

This is mainly due to US dollar behaviour during times of significant risk aversion, like we’ve had this year and 2008, for example.

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Commodities

Sunday, October 04, 2020

Gold And Silver Stocks Correction Almost Exhausted, Time To Buy / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: Bob_Kirtley

Introduction

Today, we will take a look at the damage inflicted on this sector by the recent sell-off and try to ascertain just what lies ahead for the precious metals stocks involved in gold and silver mining.

We will commence with look at the charts for gold and silver prices followed by a comparison of gold’s progress versus that of the Gold Bugs Index (HUI) and conclude with what lies in store for the Precious Metals stocks in the medium term.

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Commodities

Friday, October 02, 2020

Will Gold Price Go Up? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

Biden asked Trump to shut up during the first presidential debate. But for us, the most important question is whether gold will finally go up.

Thankfully, the first U.S Elections debate between Donald Trump and Joe Biden is behind us. Arguably, it was awful to watch and one of the worst presidential debates in history, as both candidates talked over each other and threw insults. Consequently, the debate did nothing to alter the Presidential race dynamic nor educate the public about the candidates. As the chart below shows, currently, Joe Biden has an average polling lead of 7.3 points over Donald Trump. Of course, the polls, especially nationwide, are not considered as very credible. But, according to the polls, if Trump changes nothing, Biden remains in the lead, and it is projected that the Democratic nominee will win.
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Commodities

Thursday, October 01, 2020

Fed Isn’t Thinking about Rate Hikes. So Does It Maybe Think about Gold? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

The Fed Vice Chair says that the Fed will not even think about hiking interest rates until the inflation reaches 2 percent. Meanwhile, the price of gold decreases further. What is exactly happening in the gold market?

Over the last week, several Fed officials spoke publicly with the purpose of convincing investors that their new policy strategy would be positive for the economy. Powell himself testified three times before Congress. However, the most interesting remarks were delivered by Richard Clarida, Fed Vice-Chair.

On Wednesday, he told Bloomberg Television that the FOMC would not even think about hiking the federal funds rate until the inflation reaches 2 percent:

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Commodities

Wednesday, September 30, 2020

Gold And Silver Follow Up & Future Predictions For 2020 & 2021 – Part II / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: Chris_Vermeulen

This second part of our research post on super-cycles and precious metals will present our expectations going forward for 6 to 24+ months.  In Part I of this research post, I linked a number of our previous research articles we recommended to readers to review for context and continuity. If you have not read Part I of this research article, please take a minute to review that first segment before you continue reading this second segment of our research.

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Commodities

Tuesday, September 29, 2020

Gold And Silver Follow Up & Future Predictions For 2020 & 2021 – Part I / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: Chris_Vermeulen

RESEARCH HIGHLIGHTS:

  • Uncertainty and cycle events will likely lead to continued Gold and Silver price appreciation until the cycle events end (likely in 2024 or 2025).
  • The gold/silver ratio chart shows very clear levels of support and resistance. With the next targets $2,000-$2,250, $3,200 then $5,500+.
  • Extended basing may continue for the next 2 to 4+ months.

I have received many comments and questions related to our Gold and Precious Metals predictions originating from research posts we have made recently.  Today’s research article is Part 1 of a two-part series, which will revisit some of our past forecasts and showcase what my research team and I believe will be the most likely outcome for Gold as we push through the end of 2020 and into early 2021.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Monday, September 28, 2020

Gold, Silver & HUI Stocks Big Pictures / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: Gary_Tanashian

Gold, silver and the HUI Gold Bugs index are viewed here by their big picture monthly charts. In NFTRH we use mainly daily and weekly charts of these along with individual miners to better gauge the shorter-term pictures, which will advise on the end of the correction better than these more cumbersome monthlies that are great for keeping perspective amid the shorter-term noise.

Our target for gold was 1940, established in April off a daily chart pattern. That target was blown through and as the monthly chart shows, a big picture Cup was formed as it made a higher high right around the time that the Buffett hype signaled the oncoming correction as we noted on August 17th:

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Commodities

Monday, September 28, 2020

Gold Stocks Seasonal Plunge / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: Zeal_LLC

The gold miners’ stocks have just been hammered, plunging to new correction lows.  That shattered their indexes’ 50-day moving averages, pounding nails in the coffin of this sector’s recent high consolidation.  This necessary correction probably isn’t over yet.  It is still small and short compared to this bull market’s precedent, the gold stocks are nowhere near oversold, and they are heading into a seasonal-plunge month.

Seeing the gold stocks rolling over into a correction shouldn’t surprise anyone.  They enjoyed a great run, as evident in their leading and dominant sector benchmark the GDX VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF.  From mid-March’s pandemic stock-panic lows to early August, GDX rocketed 134.1% higher in just 4.8 months!  That powerful and fast upleg left gold stocks seriously overbought, necessitating a correction.

That healthy process to rebalance stretched technicals and greedy sentiment began right away.  In the first four trading days after GDX peaked at $44.48 in early August, this ETF plunged 12.2%.  The major gold stocks of GDX mirror and amplify gold, which overwhelmingly drives their earnings.  So the gold-stock selling ceased with gold’s own sharp selloff.  Gold had shot parabolic to extraordinarily-overbought levels.

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Commodities

Monday, September 28, 2020

Why Did Precious Metals Get Clobbered Last Week? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: MoneyMetals

Precious metals markets got clobbered early this week as gold and silver broke down from their high-level consolidations.

Strength in the U.S. Dollar Index seemed to be the catalyst that got the selling going. Once key technical levels got breached, the selling intensified.

Gold prices fell below the $1,900 level on Wednesday. Meanwhile, silver plummeted below $24 an ounce and traded as low as $22 on Thursday before recouping some of those losses by the end of the trading day.

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