Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Sunday, February 21, 2016
Venezuela's Gold Heads East - Ubi Caritas / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Jesse
"We suspect that shorting gold has come to seem like a riskless proposition as long as there is confidence in the Fed. Synthetic gold is the perfect substance for a carry trade: an easy borrow with very low carrying cost and little upside basis risk. Such a hypothesis, in our opinion, does much to explain the incongruity of a declining gold price while fundamentals for paper currency, and the U.S. dollar in particular, obviously deteriorate; while demand for physical gold has exceeded new mine supply for several years running; and while above-ground 400-ounce .995-gold bars located in London, New York, and other financial capitals (in cohabitation with speculative trading activity in paper markets) have steadily dwindled and disappeared into Asian financial centers reformulated as .9999 kilo bars."
Sunday, February 21, 2016
The Gold Bull Is Just Getting Started - Video / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Gary_Savage
The latest crutch used by the bears is that the COT reports are bearish so gold is going back down. That is not necessarily the case if a new bull market has begun.
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Saturday, February 20, 2016
Gold And Silver – Charts Only / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Michael_Noonan
We are strong advocates of the charts providing the best and most reliable information. Even the most respected gold and silver experts do not know when the effects of globalist bankers' manipulation will lose their impact. Each week is one week closer to a final resolve, but no one knows if there are 2 more weeks, 20 more weeks or how much longer price can continue sideways to lower in a bottoming process.
Back on the 6th of February, we posited that there was no bottom confirmed, [See Is A Bottom In? Nothing Confirmed , if you missed the article.], and we maintain that there has not been any identified market activity that suggests a final bottom for the current multi- year correction lower. This week, we focus strictly on the charts.
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Saturday, February 20, 2016
Silver Price Trend Forecast - Silver has more work to do.. / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Submissions
Goldvybe writes: While I primarily analyze and trade gold, I do tend to look at the action in silver as the sister metal can provide us with some very interesting clues about where gold is headed next. Over the years the Commitment of Traders (COT) report which is released at the end of each trading week by the CFTC can alert us to some very interesting developments in the precious metals markets.
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Saturday, February 20, 2016
OPEC Lost the Shale-Oil-War: Deflation Looms / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Andrew_Butter
In the unspoken plan to shut down what the oil-aristocrats called, “high cost producers”, let’s call that the Shale-Oil-War, the war-word was never mentioned. But it was war and there were casualties, Big-Time. There will be more bankruptcies in the Exploration and Production (E&P) sector and painful write-downs by the banks who supported it; many once oil-rich countries have been pushed into recession and the ripples are traveling down the value chain...there are long lines of cold-stacked brand-new drilling barges built on credit, closed steel plants and the mines that fed them, all the way through to the FAO Food-price Index that tracks oil prices. No wonder China is in some sort of recession, they were the final assembly point for a good part of the stuff you need to get oil out of the ground.
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Saturday, February 20, 2016
When Will Gold and Gold Stocks Correct? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne
Wednesday evening we raised a question in a subscriber update. We wrote: The current question for Gold and gold stocks is if they will push to higher targets before or a correction or if a correction has already started. We should know the answer in the next day or two. The gold stocks exploded higher on Thursday. GDX gained 6% while GDXJ surged 7.4%. Meanwhile, Gold solidified its support at $1200/oz. Markets that become overbought within strong trends can become extremely overbought before they correct. Recent price action in the precious metals complex argues that the path of least resistance in the short term continues to be higher.
Friday, February 19, 2016
Gold Mining Stocks Thrive in Bleak Q4 / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
By: Zeal_LLC
The gold miners’ stocks have soared this year as investors flock back into this long-abandoned sector. Many traders wonder if these eye-popping gains are merely the product of fleeting sentiment that could reverse anytime, or are supported by strong underlying fundamentals. With the gold miners reporting their latest quarterly operating results, this extensive new data offers great insights into gold mining’s fundamentals.
By law, publicly-traded companies must file quarterly earnings reports four times a year. These yield a treasure trove of valuable information for traders, and are easily the single-most-important contribution to financial-market transparency. The Securities and Exchange Commission requires companies traded on the US stock markets to file quarterly earnings reports no later than 45 days after their quarters end.
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Friday, February 19, 2016
Is the Gold Price Manipulated? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
The belief in manipulation in the gold market is associated with the notion of discrepancies between the paper and physical price of gold. The latter is artificially set lower by futures markets creating tons of synthetic gold. Hence the price of gold does not reflect its fundamentals. But the divergence between paper gold and ‘real’ gold cannot last forever; therefore the day of reckoning will finally come, and the paper gold market will collapse and the price of gold will skyrocket.
Friday, February 19, 2016
Marc Faber Warns “Own Some Solid Currency, In Other Words … Gold” / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: GoldCore
“Leave a million dollars with a bank, and in a year, you get only something like $990,000 back,” Marc Faber, respected publisher of the Gloom, Boom & Doom Report, told Bloomberg by phone yesterday.
“I would rather want to own some solid currency, in other words … gold” warned Faber.
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Friday, February 19, 2016
Fascinating Gold Charts With Hidden Trendlines / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: InvestingHaven
Gold had another very strong day, closing the day 2% higher. After a strong run over the last couple of weeks, the question is where gold stands, and how much upside potential it has. Let’s revise the charts and leading indicators in this article.
First, our daily gold chart (since gold peaked) shows that gold recently broke out of its downtrend. Interestingly, the gold price retraced this week to just below the resistance line, and closed today 1% above it. So far so good, this is strong price action without any doubt.
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Friday, February 19, 2016
Trump Candidacy Is Sign of a Falling Empire and a Rising Resource Market / Commodities / Metals & Mining
By: The_Gold_Report
Dramatic daily moves in the U.S. dollar, gold prices and the larger markets are pointing to a global banking collapse that will send resource prices higher in 2016, according to 321gold.com founder Bob Moriarty. In this interview with The Gold Report, he shares his insights on how mining equities will react and five names he is watching.
Thursday, February 18, 2016
Gold BUGZ v. MR. NASTI / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
By: Denali_Guide
Now before you get down on Mr. Nasti's ($NASI) case, just realize he is just the bagman for the US TREAS, BOJ, BOE, ECB, ESF, JPM, and PPT. They all helped jump start the volume which has brought the mullets and some institutions back as well as BIG foreign money coming to the USA as tax dodge in their own countries. Ironic isn't, the USE Red-Letters all the other tax havens and busts them, not to increase the US's legal take, but to steal their business !
Wow what a plan !! They did that in plain view and not one figured it out !!
Thursday, February 18, 2016
Precious Metal’s War: Central bankers have Not lost & Never will / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Sol_Palha
An empty head is not really empty; it is stuffed with rubbish. Hence the difficulty of forcing anything into an empty head. Eric HofferThey might lose a battle or two, but war is a composition of battles, and when it comes to war, these guys never lose as their principle is simple. Take no prisoners, shoot to kill and ask questions only if the enemy survives the onslaught of bullets. This would be a good time to read the book “the art of war” by Sun Tzu.
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Thursday, February 18, 2016
Two Top Reasons Why Silver Is A Must-Have / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Hubert_Moolman
The timing of this silver rally relative to the gold silver ratio (GSR).
In the last 100 years, there were three significant silver rallies, with the current one still in progress. Below is a long-term Gold/Silver Ratio chart showing those silver rallies:
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Thursday, February 18, 2016
ABN AMRO Predict Gold At $1,300 By Year End, Up From $900 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: GoldCore
Gold is holding solidly above $1,200, brushing off news of the freshly released Fed minutes. Iranians cautiously welcome the Saudi-Russian oil production pact, while stating that they support cooperation to achieve higher oil prices, they also have domestic pressure to ramp up export of supply and cash in after years of being locked out of the market. This may possibly weigh down future oil price rises.
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Thursday, February 18, 2016
What is the Best Trade on the Gold Mining Sector? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
By: Sam_Kirtley
Gold prices soared last week when Fed market pricing went to extremes, with bond prices indicating that there was next to no chance of a rate hike in the next twelve months. We have covered the cause of this irregular pricing, which was the stopping out of 2016 consensus macro trades, in a previous article, so we will not repeat ourselves here. For the purpose of this analysis it suffices to say that gold prices were heavily overbought when they challenged $1250 and that the currently high levels are unsustainable.
Thursday, February 18, 2016
Gold Price Shows Some Resilience / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Jesse
Gold and silver were hit early in the overnight, and there was some obvious quote stuffing and other gimmicks in the gold futures to take the price lower. Don't take my word for it, it was Nanex that printed this and showed the data.
And gold once again would not be denied, and held the 1200 level and then some.
Let's see how we keep going in this potential chart formation.
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Wednesday, February 17, 2016
Gold and Silver - Goldman Says Have No Fear and Buy Our Paper / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Jesse
Goldman analyst Jeffrey Currie came out this morning with a 'sell gold' recommendation for Ma and Pa Muppet.
I was fortunate enough to hear his explanation for this in his own words on Bloomberg TV, which had touted his gold call about every fifteen minutes all day.
The net summary of Mr. Currie's forecast is that Goldman's economists think that there ought to be no fear in the financial paper markets, since there is an historically low chance of a recession, less than fifteen percent, and he sees no real possibility of negative interest rates.
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Wednesday, February 17, 2016
Gold Price Stabilises Above $1,200; Asia Markets Run Out Of Steam / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: GoldCore
Global economic turmoil continues to rumble on as major economies seek to come to grips with a changing monetary environment, sagging growth, low inflation, pockets of deflation and uncertainty over the future of Europe post Brexit. Japanese shares sold off after their gains on Monday, falling 1.8% in today’s trading sessions. European shares rising 1.6% this morning on the back of an expectation that volatility in the markets may begin to stabilise, feels more like a dead cat bounce to be honest.
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Wednesday, February 17, 2016
Gold Knocked for a Loop / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Dan_Norcini
This looks to me more like an overreaction to the down side in gold based off a sort of mini-panic out of the safe haven trades.
From a fundamental standpoint, nothing has changed in regards to the concerns about negative interest rates nor the chaotic nature of the forex markets. While today’s move in gold certainly was certainly unsettling, it should be kept in mind that this market has rallied nearly straight up since January 14 putting on almost $190 in a month. That is one impressive rally!
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