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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Friday, May 09, 2008

Real Crude Oil Price Peaks Trigger Recessions / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Black_Swan

Crude oil has a $25 dollar premium built into the price - We are not making this up; it comes from IMF economist John Lipsky, quoted in a story today carried by Bloomberg:

“IMF research indicates that if the dollar hadn't fallen from 2002 to 2007, oil prices would be $25 a barrel lower. Crude oil futures surpassed $120 a barrel this week for the first time. Commodity prices excluding fuel would be 12 percent lower, Lipsky said.”

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Commodities

Thursday, May 08, 2008

Why a Top in Crude Oil is Bullish for Gold Stocks / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleTechnical analysis isn't just a study of price action of a single stock or market. It involves much more. It has been a while since I've written about intermarket analysis, which studies and compares the relationships between markets. Some markets will be weak if certain markets are in a bull trend. Some markets trend together. A simple example of intermarket analysis is that gold and oil (and most commodities) tend to rise together. Wouldn't that entail gold stocks rising as well? Wouldn't that mean rising oil is good for gold stocks?

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Commodities

Thursday, May 08, 2008

Gold- The Only "Win-Win" Investment I know of / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLarry Edelson writes: Gold's precipitous tumble from its record-high of $1,038 set on March 17 down to the recent $850 level has lots of people asking, "Is gold's bull market over?"

My answer: No! Not by a long shot!

I know you've been getting an earful from the talking-head ninnies about how the long-running commodity bull is getting short of breath and is about to be put out to pasture. Ignore them.

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Commodities

Thursday, May 08, 2008

Global Food Riots Protend Trouble for the US Dollar / Commodities / Food Crisis

By: Chris_Galakoutis

On a trip to Canada recently I couldn't help but notice the extensive media coverage paid to the worldwide food price inflation, as well as the riots breaking out in many countries over food shortages.

And of course the list of reasons given by the so-called ‘economists' interviewed are completely devoid of the one all important reason fueling what may arguably become an epic food price inflation: the declining value of the US dollar.

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Commodities

Thursday, May 08, 2008

Gold Rallies on Indian Festive Demand / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

PHYSICAL GOLD BULLION hit a two-day high of $874 per ounce in thin trade Thursday morning in London, while world stock markets ticked lower and crude oil held just below yesterday's new record high of $123.93 per barrel.

Government bond prices rose, pushing the yields offered to new buyers lower.

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Commodities

Thursday, May 08, 2008

Gold Marks Time Ahead of US Jobless Claims / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Mark_OByrne

Gold traded around the $870.00 mark overnight with silver tracking movements around the $16.60 level. The London AM Gold Fix at 1030 GMT this morning was at $872.25, £445.48 and €568.61 (from $878.00, £446.38 and €565.25 yesterday).

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Commodities

Wednesday, May 07, 2008

Anticipating a Top in Natural Gas / Commodities / Natural Gas

By: Mike_Paulenoff

I am anticipating the establishment of a meaningful top in the U.S. Natural Gas Fund ETF (AMEX: UNG) in the vicinity of 53.00-55.00 in the upcoming days/weeks. Both my pattern and momentum work indicate that such a top is in development at this time, but that does not preclude the UNG from climbing to marginal new highs above 55.06 during the process.

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Commodities

Wednesday, May 07, 2008

Gold Follows Euro Lower / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

THE PRICE OF GOLD fell hard early Wednesday in London, losing 1.5% from Tuesday's peak to reach a two-day low as shock data from Germany drove the Euro lower against the US Dollar on the currency markets.

Crude oil meantime pushed above $122 per barrel on news of terrorist attacks in Nigeria , the world's seventh-largest producer.

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Commodities

Wednesday, May 07, 2008

US Economy No Recovery Whilst Housing Bust Continues- Gold $1200 / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Jim_Willie_CB

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOnce every several months, an opportunity is presented on a silver platter to purchase a spectacular investment in a strong uptrend, with loud indications of continued upward trend in price. Gold is heading well past $1200 and silver is heading well past $25 in the next several months, despite the orchestrated annihilation of honest valid reporting. How many times have the clowns on Wall Street and the financial subservient media networks claimed that the worst was over for the US Dollar, gold, the US Economy, the housing market, and bank bond losses?

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Commodities

Tuesday, May 06, 2008

Gold Strategy- Buying on the Dips / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Ned_W_Schmidt

Wheat price has broken. Rice price has a short-term top. Corn may be topping out. Gold is down. Silver has taken a dive. Housing prices are in the middle of decade long bear market. Yet, oil futures continue to move higher, fueled by margin led speculation. All of that oil action is happening when no shortages of petroleum seem to exist anywhere. Oil price is rising due to 93+% financing of the purchase price of a futures contract.

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Commodities

Tuesday, May 06, 2008

Gold Follows Crude Oil Higher / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

SPOT GOLD for physical delivery hit a one-week high at the London opening on Tuesday, unwinding one-third of the last fortnight's 12% plunge as crude oil hit new record highs above $120 per barrel.

World stock markets fell, led by banks and home-building stocks, despite Bank of America confirming that it will push ahead with its $4.1 billion purchase of Countrywide, the biggest US mortgage lender.
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Commodities

Tuesday, May 06, 2008

Gold Headed for Summer Seasonal Weakness? / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Julian_DW_Phillips

The gold market in the past has been seasonal, with the rule being, "Sell in May and go away". This lull in demand usually started in May and lasted until the middle-to-end of August, with the main demand appearing in the final quarter of the year and lasting until the end of May. Will it be the same this year? Bear in mind a big fall has happened already this last month.

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Commodities

Tuesday, May 06, 2008

Thoughts on Global Weather, Food Supplies and Inflation / Commodities / Climate Change

By: David_Petch

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleA brief note: There is really nothing further to add from prior updates of the S&P, HUI, XOI, USD or TNX as the patterns appear to be playing out as forecast (the HUI is taking slightly longer and may be putting in a slightly different count). Is there such thing as having an impartial Elliott Wave count…everyone has a bias in some form or another. The way someone perceives market action to follow (inflation or deflation) will affect their logical processes for how labeling schemes “should” appear. This thought would be equivalent to a downhill skier at the bottom of a hill expecting to magically ski to the top…right idea but wrong location (the skier at the top recognized the landscape correctly and got it right).

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Commodities

Monday, May 05, 2008

Has Europe Declared War on the US Dollar? / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Michael_J_Kosares

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFootprints lead to London Market Attack.
Gold suffers Collateral Damage.

When Jean-Claude Juncker, Luxembourg's premier and the chair of Europe's finance ministers, announced on April 23 that "financial markets and other actors [had not] correctly and entirely understood the message of the [recent] G7 meeting," his words went essentially unheeded. The Daily Telegraph's Ambrose Evans-Pritchard put that message in clear language. "[Juncker], he said, "has given the clearest warning to date that the world authorities may take action to halt the collapse of the dollar and undercut commodity speculation by hedge funds."

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Commodities

Monday, May 05, 2008

Gold and Silver Update: All That Glitters / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Joe_Nicholson

“There's little evidence to suggest anyone actually wants a strong dollar, just a stable currency that will make business more transparent. The wave of inflation triggered by the current easy money policy has only just begun to materialize but, because of the consumer's link to interest rates through their home mortgages, it will be all but impossible for the Fed to make any more than token hikes in their target rate. What's more, because the spread between Fed funds and Libor remains stubbornly wide, it's quite possible the Fed will not be finished cutting rates this week, even if it pauses, as interbank lending continues to be fearful.

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Commodities

Monday, May 05, 2008

Factors In Defense of Gold / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Frank_Holmes

The price of gold has corrected by close to 20 percent since peaking on March 17. If you have been listening to the popular press and business TV, you may be convinced that the gold and commodity “bubbles” have popped.

Once you back away from the day-to-day noise and put things into perspective, we believe this correction in gold, while painful in the short term, is just another pause in a long-term secular bull market. As it has been said, bull markets climb a wall of worry.

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Commodities

Sunday, May 04, 2008

Gold Severe Downtrend to Possibly Towards $660 / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Merv_Burak

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleUp, down, up, down, up but in the end the downs have it. For every $5 to $8 that gold goes up it goes down by $20. That's not the way to new highs. For now it looks like the down side is the direction of least resistance but for how long?

GOLD : LONG TERM
With the confirmation of a long term P&F bear market in progress this is what the long term P&F chart looks like now. The two previous lows were breached earlier at the $900 level and the up trend line was finally breached at the $870 level on Wednesday.

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Commodities

Saturday, May 03, 2008

Perhaps 60% of today's Crude Oil Price is Pure Speculation / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: F_William_Engdahl

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe price of crude oil today is not made according to any traditional relation of supply to demand. It's controlled by an elaborate financial market system as well as by the four major Anglo-American oil companies. As much as 60% of today's crude oil price is pure speculation driven by large trader banks and hedge funds. It has nothing to do with the convenient myths of Peak Oil. It has to do with control of oil and its price. How?

First, the crucial role of the international oil exchanges in London and New York is crucial to the game. Nymex in New York and the ICE Futures in London today control global benchmark oil prices which in turn set most of the freely traded oil cargo. They do so via oil futures contracts on two grades of crude oil—West Texas Intermediate and North Sea Brent.

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Commodities

Friday, May 02, 2008

Junior Precious Metals Mining Companies Risk / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks

By: David_Morgan

Dear David,

Thank you very much for your hard work and excellent research. Your level approach to the metals has long been a beacon to follow. 

Thank you. 

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Commodities

Friday, May 02, 2008

Junior Gold Mining Stocks in the Midst of Fear Driven Sentiment Storm / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks

By: Zeal_LLC

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhile recent activity in the gold stock sector has caused many of its battle-hardened investors to capitulate, the tried and true speculators still holding strong in the junior-gold-stock realm are feeling beaten and bloodied.

As a speculator in junior gold stocks I have not been immune to the carnage in this small sector either. And it's not difficult to hear the wailing and gnashing of teeth. The juniors are in the midst of a fear-driven sentiment storm that is fierce and unforgiving.

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