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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Tuesday, September 12, 2017

Crude Oil Price Invalidated Breakout – What’s next? / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Nadia_Simmons

On Friday, crude oil moved sharply lower and lost over 3% after investors digested the EIA report and reacted to the increase in crude oil inventories. Thanks to these circumstances, light crude invalidated the earlier breakout above the resistance area and slipped well below $48. What does it mean for the commodity?

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Commodities

Tuesday, September 12, 2017

Silver Lags Gold But Signs Point to End of Bear Market / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Clive_Maund

Technical analyst Clive Maund finds that signs are emerging that silver is getting read to break out. On its long-term 10-year chart silver superficially looks like it may still be in a bear market, but on more careful inspection we can see that a large Head-and-Shoulders bottom pattern is completing, which is tilted compared to the similar pattern that is completing in gold, because silver tends to underperform gold at the end of bear markets and the beginning of bull markets. As we can see, unlike gold, it is still some way from breaking out of this base pattern, but should do so not long after the dollar breaks down from its Broadening Top, that we look at in the parallel Gold Market update.

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Commodities

Tuesday, September 12, 2017

Is Gold in a Real Bull Market? This Chart will Show You / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Peter_Ginelli

After climbing 9% in 2016, from $1050 to $1150 and another 10% gain during the first half of this year, in July and again in early August, gold dropped down to $1210, before rallying back up both times to $1290 and $1350 per ounce respectively. This back and forth price action has some investors worried if this is a real bull market in gold or yet another flash in the pan for the coveted yellow metal?

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Commodities

Tuesday, September 12, 2017

Reverse H&S Pattern in Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Last week, we received quite a few messages in which readers asked about the long-term reverse head-and-shoulders pattern in gold and related ratios. In today’s alert we discuss this in greater detail.

Let’s jump right into the gold chart (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com).

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Commodities

Tuesday, September 12, 2017

David Smith: Precious Metals Supply Pipeline “Getting Harder and Harder to Fill” / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: MoneyMetals

Mike Gleason: It is my privilege now to welcome back David Smith, senior analyst at The Morgan Report and regular contributor to MoneyMetals.com. David, thanks for joining us again and how are you?

David Smith: I'm just fine, Mike. It's great to be back.

Mike Gleason: Well, David, not too long ago you wrote an article for our site about how gold and silver were getting ready for an historic run you called it. So, before we start discussing some of the market action here recently, fill our listeners in on why you believe things were set up and are set up for us to see a good run in the metals here.

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Commodities

Monday, September 11, 2017

Precious Metals Sector is on Major Buy Signal / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: The_Gold_Report

Technical analyst Jack Chan charts the latest moves in the gold and silver markets.

Our proprietary cycle indicator is up.

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Commodities

Monday, September 11, 2017

The Recent Metals Action Is “Causing” Me To Change My Life / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Avi_Gilburt

I have made a ground-breaking discovery this past week. It is so earth shattering, that it will literally change the course of my life, and may cause you to change yours as well. Let me explain.

Maybe you believe that the stock market volatility was the reason the metals rose? Well, the S&P500 is within 2% of its all-time highs, yet the metals have continued to rally alongside the market.

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Commodities

Sunday, September 10, 2017

Major Gold Mining Stocks Breakouts / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2017

By: Zeal_LLC

The gold stocks are off to the races again, with big gains mounting.  They just staged major breakouts, shattering a vexing consolidation that had trapped them for an entire year.  Such momentum early in gold’s strong season is a very-bullish portent.  As higher prices improve both technicals and sentiment, buying begets more buying.  With gold-stock prices still quite low in secular terms, their upside remains huge.

Gold stocks are a small contrarian sector without a wide following.  So their latest surge has surprised many investors and speculators.  But it shouldn’t have.  In the markets knowledge is profits, so staying informed about gold stocks’ fundamentals, technicals, and sentiment is crucial.  The traders who did their homework this summer and bought in low when few others were willing are now sitting on fat unrealized gains.

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Commodities

Saturday, September 09, 2017

Gold Has 2% Weekly Gain,18% Higher YTD – Trump’s Debt Ceiling Deal Hurts Dollar / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: GoldCore

– Gold hits $1,355/oz as USD at 32-month low -concerns about Trump, US economy
– Silver and platinum 2.3% and 1.2% higher in week; palladium 3% lower
– Euro Stoxx flat for week – S&P 500, Nikkei down 0.65% and 2.2%
– Geo-political concerns including North Korea, falling USD push gold 2.1% in week
– Gold prices reach $1,355 this morning following Mexico earthquake

– Safe haven demand sees gold over one year high, highest since August 2016
– Silver touches $18.24 – highest level since April 2017
– Goldman, BoAML and Deutsche Bank all warn re markets this week

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Commodities

Saturday, September 09, 2017

Will Gold Break Out of Sideway Trading? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

Since July 11, gold has been in a short-term upward trend. The yellow metal has gained more than 8 percent since then until the end of August, mainly thanks to the depreciation of the U.S. dollar, as one can see in the chart below.

Chart 1: Gold prices (yellow line, left axis, London P.M. fix) and the U.S. dollar index (red line, right axis, trade weighted index against major currencies).

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Commodities

Saturday, September 09, 2017

12 Reasons Why I Started Investing in Uranium Stocks / Commodities / Uranium

By: Michal_Matovcik

In the 2001–2006 timeframe.. that was easily — and this is a poor pun — the most explosive bull market I have ever seen in my career. I remember there were 5 uranium juniors, 5 companies worldwide where the management teams had a deep enough memory to be able to spell uranium. And over the course of that bull market, the poorest performer of those 5 juniors ran 22:1. The best performer in that market, Paladin Uranium, ran from a bottom of 1 penny to a high of $10. The single oddest experience of my financial career.  Rick Rule

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Commodities

Friday, September 08, 2017

Silver: The Red-Headed, Freckle-Faced Stepchild / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: The_Gold_Report

Silver has lagged behind gold, says precious metals expert Michael Ballanger, who explains why he believes that is about to change.

In grade school, I had a classmate named Craig McVeigh who was easily one of the most maligned kids in the school because as a big lad standing a full hand width taller than anyone and weighing thirty pounds more than anyone, he was never allowed to play in any sports that involved physical contact. Craig was fair, with bright, curly red hair with freckles adorning most of his exposed skin. Most of all, this lumbering giant of a boy was decidedly unlucky. He couldn't catch a break with a butterfly net and a Geiger counter. In class, the kids would be stirring up trouble by firing spitballs at him and at after what felt like an eternity of pelting the poor guy, Craig would finally rear up with his lunch straw and begin to return fire at EXACTLY the precise second that the teacher took notice of the skullduggery and sure enough, Big Craig would be ordered to the corner of the room or out in the hall to await further punishment. On another occasion, a few years later in high school, we were engaged in underage beer drinking at the Claireville Dam and since our ride had left early, we loaded all of the empty bottles into Craig's old Ford pickup truck and then left to retrieve another load when we suddenly saw flashing lights and ran back to see Craig being carted off for carrying open alcohol in his vehicle. The fact that the poor slob was a non-drinker made it doubly bad but the fact remained that Craig McVeigh was one unlucky human being and one that resembled with great alacrity the current state of the silver market.

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Commodities

Friday, September 08, 2017

Gold Soars Above $1300 as Concerns Mount / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: ElliottWave-Forecast

By EWFHendra : Gold has tested $1300 level 3 times since April and it finally broke above the level on Monday and rose to the highest level this year. The trigger of the break seems to be the North Korea firing a ballistic missile over Japan, which boosts the safe haven demand. The yellow metal then extended the rally to 11 month high after North Korea nuke test. Gold’s strength, however, can not be attributed to just one event, but rather over a series of concerns which start to build a wall of worry among investors.

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Commodities

Friday, September 08, 2017

Gold : The Anatomy of the Bottoming Process . / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Rambus_Chartology

Today I would like to show you some short and long term charts for some of the PM stock indexes. In the very short term they have had a good run and are getting overbought and need to work off some of the bullishness. This is perfectly normal and should be expected. What we need to focus in on now is where we should look for support to keep the uptrend intact.

This first chart is a daily look at the HUI which shows us a one year support and resistance line. Two weeks ago already, the HUI broke above that very important S&R line telling us the bulls were in charge after the bears held resistance keeping the bull in check. Now we should look for that S&R line to reverse its role to what had been resistance, to now support. Critical support comes in around the 207 area which would be the backtest. The green circle shows where the 20 day ema crossed above the 50 day ema back in August for a buy signal.

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Commodities

Friday, September 08, 2017

When the United States Owned Most of the Gold on Earth / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Michael_J_Kosares

Few Americans know that, just after World War II, the United States owned most of the gold bullion on earth – about 22,000 metric tonnes. In fact by 1945, it owned over 80% of the gold held by nation-states and central banks – an impressive display of economic power. Now it owns just over 8000 metric tonnes, which represents about 42% of the total global reserve.

The lost 14,000 tonnes were expended in defense of the $35 per ounce gold benchmark price established under the 1944 Bretton Woods Agreement. In addition to the fixed price of gold, the U.S dollar came to represent a fixed weight of gold, i.e., 1/35th of a troy ounce, and the rest of the world’s currencies were then pegged to the dollar. The United States agreed under Bretton Woods to redeem gold from the other signatories at the rate of $35 per ounce should any of the participants determine that gold might be a better alternative for a portion of their reserves than U.S. dollars. “The dollar,” American policy makers were wont to say, “was as good as gold.”

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Commodities

Thursday, September 07, 2017

Gold Price is Headed to $1,500 by Year End / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Jason_Hamlin

A confluence of factors has been pushing the price of gold higher over the past few weeks and I believe it is headed for $1,500 by the close of 2017. After hitting a low around $1,200 in July, the price of gold has since advanced by more than 10% or $140 to $1,340.

The chart shows a significant breakout through both the 100 and 200-day moving averages over the past month. More importantly, gold pierced trend-line resistance that had been in place for over a year.

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Commodities

Thursday, September 07, 2017

Key Labor-Day Analogies in Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: P_Radomski_CFA

It was not so long ago, when we wrote about the record-breaking volume in gold. We described the implications of the extreme monthly volume and we discussed the very high readings in case of the individual sessions. We even described these sessions as the most important sessions of the year – at that time. Well, “at that time” those volume readings were indeed extreme, but what we saw yesterday made the previous sessions seem regular. The Tuesday’s volume in gold was the highest that we’ve seen ever (in case of daily upswings). The volume was even higher than the one that accompanied the results of the Brexit voting. With extreme volume, likely come extreme implications.

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Commodities

Thursday, September 07, 2017

Do Your Really Want $5,000 to $10,000 Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Dudley_Baker

It’s Time to Buy Gold as Insurance.

Investors in the resource sector are starting to lick their chops at the prospects of $5,000 to $10,000 gold within the next few years or perhaps sooner.

Mining shares and especially the junior mining and exploration companies should soar in price with many 10 baggers, 20 baggers and more.


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Commodities

Thursday, September 07, 2017

Hurricane Harvey’s Short-Term Impact May Be Higher Oil Prices / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: John_Mauldin

Harvey hit hard the heart of the US oil industry.

So far, it has shut down 11.2 percent of US refining capacity (about one-third of all US refining capacity is in Texas’ Gulf Coast) and roughly 25 percent of US oil production from the Gulf of Mexico (accounting for about 20 percent of US crude production). It has also closed all ports along the Texas coast.

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Commodities

Thursday, September 07, 2017

Physical Gold In Vault Is “True Hedge of Last Resort” – Goldman Sachs / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: GoldCore

– Physical gold is “the true currency of the last resort” – Goldman Sachs
– “Gold is a good hedge against geopolitical risks when the event leads to a debasement of the dollar”
– Trump and Washington risk bigger driver of gold than risks such as North Korea
– Recent events such as N. Korea only explain fraction of 2017 gold price rally
– Do not buy gold futures rather “physical gold in a vault” is the “true hedge”

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