Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Monday, June 21, 2010
How Commodity Charts Are Reacting, or Not, to China Currency News / Commodities / Commodities Trading
By: Mike_Paulenoff
News that China will re-value its yuan currency is viewed positively, of course, by world markets as it lowers inflation risk and exudes confidence about China’s growth picture.
After an initial higher opening on Monday, what can be expected? The daily chart on the Shanghai is hardly a bullish chart, and in fact went down 3% on Friday. Does the news now invalidate this chart? I don’t know, but to even begin to look exciting, the index has to take out 2600, or 3 1/2% from Friday’s close at 2514, and then faces stiff resistance at around 2800.
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Monday, June 21, 2010
Energy Analyst Urges New Approach In Egyptian Offshore Natural Gas Production / Commodities / Natural Gas
By: OilPrice_Com
Although a recent U.S. government survey outlines the rich potential of offshore Egypt's natural gas reserves, the North African country is yet to offer attractive investment terms to companies carrying out broad exploration in deep waters, according to energy analyst Samuel Ciszuk.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, June 21, 2010
Ratio of Gold Price to Stock Market / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
By: Ned_W_Schmidt
As anyone that has bought and sold a house in the past few years can attest, value is indeed neither fixed nor necessary reliable. Valuing a house, or any other asset, is as much science as carving up a chicken in the moon light at midnight with precision surgical instruments. The tools, such as present value, are precise mathematical calculations. However, the inputs border on being sorcery.
Monday, June 21, 2010
Finding Gold in the Mainstream / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
By: Frank_Holmes
The New York Times dedicated a chunk of last Sunday’s paper to gold as a mainstream investment. In other words, gold is now legit -- no longer can it be dismissed as the asset of choice for fringe types with a cellar full of canned goods and a stash of bullion buried in the backyard.
Monday, June 21, 2010
Central Banks Diversifying into Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
By: GoldCore
Gold rose to a new record (nominal) high in early European trading this morning at $1,265/oz. Gold finished last Friday up 2.3% and at a new weekly record high and is looking strong technically with rising moving averages and three consecutive higher weekly closes, and the higher monthly close in May. Given the strong technical and fundamental backdrop and the fact that the move up has been gradual (with gold only up 4% so far in June - see Currency Performance Table below) gold could make further gains and $1,300/oz looks like the next level of resistance.
Monday, June 21, 2010
Gold New High As Investors and Central Banks Scramble for the Ultimate Safe Haven / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
By: Adrian_Ash
THE PRICE OF WHOLESALE gold bullion rose to a second all-time high vs. the Dollar in two days overnight Monday, touching $1265 an ounce as world stock markets rose sharply on China's weekend promise to "enhance [the] exchange rate flexibility" of its Yuan.
The AM Gold Fix in London was set at $1259.50 an ounce, some 13% higher for 2010 to date.
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Monday, June 21, 2010
Gold Market Charting Characteristics / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
By: Howard_Katz
Each commodity and each economic good has its own characteristics, and before you trade any market seriously, you should stick your toe in the water, so to speak, (meaning to trade at a level you can afford). In this way, you can acquire knowledge of the characteristics of the particular market.
Sunday, June 20, 2010
Gold Bubble? What Bubble? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
By: Toby_Connor
We continue to hear pundits describe gold as a bubble. Certainly it will turn into a bubble before this is all over but we are hardly in the bubble stage yet. In order for a bubble to form you need the public to come into an asset class. The public is pretty dim and it can take 15-20 years before they "catch on". It took 18 before they noticed the tech bubble.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, June 20, 2010
Cheap Natural Gas Becomes the Fuel of Choice for Power Stations / Commodities / Natural Gas
By: Charles_Maley
I think it’s time to talk about Natural Gas again. A few months ago I wrote on the possibility that Natural gas was nearing a bottom in spite of the record supplies. On April 1st I wrote:
Saturday, June 19, 2010
Gold New All Time High Lacks Momentumn / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
By: Merv_Burak
We’re into new all time highs in gold, inflation non-adjusted. Still the move does not have the momentum (strength) behind it to give us all that enthusiasm one might want to give to the move. Go with the flow but watch out should the flow stop.
Saturday, June 19, 2010
Design Considerations for a Shock-Hardened Deepwater Drilling Rig and Plausibility Argument for the Loss of the Deepwater Horizon Drilling Rig / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Dr_Stephen_Rinehart
WWII resulted in many ships (naval surface combatants, subs and commercial tankers) were totally disabled by non-contact underwater explosions and/or air blast loadings (near miss). Also systems on one end of the ship were being knocked-out by a bomb hitting another part of the ship due to the severe shock loadings (think earthquake “g” loads multiplied by an actor of 10X, 50X or 100X). As a result research in underwater explosions was intensified and in Dec 1946, the Underwater Explosions Research Division (UERD) was established by Dr Alfred Keil (the Division’s First Director). Dr Keil came from Wood’s Hole Oceanographic Institute and wrote the classical paper on Underwater Gas Bubble Dynamics (gas bubbles that form underwater from an explosion and can attach themselves to a ship’s hull and cause huge damage or sink the ship. This is why we are using so much dispersant to dilute the huge methane gas bubbles to protect the surface ships such as Discovery Enterprise.
Saturday, June 19, 2010
Will Gold Shares Catch Up to the Gold Price? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
By: Julian_DW_Phillips
Gold share prices have not moved up in line with the gold price, why?
This has shaken quite a few investors, who based on past market moves, expect share prices to move roughly in line with the gold price in the belief that holding gold mining shares will produce the same if not more gains. It's time to look at the 'why' of this.
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Saturday, June 19, 2010
Gold Almost Free at Last / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
By: The_Gold_Report
The U.S. dollar may only look good because its fiat currency brethren look bad, but declining confidence in paper money has thrust gold toward a position it hasn't enjoyed for a century or so— freedom from its seesaw relationship with the U.S. dollar. In this exclusiveGold Report interview, Gold Newsletter Editor and Publisher Brien Lundin—who also hosts the New Orleans Investment Conference—says that mounting troubles in Euroland threaten to end the traditional inverse correlation between the price of gold and the value of the U.S. dollar. Of course the dollar decoupling can only go so far. "Gold stands as the one currency that governments cannot debase or debauch," Brien says, but "the dollar is the only currency accepted by margin clerks."
Friday, June 18, 2010
Inflation vs Deflation, The Winner is Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
By: Q1_Publishing
The latest Consumer Price Index (CPI)reading will go a long way to ensuring most people miss out on the gold run.
The CPI came in at a very deflationary negative 0.2% for the month. Even the core CPI, which excludes food and energy prices, was a no-inflation-here low of 0.1%.
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Friday, June 18, 2010
Time to Focus on Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne
It is not exactly groundbreaking analysis to say that whats good for Gold is generally good for Silver. As observers of the precious metals know, Silver tends to lag Gold but eventually catch up quickly. In the long-term sense, Silver is still a year or two behind Gold as Gold has broken above all resistance levels. Technically speaking, we do favor Gold over the next few months, but ultimately, Silver is poised to catch up with vengeance.
Friday, June 18, 2010
Gold Bull Market's Last Breath? Really? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
By: Przemyslaw_Radomski
Back in early 2000, during the euphoria of what later became known as the Dot.Com Bubble, one well-known professional investor stuck his neck out and predicted the bursting of that bubble. Jeremy Grantham was a bit early and was willing to give up millions in fees from customers who fled his fund transferring their money to managers who promised the party would never end. In 2000 Grantham predicted stocks would lose 3.9% per year annualized for the next 10 years and he was proven right.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, June 18, 2010
Gold Sets New Record High Over $1,260 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
By: LiveCharts
As soon as investors think it is safe to invest in growth opportunities and more risky plays, economic concerns pop up somewhere in the world. The US is still trying to figure out if it is truly in economic recovery mode with job worries remaining and Europe is burdened with debt-ridden economies.
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Friday, June 18, 2010
GLD, GDX and GDXJ True Strength Index Momentum / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
By: John_Townsend
The True Strength Index is a low lag-time momentum indicator that can be used at www.FreeStockCharts.com. Generally, it is bullish when the indicator is above ZERO and bearish when it is below ZERO. As the indicator is very sensitive and responsive to movements of price, it can be effectively interpreted for buy and sell decisions.
Friday, June 18, 2010
Gold and Silver, Precious Metals Summer Seasonal Doldrums / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
By: Zeal_LLC
Over the past month or so, precious-metals stocks’ performance has been frustrating. Even though gold looks great, lazily meandering over $1200 without a care in the world, the PM stocks have drifted sideways to lower. Unfortunately such behavior is typical in the dreaded PM summer doldrums.
These doldrums exist because strong seasonal forces affect gold demand. While gold’s newly-mined supply flows to the markets at an essentially constant rate throughout the year, this metal experiences wild fluctuations in demand. And unfortunately none of the usual demand spurts coincide with summer.
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Friday, June 18, 2010
Rhodium Commodity Trading Thoughts / Commodities / Commodities Trading
By: Ned_W_Schmidt
RHODIUM TRADING THOUGHTS is about timely and profitable trading of precious metals. We do not believe every turn in the market can be called. Our goal is that our recommendations should be profitable. Profits are the goals, not trades. Do not expect all recommendations to be profitable. No system can achieve that lofty goal.