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Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Saturday, April 28, 2018

Marc Faber: Countries Unwise to Let Antagonistic U.S. Hold Their Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: MoneyMetals

Mike Gleason: It is my privilege now to be joined by a man who needs little introduction, Marc Faber, editor of The Gloom, Boom and Doom Report. Dr. Faber has been a long-time guest on financial shows throughout the world, and is a well-known Austrian economist and investment advisor, and it's a tremendous honor to have him on with us today.

Dr. Faber, thanks so much for joining us again, and, how are you?

Marc Faber: Well, it's my pleasure to be on your show. Thank you.

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Commodities

Saturday, April 28, 2018

Gold Stocks Seasonal Bull Spring Rally 2018 / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018

By: Zeal_LLC

The gold miners’ stocks have mostly been consolidating low this year, exacerbating bearish sentiment.  Even with gold grinding higher in a solid uptrend and nearing a major upside breakout, the gold stocks just can’t get any love.  But that may be about to change, with gold and its miners’ stocks in the midst of their spring rally.  Strong seasonal tailwinds make May one of the best months of the year in gold-stock bulls.

Gold-stock performance is highly seasonal, which certainly sounds odd.  The gold miners produce and sell their metal at relatively-constant rates year-round, so the temporal journey through calendar months should be irrelevant.  Based on these miners’ revenues, there’s little reason investors should favor them more at certain times of the year than others.  Yet history proves that’s exactly what happens in this sector.

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Commodities

Friday, April 27, 2018

Gold: Pricing vs. Value and Fundamental Look on Technicals / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

Gold behaves like a currency. This has extremely important consequence: gold cannot be valued like assets which generate cash flows or even as commodities whose value can be at least estimated looking at the balance of demand and supply. Does it mean that gold is a mere speculation play? No! You have to remember that gold belongs to the currencies. As they have no cash flows, they cannot be valued, but they can be priced against other currencies.

The same applies to gold. It has no “true” which value we can estimate and to which it should converge. On the contrary, the price is the only real number we have and can act on. We see lot analysts who try to estimate the value of gold based on some links – which are allegedly set in stone – between the price of gold and the money supply or the level of the federal debt. And they estimate the “fair” value of gold at either $500 or $20,000. It’s a pure nonsense.

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Commodities

Thursday, April 26, 2018

A New Lithium War Is About To Begin, Modern Gold Rush! / Commodities / Lithium

By: OilPrice_Com

It’s the modern gold rush. Around the world, the most sought-after mineral isn’t a precious metal, nor is it oil and gas…it’s lithium.

Lithium, or “white petroleum” as some call it, has become a crucial element in today’s high-tech economy.

Demand for lithium is soaring, and producers are frantically searching for new sources of supply. Prices have doubled in the last two years, rising as high as $16,500 per ton.

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Commodities

Thursday, April 26, 2018

Silver, silver, and silver! There’s More Than Silver, People! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Silver, silver, and silver – that’s all there seems to matter to the more short-term oriented investors. But, there’s so much more that’s going on than just the rally in the white metal that just got invalidated! The dynamics in the precious metals market extend well beyond the above and the signal that’s coming from silver – as important as it is for the short run – is just one of many puzzles that create the entire precious metals picture. In today’s analysis, we’ll discuss the less popular, but still important factors that are worth considering whether one is investing in gold, silver or mining stocks, or just considering it.

This article is based on numerous questions that we received in the past several days from our subscribers. It’s quite likely that they represent the questions and doubts of many other gold and silver investors, so we thought that you’d appreciate getting to know replies and insights from those, who’ve been investigating this exciting and promising market for more than a decade. Let’s move right to them.

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Commodities

Thursday, April 26, 2018

What Is Gold: Asset, Commodity, Currency or Collectible? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

What is Bitcoin? Is it just a payment system, money or investment asset? Nobody knows for sure – it generates enormous definition and classification problems. But it’s understandable, as Bitcoin in a new player in town. However, people also cannot agree on what gold really is. Let’s solve this problem once and for all. It will enable us later to adopt the right gold investing philosophy.

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Commodities

Wednesday, April 25, 2018

Gold Price Focusing on May Cycle Bottom / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Jim_Curry

Through my cycle work in the market, there is a current focus on the month of May to end up as our next decent swing low for the Gold market, with several mid-term cycles pinpointing this timeframe for a potential market bottom.

One of the more widely-followed cycles in the Gold market is the 20-week (approximately 100 trading days) cycle, which last bottomed back on December 12, 2017, doing so at the 1249.30 figure (continuous contract numbers). In using our cycle detrend, we can isolate this particular wave, which is shown on the chart below:

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Commodities

Wednesday, April 25, 2018

Silver Gives Us Another Chance to Accumulate and Buy / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Our recent silver analysis could not have been more accurate.  Please take a minute to read it before you continue reading the rest of this post if you have not already done so. The Silver price breakout, to near $17.20, last week was incredible.  It established a new Fibonacci price trend, established a downward channel price breakout, coincided with a Pennant/Flag price formation breakout and the wave count of this Pennant Flag breakout was perfect.

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Commodities

Wednesday, April 25, 2018

The Gold Manipulators Are Being Manipulated / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Avi_Gilburt

For those that follow me regularly, you will know that I have been tracking a set-up for the SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD), which I analyze as a proxy for the gold market. I also believe that gold can outperform the general equity market once we confirm a long-term break out has begun, and I still think we can see it in occur in 2018. This week, I will provide an update to GLD. While I have gone on record as to why I do not think GLD is a wise long-term investment hold, I will still use it to track the market movements.

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Commodities

Wednesday, April 25, 2018

China Takes the Long View on Gold-Silver... and So Should You / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: MoneyMetals

A cursory look at Chinese history can convince you that China should not be underestimated when it sets its sights on a particular goal.

Even before Mao Zedong took over the reins in 1949, and the first Five Year Plan began in 1953, centuries of history demonstrated that long-term planning, while not always meeting expectations, is a core behavioral trait of the Chinese psyche.

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Commodities

Tuesday, April 24, 2018

Will Kim’s Denuclearization Dethronize Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

Breaking News! North Korea has agreed to denuclearization. Great! But what does it mean for the gold market? And… why is this not true?

Gold Starts Week Badly
The yellow metal struggled on Monday. Its price declined from $1,335 to $1,320, or more than 1.1. percent, as one can see in the chart below.

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Commodities

Tuesday, April 24, 2018

Russia Buys 300,000 Ounces Of Gold In March – Nears 2,000 Tons In Gold Reserves / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: GoldCore

– Russia buys 300,000 ounces of gold in March and nears 2,000t in gold reserves
– Russia now holds just over 1,861 tonnes, more than officially reported by China at 1,842t
– Both Russia and China have the power to destabilise US dollar by dumping dollar-denominated assets
– Turkey has removed all gold held in the U.S. opting for Bank of England and BIS 
– Turkey follows trend set by both Germany, Netherlands and others to remove gold reserves stored in the United States
– Central bank decisions regarding gold reserves are examples of countries becoming nervous about the outlook for the dollar under the Trump administration

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Commodities

Tuesday, April 24, 2018

Frustrated by the Dormant Silver Price? Don’t Be, Says History, the Upsurge Is Coming / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: GoldSilver

Jeff Clark: Frustrated by the comatose silver price? Tired of it going nowhere and being held down?

Well, history has a message for you: This trading behavior is normal. Furthermore, similar scenarios from the past say the next price explosion is on the way.

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Commodities

Monday, April 23, 2018

Happy Anniversary Silver Investors! / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018

By: P_Radomski_CFA

The silver volume that we saw last week was huge and we don’t mean only the one that accompanied the sizable daily price spike. The volume was huge also if we take the entire week into account. In fact, there was only a single week when silver rallied on volume that was bigger than what we saw during last week’s rally – ever. That was the 2011 silver top, when the emotions reached their zenith. But surely that was just a coincidence as there’s nothing else that connects these cases, some will claim, forgetting about the thing that is more important than price – time. The 2011 top formed on Monday, April 25th. You’re are reading this on Monday, April 23rd. Time is almost in perfect tune. Will this be a happy anniversary? It will, for those who are prepared.

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Commodities

Monday, April 23, 2018

The Hottest Commodity Play In 2018 / Commodities / Potash

By: OilPrice_Com

....

 


Commodities

Monday, April 23, 2018

Silver Squeeze, Gold Fails & GDX Breadth / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

It was an interesting week in the precious metals complex. There appeared to be the start of a short squeeze in Silver (hedge funds were heavily short) but it ceased at important resistance. Meanwhile, Gold closed the week on a weak note, losing $1340-$1350. The gold stocks, like Silver closed the week below technical resistance. The price action in the complex continues to suggest that a breakout in Gold is the key to unleashing strong outperformance from Silver and the gold stocks.

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Commodities

Saturday, April 21, 2018

Crude Oil Price Trend Forecast - Saudi Arabia $80 ARAMCO Stock IPO Target / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The crude oil price started 2018 with a BANG rising from an opening $60 to a January peak of $67, a gain of 12% in less than 1 month! Whilst February saw the oil price give up all of Januarys gains by falling from $67 to $58 before recovering towards the top of the emerging $67 - $58 trading range for March which set the scene for the current rally to a 3 year high of $69. Whilst new has emerged that the Saudi's are actively pursuing lifting the oil price to at least $80 in support of their mega $1 trillion+ ARAMCO IPO.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Friday, April 20, 2018

Gold Price Nearing Bull Market Breakout, Stocks to Follow / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018

By: Zeal_LLC

Gold remains largely forgotten, off the radars of most investors.  But that’s likely to change soon as this leading alternative investment is nearing a major bull breakout.  Once gold climbs to decisive new bull-market highs, sentiment will turn and investors’ interest will surge.  Their resulting buying will rapidly drive gold higher, attracting in more capital inflows.  Gold is only a couple modest up days away from that key breakout.

Universally in all markets, traders’ psychology is completely dependent on price action and levels.  When prices are high and rising, speculators and investors alike eagerly buy in.  They love chasing winners, so buying begets buying.  This creates powerful self-reinforcing virtuous circles, with rising prices helping to entice in ever-more traders.  In recent years this dynamic catapulted the market-darling FANG stocks higher.

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Commodities

Friday, April 20, 2018

Gold, Silver and Jet Surf Boards - Audio Analysis / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Here is an interview talking about silver, silver stocks, and some new electric jet flying surfboard.

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Commodities

Friday, April 20, 2018

Crude Oil Price Trend Forecast - Saudi's Want $100 for ARAMCO Stock IPO / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The crude oil price started 2018 with a BANG rising from an opening $60 to a January peak of $67, a gain of 12% in less than 1 month! Whilst February saw the oil price give up all of Januarys gains by falling from $67 to $58 before recovering towards the top of the emerging $67 - $58 trading range.

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