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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Monday, February 11, 2008

Gold Expected to Retrace to $800 Area / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Joe_Nicholson

We've already seen the start of support above the 5-week moving average, about $900, and could see a healthy retracement next week that still won't preclude further declines if not making a significant new high. Silver has not invalidated a corrective count either. That wouldn't occur until nearly $17.50. The 5-day moving average … will be crucial early next week in determining support and resistance. A platinum group metals play based on shrinking supply could be a haven if the more monetary metals are due for a near term correction.” ~ Precious Points: New Month, New Direction? February 02, 2008

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Commodities

Sunday, February 10, 2008

Gold Bullish, But Gold Stocks Showing Bearish Divergence / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Merv_Burak

Up and down but in the end gold seems to be having trouble moving. Does it have anything to do with the recent strengthening in the U.S. Dollar Index?

GOLD : LONG TERM
From a long term perspective there is no real serious problem with gold. The indicators change very slowly so one does not expect sudden changes in the technical situation. Gold continues to trade well above its long term moving average line and the line continues to trend upwards. The long term momentum (price strength) indicator is also well inside its positive zone with no hint of a reversal in site. It recently moved into new highs confirming the strength of the recent gold price action. The volume indicator (an indication of speculative interest) continues above its long term trigger line and the trigger continues to point upward. The only cautionary signs are in the more aggressive time periods which will be reviewed below.

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Commodities

Saturday, February 09, 2008

When Will Gold and SIlver Share Prices Catch Up Precious Metal Prices / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks

By: Julian_DW_Phillips

Many of you out there are frustrated at what seems to be the very poor performance of gold & silver mining shares over the last couple of years when compared to the performance of the gold & silver price, understandably so. Even the Junior's have not performed to their full potential. Why not?

There have been several reasons: -

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Commodities

Friday, February 08, 2008

Maximise Gold Profits by Using Leveradge HUI Unhedged Gold-stock Index / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks

By: Zeal_LLC

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAs a stock-market sector, gold stocks are obscure, increasingly volatile, and seemingly perpetually unloved. Yet investors and speculators choose to own them anyway. Why? Because in the past gold stocks have greatly amplified gold's underlying gains. Traders are betting this outperforming behavior will continue in the future.

The outperformance so far in this bull market has been enormous. At best in recent weeks, the flagship HUI unhedged gold-stock index was up 1237% since its bull was born in November 2000. This incredible run was driven by a 262% gain in gold since its own bull launched in April 2001. Thus bull to date per simple math, the HUI has leveraged gold's underlying gains by 4.7x!

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Commodities

Friday, February 08, 2008

Gold Rises on "Perfect Storm" - Falling Interest Rates and Rising Inflation / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

THE PRICE OF GOLD jumped almost 1% at the London opening on Friday, building on solid overnight trade to reach a one-week high of $916 per ounce as Asian stock markets sold off yet again and European equities held flat.

The Nikkei on Tokyo ended the week 3.6% lower, while crude oil rose almost $1 per barrel in London on new supply problems in both Nigeria and the North Sea .

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Commodities

Friday, February 08, 2008

Gold Rises Against All Currencies and Looks Set to Challenge All Time Highs / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Mark_OByrne

Gold was up $5.90 to $906.40 per ounce in trading in New York yesterday and silver was up 23 cents to $16.74 per ounce. Gold continued to rally in Asia and surged in early trading in Europe and is up to $915 per ounce. Silver has also surged and is up to $17.02 per ounce.

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Commodities

Friday, February 08, 2008

Uranium Stocks Continue to Trend Lower - Have a Beer! / Commodities / Uranium

By: Merv_Burak

Another small loss for the uranium stocks. Last time we had four in a row the fifth day was the worst. Let's hope that history does not always repeat. The Merv's Daily Uranium Index closed down 0.019 points or 0.59%. The winners perked up a bit with 16 stocks on the up side, 30 stocks on the down side and 4 unchanged. Cameco gained 0.7% while Denison lost 5.1%, First Uranium closed unchanged, Paladin lost 3.1% and Uranium One down 3.2%. The best gainer on the day was Magnum Uranium with a gain of 8.0% while the worst loser was Uracan with a loss of 9.5%.

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Commodities

Thursday, February 07, 2008

Silver Commercials Short Covering to Result Price Spike / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Roland_Watson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOne major theme that unites a lot of silver investors is the matter of the major short sellers of silver. To be more precise, the well known fact is that the class of silver traders known as the commercials has been net short silver for literally decades. The chart below demonstrates this fact quite readily. The silver price is in green and the net commercial position in black (a negative number indicates a collective short position).

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Commodities

Thursday, February 07, 2008

The Single Best Investment for 2008! / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLarry Edelson writes: In late 1865, to cover the staggering costs of the Civil War ... to bail out financial institutions on the verge of bankruptcy ... and to help stem the financial losses in towns and municipalities ... Washington issued tidal waves of government bonds, to the tune of almost $29.5 billion per day.

Money was printed with reckless abandon, and inflation shot to the moon.

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Commodities

Thursday, February 07, 2008

Gold Weak Vs Strong Dollar - Bank of England Cuts Interest Rates Despite Inflation Fears / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

SPOT GOLD PRICES for immediate delivery rose steadily in Asia on Thursday, gaining 2.6% from yesterday's low vs. the Dollar and hitting a one-week high of €623 per ounce for Eurozone investors as the European Central Bank met to decide interest rates.

The Gold Market then dipped 0.6% when the ECB kept its rates on hold. The Bank of England in London chose to cut British interest rates by 25 basis points to 5.25%.

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Commodities

Thursday, February 07, 2008

Gold Strong Despite US Dollar Strength / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Mark_OByrne

Gold's recent sell off ended yesterday and gold was up $13.90  to $900.50 per ounce in trading in New York yesterday and silver was up 20 cents to $16.51 per ounce. Gold has continued to rally in Asia and early trading in Europe and is up to $908. Silver has also risen and is up to $16.68 per ounce.

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Commodities

Thursday, February 07, 2008

Crude Oil Pullback Is a Gift For Energy Investors! / Commodities / Oil Companies

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSean Brodrick writes: Oil prices are pulling back right now — below $90 a barrel. Let me tell you, I think oil is very inexpensive at that price, especially when you consider how absolutely amazing oil really is — how our entire civilization runs on it.

Along with the 86 million barrels per day that the world uses for fuel, petroleum plays a starring role in agriculture, industry, plastics, and building materials. It heats our homes, grows our food, and provides us with entertainment.

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Commodities

Wednesday, February 06, 2008

Gold Rallies Back Above $900 on Favorable Macro Economic Outlook / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

THE PRICE of SPOT GOLD rose in London early on Wednesday, avoiding the harsh sell-off seen on Monday and Tuesday to bounce more than 1.2% from the overnight low of $886.50 as Asian stock markets sank for the third session running.

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Commodities

Wednesday, February 06, 2008

Gold Strong Demand from India, China and Middle East / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Mark_OByrne

Gold's recent sell off continued and gold was down $18.30  to $886.60 per ounce in trading in New York yesterday and silver was down 42 cents to $16.31 per ounce. Gold traded sideways to slightly up in Asia and early trading in Europe and is up to $890. Silver has also fallen and is down to $16.56 per ounce.

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Commodities

Wednesday, February 06, 2008

Gold Price About to Pull Back / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Brian_Bloom

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe charts are not telling a particularly happy story at present.

The attached chart (decisionpoint.com ) tells me that $XAU may start to rise sharply relative to gold. More likely, because the shares have been underperforming, the gold price is likely to pull back sharply relative to shares. The shares may have been right all along.

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Commodities

Tuesday, February 05, 2008

Agri-Food Stocks Boom Could Continue for Another Decade! / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities

By: Ned_W_Schmidt

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFinancial engineering has now demonstrated that the destruction of investment wealth can be accomplished for faster and more efficiently using computers. Monoline insurance companies are latest tool in the eradication of wealth. Some way must exist for investors to escape these financially destructive experiences. That escape route may be to seek out and move to trends of future. Agri-Food stocks, as shown by this week's chart, have in past year done quite nicely, and likely will in future. Of course, they will have corrections for such events are natural and healthy events for markets. Corrections provide an opportunity to acquire positions. Why have Agi-Food investments done well?

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Commodities

Tuesday, February 05, 2008

End of the Credit Cycle Conundrum for Commodities / Commodities / Money Supply

By: David_Petch

Inflationary cycles are always manifested towards the end with rises in commodity prices that become equivalent to a black hole where money gravitates. Increasing the supply of money is the very definition of inflation, with rising prices being a symptom. Interest rate cycles tend to last 20-30 years starting from a decline to a base, followed by peak. Central banks use interest rates as the brakes of an economy and is the primary tool used under fiat currencies. Central Banks could stop printing money, but that would lead to a deflationary collapse, which is not a desirable outcome…so inflation it is. After interest rates rise to cool things on a Cycle Degree, periods of declining interest rates occur which will often see a decline in prices.

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Commodities

Tuesday, February 05, 2008

Proshares UltraShort Oil and Gas Index ETF Climbs Higher / Commodities / Oil Companies

By: Mike_Paulenoff

The DUG (UltraShort Oil & Gas, ETF), my hedge postion against a nasty but well overdue correction in the energy names and indices, is beginning to climb... Let's take a look..

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Commodities

Tuesday, February 05, 2008

Gold Heading for Support $850 to $860 for Good Buying Opportunity / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Mark_OByrne


Gold was down $4  to $903.90 per ounce in trading in New York yesterday and silver was down 6 cents to $16.73 per ounce. Gold traded sideways in Asia but has sold off in late Asian and early trading in Europe and is down to $890. Silver has also fallen and is down to $16.56 per ounce.

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Commodities

Tuesday, February 05, 2008

Gold Plunges below $900 On US Dollar Rally / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

THE PRICE OF PHYSICAL GOLD for immediate delivery sank at the start of London trade for the second day running on Tuesday, losing $14 per ounce to bounce off a two-week low of $888 as the US Dollar and Japanese Yen rose sharply on the currency market and world equities continued to tick lower from Monday's 1% drop on the S&P.

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