Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Thursday, April 26, 2018

Silver, silver, and silver! There’s More Than Silver, People! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Silver, silver, and silver – that’s all there seems to matter to the more short-term oriented investors. But, there’s so much more that’s going on than just the rally in the white metal that just got invalidated! The dynamics in the precious metals market extend well beyond the above and the signal that’s coming from silver – as important as it is for the short run – is just one of many puzzles that create the entire precious metals picture. In today’s analysis, we’ll discuss the less popular, but still important factors that are worth considering whether one is investing in gold, silver or mining stocks, or just considering it.

This article is based on numerous questions that we received in the past several days from our subscribers. It’s quite likely that they represent the questions and doubts of many other gold and silver investors, so we thought that you’d appreciate getting to know replies and insights from those, who’ve been investigating this exciting and promising market for more than a decade. Let’s move right to them.

Thursday, April 26, 2018

What Is Gold: Asset, Commodity, Currency or Collectible? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

What is Bitcoin? Is it just a payment system, money or investment asset? Nobody knows for sure – it generates enormous definition and classification problems. But it’s understandable, as Bitcoin in a new player in town. However, people also cannot agree on what gold really is. Let’s solve this problem once and for all. It will enable us later to adopt the right gold investing philosophy.

Wednesday, April 25, 2018

Gold Price Focusing on May Cycle Bottom / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Jim_Curry

Through my cycle work in the market, there is a current focus on the month of May to end up as our next decent swing low for the Gold market, with several mid-term cycles pinpointing this timeframe for a potential market bottom.

One of the more widely-followed cycles in the Gold market is the 20-week (approximately 100 trading days) cycle, which last bottomed back on December 12, 2017, doing so at the 1249.30 figure (continuous contract numbers). In using our cycle detrend, we can isolate this particular wave, which is shown on the chart below:

Wednesday, April 25, 2018

Silver Gives Us Another Chance to Accumulate and Buy / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Our recent silver analysis could not have been more accurate.  Please take a minute to read it before you continue reading the rest of this post if you have not already done so. The Silver price breakout, to near $17.20, last week was incredible.  It established a new Fibonacci price trend, established a downward channel price breakout, coincided with a Pennant/Flag price formation breakout and the wave count of this Pennant Flag breakout was perfect.

Wednesday, April 25, 2018

The Gold Manipulators Are Being Manipulated / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Avi_Gilburt

For those that follow me regularly, you will know that I have been tracking a set-up for the SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD), which I analyze as a proxy for the gold market. I also believe that gold can outperform the general equity market once we confirm a long-term break out has begun, and I still think we can see it in occur in 2018. This week, I will provide an update to GLD. While I have gone on record as to why I do not think GLD is a wise long-term investment hold, I will still use it to track the market movements.

Wednesday, April 25, 2018

China Takes the Long View on Gold-Silver... and So Should You / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: MoneyMetals

A cursory look at Chinese history can convince you that China should not be underestimated when it sets its sights on a particular goal.

Even before Mao Zedong took over the reins in 1949, and the first Five Year Plan began in 1953, centuries of history demonstrated that long-term planning, while not always meeting expectations, is a core behavioral trait of the Chinese psyche.

Tuesday, April 24, 2018

Will Kim’s Denuclearization Dethronize Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

Breaking News! North Korea has agreed to denuclearization. Great! But what does it mean for the gold market? And… why is this not true?

Gold Starts Week Badly
The yellow metal struggled on Monday. Its price declined from $1,335 to $1,320, or more than 1.1. percent, as one can see in the chart below.

Tuesday, April 24, 2018

Russia Buys 300,000 Ounces Of Gold In March – Nears 2,000 Tons In Gold Reserves / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: GoldCore

– Russia buys 300,000 ounces of gold in March and nears 2,000t in gold reserves
– Russia now holds just over 1,861 tonnes, more than officially reported by China at 1,842t
– Both Russia and China have the power to destabilise US dollar by dumping dollar-denominated assets
– Turkey has removed all gold held in the U.S. opting for Bank of England and BIS 
– Turkey follows trend set by both Germany, Netherlands and others to remove gold reserves stored in the United States
– Central bank decisions regarding gold reserves are examples of countries becoming nervous about the outlook for the dollar under the Trump administration

Tuesday, April 24, 2018

Frustrated by the Dormant Silver Price? Don’t Be, Says History, the Upsurge Is Coming / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: GoldSilver

Jeff Clark: Frustrated by the comatose silver price? Tired of it going nowhere and being held down?

Well, history has a message for you: This trading behavior is normal. Furthermore, similar scenarios from the past say the next price explosion is on the way.

Monday, April 23, 2018

Happy Anniversary Silver Investors! / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018

By: P_Radomski_CFA

The silver volume that we saw last week was huge and we don’t mean only the one that accompanied the sizable daily price spike. The volume was huge also if we take the entire week into account. In fact, there was only a single week when silver rallied on volume that was bigger than what we saw during last week’s rally – ever. That was the 2011 silver top, when the emotions reached their zenith. But surely that was just a coincidence as there’s nothing else that connects these cases, some will claim, forgetting about the thing that is more important than price – time. The 2011 top formed on Monday, April 25th. You’re are reading this on Monday, April 23rd. Time is almost in perfect tune. Will this be a happy anniversary? It will, for those who are prepared.

Monday, April 23, 2018

The Hottest Commodity Play In 2018 / Commodities / Potash

By: OilPrice_Com

Monday, April 23, 2018

Silver Squeeze, Gold Fails & GDX Breadth / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

It was an interesting week in the precious metals complex. There appeared to be the start of a short squeeze in Silver (hedge funds were heavily short) but it ceased at important resistance. Meanwhile, Gold closed the week on a weak note, losing $1340-$1350. The gold stocks, like Silver closed the week below technical resistance. The price action in the complex continues to suggest that a breakout in Gold is the key to unleashing strong outperformance from Silver and the gold stocks.

Saturday, April 21, 2018

Crude Oil Price Trend Forecast - Saudi Arabia $80 ARAMCO Stock IPO Target / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The crude oil price started 2018 with a BANG rising from an opening $60 to a January peak of $67, a gain of 12% in less than 1 month! Whilst February saw the oil price give up all of Januarys gains by falling from $67 to $58 before recovering towards the top of the emerging $67 - $58 trading range for March which set the scene for the current rally to a 3 year high of $69. Whilst new has emerged that the Saudi's are actively pursuing lifting the oil price to at least $80 in support of their mega $1 trillion+ ARAMCO IPO.

Friday, April 20, 2018

Gold Price Nearing Bull Market Breakout, Stocks to Follow / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018

By: Zeal_LLC

Gold remains largely forgotten, off the radars of most investors.  But that’s likely to change soon as this leading alternative investment is nearing a major bull breakout.  Once gold climbs to decisive new bull-market highs, sentiment will turn and investors’ interest will surge.  Their resulting buying will rapidly drive gold higher, attracting in more capital inflows.  Gold is only a couple modest up days away from that key breakout.

Universally in all markets, traders’ psychology is completely dependent on price action and levels.  When prices are high and rising, speculators and investors alike eagerly buy in.  They love chasing winners, so buying begets buying.  This creates powerful self-reinforcing virtuous circles, with rising prices helping to entice in ever-more traders.  In recent years this dynamic catapulted the market-darling FANG stocks higher.

Friday, April 20, 2018

Gold, Silver and Jet Surf Boards - Audio Analysis / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Here is an interview talking about silver, silver stocks, and some new electric jet flying surfboard.

Friday, April 20, 2018

Crude Oil Price Trend Forecast - Saudi's Want $100 for ARAMCO Stock IPO / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The crude oil price started 2018 with a BANG rising from an opening $60 to a January peak of $67, a gain of 12% in less than 1 month! Whilst February saw the oil price give up all of Januarys gains by falling from $67 to $58 before recovering towards the top of the emerging $67 - $58 trading range.

Friday, April 20, 2018

The Incredible Silver Trade – What You Need to Know / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Everyone is talking about the incredible price move in silver on April 18, 2018.  For years we have been talking about the setup in the metals markets and alerting our members to opportunities as they arise. Recently, we alerted our members to an incredible opportunity in Silver and we caught this move before it skyrocketed higher.  Now, everyone wants to know what’s next.  Here is our take on the Silver trade and what you need to know.

All the technical and price valuation indicators regarding the relationship of Gold to Silver have been set for many months telling traders that Silver is the clear leader in any price advance in metals.

Thursday, April 19, 2018

Palladium Bullion Surges 17% In 9 Days On Russian Supply Concerns / Commodities / Palladium

By: GoldCore

Palladium bullion has surged a massive 17% in just nine trading days. From $895/oz on Friday April 6th to over $1,052/oz today (April 19th). The price surge is due to palladium being due a bounce after falling in the first quarter and now due to Russian supply concerns.

In a volatile month, precious metals and commodities have been the clear winners so far, with palladium having the greatest gains of all – up 10.7% in April (see table below).

Thursday, April 19, 2018

Gold – A Unique Repeat of the 2007 and How to Profit / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Since Spring is in the air here are some colorful charts and show you where we feel the price of gold and stocks are within the current market cycles.

Below are monthly charts of the SP500 index and the price of gold. The first chart shows a pattern that gold formed just before stocks hit all-time new highs and the bear market started.

Wednesday, April 18, 2018

The Bullish And Bearish Case For Oil Prices / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: OilPrice_Com

Oil prices could rise due to the “perfect storm of stagnant supply, geopolitical risk, and a harsh winter,” according to an April 12 note from Barclays.

Geopolitical events specifically could help keep Brent above $70 through April and May, which comes on the back of a substantial decline in oil inventories.