Friday, February 03, 2017
Gold Price and Reflation / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
In recent years, deflation was considered one of the biggest threats to the global economy. These fears are vanishing. As deflation becomes the thing of the past (there was even the end of deflation in Japan at the end of 2016), reflation is now attracting the attention of investors. What does it mean? According to the most popular definition, reflation is an increase in economic activity and inflation, usually caused by using inflationary measures to reverse deflationary trends. We simply take reflation to be acceleration in the rate of inflation, i.e. the opposite of disinflation, which is a decrease in the rate of inflation.
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Friday, February 03, 2017
Forex Trading Alert: USD Index at Fresh Lows / Currencies / US Dollar
Earlier today, the USD Index extended losses against the basket of the major currencies as yesterday's Fed statement didn't give clear signal on the timing of its next rate hike. How did this drop affect the technical picture of EUR/USD, USD/CAD and AUD/USD?
In our opinion, the following forex trading positions are justified – summary:
EUR/USD: none
GBP/USD: none
USD/JPY: none
USD/CAD: none
USD/CHF: none
AUD/USD: none
Friday, February 03, 2017
The US Dollar is About to Collapse / Currencies / US Dollar
The $USD is about to collapse.
This is not fear mongering, nor is it just a bold statement. The $USD has peaked and is about to breakdown in a BIG way.
See for yourself, the greenback has taken out critical support. The spike higher that occurred starting election night is looking more and more like a bullish headfake.
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Friday, February 03, 2017
Stock Market Very Narrowly Mixed Session / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
The stock market indices had a very narrowly mixed day at the end of the session, not only in price, but in underlying technicals. However, there was some volatility during the day. Initially there was a plunge down to support that held 5130 Nasdaq 100 and 2272 S&P 500. They rallied sharply, taking the Nasdaq 100 up to 5162, yesterday’s high, but fell short on the S&P 500 around 2284, which was beneath yesterday’s high of 2289. They came down midsession, bounced around into midafternoon, tried to retest, successfully did so, but then rallied back to resistance and couldn’t get through.
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Friday, February 03, 2017
Why Stock Market Analysts Will be Wrong About 2017 / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
We're already a month into New Year and there has been an ample amount of sentiment data to suggest that investors, both retail and institutional, aren't terribly enthusiastic on the stock market outlook for 2017. Granted that institutional analysts are still bullish, as per usual, but in the round table type opinion polls I've seen they've apparently lowered their expectations. Everyone seems to be preparing for a somewhat disappointing year based largely on the assumption that after eight years of a bull market, surely another major rally is out of the question.
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Friday, February 03, 2017
Economic Depression, Stagflation, Stag-Depress-Flation / Economics / Great Depression II
The United States suffered through a deflationary depression in the 1930s. Stock prices crashed, currency in circulation declined, commodity and real estate prices fell hard and human misery prevailed.
President Roosevelt revalued gold from $20.67 to $35.00 per ounce in 1933 – a substantial devaluation of the dollar. Make-work and government spending programs were implemented. War followed the depression.
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Friday, February 03, 2017
Walkers UEFA Snap & Share To Win Match Tickets, PS4 and Footballs / Personal_Finance / Freebies and Comps
Walkers have just started a new promotion in conjunction with UEFA Champions League where buyers of crisp packets could win prizes including 40 pairs of match tickets, 500 play stations and 7000 footballs. All you have to do is to share a selfie that contains the top of your face with the crisp packet. Confused? Watch the video and all will become clear.
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Thursday, February 02, 2017
Channel 4 War on 'Fake News', Forgets Own Alt Reality Propaganda Broadcasting / Politics / Mainstream Media
Apparently Channel 4 is going to go to war against 'Fake News' next week with the likes of "i know nothing" Jon Snow fronting mocumentaries of the 'Fake News' of 2016. Don't get me wrong I love watching John Snow, it's about as close as the mainstream press ever gets close to a dose of reality from within their Left-Right political spectrum that they have been stuck in since the broadcast channels first started appearing in the 1970's. Since which time nothing much has changed, in that they fail to realise that the likes of Channel 4, BBC inhabit their own liberal alt-reality that each year reinforces the delirium perpetuated on themselves and the general population.
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Thursday, February 02, 2017
MACD: Learn to Recognize Trade Setups / InvestorEducation / Learn to Trade
See examples in Pfizer, Inc. (PFE) and Intel Corp. (INTC)
Just as there are patterns in price, there are also patterns in momentum indicators. These patterns can support your Elliott wave analysis and help you identify tradable moves in price.
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Thursday, February 02, 2017
Could Cars Be the Death of Us This Time Around? / Interest-Rates / Debt Crisis 2017
The shining star of the 2009-2016 recovery has been auto sales.We weren’t surprised. In fact, we saw it coming. After all, cars are the last large purchase people make before stepping quietly into their years of increased saving and decreased spending. From around the age of 57 to 64, one task takes center stage: save for retirement. In the durable goods sector, housing peaks first around age 40, then furnishings at age 46. Only automobiles continue to grow after the peak in spending at age 46.
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Thursday, February 02, 2017
American Fracking Companies Keeping Their DUCs in a Row / Commodities / Articles
OPEC producers are cutting production… or so they say.And in addition, several non-OPEC producers, like Russia, are also cutting production. If history is any guide we could do away with the titles and simply call the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, and the all rest, the Energy Liars’ Club.
They often say one thing and then do another.
Even Saudi Arabia’s Oil Minister noted that OPEC members have a history of lying to each other. I don’t care how they treat each other. I’m only interested in how their actions – not their words – affect the money in my pocket.
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Thursday, February 02, 2017
Red States vs Blue States - What’s Next: A Third and Potentially Lethal Trigger / Politics / US Politics
This past Monday I updated my Boom & Bust subscribers about an important new development in the civil war that I see brewing… or at least the possibility that the United States of America won’t remain the way we know it for much longer. We’re certainly no longer united. In fact, we’ve not been this polarized and divided since the Civil War.Unfortunately, the state we find ourselves in today has been painted on the wall for a long time! And my hierarchy of cycles – which includes the Spending Wave Cycle, the Technology Cycle, the Geopolitical Cycle and the Boom/Bust Cycle – have shown me for many years now what we have in store. And now a near 100-year cycle in globalization has peaked, much like the last one did when World War I started.
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Thursday, February 02, 2017
How Misconceptions Are Driving the US to Sociopolitical Disaster / Politics / US Politics
Throughout history, bad ideas such as those espoused by Marx have taken hold in the public arena and become institutionalized. This occurred despite the inherent violence required by a system in which individuals are forced to be subservient to the state. I’ve discussed issues like this previously, but I find it continues to be relevant today.
The iconic socialist revolutionary, Che Guevara, made the case that in a true socialist revolution, large swaths of the population had to die.
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Thursday, February 02, 2017
Trump Voters And The News Media Have Something In Common / Politics / US Politics
BY PATRICK WATSON : Donald Trump won the White House for two main reasons.
First, in the last 20 years, new technology and globalist “free trade” agreements combined to destroy millions of middle-class jobs. Particularly, manufacturing jobs. I’ve written about the future implications of this trend in Connecting the Dots (subscribe here for free).
Second, our political and business elites didn't recognize this was happening—or just didn't care. In either case, they failed to respond adequately. President Trump is a direct result of their negligence.
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Thursday, February 02, 2017
Buy Gold Because of Uncertainty Not Doomsday / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
- Doomsday Clock moves closer to midnight
- World not been as close to self-destruction since 1953
- Threat of nuclear powers, climate change and technology all considered heightened risks
- First time the Bulletin of Atomic Scientists have singled out an individual – President Trump
- Doom-mongering is arguably distracting and uncertainties should be more considered
- Gold and silver perform well during times of uncertainty and provide a safe-haven
- Wall Street’s largest fund managers have bet on gold in face of growing uncertainty
Thursday, February 02, 2017
Stock Market More Fluctuations Following Monday's Move Down - Which Direction Next? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,330, and profit target at 2,150, S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook remains bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Thursday, February 02, 2017
White House Puts Iran on Notice Over Its Legitimate Missile Tests / Politics / Iran
On Wednesday, Trump’s National Security Advisor Michael Flynn irresponsibly lashed out against Iran’s recent legitimate ballistic missile tests.
Without justification, he claimed they “undermine security, prosperity and stability throughout and beyond the Middle East that puts American lives at risk.”
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Thursday, February 02, 2017
The Oil War Is Only Just Getting Started / Commodities / Crude Oil
It’s been a month now that investors and analysts have been closely watching two main drivers for oil prices: how OPEC is doing with the supply-cut deal, and how U.S. shale is responding to fifty-plus-dollar oil with rebounding drilling activity. Those two main factors are largely neutralizing each other, and are putting a floor and a cap to a price range of between $50 and $60.
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Thursday, February 02, 2017
Weaker US$ Could Send Gold & Gold Stocks to Higher Targets / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks 2017
Gold has underperformed both in nominal and real terms. Last week it formed a bearish reversal in nominal terms and against foreign currencies. However, the good news for bulls is the US Dollar Index lost support at 100, due to the Trump administration’s tough talk against Germany (and the Euro). Couple that with no movement from the Fed and the greenback should continue its decline, thereby juicing the current rebound in Gold and especially gold stocks.
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Thursday, February 02, 2017
NDX Closes in Plus Column as Market has Interesting Day / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
The stock market indices had an interesting, volatile day. The day started out with a big gap at the opening, had a very sharp, pullback retest midmorning, then a 5-wave advance that was much stronger on the Nasdaq 100 than the S&P 500, they pulled back, bounced around, held support, and closed positive on the Nasdaq 100, but the S&P 500 closed flat on the day.
Net on the day, the Dow was up 27.86 at 19,890.87. The S&P 500 bounced off the 2272 level to 2282, and closed up just .68 at 2279.55. The Nasdaq 100 went from 5130 to 5159, and close up 35.92 at 5152.69.
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