Monday, January 30, 2017

Brace Yourself For The Battle Of the Senate Republicans / Politics / US Politics

By: John_Mauldin

BY GEORGE FRIEDMAN : On Jan. 20, Donald Trump became the 45th president of the United States. For Trump (as with every president before him), all that he said up until that point consisted of promises.

But now, the focus must shift... from what he will do, to what he is doing. (Subscribe to my free weekly newsletter, This Week in Geopolitics, and stay informed on the most important geopolitical developments)

Monday, January 30, 2017

10 Things I learned From Meetings With Trump’s Transition Team / Politics / US Politics

By: John_Mauldin

I was in Washington, DC, on Inauguration Day.

That gave me the opportunity to set up a few meetings with members from Trump’s transition team (many of whom read my free weekly letter, Thoughts from the Frontline).

During those talks, I gained some insight into what the first 100 days, the first six months, and the first year of the Trump administration might look like.

Here’s a summary of my impressions.

Monday, January 30, 2017

Stock Market Negative Expectations Following Last Week's Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,330, and profit target at 2,150, S&P 500 index).

Our intraday outlook remains bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral

Monday, January 30, 2017

UK Mortgage Cashback for first-time Home Buyers Decreasing / Housing-Market / Mortgages

By: MoneyFacts

Cash rebates are seen as a great sweetener for cash-strapped first-time buyers, with the providers that offer this type of incentive really standing out from the crowd. However, research by Moneyfacts.co.uk shows that the average cashback for those with a modest deposit (90 and 95% loan-to-value) has fallen by £59 in just two years.

Monday, January 30, 2017

Gold Mining Stocks Could Halve In 2017 / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2017

By: Bob_Kirtley

Fed Hikes and Their Impact on Gold

When the first hike was delivered, along with the intention to deliver 3-4 more, gold prices were hovering above $1000. Gold now sits over $100 higher than it was at the time of the first hike, having rallied to $1375 when hikes were taken off the table. In our view one hike will see gold test $1000, two will see $1000 break, and three hikes would see $720 tested.

Monday, January 30, 2017

The Markets Will Collapse As Economic Realities Sink In / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Graham_Summers

Well the final data is in and Janet Yellen’s “hot” economy is a disaster.

The US finished 2016 with GDP growth of 1.6%.

This is flat out embarrassing. And it confirms what we have suspected all along: that the 3Q16 numbers were completely fabricated in an excel spreadsheet for political purposes.

Monday, January 30, 2017

Analysis Of Gold Is Much Ado About Nothing / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Kelsey_Williams

Any analysis of gold must have a correct premise.  And terms used in that analysis must be clearly understood.  For example…

“Are you pro-gold?”  Just exactly what does that mean?   Is it a political or moral issue?  In other words, does someone’s position on gold indicate ideology or lifestyle choice?  Can a political liberal be pro-gold? And if someone answers the original question in the affirmative, does that mean they are anti-something else?

Monday, January 30, 2017

Stock Market SPX 1810 Low Projection Met / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX Long-term trend: If the market strength persists, the long-term trend may need to be re-evaluated.

SPX Intermediate trend: SPX intermediate P&F count to 2300 has been reached. A reversal should now occur.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.

Sunday, January 29, 2017

Are Green Card Holders Safe From Trump’s Muslim Immigration Ban? / Politics / US Politics

By: Stephen_Lendman

His anti-Muslim order caused a firestorm of outrage nationwide, from relatives of affected individuals, activists, human rights groups, as well as state and local officials.

Appearing on NBC’s Meet the Press, White House Chief of Staff Reince Priebus said Trump’s order “doesn’t include green card holders going forward,” then reversed himself, saying “of course it does.”

Sunday, January 29, 2017

Trump Muslim Green Card Ban Avoided Through Trump Golf Course Membership / Politics / US Politics

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Trump trumpeted his blanket refugees and muslim bans from 7 mostly Islamic nations Friday that even includes partners in the war on terror such as Iraq that as Trump was busy signing the executive order with his shrunken hand were busy fighting ISIS in Mosul.

Apparently the muslim ban includes green card residency holders, so anyone from the 7 target nations AND other muslims nations in for 'extreme vetting' finding themselves outside the United States are now unlikely to find themselves able to get back into the United States. And the ban extends to third nations i.e. UK passport holders who originate from one of the 7 banned nations are also banned from entry into the United States.

Sunday, January 29, 2017

When The Rich Become Preppers, It's Time To Worry / Politics / Social Issues

By: Adam_Taggart

Chris Martenson writes: For over 10 years now, we've been openly advocating that folks take action to become more prepared should crisis arrive. And for a long time, this advice relegated us to being labeled "tin-foil hat doomsday preppers" (and other less-polite monikers). The media just couldn't figure out any other box to put us in.

But now, the concept of taking at least some responsibility for your own future well-being by increasing your self-reliance is finally moving towards the mainstream.

Sunday, January 29, 2017

Le Pen, France - Sometimes It’s Better To Be Lucky Than Good, Populist Edition / Politics / European Union

By: John_Rubino

In 2015 there was no way the UK would vote to leave the European Union, so Prime Minister David Cameron promised to call a “Brexit” referendum as a cost-free sop to his party’s right wing in the upcoming election. The Conservatives won big, and Cameron kept his promise to run the meaningless referendum. But against all odds and contrary to nearly every election-day poll, Brexit won, flushing Cameron out of politics, pulling the UK out of the EU, and handing a huge victory to a populist coalition led by the UK Independence Pary’s Nigel Farage.

Sunday, January 29, 2017

Sheffield Schools Crisis, Why 2017 Will be Worst Year Ever for School Place Admissions / Politics / Sheffield

By: N_Walayat

It will soon be crunch time for the parents of Sheffield's children starting secondary school this year as they will find out whether their child has obtained a place at their preferred / catchment area school or not. Or as has been increasingly the case during the past few years are going to be disappointed by the outcome as they contemplate the stressful process of appealing. A crisis due to a number of factors including that which prompted latest years BrExit vote. A Sheffield schools crisis that in large part has been the city councils own making, regardless of the party in power as the council has been determined in a continuation of the crisis that has no end in sight.

Saturday, January 28, 2017

Dow Busts Through 20k Triggering Speculative Short at Stock Market New All Time High / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The Dow finally sprinted to above Dow 20k for the first time ever after having hugged just below 20k since first reaching the mega stock market milestone early December.

Saturday, January 28, 2017

Grow Your Own Tomatoes From Seed - Step by Step Easy Money Saving Guide / Personal_Finance / Gardening

By: Sami_Walayat

Now is the right time of year to get started growing your own vegetables of which given the high shop prices tomatoes should be at the top of ones list. In this comprehensive guide, 9 year old Sami shows literally how anyone, even a child can easily grow hundreds of tomatoes indoors in a small pot from seed germination, to planting, to hand pollination, to pruning and then enjoying the fruits for a whole years worth of money saving crops of healthy fresh organically home grown tomatoes, good for your financial and physical health as well as delivering a lot of self satisfaction.

Saturday, January 28, 2017

More Upside Ahead for S&P 500 After Pivot Off Support / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Mike_Paulenoff

In my January 13 Wrap, I included a chart on the Emini S&P 500 (ES) showing a bullish coil formation pointing to a target zone of 2300/10.

On Thursday of this week, the ES reached a new high of 2299.50 before pulling back.

Saturday, January 28, 2017

SPX Uptrend Extension May be Underway / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Tony_Caldaro

The market started this record week at SPX 2271. After a pullback to SPX 2257 on Monday the market rallied to all-time highs at SPX 2301 by Thursday morning. Then a pullback ended the week at SPX 2295. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 1.15%, and the NDX/NAZ gained 2.0%. On the economic front reports came in even. On the downtick: existing/new home sales, durable goods orders, Q4 GDP, plus weekly jobless claims rose. On the uptick: the FHFA, leading indicators, consumer sentiment, the WLEI, and the final Q4 GDP estimate. Next week is quite a busy one on the economic front, highlighted by the FOMC meeting, monthly payrolls and the PCE. Best to your weekend and week!

Saturday, January 28, 2017

Stock Market Long Awaited 4% Pullback May Be Close / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Brad_Gudgeon

Last time I wrote, I said that a 10-week bottom was close and could come as late January 31.  Venus square Saturn (today) has a variance of 2 TD’s, the ten-week low can come as late as January 31 and the 16 TD low can come as late as +4 or 20 TD’s (January 31).

The odds are high in my book for a big down draft on Monday into Tuesday next week. My target is 2205 on the S&P 500 (we’ll see) Tuesday. There are positive astros for a peak on Feb 10 with Mercury sextile Venus.  If we drop hard over the next 2 trading days, the pattern would suggest a strong rebound rally to new highs by then, likely somewhere in the 2310’s.

Saturday, January 28, 2017

Silver Lining of the 'Violent, Stunning, Historic Collapse of Palladium' and How to Profit from It / Commodities / Palladium

By: The_Gold_Report

Palladium took a dive this week, and Chen Lin, author of the popular newsletter What Is Chen Buying, What Is Chen Selling?, explains what happened and how investors can profit from the drop.

This is President Trump's first week in office and a huge week for the stock market. However, not many noticed the palladium futures market experienced the "violent, stunning, historic collapse," according to the well-known market commentator Dennis Gartman, the "commodity king." Let's drill down to exactly what happened.

Saturday, January 28, 2017

Modern Delusions, Japan Thinks It Can Balance Its Budget / Economics / Japan Economy

By: John_Rubino

A recurring problem for most developed-world governments is explaining why last year’s plan didn’t work while convincing voters that this year’s new and improved plan will do the trick. This is especially tough when the new plan is pretty much the same as the old one and therefore just as likely to fail.