Thursday, January 19, 2017
USDJPY Elliott Wave Analysis / Currencies / US Dollar
Enda Glynn wries: My Bias: neutral- long
Wave Structure: rally in wave [C]
Short term wave count: wave [iii] grey
Long term wave count: wave [C] is underway, upside to above 136.00
Thursday, January 19, 2017
Trump Deficits Will Be Huge / Interest-Rates / US Debt
There is much we don't know about how the Trump presidency will play out. Will the Wall get built? Who will pay for it? Will it have at least some fencing? Will repeal and replace happen at exactly the same time? Will Trump throw a ceremonial switch? Will there be a Trump National Golf Course in Sochi? It's anyone's guess. But of one thing we can be fairly certain. President Trump is very likely to preside over the largest expansion of Federal budget deficits in our history. Trump has built his companies with debt and I'm sure he thinks he can do the same with the country. His annual budget deficits are likely going to be huge. This development will make a greater impact on the investment landscape than most on Wall Street can imagine.
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Thursday, January 19, 2017
Trump Inauguration Day Will Be a Big Turning Point in the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
BY JARED DILLIAN : Was anybody here trading in 2003?
It was the year we invaded Iraq (regrettably). The markets were expecting a decisive victory. During the days and weeks when American troops advanced on Baghdad, the market climbed. As they entered Baghdad and marched on the center of the city, the market traded higher and higher.
Finally, American troops fastened a rope around the neck of Saddam Hussein’s statue and attached the other end to a tank. The world watched on television as the tank backed down and toppled the statue.
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Thursday, January 19, 2017
The US Is Headed to a Pivotal Socio-Economic Crisis / Politics / Social Issues
BY GEORGE FRIEDMAN AND ALLISON FEDIRKA : This year, the United States will be the main geopolitical power. And President Donald Trump will run it. This will be the first big shift to nationalism in US politics.
This rise in nationalism is global. Its rise stems from the rejection of the internationalist model. This has ruled international relations since the end of World War II.
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Thursday, January 19, 2017
There’s Probably No Solution For Europe’s Problems / Politics / European Union
Our fifty states are essentially what the European Union’s founders wanted: a giant free-trade zone with a currency union and fiscal union. It’s working for us in part because our states, while unique, don’t have the centuries of cultural and linguistic diversity that Europe’s do.
The separate languages, cultures, and histories of its nations don’t mean Europe can’t develop better ways cooperate economically; but the EU structure—specifically the European Monetary Union and the euro—clearly isn’t the answer.
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Thursday, January 19, 2017
Stock Market Trading Patience Pays Off with CHK Using Momentum Reversals / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
One of the key tenants of my Momentum Reversal trading is “waiting for the right trigger/event and getting in early”. I find this is one of the most difficult aspects for most clients to understand and master. Therefore, in an attempt to further illustrate some components of my thinking and strategy, I have put together these examples to try to help people understand these techniques.
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Thursday, January 19, 2017
Gold - How to "Buy Low and Sell High" Like a Pro / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
Learn about one group of investors who ACTUALLY know how to time the markets
There's an old saying on Wall Street that goes "buy low and sell high."
It's usually said in jest because it's a feat that's much easier said than done. History shows that most investors pile into bull markets just as they are about to end, and they do the opposite in bear markets: sell right near the bottom, when the fear is at its highest.
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Thursday, January 19, 2017
State of the Global Stock, Financial and Commodity Markets Report 2017 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
Greetings,
Major markets around the world -- stocks, bonds, currencies and more -- are poised for major moves in 2017, and our friends at Elliott Wave International have created a new report to get you ready for them.
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Wednesday, January 18, 2017
Gold – 38% Fib Reached / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
Gold has tagged the 38% Fibonacci retracement of the previous intermediate cycle. This is the most likely spot for gold to drop into a half cycle low if it’s going to produce one. Dips are buying opportunities in the advancing phase of an intermediate cycle.
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Wednesday, January 18, 2017
Donald & the US Dollar / Politics / US Dollar
John Connally, President Nixon’s Secretary of the Treasury, once remarked to the consternation of Europe’s financial elites over America’s inflationary monetary policy, that the dollar “is our currency, but your problem.” Times have certainly changed and it now appears that the dollar has become an American problem.
In a recent interview with the Wall Street Journal, the soon to be 45th President of the United States believes that the greenback’s strength – up some 25% against a broad basket of currencies since 2014 – is now “too strong,” “killing us,” and has hurt companies trying to compete overseas.* A top Trump economics advisor, Anthony Scaramucci, reinforced his boss’ sentiment adding that “we must be careful of a rising dollar.”
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Wednesday, January 18, 2017
Gold Up 5.5% YTD – Hard Brexit Cometh and Trump Wants Weaker Dollar / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
GOLD PRICES UP 5.5% YTD – CONCERNS OF “CALAMITOUS SELF-HARM” TO EU FROM BREXIT AND TRUMP DOLLAR COMMENTS SUPPORT GOLD
Gold prices extended their run of gains to a seventh session and added another $12 to $1,215 an ounce yesterday. Gold prices have consolidated on those gains today and are now up 5.5% in dollar and sterling terms and 5% in euro terms year to date.
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Wednesday, January 18, 2017
The Hunt for Russia's Next Enemy / Politics / Russia
By Ksenia Semenova : Alexander III, the conservative Russian emperor who ruled from 1881 to 1894, once famously remarked to his ministers that Russia has only two allies: its army and its navy. "The others," he said, "will go against us at the first opportunity."
Russian President Vladimir Putin recalled these words in a 2015 speech, adding that he quite agreed with them. At the time, Putin held every card he needed to point to the West and proclaim that the world stood against Russia, leaving it with only its forces for protection. But as the incoming administration of U.S. President-elect Donald Trump moves to embrace Russia and question the West's assumptions about NATO — just as the Europeans have begun to look for warmer ties to the east — Russia's diplomatic environment has started to change. And one thing Putin certainly understands, as Alexander III did, is the Russian government's need for an external enemy. This raises the question: In the new strategic environment that is emerging, who will that enemy be?
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Wednesday, January 18, 2017
Gold, Silver and Bitcoin Soar As Trump’s Comments Cause US Dollar To Plummet / Currencies / US Dollar
We have stated that Donald Trump would be the cause of a barrage of news and market movements.
He’s not even President yet and it has already begun.
In a Friday interview with The Wall Street Journal, Trump said the US dollar, which touched a more-than 14-year high about two weeks ago, has gotten “too strong,” against the Chinese yuan. He told the WSJ, “Our companies can’t compete with them now because our currency is too strong. And it’s killing us.”
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Wednesday, January 18, 2017
Trump’s “Great Game”: Playing Russia Against China? / Politics / GeoPolitics
Trump has pledged to reset the White House policies on “America First” basis. In Asia, it may mean an effort to balance with Russia against China – the reverse of US China approach in the 1970s.
After inauguration, Donald Trump will move from Trump Plaza in mid-Manhattan to White House in Washington, where he will enjoy extraordinary execution power. Today, Republicans will control the White House, the Senate and the House of Representatives.
Wednesday, January 18, 2017
How To Read Trump / Politics / US Politics
As President, Trump has pledged to reset the White House policies on “America First” basis. But will he deliver?
Around the world, there is great apprehension and much speculation about potential Trump scenarios. Nevertheless, not everything that is possible will happen, even with Trump in the White House.
Wednesday, January 18, 2017
Long USD... Another Crowded Trade / Currencies / US Dollar
I just sent out a reference from ZeroHedge on the unusual number of VIX shorts there are. In other words, a very crowded trade.
That reminded me that an even more crowded trade is the USD longs.
ZeroHedge had this to say, “Until last night's Trump statement that the US dollar is overvalued, it was smooth sailing for Wall Street's momentum chasers, who happily piled into what until recently was Wall Street's most crowded trade. How crowded?
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Wednesday, January 18, 2017
Returning Gold Bulls / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
Back in December, I noted that there was not a Gold bull to be found (See post: Not a Gold Bull in Sight) and that the Gold Cycle was on the verge of a significant Cycle turn. Fast forward a month, and 20 days of this Daily Cycle (DC), gold is up almost $100 and has again caught the attention of gold bulls.
Since the Cycle turn, this has been a rather interesting first Daily Cycle in gold. Mostly because the rally over the first twenty days has been fairly constant, with the half Cycle Low noticeably absent. Moreover, the move has not seen a surge based on a typical rush to cover short positions normally seen around the turn of any Investor Cycle.
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Wednesday, January 18, 2017
Biotech Breakthrough Could Create A $11.4 Trillion Opportunity / Companies / BioTech
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Tuesday, January 17, 2017
Bitcoin and Gold - Outlook, Volatility and Safe Haven Diversification / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
– Recent performance of Bitcoin and Gold
– Price outlook
– Bitcoin, China and capital flight
– Exchanges of value?
– Can bitcoin rival gold as a safe haven?
– ‘Bitcoin vs Gold’ or ‘bitcoin and gold’?
– Importance of diversification
– Conclusion: A monetary and financial revolution?
Tuesday, January 17, 2017
The Top 5 Places To Work In U.S. Oil And Gas / Commodities / Oil Companies
Anadarko Petroleum and Chevron have emerged as the top two employers in U.S. oil and gas, according to a survey conducted by the job site Indeed. The top five for the industry was completed by Plains All American at #3, Occidental Petroleum at #4, and Noble Energy at #5.
Indeed said that it ranked companies based on a number of factors but generally speaking, the better the site visitor ratings and reviews a company had, the higher it ranked on the “Best Places to Work” list.
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