Friday, October 21, 2016
Central Bankers Can't Stop The Death Blow Of The Post US Election Recession / Economics / Recession 2017
By: Gordon_T_Long
The central bankers are capable of achieving many extraordinary results but not all economic and financial problems can be solved by central bankers. Central Bankers for example have the power to solve liquidity issues, but it is impossible for them to solve solvency issues. Central Bankers through Financial Repression can transfer risk , however they can't remove it from the system. Additionally, Central bankers may be able to delay a recession temporarily, but they can't prevent the business cycle from running its natural course.
Friday, October 21, 2016
Quantitative Easing, Helicopter Money and Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
To properly understand helicopter money and its potential effects for the gold market, it is necessary to analyze differences between it and quantitative easing. In some senses, both tools are similar as they support the government budget. Some analysts even call quantitative easing in ‘helicopter money in disguise’. However, there are a few important differences between these two monetary policies, as one can see in the table below.
Friday, October 21, 2016
The Fortune at the Bottom of the Pyramid: Golden Opportunity for Frontier Asia / Stock-Markets / Asian Economies
By: Dylan_Waller
The concept of the “Fortune at the Bottom of the Pyramid” was introduced by CK Prahalad, and it describes business strategies used to profit from selling products to the poorest populations in the world. This approach can also be applied to frontier market investing. Frontier market investing often requires an asset-based approach (viewing opportunities presented from less developed populations/countries/industries, rather than focusing on the challenges), as well as a futuristic view of growth trends. Select frontier markets have the potential to economically be on par with other emerging markets in the next 20-30 years.
Friday, October 21, 2016
Preparing for Post-Election US Social Unrest / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: MoneyMetals
By Stefan Gleason : The 2016 election year is bringing out the worst among some elements of society. From vandalism to physical assaults to large scale race riots to terrorist bombings and mall stabbings, social disorder has become a more prominent feature of life in a polarized America.
It’s easy (and politically convenient) for the establishment media to blame Donald Trump for inflaming the political divide. In reality, Trump supporters have far more often been the victims rather than the instigators of political violence.
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Friday, October 21, 2016
Have You Taken These 4 Simple Steps to Improve Your Trading? / InvestorEducation / Learn to Trade
By: EWI
4 Simple Steps to Improve Your Trading
Jeffrey Kennedy is a 20-plus year Elliott wave market veteran. In this new interview, he walks you through his 4-step process of how to find high-confidence, low-risk trade setups.
[Editor's note: The text version of this interview is below.]
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Thursday, October 20, 2016
The Stock Market is an Accident Waiting to Happen / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
It is abundantly clear that the market decline is being suppressed. However, the decline continues. In the Mid-week Report I put the Master Cycle low at the October 13 low (2114.72). I am not sure that it belongs there yet, due to its shallow nature. In addition, the retracement that peaked out at 2149.19 is unusually small coming from a Master Cycle low. The markets appear to be winding up for a big decline and if there is an “accident” this week, we may still have our flash crash marking the true Master Cycle low. So far, it still has us guessing, but either way, it appears to be bearish.
Thursday, October 20, 2016
It's Rally Time for Gold and Silver Equities / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
By: GoldCore
Precious metals expert Michael Ballanger discusses the uptick in gold and silver miners and the Deutsche Bank gold bullion settlement.
One of the more striking developments in the bizarro world of gold and silver trading has to be yesterday's settlement between Deutsche Bank and a class-action group that alleged that the bullion banks (DB, Scotia and HSBC) were manipulating the physical and Comex silver futures market since 2007; what is laughable and disgusting is the size of the settlement—$38 million. It's like Lee Harvey Oswald being charged with "Assault with a Deadly Weapon" and winding up with a misdemeanor. Then again, it is really no different than Libor-rigging or the sub-prime mortgage fraud or more recently the Wells Fargo scam.
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Thursday, October 20, 2016
Cashless Society – Risks Posed By The War On Cash / Stock-Markets / War on Cash
By: GoldCore
by Jan Skoyles, Editor Mark O’Byrne : Cash is the new “barbarous relic” according to many central banks, regulators, and some economists and there is a strong, concerted push for the ‘cashless society’.
Developments in recent days and weeks have highlighted the risks posed by the war on cash and the cashless society.
The Presidential campaign has been dominated for months and again this week by the power of information that has been gathered through unconventional means – whether due to email hacks, leaked microphone tapes or even late-night twitter rants.
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Thursday, October 20, 2016
Stock Market Gives Spike Trading Signals / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Last week the market sent us one of those special price spikes and member took full advantage of it for some quick and easy profits.
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Thursday, October 20, 2016
More Short-Term Stock Market Fluctuations Following Earnings Releases / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,210, and profit target at 2,050, S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook is neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Thursday, October 20, 2016
Gold Bull Market Still Intact, But... / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Hubert_Moolman
The gold bull market is still very much intact. In fact, it appears that the all-time high could be taken out real soon.
However, on the chart there is an obstacle that the gold price has to overcome. Another failure at this obstacle, and we could have a bigger drop than the one of a few weeks ago.
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Thursday, October 20, 2016
China's insane Housing Market Will Tumble and Crash in 2017 / Housing-Market / China Housing Market
By: Dee_Woo
Summary
* What’s behind the property fever in China?
* The financial truth of the destocking of China’s property market.
* Use quantitative analysis to predict when the bubbles of China’s housing market will burst.
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Thursday, October 20, 2016
The Chart That Exposes Stock Market Bull Rally As B.S. / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Barry_M_Ferguson
The current bull market in stocks is old by bull standards. It started in early 2009 when Ben Bernanke’s Fed staged a coup, assumed command of the US economy, and by default, the government. After all, they are following the strategy of controlling the money supply and therefore the government of a nation. The central bankers have initiated several quantitative easing periods, reduced interest rates at their bank to zero (thus affecting all interest rate coupons downstream), participated in multiple efforts to steal money from citizens and reward it to corrupt, fraudulent, bankrupt banker friends, and they continue to manipulate asset prices through action and rhetoric. The result has been a bull market in stock prices. That makes the idiots of the world believe in the ‘economic recovery’.
Thursday, October 20, 2016
Donald Trump Bounces Going into 3rd and Final US Presidential Election Debate / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Trumps campaign has been sinking like a stone ever since he lost the 1st debate to Hillary which was soon followed by a barrage of near daily bad news stories across the mainstream media that lately prompted Trump to proclaim that there was an establishment conspiracy to fix the election for Hillary.
Wednesday, October 19, 2016
The Fed Has Made Another Massive Policy Error / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank
By: John_Mauldin
I would argue that the Great Recession was a result of a massive monetary policy error. The Fed kept rates too low for too long, which—when coupled with lax or no regulation in the mortgage markets—resulted in a housing bubble and a crash. This then bled over to global markets.
I believe we are again suffering the effects of a massive monetary policy error. The error has already been committed, but we have just begun to endure the consequences.
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Wednesday, October 19, 2016
The Fed Destroyed US Boomers’ Retirement Dreams / Personal_Finance / Pensions & Retirement
By: John_Mauldin
The more I think about where the “monetary policy community” of academic elites has brought us, the angrier I get. It’s been a long time since I’ve been this passionately upset about something.
Almost everything the Fed did to us since 2008 falls into two broad categories: interest rate repression and quantitative easing.
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Wednesday, October 19, 2016
Demographics Are the Biggest Drag on the US Economy / Economics / Demographics
By: John_Mauldin
BY SAMUEL RINES: The US economy has slowed, and the reasons for the sluggish growth cause heated arguments among market participants and economists alike. There are two outspoken camps: “the good ole days are coming back” and “this is normal.” The camps have little in common, except yelling at one another.
Wednesday, October 19, 2016
Gold doesn’t care who wins the US Election / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Michael_J_Kosares
Founder, USAGOLD and author of The ABCs of Gold Investing – How to Protect and Build Your Wealth with Gold
“Gold prices have enjoyed a hefty climb so far this year as the market continues to guess the pace and timing of the next U.S. interest-rate hike, but the battle for the U.S. presidency is set to take center stage as Election Day nears. And it doesn’t matter if Republican Party nominee Donald Trump or Democratic Party nominee Hillary Clinton moves on to be the next president of the United States—gold is likely to come out a winner, George Milling-Stanley, head of gold investment strategy at State Street Global Advisors.” –– Myra Saefong/MarketWatch/10-19-2016
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Wednesday, October 19, 2016
Attention Please: Phase Two of the Gold and Silver Train Now leaving the Station. All Aboard? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Peter_Degraaf
Phase One began in January 2016, and slowed down from July until early October. (Charts in this commentary are courtesy Stockcharts.com, unless indicated).
Wednesday, October 19, 2016
What Do Declining Corporate Earnings Keep Telling Us? / Companies / Corporate Earnings
By: Rodney_Johnson
‘Tis the season. Earnings season, that is, and I don’t think we’re getting any presents.This week Alcoa kicked off the third-quarter earnings announcement season. The next couple of weeks will bring an onslaught of numbers, excuses, deflections, and projections. Company spokesmen and CEOs will spend time explaining why their industry is soft, and how better times are just ahead.
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