Thursday, July 07, 2016
4 Risk Indicators Show Extreme Readings and a Huge Divergence in the Markets / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: InvestingHaven
2016 is certainly the year where markets are behaving in an extreme fashion. Most recently, we have witnessed a mini-flash crash post-Brexit with a sharp V-shaped recovery, just in one week.
Our risk indicators have arrived at extreme levels. We pick out 4 fundamental risk indicators from our methodology which we discuss in this article. Apart from extreme readings our risk indicators also show an important divergence. In other words, markets arrived at a critical juncture and are ready to accelerate in the same direction or reverse their course.
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Thursday, July 07, 2016
Stock Market Unwinding... Rallying Back.... Waiting On The Right News / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jack_Steiman
The market spent a day and a half trying to fall enough to unwind those overbought, sixty-minute index charts. The Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq are very overbought with RSI's intraday hitting the low 80's. Finally, we saw some selling, which allowed all of those index short-term charts to unwind their RSI's back in to the mid 40's. That was enough to start the move back up, but not enough to get the market exploding. Unwinding was clearly necessary. It's also healthier if you don't stay too overbought for too long. Get things unwound, which will allow for a better floor from which to move higher. Also, if you don't get too overbought it helps prevent negative divergences down the road.
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Thursday, July 07, 2016
Is Stock Market VIX Really OK? / Stock-Markets / Volatility
By: Marty_Chenard
Yesterday, the VIX closed at 15.58, so it looks like it is okay. But is it really?
The verdict is actually not in yet ... take a look at October, April and now. April was the lowest reading, with October and now not as low as it was in April. With that condition, there remains a possibility of an inverted Head & Shoulder pattern which would have upside implications for the VIX.
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Thursday, July 07, 2016
SPX Finds Resistance at the Trendline / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX appears to have been stopped by the 4.5-year trendline. This may be an ideal spot to add to short positions. The end of day activity may also be bearish, as institutions begin to sell in the final half hour.
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Wednesday, July 06, 2016
Stock Market Big Money Making Move is Right Around the Corner… / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Graham_Summers
The rally last week was likely end of the quarter performance gaming and little else.
Fund managers have to report their returns every quarter. With the markets gyrating throughout 2Q16, fund managers were highly incentivized to gun the markets higher in order to redeem the quarter.
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Wednesday, July 06, 2016
Gold Heading Toward $1,400 As Bull Run Commences / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: The_Gold_Report
Gold's post-Brexit vote surge continues unabated, with Bloomberg reporting today that the price of the safe haven commodity has risen for six consecutive days.
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Wednesday, July 06, 2016
Brexit and Beyond -- Look at Price Patterns, not Market News / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: EWI
How Elliott waves helped us get bearish on the British pound days ahead of vote
Jim Martens, editor of Currency Pro Service, prepared his subscribers early for the violent reversal and historic sell-off in the British pound. Learn what helped him do it.
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Wednesday, July 06, 2016
UBS States; “Gold Has Entered a New Phase “ / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: GoldCore
With gold prices having risen by 24% in dollar terms already this year, UBS analyst Joni Teves declared in a note to clients yesterday that “gold has entered a new phase”.
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Wednesday, July 06, 2016
“Incredibly Stupid” Juncker Opens Pandora’s Box / Politics / European Union
By: Raul_I_Meijer
Remember the referendum in April in which voters in the Netherlands rejected the EU-Ukraine trade deal? Seems forever ago, doesn’t it? But to date nothing has been done with the outcome of the vote, even though Dutch law requires a government to implement referendum outcomes as swiftly as possible.
PM Mark Rutte told parliament this week that ‘changing’ the deal would be very difficult, and that talks on the topic in the European Council ‘don’t make him happy’. Since one of the things Rutte has demanded from the EU is a pledge that Ukraine will not become an EU member, none of this should be surprising.
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Wednesday, July 06, 2016
Gold Price Continues to Move Higher : Stunning GLD Demand / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Dan_Norcini
Safe haven gold continues its strong showing as plummeting interest rates and shaky global equity markets are creating a strong bid in this market.
Gold pushed up towards last week’s high and in the process pushed through yet another overhead resistance level in the $1345-$1350 level.
Based on what I can see from this chart, there appears to be little resistance in its path until closer to the $1385 level. Above that lies psychologically significant $1400.
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Wednesday, July 06, 2016
European Bank Stocks Plunge! It’s Not The Brexit Stupid / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016
By: James_Quinn
Just over a week ago the world was coming unglued, as enough British citizens grew a pair and spit in the face of the EU establishment and global elite by voting to exit the EU. The fear mongering by central bankers and their puppet political hacks failed to deter people who have become sick and tired of being abused and pillaged by bureaucrats working on behalf of bankers and billionaires.
Stock markets around the world plummeted on Thursday and Friday. The world braced for another Black Monday. The phone lines were buzzing between central bankers around the world over the weekend as their banker constituents demanded relief. If one thing has been proven over the last seven years, its a coordinated effort between central bankers and Wall Street banks to rig the stock market higher can work over a short time period.
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Wednesday, July 06, 2016
Golden Fireworks - Gold Price Forecast / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Bob_Loukas
This is a follow up post to last month’s blog post – Gold is Ready to Perform and is an excerpt of the weekly premium report.
Gold surged on the Brexit vote a week ago, then then spent the early part of this week consolidating the gains. The net gain since the Brexit vote has been impressive, but Gold has still not regained the intraday high from the day after the Brexit vote. Since spiking to 1362 the morning after the vote, Gold has been filling and confirming the Brexit surge.
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Wednesday, July 06, 2016
Stock Markets Erase Brexit Losses: Is the Fallout Already Behind Us? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: MoneyMetals
Nigel Farage toiled for 17 years building a movement to lead the United Kingdom out of the European Union. A week ago, he stood in front hundreds of drab bureaucrats in the EU Assembly, most of whom have done little but snicker at his free-market ideals, and declared victory. He told them, quite plausibly, their political union is dying - and good riddance!
Fans of liberty cheered for Farage and for Brexit. And, after the sharp recovery in equity indexes around the world, it looks like stock investors have begun cheering as well. Many say stock market losses sustained in the first couple of trading days were an overreaction. Maybe. Or maybe not.
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Wednesday, July 06, 2016
Correction in Bitcoin Price? / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Mike_McAra
In short: no speculative positions.
The road to a Bitcoin ETF has proved to be pretty challenging for the Winklevoss twins. First mentioned in 2013, the ETF has yet to be approved by the SEC, more than 2 years after the initial filing. In the recent days, the filing was amended to change the exchange the ETF would be traded on. On the Forbes website, we read:
In their three-year-long quest to offer a Bitcoin ETF, twin brothers Cameron and Tyler Winklevoss made several amendments to their regulatory filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission Wednesday.
After initially deciding to list the proposed Winklevoss Bitcoin Trust (which would go by the ticker symbol COIN) on Nasdaq, they’ve switched to BATS Global Markets, which has become a popular choice for newly launched ETFs and is known for a having technologically advanced exchange.
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Wednesday, July 06, 2016
Walkers Crisps Spell and Go K C D Holiday Win After 300 Letter Codes! / Personal_Finance / Freebies and Comps
By: Anika_Walayat
Just Like us, hundreds of thousands of people right across Britain have dutifully trundled along through hail, rain and snow to their local supermarkets every other week to stock up on walkers crisp multi-packs in an desperate attempt to escape Britain's usually dismal summer by means of winning one of Walkers Spell and Go Holidays! We'll today after having entered 300 codes our quest for the holy grail for a K,C,D finally draws to an end and so find out happens towards the very end of our Walkers Crisp blitzkrieg campaign, and a valuable lesson of what to expect from future such promotions.
Tuesday, July 05, 2016
Stock Market 5-year Cycle? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Ed_Carlson
My own observations of a 4 year cycle show a very consistent low in the Dow every four years. In 1962 the cycle expanded to five years and in 1978 it contracted to three years.
The bull market from 2002 never provided a low that could be considered a cycle low and an important high was seen five years later in 2007. That was followed by a significant low four years later in 2011.
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Tuesday, July 05, 2016
Europe Could Have Bigger Issues Beyond Brexit / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016
By: Harry_Dent
The Dow dropped nearly 1,000 points (5%) and the London FTSE dropped 10% after the Brexit vote surprised the markets on June 23. After two days though, markets are marching back up again.That’s just like markets on “crack!” They react to political events, but totally miss the fundamentals.
Yes, Brexit is important. Years from now it will be recognized as the beginning of the end for the great Eurozone experiment.
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Tuesday, July 05, 2016
The Gold Standard: Friend of the Middle Class / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Antonius_Aquinas
It has been theoretically demonstrated and seen in general practice that a monetary system of 100% metallic money devoid of central banking checks monetary inflation, prevents a general rise in the price level, and eliminates the dreaded business cycle while making all sorts of monetary mischief nearly impossible. A gold standard is not only economically superior to any paper money scheme, but is morally just, which is why it is hated by the politically well-connected, academics, politicians, and the rest of the Establishment.
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Tuesday, July 05, 2016
“In Gold We Trust” Annual Report Shows New Bull Market “Emerging” / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: GoldCore
The “In Gold We Trust” Annual Report by fund managers, Ronald-Peter Stöferle and Mark Valek has just been published and is as ever essential reading for all seeking to better understand the gold market.
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Tuesday, July 05, 2016
Ready or Not the Recession May Have Already Arrived / Economics / Recession 2016
By: Michael_Pento
While investors have been focused on the perennial failed hope for a second half economic recovery, they have been missing the most salient point: the U.S. most likely entered into a recession at the end of last quarter.
That’s right, when adjusting nominal GDP growth for Core Consumer Price Inflation for the average of the past two-quarters the recession is already here. But before we look deeper into this, let’s first look at the following five charts that illustrate the economy has been steadily deteriorating for the past few years and that the pace of decline has recently picked up steam.
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