Wednesday, July 13, 2016
How Hostess Has Adapted Even the Twinkie to a Changing World / Companies / Corporate News
In 2004, Hostess Brands declared bankruptcy. At the time, I wrote that the maker of Twinkies, Ho Hos, and Snoballs was suffering because of demographic trends.As millennials aged past elementary and middle school, they quit munching on such snacks. With fewer kids in the younger age cohorts, slower Twinkie sales seemed inevitable
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Tuesday, July 12, 2016
Bitcoin Price Walking Thin Line / Currencies / Bitcoin
In short: no speculative positions.
There has been an important change in the way the Bitcoin network operates. Namely, mining rewards have been cut in half. This is not an unforeseen change, since there is a known halving schedule. On BBC News, we read:
The financial rewards for being involved with the Bitcoin virtual currency have been halved.
Before 9 July, a regular reward of 25 bitcoins was handed out to those who were first to verify which coins had been spent.
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Tuesday, July 12, 2016
Stock market, leading sectors, and the price of Coffee / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
It was a relatively dull session yesterday (Monday July 11th) with stocks gapping higher only to trade sideways up till now. As I talked about in the morning’s video I expected stocks to grind higher, and for vix ETF to keep moving lower for another day or three.
Coffee continues to be on caffeine-high today testing near today’s high, which looks as though it will continue to run higher in the coming days.
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Tuesday, July 12, 2016
Crude Oil - Precious Metals Link / Commodities / Crude Oil
In the recent few weeks oil bulls and bears fought battles between the barrier of $50 (the key resistance) and the green support zone based on the Apr and early May highs. After several unsuccessful attempts to move higher oil bears took control and crude oil closed Thursday's and Friday's sessions under its first important support zone. How did this drop affect the oil-to gold and oil-to-silver ratios? Let's jump right into charts (chart courtesy of http://stockcharts.com) and find out.
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Tuesday, July 12, 2016
Stock Market Topping Internals, Buy This Rally and See What Happens! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Everyone is Bullish, perfect time to short with stops in place of course. Below is a simple chart of one way to look at market internals. Lets see what is going on under the hood.
The chart shows OEX or SPY with NYSE 3 month new highs using a line chart. The purple line going up is OEX or SPY. Basically what this is saying is the market is going higher on less participation not more.
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Tuesday, July 12, 2016
A Fed Bondsy Scheme / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Who needs the Fed's QE when the world is seemingly beating down the doors to buy US bonds? But like all Ponzi schemes, the end eventually comes. Last week's record low in bond yields arrived at the same time as an expected 6 month low in yields and may have marked at least a temporary end to the scheme. Stay tuned for a reversal in interest rates and its effect on equity markets as liquidity in global markets dries up.
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Tuesday, July 12, 2016
Could the US Bond Market Bubble Finally Be Ready to Burst? / Interest-Rates / Bond Bubble
The great commodity bubble has been steadily bursting since mid-2008, but has taken a nosedive since early 2011. It's now down 70% overall, and 80%-plus in industrial commodities like iron ore.Real estate has seen its first bubble burst and it clearly looks like a second one is on the way.
Stocks have now seen a third bubble and the largest burst is still just ahead… but, the question remains: when does it begin in this endless realm of QE and stimulus?
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Tuesday, July 12, 2016
SPX Rally Nearing Completion. USB Maybe Finished / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
I have been reviewing the Cycle Model and have a few observations to pass on. There is little doubt why Ben Bernanke went to visit Abe and Kuroda last weekend. The June 27 Master Cycle low is the last of its kind until October 4, 2016. It appears that this is the last chance they have of igniting a rally in order to preserve the uptrend.
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Tuesday, July 12, 2016
Extortionate Fees Push Bank Overdraft Costs to a New High / Personal_Finance / Current Accounts
In March 2009 the credit crunch started to bite and base rate fell to its historic low of 0.50%. Since then, the cost of borrowing using a current account has risen, and it has now hit yet another high. Indeed, the latest research by Moneyfacts.co.uk can reveal that authorised overdrafts could now cost borrowers as much as £180 a year.
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Tuesday, July 12, 2016
Black Lives Matter - Obama’s Race War is No Accident / Politics / US Politics
What will it take for citizens to face up to the nature of the state of terror against the American people? All the attention about Islamic suicide fanatics provides ample cover to ignore the pathetic condition of race relations that has been a hallmark of the Obama administration. If a POTUS person of color was accused of festering discontent, the fable disinformation media would pay no attention to or paint the charges as racist. The liberal sociopaths that project the progressive culture are obsessed with smearing all dissent from their authoritarian oppression as based upon bigotry that objects to the supremacy of their multicolored Marxism.
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Tuesday, July 12, 2016
Stock Market Rally May be Complete / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
SPX has now completed a 60-hour rally from the 1991.68 low after a 13-hour decline from the 2113.32 high. It appears to be complete.
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Tuesday, July 12, 2016
Gold Bull Confirmed: What's Next? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
Technical analyst Jack Chan confirms a bull market for gold and lays out his investment strategy.
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Tuesday, July 12, 2016
How Demographics Decided Brexit / Politics / BrExit
Stephen McBride, Garret/Galland ResearchThe June 23 decision by the United Kingdom to leave the European Union shocked many people. If we take a closer look at voter demographics, however, the reasons behind the Leave victory become much clearer.
Below, we look at the most significant voter patterns to emerge from the referendum.
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Tuesday, July 12, 2016
Here’s How Much Europe Depends on the UK / Politics / BrExit
Euroskeptiscism is on the rise in Europe. Countries like Poland and Hungary have actively sought to limit the EU’s influence and ignore its rules—most recently with regard to refugee policies.
Even the most Euroskeptic governments, however, campaigned against Brexit. While European nations may want to limit the EU’s role and influence at home, both economic and security interests led them to support the UK’s membership in the EU (read our free special report on Brexit implications).
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Tuesday, July 12, 2016
Brexit Doesn’t Change the Sad Reality of Europe / Politics / European Union
Europe was already in a shambles before the Brexit vote (read Mauldin Economics’ special report on Brexit implications). The UK’s decision may have made a bad situation more volatile. Europe, however, would still be a mess if “Remain” had won.
- If Remain had won, refugees from Africa and the Middle East, many with the UK as their destination, would still be struggling across the Mediterranean or taking land routes into Eastern Europe. The EU would still be desperately trying to stem the tide and to accommodate those whom it can’t stop.
Monday, July 11, 2016
Theresa 'Cersei' May Wins Tory Game of Thrones to Seize Conservative 'Iron Throne' / Politics / BrExit
Home Secretary and master tactician Theresa 'Cersei' May surprised all by succeeding in seizing the Tory 'Iron Throne' some 2 months ahead of schedule, putting David 'Lannister' Cameron on 48 hours notice to quit No 10 Downing Street. The seeds for today's victory were sown a week ago ago as BBC newsnight revealed emerging details of a plan hatched to kill off Andrea Leadsom's building campaign before it gained further momentum.
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Monday, July 11, 2016
Gold - Wonderland / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
“If I had a world of my own, everything would be nonsense. Nothing would be what it is, because everything would be what it isn’t. And contrary wise, what is, it wouldn’t be. And what it wouldn’t be, it would. You see?” –Alice in Wonderland
Silver out performs gold as both rise with Treasury bonds, which are in turn rising with stocks, as Junk bonds hit new recovery highs while USD remains firm as inflation expectations are out of the picture. This is highly atypical, maybe even unprecedented.
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Monday, July 11, 2016
Gold And Silver – Be Afraid, At The Very Least Be Wary / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
BREXIT opened a Pandora's Box for the EU. Will the globalists shut it closed and then reseal it for generations to come? Something may be rotten in the state of Denmark, but the stench emitting from Brussels has been overpowering Europe. People in the Western world are being manipulated each and every day by the elite's mainstream press with everything that can be construed as potentially negative that stems from BREXIT as a scapegoat.
The world is drowning in debt created by the central bankers and force-fed to states like a goose being fattened for foie gras. Always, always follow the money. Almost everything wrong in the world today can be traced to debt, debt that has been foisted upon states and people by bankers for the sole purpose of enriching only the shadow globalists. At the end of the day, the tab gets passed onto everyone else to pay. That is the sole purpose of the bail-outs and bail-ins. Nothing else, not even you, matters to the elites.
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Monday, July 11, 2016
SPX testing the Cycle Top Resistance / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
The SPX Premarket is challenging the 2-hour Cycle Top at 2136.81 this morning. Indications are, we may see a probe higher at the open. Although it did not go above the 2134.72 high of May 20, 2015 on Friday, it may do so this morning.
Does that hurt the bearish case? Probably not. You will note that May 19 was exactly 8.6 years (3141.6 days) from the October 11, 2007 high. The time has arrived fro a change of trend. However, I believe that the central banks have been pushing against that change of trend. Thus we have the Orthodox Broadening Top. A move above the upper trendline, called a throw-over, does not invalidate the formation.
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Monday, July 11, 2016
What US Economic Recovery; 62% of Americans Don't Even Have $1000 in Savings / Economics / US Economy
"He who is plenteously provided for from within, needs but little from without." ~ Johann Wolfgang Von Goethe
A key sign of financial health is savings; if one does not have a decent amount of money tucked away for a rainy day, it is a sign that all is not well. Americans have a very hard time sticking to a budget and saving, compared to their Asian counterparts. This is reflected in the startling revelation that over 62% of Americans do not even have $1000 in their savings account. Foreigners are shocked when they find out that Americans have so little money saved for a rainy day.
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