Monday, June 06, 2016

A Crisis of Exporters Is Brewing—and That Has Massive Global Economic Implications / Economics / Global Economy

By: John_Mauldin

BY GEORGE FRIEDMAN 

The global system has reached a breaking point. All the pressures that have built up over the months and years have finally begun to tear it apart. There is much to tell, but for today, I will mention only three countries: China, Saudi Arabia, and Germany.

From 1991 to 2008, the consensus was that more exports make an economy stronger. This was true until 2008. However, the exporter is only as strong as his customer’s appetite and ability to buy what he sells. When demand falls, what was once a strength becomes a weakness.

Monday, June 06, 2016

3 Signs the German Economy Is Falling Apart / Economics / Germany

By: John_Mauldin

Germany is the world’s fourth-largest economy. It is also Europe’s largest economy, and any European economic recovery depends a great deal on Germany’s trajectory. 

Germany is also the third-largest exporter in absolute terms in the G20 and is nearly as dependent on exports as Saudi Arabia and South Korea.  The country, therefore, must export vast amounts to maintain social and political stability.

Monday, June 06, 2016

The Keynesians Stole The Jobs / Economics / Employment

By: Dr_Ron_Paul

Late last week the markets were shocked by a surprisingly bad May jobs report - the worst monthly report in nearly six years. The experts expected the US economy to add 160,000 jobs in May, but it turns out only 38,000 jobs were added. And to make matters worse, 13,000 of those 38,000 were government jobs! Adding more government employees is a drain on the economy, not a measure of economic growth. Incredibly, there are more than 102 million people who are either unemployed or are no longer looking for work.

Monday, June 06, 2016

Stocks Report, European Commission in Panic Over New Brexit Opinion Poll / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Christopher_Quigley

In 17 days time, on the 23rd. of June, Britain goes to the polls to decide whether to stay in the European Union or not. Should Great Britain opt to leave it will send financial and political shock waves around the world. Many believe a win for the leave faction would put Europe’s stressed banking system under such pressure that a “Lehman Brothers type event” could occur, the main candidate being Deutsche Bank with its 75 trillion derivative exposure.  Thus June 2016 could turn out to be one of the most volatile trading months in financial history.

Monday, June 06, 2016

SPX Still Working on Final Wave? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX is challenging its Thursday afternoon high at 2105.26. It appears that it is still working on Wave 5. This may be the final thrust ending near 2110.00. If so, it may not change the wave structure illustrated in the chart.

Monday, June 06, 2016

S&P 500 Still At 2,100 Mark - Which Direction Is Next? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,140, and profit target at 2,000, S&P 500 index).

Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains bearish, as the S&P 500 index extends its lower highs, lower lows sequence:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral

Monday, June 06, 2016

A Beacon of Hope in UK Savings Market / Personal_Finance / Stock Markets 2016

By: MoneyFacts

Thanks to dismal savings rates, savers can be forgiven for thinking that there is little to gain from switching savings accounts away from familiar high street providers. However, research from Moneyfacts.co.uk can reveal that this is not the case and that savers would actually be able achieve far better rates of return from the newer kids on the block.

Monday, June 06, 2016

Now Obama Warns Americans to ‘Be Prepared’ for Disaster… What Does He Know? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Jeff_Berwick

Recently Barack Obama urged citizens to be prepared. He broke this new ground in a May 31st speech to the FEMA National Response Coordination Center in Washington.

He explained that it was up to each citizen to be prepared for disasters. This preparation should extend to “having an evacuation plan” and “having a fully stocked disaster supply kit.”

One of the things that we have learned over the course of the last seven and a half years is that government plays a vital role, but it is every citizen’s responsibility to be prepared for a disaster. -Barack Obama

Monday, June 06, 2016

Gold Mixed Signals or a Clear Path Forward? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Gary_Tanashian

Last week’s opening paragraph: “If we are going to highlight improving fundamentals, which we did as gold out performed commodities and stock markets, then we also have to highlight and respect eroding fundamentals; no ifs, ands or buts.”

This week’s opening paragraph: If we are going to highlight eroding fundamentals, which we did as gold under performed commodities and stock markets and Semi Equipment made an early positive economic indication, then we also have to highlight and respect improving fundamentals; no ifs, ands or buts.

Monday, June 06, 2016

Stock Market Spy Decision Imminent! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Submissions

Joseph VanDerveer writes: Below is a Daily Chart of SPY.  I would like to point out a few observations, starting with the two rising wedges that take a little imagination but bare with me. 

Watch the lower trendline going forward specially when we are passing a potential 6 month cycle top noted on the chart with two dashed vertical lines.

Monday, June 06, 2016

You Are Here, the Next Fourth Turning, No More Room to Increase Leverage / Politics / Social Issues

By: James_Quinn

The next Fourth Turning is due to begin shortly after the new millennium, midway through the Oh-Oh decade. Around the year 2005, a sudden spark will catalyze a Crisis mood. Remnants of the old social order will disintegrate. Political and economic trust will implode. Real hardship will beset the land, with severe distress that could involve questions of class, race, nation and empire. The very survival of the nation will feel at stake. Sometime before the year 2025, America will pass through a great gate in history, commensurate with the American Revolution, Civil War, and twin emergencies of the Great Depression and World War II." - Strauss & Howe - The Fourth Turning

Monday, June 06, 2016

Stock Market Consolidation Or Distribution? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX Long-term trend: A lengthy correction is most likely underway!

SPX Intermediate trend: The H&S pattern has been invalidated and the index is re-testing the upper portion of its trading range.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.

Sunday, June 05, 2016

Two Charts That Prove Central Banks Are Losing Control / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Graham_Summers

The markets opened weak yesterday when the ECB announced no new policies.

The ECB is out of options. Mario Draghi has cut rates into NIRP four times and spent nearly €1 trillion in QE. Looking at the EU’s inflation rate, you wouldn’t think the ECB had done anything.

Sunday, June 05, 2016

Walkers Crisps Spell and Go 175 Letters Zombie Apocalypse / ConsumerWatch / Freebies and Comps

By: Anika_Walayat

We have now entered 175 crisp packet codes for 175 letters in Walkers Crisps Spell and promotion. If there was an equal chance of getting each letter then the odds of winning a holiday would be 26 to 1. So with 175 letters we should have won at least 6 holidays! Find out how many holidays we actually won so far. Also after having munched through so many bags of crisps on a daily basis, we are experiencing some side effects beyond weight gain, especially at night, see our solution for dealing with this issue in our latest video -

Sunday, June 05, 2016

Stocks Hanging on Despite Shock Jobs Report / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jesse

Stocks are hanging on to this level which has given them such problems for so long as you can see from the chart below.

The stock market has become a mechanism for wealth appropriation and transfer, and as such must be maintained at all costs. LOL.

Sunday, June 05, 2016

Traders Panicking EVerywhere, Gold Chart / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Gary_Savage

I see traders everywhere panicking. People are acting like they’ve gotten left behind. Nothing could be further from the truth.

While I’m skeptical that gold has made a final intermediate cycle low because it hasn’t dropped far enough to break the intermediate trend line yet, and the dollar should still have another leg up this month, the reality is that gold is only on day 3 of this daily cycle.

Sunday, June 05, 2016

EU Referendum - British People vs Establishment Elite, the Illusion of Democracy and Freedom / ElectionOracle / EU_Referendum

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The latest propaganda card played by the Remain in the EU establishment camp was of George Osborne calling on his good buddy, Jamie Dimon, the head of JP Morgan to come to Britain and do his best to scare the British people into voting to REMAIN within the EU on June 23rd as being in the best interests of the British establishment who OWN Britain. So Jamie acted out the role of being the fourth horseman of a Brexit financial apocalypse that would see Britain's financial sector evaporate. Though maybe not on par with the last financial apocalypse that the likes of JP Morgan helped bring about in 2008. That saw the world's governments blackmailed into bailing out the banks to the tune of $trillions of dollars. Where even little old blighty was forced to cough up over £500 billion to bailout Britain's banks, and then had a £4 trillion noose of banking sector liabilities put around the necks of the British tax payer or else face financial armageddon...

Sunday, June 05, 2016

Bifurcated Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Tony_Caldaro

The market started the week at SPX 2099. After Monday’s holiday the market reached SPX 2103 on Tuesday. Wednesday the market declined to SPX 2085. Thursday the market rallied to SPX 2105, then returned to 2085 by Friday morning before ending the week back where it started at 2099. For the week the SPX/DOW were -0.2%, and the NDX/NAZ were mixed. Economic reports for the week were numerous and generally positive. On the downtick: the Chicago PMI, consumer confidence, construction spending, auto sales, monthly payrolls, ISM services and the Q2 GDP estimate. On the uptick: personal income/spending, the PCE, ISM manufacturing, the ADP, factory orders, plus, the unemployment rate, trade deficit and weekly jobless claims all improved.

Sunday, June 05, 2016

Muhammad Ali - Did The Greatest American Alive Just Die? / Politics / Social Issues

By: Raul_I_Meijer

“Boxing legend dies”, is what most headlines say. And the news was first reported on sports pages, though it did soon move to frontpages, fast.

Muhammad Ali was so much more than a boxing legend. So much more that to mention boxing first doesn’t do him justice. Ali was first and foremost a very brave and intelligent man, who changed America for the better. Or should we say: changed Americans?

Sunday, June 05, 2016

U.S. Conservatives will align with Hillary Clinton to Stage Global War / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016

By: Michael_T_Bucci

A political commentator predicted that the year 2016 would see the break-up of each political party. The entire GOP would shrink as a national party becoming one confined to rural areas; the Democrats would split between the pro-Wall Street, pro-military interventionist wing of Hillary Clinton; and the Bernie Sanders wing rejoining the legacy of F.D.R., the New Deal and Great Society, which gradually weakened since Bill Clinton.

With Hillary Clinton’s recent verbal assaults on Donald Trump and the exuberant praise of her by conservatives, the GOP might have its secret stealth candidate who won’t be appearing at the GOP convention in Cleveland, but might take enough Republican votes away from Trump in November to help defeat him. Her name is Hillary.