Monday, May 09, 2016
What Happened to the Bernie Revolution? / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
In a recent interview I was asked why Bernie Sanders, a self-described "democratic socialist" had seemingly attracted so much support among young people. In fact polls suggest Sanders is the most popular candidate among people aged 18-29, and 51 percent of that same age group appears fed up with "capitalism in its current form," according to a recent Harvard study.
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Monday, May 09, 2016
Stocks Extended Their Short-Term Downtrend But Will They Continue Lower? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.
Our intraday outlook is neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral. Our medium-term outlook remains bearish, as the S&P 500 index extends its lower highs, lower lows sequence:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): neutral
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): neutral
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Monday, May 09, 2016
Price Of Gold Is Breaking Out But “Commercial Traders” On The Wrong Side? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
Price of Gold: The activities of the ‘commercial traders’ in the COT data is closely watched by the market participants, as they are believed to be the smartest of the lot. They take deliveries on their bets, unlike the speculators, who have no interest in taking a delivery.
If you have followed the ‘commercial traders’, without paying attention to my proprietary predictive trend and cycle analysis for the price of gold and silver, you would be sitting on large losses, due to their ‘short positions’ which mean they expect price to move lower.
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Monday, May 09, 2016
Top Tips for Winning Walkers Crisps 'Spell & Go' Holidays / Personal_Finance / Freebies and Comps
Here are our top tips for winning one of 20,000 holidays in the Walkers Crisps 'Spell and Go' promotion. Firstly, you need to be aware that the letters K,C and D are being with-held or only released in very few numbers so that Walkers crisps can regulate the number of holidays it awards....
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Sunday, May 08, 2016
Stock Market First Support Level Tested / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: The beginning of a lengthy correction is most likely underway!
SPX Intermediate trend: Correcting.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
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Sunday, May 08, 2016
Euro Technical Analysis and the BrExit Vote / Stock-Markets / Euro
The Euro remains locked in a big consolidation phase and with the Brexit vote coming up I thought I’d take another look. Let’s look at one scenario on the daily chart that I think has some good potential going forward.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, May 08, 2016
Medical Mousetraps / Companies / Healthcare Sector
In 1882, Ralph Waldo Emerson stated; “If a man has good corn or wood, or boards, or pigs, to sell, or can make better chairs or knives, crucibles or church organs, than anybody else, you will find a broad hard-beaten road to his house, though it be in the woods.”
In 1889, Emerson was credited with having said; “If a man can write a better book, preach a better sermon, or make a better mousetrap than his neighbor ...”
Today the common phrasing is of course a metaphor about the power of innovation -‘Build a better mousetrap, and the world will beat a path to your door.’
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Sunday, May 08, 2016
A Rare Congress and Mixed Signals in North Korea / Politics / North Korea
For the first time in more than 35 years, North Korea is preparing to hold a full Congress of the Workers' Party of Korea (WPK). Originally intended to be a regular occurrence for the WPK, party congresses convened only sporadically until 1980, when Kim Jong Il was named as Kim Il Sung's successor, and juche (loosely translated as self-reliance) was formalized as the government's official guiding philosophy. In the years since, though the WPK has officially remained at the center of the North Korean political system, party congresses have lost their central role in the political cycle. Scheduled to begin May 6, the 2016 congress marks the revival of a more public political style in the country, playing on the formalism of party structure and events.
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Sunday, May 08, 2016
American Billionaire Warns To Get Out of the Stock Markets and Run To Gold / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Billionaire trader, Stanley Druckenmiller, recently stated that the current situation in the global economy is similar to the situation on the eve of the crisis of 2008.
At the Ira Sohn Investment Conference in New York, he said, “The bull market is exhausting itself… The Fed has borrowed from future consumption more than ever before. It is the least data dependent Fed in history. This is the longest deviation from historical norms in terms of Fed dovishness than I have ever seen in my career.”
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Sunday, May 08, 2016
Mining Share, Gold, Stock Market Forecast / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
The stock market, as measured by the S&P 500, reached its 115 trading cycle top the third week of April. The next important cycle low is due on July 5th. The SPX is in process of making a head and shoulders top, and should continue higher into the mid-point of the Mercury Retrograde Cycle around May 11th. My target price is 2080. Friday was the new moon low, but also a top for the precious metals complex.
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Sunday, May 08, 2016
Five Bull Market Rules (in Gold & Precious Metal Stocks as well) / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
Sunday, May 08, 2016
Demographics and the Protein Ladder / Economics / Demographics
In 1800, three percent of the world's population lived in urban areas. By 1900, roughly 14 percent of the world's population were urbanites and 12 cities had 1 million or more inhabitants.
In 1950, 30 percent - 746 million people - resided in urban centers and the number of cities with over 1 million people had grown to 83.
In 1975 three cities had populations of 10 million or more. In 1990, there were ten “mega-cities” with 10 million inhabitants or more, which were home to 153 million people or slightly less than seven per cent of the global urban population at that time. Megacities (minimum population of 10 mil to qualify) numbered 16 in 2000.
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Sunday, May 08, 2016
SPX Downtrend Probably Underway / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
The week started out at SPX 2065. After a higher open and rally to SPX 2083 on Monday the market sold off for the rest of the week. Aided by two gap down openings the market hit SPX 2039 on Friday. Then it rallied to end the week at SPX 2057. For the week the SPX/DOW lost 0.30%, and the NDX/NAZ lost 0.55%. Economic reports for the week were mixed. On the downtick: ISM manufacturing, the ADP, monthly Payrolls, Q2 GDP est., and weekly jobless claims increased. On the uptick: construction spending, factory orders, ISM services, consumer credit, long term investor sentiment, and the trade deficit narrowed. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by the PPI, Retail sales, and Business/Wholesale inventories.
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Sunday, May 08, 2016
Weekend Charts: $SPX, $NYAD, $NYA, $INDU, $MID, $RUT, $FTSE, $CAC, $DAX, and $NIKK / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
I like the odds that Friday marked the bottom of the daily cycle and half intermediate cycle decline. The next daily cycle should be right translated as well and rally at least into the second week of June before the market starts to get nervous about the Brexit and we get another corrective move.
At this point there is virtually no doubt that the 7 year cycle correction is finished and the next phase of this QE driven bull market is beginning.
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Saturday, May 07, 2016
Gold Sector Checkup After the ‘Inflation Trade’ Bounce / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
There has been a lot of talk about how gold is not a good inflation hedge. Indeed, with the recent bounce in inflation expectations, this was shown to be true over a short timeframe, at least in relation to silver and other commodities. Gold sagged while the more inflation-sensitive commodities bounced.
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Saturday, May 07, 2016
Gold And Silver ARE The Only Money [Hardly] In Existence / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
Gold and silver ARE money. Neither is a "currency," although money is often cited as interchangeable with currency. Take the Federal Reserve Note, [please!], as an example. A Federal Reserve Note [FRN], is more commonly known as a "dollar." Even though the word "dollar" appears on every FRN, each and every FRN is a debt instrument issued by the Federal Reserve and not a true dollar. The Federal Reserve is a privately held corporation, owned mostly by certain european bankers, and may include the Rockefellers, from the US.
Read full article... Read full article..."When a government is dependent upon bankers for money, they and not the leaders of the government control the situation, since the hand that gives is above the hand that takes... Money has no motherland; financiers are without patriotism and without decency; their sole object is gain." - Napoleon Bonaparte, Emperor of France, 1815
Saturday, May 07, 2016
Precious Metals Complex Combo Chart... / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
Below is a long term weekly chart we've been following which shows the breakouts and backtesting that have been going on for several months with gld and slv, and just 5 weeks or so for the HUI. This big picture look from 35,000 feet shows how infant this new bull market is right now. It was basically born back in January of this year and is just opening its eyes. What we want to see now is a higher high in the coming days and weeks.
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Saturday, May 07, 2016
Poor Jobs....Daily Stochastic's Oversold......2043 Breaches But Holds.....Shocker! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Another interesting bull-market day as there still seems to be nothing that can take this market down with any force. As a reminder, I have spoken about how we still haven't seen any major distribution off tops on any of the key, daily index charts. That's the first big hint that something bad is beginning to take place.
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Saturday, May 07, 2016
Misreading Gold and Silver CoTs, Again / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
Nearly two months ago I published a video in which I discussed conventional CoT analysis and the mistake many investors might make assuming Gold and gold stocks would undergo a big correction. The fact is a bull market that follows a nasty bear usually stays very overbought throughout its first year and therefore sentiment indicators remain in bullish territory. As a result of the primary trend change, conventional CoT analysis fails and requires an adjustment. Today we look at the Gold and Silver CoT's while harping on a few of the mistakes people are making.
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Saturday, May 07, 2016
Reviewing the Basics of the Elliott Wave Principle: The Impulse Wave / InvestorEducation / Elliott Wave Theory
Free lesson from Jeffrey Kennedy's Trader's Classroom
The Wave Principle classifies price action as either motive or corrective. Motive waves move in the direction of the trend and include impulse waves and diagonals. Today, you can watch a lesson from Jeffrey Kennedy's Trader's Classroom in which he teaches you about the basics of the impulse wave and then shows you how to identify one on an actual chart of Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (GS)
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