Saturday, May 07, 2016
SPX, NDX Reversal Pattern Has Formed / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
An impulse-with-retracement (reversal pattern) appears to be in its final formation. The retracement may go to mid-cycle resistance at 2066.99 before resuming the decline, but may be stopped at the 4.5-year trendline. This is a perfect setup for a flash crash to begin on Monday.
The NDX formed a 9-wave decline (impulsive), so it is in agreement with the SPX.
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Saturday, May 07, 2016
Wall Street Is Falling Off A Cliff, And The Bottom Is A Long Way Down / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016
By: Jeff_Berwick
For the past 50 or so years, the quickest way for a sharp young sociopath to get rich has been to join an investment bank or hedge fund. The former were riding a “regulatory capture” gravy train that became ever-more-lucrative as new government agencies morphed into subsidiaries of Wall Street. Hedge funds, meanwhile, were surfing the wave of easy money that inevitably results from putting banks in charge of interest rates and government spending.
Saturday, May 07, 2016
Stock Market ‘Counter Trend Rally’ is Now Completing! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Last Friday, April 29th, 2016, the U.S. Indexes were very bearish as price clearly broke below the 20 day moving average then rebounded back up to test that level and was rejected and sold into.
The chart below shows the market bullish and bearish momentum and price action. The momentum of these markets has now shifted away from being ‘bullish’. It is currently struggling to find support and hold up. Do not expect new highs on the SPX and I feel its beginning its ‘bearish reversal’ (topping phase) before making a new leg down.
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Friday, May 06, 2016
Gold Stocks Rise Too Far Too Fast? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
By: Zeal_LLC
The gold-mining stocks have skyrocketed this year, radically outperforming every other sector. Smart contrarians who bought them low late last year and in January have seen their capital doubled, tripled, and even quadrupled! But such blistering gains raise the ominous specter of crippling overboughtness, conditions preceding major toppings. Have gold stocks come too far too fast to continue their epic run?
The magnitude of recent months’ gold-stock surge is simply stunning. Between mid-January and the end of April, this sector’s flagship HUI NYSE Arca Gold BUGS Index blasted 131.8% higher in merely 3.3 months! This was largely mirrored by the leading gold-stock ETF, the GDX VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF. GDX saw stupendous gains of 107.1% over this same span. Gold stocks have been on fire!
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Friday, May 06, 2016
Print or Die. The Central Bankers' Dilemma - Video / Interest-Rates / Central Banks
By: Mario_Innecco
Hi its Friday May 6th 2016 so it's the first Friday of the month and usually
that means non-farm payrolls in the us- or the jobs data and yeah was
disappointing number for the you s economy jobs rose by a hundred non-farm
payrolls rose by a hundred and sixty thousand I was expected to be above
$200,000 $205,000 employment rate which is totally fictitious number status 5%
to reel in double double digits the other thing that's pretty bad for the economy and it shows that the USA
economy not only us' but you know the Western world economies are you know
haven't recovered from the collapsible wait prime age workers this is a story
Friday, May 06, 2016
Stock Market Critical SPX Support May be Lost / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX declined beneath both the 50-day Moving average at 2043.67 and the December close at 2043.74. This may be a lethal combination for the bulls, since both are critical supports to lose and may not be regained.
ZeroHedge reports, “Well that escalated quickly.. After 3 VIX-smash saves this week, the selling pressure won (for now) as a dead-cat-bounce after the dismal jobs data has sent S&P 500 back into the red for 2016 (joining Nasdaq and Small Caps) with Dow and Trannies getting close...
The bounce is dead...”
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Friday, May 06, 2016
US Jobs Report punches SPX beneath the 50-day Moving Average / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
The SPX Premarket appears to have fallen beneath the 50-day Moving Average.
The mover is the huge monthly payrolls miss. ZeroHedge reports, “It appears that the Fed is now officially "one and done" because the only indicator that until recently "confirmed" a "strong recovery", non-farm payrolls, just had a major stumble.
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Friday, May 06, 2016
Gold Leasing Explained / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
According to popular opinion, gold does not bear interest. Although that is true for retail investors, gold lending is an integral part of the gold wholesale market. What is gold leasing and how does it affect gold prices?
A lease is a contract where an asset is rent to someone else. As odd as it sounds, gold is also leased. Why? Well, on the one hand, some entities own gold they need to put to work, e.g. the bullion banks that hold a metal as a debt to their customers, so they can lease it out to earn money. On the other hand, there are companies in the gold industry who, for some reasons, prefer to borrow the metal instead of buying it outright. For example, there might be a gold mining company which expects to have one thousand ounces of gold from its production. However, the metal will be ready to sell in the market not earlier than before one month, since it must be refined etc.
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Friday, May 06, 2016
Buy Gold, ‘Get Out Of The Stock Market’ Warns Druckenmiller / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: GoldCore
Buy gold and ‘get out of the stock market,’ legendary billionaire investor Stanley Druckenmiller, advised investors this week at an investment conference in New York.
Druckenmiller, who has one of the best long-term track records in money management, said the stock market bull market has “exhausted itself” and that gold “remains our largest currency allocation.”
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Friday, May 06, 2016
Gold and Silver Companies with the Potential to Move the Needle / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: The_Gold_Report
The two times mining companies add the most value are upon first discovery and when they are nearing development and production. Joe Reagor of ROTH Capital Partners focuses on the latter group, and in this interview with The Gold Report, he discusses a handful of gold and silver companies poised to move up the value curve even if gold and silver don't go up.
Friday, May 06, 2016
Markets At Crossroads: Huge Moves Brewing In Stocks And Gold / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: InvestingHaven
Markets arrived at crossroads, and big moves are around the corner.
Seldom have we seen so many assets and indicators at decision points simultaneously! We see stocks, gold, and the U.S. dollar trading at extremely important levels, all in conjunction. Note that this is not according to technical analysis, but our intermarket analysis and chart patterns.
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Friday, May 06, 2016
The Bitcoin Drama Continues: Craig Wright Disappears and Andresen Says He Was Bamboozled / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Jeff_Berwick
Yesterday we wrote about our doubts on Craig Wright and who he is. Less than 24 hours later he has disappeared.
You can say one thing about bitcoin: it's never boring! Tracking developments surrounding it is more entertaining than a spy novel.
But, whatever Craig Wright may have had in mind doing with Gavin Andresen seems to have collapsed. Andresen had solidly endorsed Wright’s claim about being Satoshi Nakamoto only yesterday and seemed delighted that his mentor had decided to “go public.”
Friday, May 06, 2016
When Gold Confiscation Is a Personal Choice / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: MoneyMetals
The specter of government forcefully confiscating gold is still roaming around out there.
That nagging prospect dampens many buying decisions, unfortunate at a time when gold, and especially silver, are near historically bargain basement prices when measured in fiat currency.
Buy low, sell high only works for those who buy low.
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Friday, May 06, 2016
Stock Market Getting Ready for the Next Flash Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Making sense out of the Wave pattern has been a mind bender. I keep reminding myself, “There is order here. I just have to find it!” The decline since 1500 hours on Monday is not an impulse as I had originally expected.
What I have come up with is a truncated Wave (ii) scenario for today’s move. This may be otherwise known as a “running” Wave (ii), since Wave c has been effectively stopped by the 4.5-year trendline.
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Thursday, May 05, 2016
Barclays 100% Mortgage Pours Fuel on UK House Prices Bull Market / Housing-Market / UK Housing
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The UK mortgage providers are once more
innovating new products with old objectives, that of allowing those who cannot afford to buy their first homes, being engineered an helping hand onto the property ladder. Which is what Barclays 100% mortgage (no deposit) represents at upto 5.5X earnings. However we are not quite back to the free for all frenzy of 2007 when the credit markets were so loose that self certified mortgages were rampant and not forgetting savers who could lock in 7%+ yields! Even savvy borrowers could turn the tables on the credit card providers and rake in several thousands of pounds a year by stoozing (borrowing on 0% credit cards and saving in accounts paying as high as 7%).
Thursday, May 05, 2016
Donald Trump, King of Debt Seeks US Presidency / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Peter_Schiff
On a lengthy interview on CNBC this morning, Donald Trump, the now presumptive Republican nominee, looked back on his business history to lay the groundwork to what he would do as President. He came as close as any major presidential contender to saying that America's formula for economic recovery might involve repaying our creditors less than what we owe. This is a major development that should be rewriting the playbook on Wall Street and call into question the risk-free nature of U.S. Treasuries.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, May 05, 2016
Struggling Global Economy It's the Debt, Stupid! / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis 2016
By: Mike_Shedlock
For those still wondering why the global economy is struggling, the simple answer is "It's the debt, stupid."
We will return to the global economy in a moment, but first consider the plight of Greece.
A detailed study shows that of €215.9 billion in Greek aid, only €9.7 billion went to Greece. The rest went to banks and other creditors.
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Thursday, May 05, 2016
Central Planners Versus Contrarian Logic / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Doug_Wakefield
"For every action, there is an equal and opposite reaction" - Newton's Third Law, The Physics Classroom
Since the Great Recession, anyone following financial history and markets knows that this period of intervention and debt has surpassed everything seen in history prior to the events of 2007-2009. For every pull back in "risk on" assets, there have been actions to make sure equity markets went higher or back to previous highs, the lead example worldwide being US equity markets.
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Thursday, May 05, 2016
Euro Desperation will achieve Self Destruction - MAP Wave Analysis / Currencies / Euro
By: Marc_Horn
In between migrating sites I have lost some pages and they largely appear to be from currencies!!!
The Euro was what started me off with the development on my analysis and fortunately that was not lost and can be found here from 2012 , as that was what I used initially to explain my methods.
Thursday, May 05, 2016
Stocks Extended Their Short-Term Downtrend But Will They Continue Lower? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.
Our intraday outlook is neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral. Our medium-term outlook remains bearish, as the S&P 500 index extends its lower highs, lower lows sequence:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): neutral
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): neutral
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral