Thursday, December 10, 2015
Stock Market Investors' Sentiment Worsens, New Downtrend or More Fluctuations? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,140 and profit target at 1,990, S&P 500 index)
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Thursday, December 10, 2015
Global Market Instability - Reversing the Damage of Economic Austerity / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
A significant undercurrent of internal weakness is plaguing the NYSE broad market. This weakness is primarily visible in the dangerously high numbers of stocks making new 52-week lows. Lately that number has exceeded 300 on a daily basis, though it has been above 40 for the last few months in a sign that the market's health is less than optimal. The best way of showing this internal weakness is in the following exhibit which graphs the cumulative new 52-week highs and lows on the NYSE.
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Thursday, December 10, 2015
Strippers Suffering From Low Oil Prices / Commodities / Oil Companies
With Prices Below $50, what is a stripper to do?With OPEC breaking down and any kind of coordination among its members on price cuts looking increasingly unlikely, it now appears that oil prices could remain below $50 a barrel for a year or more. As producers confront this unpleasant reality, some will finally start to significantly curtail or even shut down operations. And that is going to severely hurt an all but invisible group; strippers in the United States.
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Thursday, December 10, 2015
Will the Fed Rescue the Stock Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
If the Fed is going to rescue the market ahead of the FOMC meeting (they won't be able to raise interest rates unless they do) then they have two days left to repair the weekly charts. The intervention should start in earnest today. Personally I wouldn't advise trying to play the bounce as the forces trying to pull the market down are huge. This may be the first time the Fed fails to keep the market propped up.
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Thursday, December 10, 2015
EURUSD Final Bear Rally Leg Underway / Currencies / US Dollar
Price recently traded down to support outlined in previous analysis before reversing and trading higher in impulsive style. While a turn back up was expected in order for the bear rally to embark on the final leg higher, this move was on the back of the ECB announcement.
There is always a reason for a move and the market does indeed work in mysterious ways. Some will say this was just a lucky coincidence and I must admit I don't truly understand it. However, what I do understand is that I have seen this type of stuff happen on too many occasions for it to be just a coincidence.
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Thursday, December 10, 2015
Currency Markets Anticipating a U.S. Interest Rate Hike Next Week / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates
Watching the price action in the currency markets it is becoming clearer to me that the Forex crowd has now moved beyond any expected rate hike by the Fed next week and has shifted its focus to "WHAT COMES AFTER THAT?"
In other words, we have probably seen the high in the US Dollar for a bit since the impact on the currency has effectively already been discounted into its price. Seeing the Fed Funds futures showing a probability of a Fed rate hike next week above 80%, for all practical trading purposes, it is now a done deal.
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Thursday, December 10, 2015
Stock Market 20-Day Back-Test Failure.....2020 Getting Closer.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The market is slowly, but surely, turning. We haven't taken out 2020 on the S&P 500, yet, so there's nothing to get bearish about. But you can see the subtle changes. The market head faked the masses today as these markets tend to do by blasting, and I mean blasting, up and through the 20-day exponential moving average. The bulls are in full control, or so it seemed. That's when a tiring market, such as we have kicked in, and left the buying bulls feeling bad about those purchases. About chasing the rally. The market fell, and fell hard, initially letting the bulls know they had made an error in their constant bullish behavior. A swift move below the 20's, and the selling was on. It's always about knowing where you are in the market in terms of bull, bear, or agnostic. Then you have to determine if the agnostic market is really a market sending a new message.
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Thursday, December 10, 2015
U.K. Buy-To-Let King Liquidates Entire £250 million Property Portfolio - Video / Housing-Market / Buy to Let
Excerpt: Just a little video here about the UK housing market
really an interesting article in The Daily Telegraph that the title is
Fergie's Wilson Britain's most iconic buy to let investor sells up all nine
hundred houses for 250 million pounds for people around the world by two lakh
basically is one you you buy a house just to rented to someone else as an
investment in its quiet quite popular in the in the UK the last ten fifteen years
the rules and regulations have been quite favorable for buy to let investors
Thursday, December 10, 2015
Why Getting Valuation Right Is So Important To Retired Dividend Growth Investors / Companies / Pensions & Retirement
Although getting valuation right before you buy a stock is critically important to the long-term oriented retired dividend growth investor, it is not a short-term market timing concept. My point is that short-term market movements are typically volatile and unpredictable. The reason is simple. Over short periods of time, which I define as less than a business cycle (3- 5 years), emotion has a major effect on stock prices.
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Wednesday, December 09, 2015
Petition to Ban Donald Trump from Entering the UK Heading for 1 Million Signatories / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
Donald Trumps latest electioneering 'calculated' outburst has succeeded in mobilising much of the world against him, let alone fellow Republicans condemning his Islamophobic statement that ALL muslims should be banned from entering the United States and then going on to drag the UK into his propaganda 'Info War' by stating that there were no go areas for UK police in London, something which the Metropolitan Police immediately rejected. Donald Trump's subsequent response has been to blindly continue on with his 'Info War' as he repeated his comments several more times throughout the day. In response to which there has been world wide condemnation as exemplified by a petition to the UK Parliament requesting that a debate be held to vote on banning Donald Trump from entering the UK as a hate preacher.
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Wednesday, December 09, 2015
Stock Market Panic Decline May Have Begun / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
We didn’t have long to wait for the sell signal. At 2058.00. The interesting part is that the 50-day Moving Average is now at 2051.80.
The Orthodox Broadening Top trendline is at 2045.00 and the 2-hour Cycle Bottom is at 2042.45, which have also been violated. Beneath that is a lot of air, which strongly suggests a panic decline.
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Wednesday, December 09, 2015
Buckle Up, It’s Very Likely the Bull Market in Stocks is Over / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
As I warned last week… it’s very likely that the Bull Market in stocks is over.
Stocks have broken their bull market trendline. Not only that, but they’ve been rejected by this line TWICE, indicating that the momentum is GONE.
The next move will be SHARPLY DOWN.
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Wednesday, December 09, 2015
Government Debt Is Not Like Private Debt / Interest-Rates / UK Debt
Simon Wilson writesL As the Labour Party fights with Tories over the need to slightly rein in government spending in the UK, opponents of even the slightest bit of austerity have turned out to claim that there is no virtue in “living within your means.”
In a recent article in The Guardian, Ha-Joon Chang, attacked even the Tory government’s timid claim that it wasn’t a great idea to spend more than the government collects in tax revenues. But for the new radical left Labour Party on whose behalf Chang’s article was written, this notion is as quaint as it is “simply wrong.”
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Wednesday, December 09, 2015
Stock Market Testing the Limits of the Diamond Formation / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
SPX bounced from the lower trendline of its Diamond formation at 2056.00 this morning and is probing the 2-hour mid-Cycle resistance and the upper trendline at 2080.00. So far, the peak appears to be 2080.33, but it doesn’t appear to have broken the trendline. The top view is that the probe may be over and we may see a break at the bottom trendline soon. The trendline is now at 2058.00. While the Diamond formation has its own sell signal at 2058.00, the “official” sell signal is still at the 200day Moving Average at 2065.00.
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Wednesday, December 09, 2015
Dishonest Money Will Die - I Hope / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
Honest money – gold and silver – are not supported by governments and central bankers for obvious reasons. The Fed can “print” $85 Billion per month to buy dodgy paper to support the banking system, but the Fed can’t produce 75 million ounces of gold each month. Consequently we use dishonest money.
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Wednesday, December 09, 2015
BSA Property Tracker Reports that Barriers to UK Home Ownership are Shrinking / Housing-Market / UK Housing
Charlotte Nelson, Finance Expert at Moneyfacts.co.uk, comments:
“The finding that major barriers to home ownership have fallen to a six-year low is great news for first-time buyers and instils greater confidence in the housing market.
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Wednesday, December 09, 2015
Corporatist Economic Espionage / Companies / Cyber Crime
Espionage is about gathering information. When foreign interests conduct such operations it is usually called spying. When corporations seek to acquire trade secrets from a competitor, it often becomes a case for legal litigation. In business terms, just what is the best way to view stealing secrets? Investopedia defines 'Economic Espionage' accordingly.
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Wednesday, December 09, 2015
Why Your Bank Deposits May Be at Risk / Personal_Finance / War on Cash
Another financial crisis will bring widespread bank failures
Elliott Wave International's July issue of The Elliott Wave Theorist reminds us why bank depositors need to prepare for the worst before a nation's financial system is gripped by crisis:
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Wednesday, December 09, 2015
SPX May Have a Diamond Formation / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
It appears that SPX is forming a Diamond formation that implies at least a 205 decline from the lower trendline. The Diamond trendline may be broken at 2056.00. Tomorrow is the next Pivot day, so I would anticipate the formation to be triggered then.
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Wednesday, December 09, 2015
The Science Behind Shale Oil Investments that Pay Off Big Time / Commodities / Shale Oil and Gas
As Matt Badiali, geologist and editor of the Stansberry Resource Report, explains, it has only been in the last few decades have we learned to release the potential of the massive oil and gas reservoirs in the U.S. Now we are learning how to tell if a shale project will be profitable. In this Energy Report article, he shares three names he is watching closely.
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