Sunday, December 06, 2015
Biotech Stocks Continue to Offer Huge Returns for Investors / Companies / BioTech
Rachel Gearhart writes: Earlier this year, we argued investors should snatch up biotech bargains while they were hot.
And, boy, were we right.
This week’s chart looks at the performance of the NYSE Arca Biotechnology Index (NYSE: BTK) and the S&P 500 since the beginning of the year.
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Sunday, December 06, 2015
Erdogan Blackmails NATO Allies / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
You know the country has really gone to the dogs when Washington’s main allies in its war on Syria are the two biggest terrorist incubators on the planet. I’m talking about Saudi Arabia and Turkey, both of which are run by fanatical Islamic zealots devoted to spreading violent jihad to the four corners of the earth. Not that the US doesn’t have blood on its hands too. It does, but that’s beside the point.
The point is that if you’re trying to sell your fake war on terror to the public, then you might want to think twice about lining up with Grand Sultan Erdogan and King Chop-Chop of Riyadh. The optics alone should have sent the White House PR team running for cover. I mean, couldn’t they have hired squeaky-clean Iceland to join the fray just to persuade the public that the ongoing proxy war wasn’t a complete sham. Which it is.
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Sunday, December 06, 2015
More Wild Swings Ahead For Stock and Gold Markets? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Last week saw the SPX drop more than I thought it would (Dec 3 has been on my radar for a couple of weeks, the 7 week low) on the Drahgi speech that strengthened the Euro vs. the Dollar causing gold to spike. The short euro/$ pair was too heavily tilted in that direction causing a reverse of positions.
The stock market's "come back" on Friday did not surprise me, however, gold's strong spike caught me off guard. The recent action in GDX has been corrective, but in E-wave terms it is turning out to be a 'rare' running correction. I have been looking for a gold low on December 2nd, but this kind of move off a bottom is rare.
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Sunday, December 06, 2015
Greece Is A Nation Under Occupation / Politics / Eurozone Debt Crisis
Perhaps the best way to show what a mess Europe is in is the €3 billion deal they made with Turkey head Erdogan, only to see him being unmasked by EU archenemy Vlad Putin as a major supporter, financial and who knows how else, of the very group everyone’s so eager to bomb the heebees out after Paris. It could hardly have been more fitting. That’s not egg on your face, that’s face on your egg.
But Brussels thinks it’s found a whipping boy for all its failures. Greece. It’s fast increasing its accusations against Athens’ handling of the 100s of 1000s of refugees flooding the country. Everything that goes wrong is the fault of Greece, not Brussels. The EU has so far given Greece €30 million in ‘assistance’ for the refugee crisis, while the country has spent over €1.5 billion in money it desperately needs for its own people. But somehow it’s still not done enough.
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Saturday, December 05, 2015
Stock Market Primary V Inflection Point / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
A wild week! The market started off the week at SPX 2090. After a tick up to SPX 2094 Monday morning the market pulled back to 2080 by the close. Tuesday we had a gap up to SPX 2099, a drop to 2087, then a rally to end the day at 2103. Wednesday the market ticked up to SPX 2104, then started to sell off. On Thursday the selloff hit a low of SPX 2042, and then the market rallied into a Friday high of 2094 before ending the week at 2092. For the week the SPX/DOW were +0.20%, the NDX/NAZ were +0.55%, and the DJ World index was down 0.40%. Economic reports for the week were mostly negative. On the uptick: construction spending, factory orders, the WLEI and the ADP. On the downtick: the Chicago PMI, ISM manufacturing/services, monthly payrolls, the GNP, plus the trade deficit and weekly jobless claims rose. Next week will be highlighted by Retail sales, Export/Import prices and the PPI.
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Saturday, December 05, 2015
Gold And Silver – Hope And Change From Last Week? Little Hope, Little Change / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
Was last week the start of something big? You be the judge of what the market is saying.
There is a reason and purpose why we always use and refer to the weekly charts, and the monthly at the end of each month. These higher time frames are more controlling over the lower time frames, particularly the daily chart upon which most rely. From the daily, many then choose to view the markets from an intra day perspective, as though a closer time frame will give better results. That is not the case.
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Saturday, December 05, 2015
Gold Price Weekly Reversal : This is IT ! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
In watching the short squeeze taking place in the gold market this AM, I am noticing that the push higher is creating a WEEKLY UPSIDE REVERSAL PATTERN on the intermediate term chart.V
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Saturday, December 05, 2015
Stock Market Bouncing Right Back.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
And why not. Just when it looked really bad, with another test of 2020 on the S&P 500 looming, the bulls took an oversold, sixty-minute, index-charts scenario and turned it into their own little rally party. It was quite a good rally as well. Much stronger than anyone should have expected, considering the nature of the selling the past couple of days. The oscillators looked bad, along with price losing major exponential moving averages. The market was set up for further losses. Not to be whatsoever. The bulls had a decent Jobs Report, which allowed the futures to move way up. However, just before the market opened most of those gains were wiped out. Now, with the sixty-minute charts in the low 20's on RSI, it was clear we'd rally some to unwind, even though all the pre-market gains were gone for the most part.
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Saturday, December 05, 2015
Financial Markets and the Cycle of Debt Release / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
To many investors cycles are the holy grail of the financial market. Many investors have devoted years to the study of them. Some have even claimed to have found the ideal cycles for consistently predicting price movements. What no one can seem to agree upon is exactly which cycles are most accurate for anticipating market moves. But what all studies of the cycles share in common is an unshakable conviction that cycles hold the answers for what is coming in the future.
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Saturday, December 05, 2015
Strong U.S. Payroll Number +211,000 Assures December Interest Rate Hike / Economics / US Economy
Initial Reaction
Following last month's payroll surge comes a second strong month. The Bloomberg Consensus estimate was 190,000 jobs and the headline total was 211,000. The unemployment rate was steady to 5.0%, the lowest since April 2008. A rate hike in December is now assured.
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Saturday, December 05, 2015
Euro, Dollar, Buy the Rumor and Sell the News Alive in Forex Markets / Currencies / Forex Trading
ECB Disappoints
All those who continue to forget this trading maxim were royally punished on Thursday morning as the ECB could not match the trading enthusiasm built into the move in shorting the Euro and thus going long the US Dollar for the prior 7 weeks lead up into the ECB Monetary Policy Decision.
This is such a strong trading maxim to buy the rumor, and sell the actual news that it is the exception rather than the rule where an event over delivers. The best move is to take profits the day before the event as opposed to getting crushed on the news which happened today in the Euro and US Dollar forex trades. Literally the amount of crushing that some traders took this morning regarding giving up a month`s worth of profits in an hour is stomach churning.
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Saturday, December 05, 2015
Gold’s Artificial Price Lows / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
Gold’s latest slide to new secular lows has amplified the hyper-bearish sentiment long plaguing it. More than ever, traders are universally convinced gold is doomed to drift lower indefinitely. But these extreme gold lows are not fundamentally righteous, they resulted from extreme record gold-futures shorting. As these risky leveraged bets must soon be covered, prices driven by them are artificial and unsustainable.
One of the greatest mistakes made in the markets is the common assumption that prevailing price levels are justified by fundamentals. Nothing could be farther from the truth. While prices do indeed gravitate towards levels supported by supply and demand over the long term, herd emotions drag them away in the short term. Popular greed and fear have vastly more influence on current prices than fundamentals.
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Friday, December 04, 2015
Does GDP Drive the Gold Price? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
The gross domestic product (GDP) is the monetary value of all finished goods and services produced within a country in a specific time period. It is also the most common measure of a nation’s overall economic activity or the size of economy. More and more economists recognize the flawed character of GDP (for example, it includes only final goods and services; overstates the consumption; it assumes that government spending is productive; it treats imports as something negative; it excludes household work, and so on), but governments, central banks, financial analysts and investors still think it is possible to frame the whole economy in just one number. This is why the GDP growth is still closely followed, also in the gold market.
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Friday, December 04, 2015
SPX An Expanded Flat Correction at 61.8% / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Unless I am mistaken, we have just witnessed an Expanded Flat Wave [ii] just a point shy of a 61.8% retracement. The labeling would be too fine for the hourly chart, so I am simplifying it to a [i] – [ii] count. The reversal may take hold after the European close at 11:30 am.
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Friday, December 04, 2015
US Dollar Index Technical Outlook / Currencies / US Dollar
The US Dollar index has made marginal new highs which I believe will turn out to be a false break top. Let's take a top down approach beginning with the monthly chart.
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Friday, December 04, 2015
Bill Gross: Fed is "Certainly Set to Go" / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates
Bill Gross of Janus Capital Management joined Bloomberg Radio and Television to react to today's jobs report.
Gross said the Federal Reserve is "certainly set to go…Fed is ready to go I think because of concerns on the real economy."
When asked if he lost money yesterday, Gross said: " Oh no, made money yesterday. I had lots of calls, sold lots of calls on five and 10-year German bunds, went the other way this time and so made a lot of money, making a lot of money today on those particular trades."
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Friday, December 04, 2015
How to Profit from the End of the Longest Running War in the Americas / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets
By Nick Giambruno
Drug cartels. Kidnappings. Assassinations. A war for billions in cocaine profits. Leftist guerrillas looking for a piece of the action.
If you’ve seen a movie with this stuff in it, there’s a good chance it was set in Colombia.
Popular culture has depicted Colombia this way for decades. The media has pounded this image into the public’s consciousness. So it’s no surprise most people think of the country as a scary, dangerous place.
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Friday, December 04, 2015
China South Sea Martime Dispute, an Overture to World War III? / Politics / China US Conflict
By Doug Casey
It’s always been true, as Bourne said, that “war is the health of the State.” But it’s especially true when economic times get tough. That’s because governments like to blame their problems on outsiders; even an imagined foreign threat tends to unify opinions around those of the leaders. Since economies around the world are all weakening, and political leaders are all similar in essential mindset, there’s good reason to believe the trend towards World War III is accelerating.
Many politicians and pundits in the U.S. blame “those damn Chinese” for taking “our jobs” by filling Walmart with tons of cheap goods, and the swarthy ragheads for making the price of oil too high (usually, but now too low).
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Friday, December 04, 2015
Dovish ECB Disappoints – Gold Rises, Stocks and Bonds Fall Globally, Euro Surges / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
‘Super Mario’, the European Central Bank’s monetary magician, disappointed markets yesterday as continuing and unprecedented monetary easing failed to prevent a sharp sell-off in stock and bond markets which has continued today.
There are sharp losses on financial markets after the ECB’s President’s – nicknamed ‘Super Mario’ and more recently ‘Magic Mario’ – latest radical measures stopped well short of market expectations and traders desperation for more cheap money and deepening ultra loose monetary policies.
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Friday, December 04, 2015
Stock Market and the FOMC Meeting / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
I expect the Fed is going to make a big effort to push the market back up in time for the FOMC meeting on the 16th, but the forces trying to pull stocks down right now are massive. There are times when its just best to sit on the sidelines.
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