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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Companies

Friday, June 25, 2021

Have Cathy Woods ARK Invest Funds Bottomed? / Companies / Investing 2021

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Have Cathy Woods managed ARK funds such as ARKK hit bottomed? Given that a quick youtube search suggests many think so.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, June 25, 2021

Are The US Major Stock Market Indexes Rolling Over In An Excess Phase Peak Setup? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Recently, I published a research article on Bitcoin suggesting there may be a bigger downside price move setting up – breaking support near $30k and extending the Excess Phase Peak pattern that we warned about back in November 2020.  Today, my team and I wanted to alert you that the recent price rotation in the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the Transportation Index COULD setup in an early stage (Phase #2) peaking formation similar to what started the recent down trend in Bitcoin.

The setup of the Excess Phase peak pattern consists of an exuberant rally to a peak (Phase #1), followed by a moderate price correction that sets up into a sideways flagging pattern (Phase #2).  If the INDU and TRAN continue to move in a sideways flagging formation after recently move moderately lower, we may start to see a new Excess Phase Peak setup in these two major indexes. This could be a warning of a much bigger breakdown in trend in the near future.

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Commodities

Friday, June 25, 2021

Fed’s Liquidity Circus and Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Fed pumped so much money into the financial system, that the latter started sending it back. How will this and Fed’s more hawkish tone impact gold?

With Jerome Powell, Chairman of the U.S. Federal Reserve (FED), testifying before Congress on Jun. 22, his prepared remarks signaled that the FED remains on autopilot. Despite saying that “job gains should pick up in coming months as vaccinations rise,” he added that “we at the FED will do everything we can to support the economy for as long as it takes to complete the recovery.”

And while Powell supported our thesis by saying that “labor demand is remarkably strong and over time we will find ourselves with low unemployment and wages going up across the spectrum,” when asked if inflation is transitory, he responded:

“[Perhaps] all of the overshoot in inflation comes from categories such as rising used car and trucks, airplane tickets, hotel prices that have been affected by the reopening of the economy. [And while] these effects have turned out to be larger than we expected , the incoming data are consistent with the view that these factors will wane over time .” For context, of course inflationary pressures will “wane over time.” That’s not up for debate. However, “when” is the key question.

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Commodities

Friday, June 25, 2021

Fed 'Narrative Nonsense' Rattles Precious Metals Investors / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021

By: The_Gold_Report

Sector expert Michael Ballanger explains how recent statements by the Federal Reserve could prove hazardous to one's wealth. In the past week, precious metals investors, speculators and traders have been forced to apply all kinds of salves, balms and ointments to jangled nerves, rattled resolve and battered net worth statements, all directly the result of an unexpected shift in the official narrative on interest rate policy released during Wednesday's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement.

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Companies

Thursday, June 24, 2021

Life Sciences Biotech Smaller Cap High Risk Stocks Investing Binge / Companies / BioTech

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Why has my focus shifted to biotech stocks and not more tech stocks?

Firstly, I have been investing in biotech stocks for DECADES, it's just that since 2015 my focus shifted to the emerging AI mega-trend to make sure I was invested to capitalise on a trend that was clear to me would span DECADES, at the time I thought I was probably getting in late on the AI Mega-trend but clearly that is always the case! WE ALWAYS THINK we're late to the party but this trend is going to run right into the end of the 2030's

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Commodities

Thursday, June 24, 2021

Central Banks to Keep Buying Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021

By: MoneyMetals

The move away from the Federal Reserve Note as the global reserve currency of choice has continued in recent years, with fresh developments increasing the greenback’s stiff competition.
This has led to massive central bank buying of gold, and that trend appears set to continue in 2021. According to a recent report from the World Gold Council, 21% of global central banks plan to purchase gold this year.

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Commodities

Thursday, June 24, 2021

Will Gold Survive Hawkish Fed? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

The recent Fed’s hawkish turn is fundamentally negative for gold prices but there is still some hope.

The hawkish counter-revolution within the Fed continues. On Friday, St. Louis Fed President James Bullard said that the recent FOMC shift towards a faster tightening of monetary policy was a natural response to faster economic growth and higher inflation than anticipated:

We were expecting a good year, a good reopening, but this is a bigger year than we were expecting, more inflation than we were expecting, and I think it's natural that we've tilted a little bit more hawkish here to contain inflationary pressures.

Bullard also noted that “Powell officially opened the taper discussion this week”. Indeed, in my Friday edition of the Fundamental Gold Report , I focused on the changed dot-plot , which suggested that FOMC members were ready to hike interest rates twice in 2023. However, the second major shift in the stance of the US central bank was that the Fed officials started to “talk about talking about” tapering.
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Companies

Thursday, June 24, 2021

The Clean Energy Compound That Could Change The World / Companies / Energy Resources

By: Submissions

...

 


Stock-Markets

Thursday, June 24, 2021

"Everybody's Getting Rich (and Having Fun) Except Me" / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2021

By: EWI

The idea of "missing out" on stock market gains "literally generates fear in many people"

Hardly anyone wants to miss the party -- whether on Wall Street or elsewhere.

Thus, the acronym FOMO -- which stands for the "fear of missing out" -- is in vogue. After a 12-years long bull market, the acronym has appeared in many financial articles.

Yet, the acronym was coined years before the current bull market.

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Companies

Wednesday, June 23, 2021

WESTERN DIGITAL WDC Stock Trend Analysis - CHIA! - Risk 1 / Companies / Investing 2021

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The first on my list is a tech stock that I mentioned in passing in my last analysis Western Digital (WDC). founded in 1970 with it's core business being hard drives and memory chips where WD has made a brand name for itself in manufacturing reliable hard drives both internal and increasingly external high capacity drives, in fact I own more than a dozen WD drives with my latest addition being a 28tb My book Duo that was busily being filled with Chia plots that I will probably delete in the not too distant future when they fail to yield any Chia coins. So if the existing fundamentals of manufacturing quality hardware for the PC market was not enough then the CHIA crypto mania of farming Chia plots on ones hard drives that has resulted in an ongoing mad rush to buy up the worlds supply of external drives so that crypto maniacs can waste time, energy and resources trying to win a couple of CHIA coins by plotting farms that span tens of terabytes of storage per individual Chia farmer.

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Companies

Wednesday, June 23, 2021

AMC Is the Best-Performing Stock in America: Don’t Buy It / Companies / Investing 2021

By: Stephen_McBride

Here we go again. The stock of movie theater chain AMC Entertainment (AMC) just skyrocketed out of nowhere, jumping as much as 127% in one day earlier this month.

This would be an extraordinary move for any stock. For AMC, it seems downright crazy. According to CNBC, movie ticket sales in the US fell 80% in 2020. AMC lost $4.6 billion last year, thanks largely to COVID.

But AMC was bleeding cash long before the pandemic. In 2019, it lost $149 million. That’s because AMC’s core business of selling movie tickets is being permanently disrupted by a devastating one-two punch:
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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, June 23, 2021

Stock Market Calling the Fed‘s Bluff / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021

By: Monica_Kingsley

S&P 500 risk-on trading yesterday confirmed that it would have indeed been too early to write off value stocks. Financials, energy sprang higher, accompanied by the as of late usual tech suspect – the heavyweights though merely defended gained ground. Coupled with the credit market perspectives, it was a clear risk-on day as evidenced by the VIX and put/call ratio. The markets have turned on a dime, ignoring the Fed messaging of prior week as shown in the surging CRB index, reversing dollar and Treasuries:

(…) Given the ease with which precious metals and then select commodities such as copper or soybeans tumbled, rate hikes might appear to be baked in the cake now – but in reality, it‘s the unyielding inflation that would prove rather persistent than transitory.

The Fed did the bare minimum, acknowledging inflation in passing, implying it would go away on its own. But it‘s more complicated than that – bank credit creation isn‘t strong, and had been declining before bond yields bottomed in Aug 2020. Are banks reluctant to lend, or customers to borrow? The result of production not ramping up as wildly as expected (reopening trades) is compounding the disturbed supply chains and commodity prices rising (cost-push inflation). Add to that job market pressures, and you have a recipe for inflation being more transitory than originally thought. In other words, cyclical and structural as import-export prices hint at too.

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Currencies

Wednesday, June 23, 2021

Could Bitcoin Price CRASH Target A Bottom Below $7500? / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Bitcoin has followed our Excess Phase Peak breakdown pattern almost perfectly.  Each phase of any Excess Phase Peak is important to understand as it relates to other asset classes.  For example, as an asset, like Bitcoin, begins a Excess Phase breakdown in trend, other assets will likely follow along. The psychological impact of a major decline can often result in traders also expecting breakdown events in various other asset classes.

Before we begin to go into deeper detail regarding this Excess Phase Peak setup in Bitcoin, I suggest taking a minute or two to review our earlier research posts related to this pattern: How To Spot The End Of An Excess Phase – Part I November 25, 2020; How To Spot The End Of An Excess Phase – Part II November 27, 2020; and, Bitcoin Completes Phase #3 Of Excess Phase Top Pattern – What Next May 20, 2021.  As this breakdown continues to unfold, we want to warn you that other asset classes (as mentioned above) may follow this trend as trader/investor psychology often impacts future expectations/trends across the globe.

If traders suddenly develop an expectation that the recent price rally in the global markets is at risk of failing, or that the downtrend in Bitcoin may have broader implications across other assets, we may see a bigger rotation in the global markets throughout the rest or 2021 (and beyond).

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Currencies

Wednesday, June 23, 2021

Bitcoin and cryptos: Your 'long-term investment'? / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: EWI

Hi reader,

Bitcoin fell some 12% to start the week, and you may be wondering:

"Is this FINALLY my moment to buy?"

You're not alone. In early June, over 12,000 crypto fans visited Miami to take part in "Bitcoin 2021," the largest Bitcoin event in the world. Although it took place with Bitcoin trading near $30K, half of where it was in April, the enthusiasm for the King of Cryptos was palpable.

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Commodities

Wednesday, June 23, 2021

Unlocking The Next Stage Of The Hydrogen Boom / Commodities / Energy Resources

By: Submissions

...

 


Currencies

Tuesday, June 22, 2021

USDT Ponzi Scheme FINAL WARNING To EXIT Before Tether Collapses Crypto Exchange Markets / Currencies / cryptocurrency

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Tether, TETHER is a Ponzi Scheme! Backed probably by less than 3% of actual US Dollars that it's fake paper trail suggest its backed up, which has allowed TETHER to print over $62 billion to date and thus provides the vast majority of volume for the worlds crypto exchanges such as Binance who alone has $17 billion USDY sloshing around in their exchange allowing transactions to take place, vested interests in his Ponzi scheme with bot's busy buying and selling USDT to ensure the price does not deviate from $1 supposed pegged value else the game would be up and Tether would collapse towards zero and along with it so would the crypto markets. Therefore it is not a question of IF Tether will collapse but rather WHEN which could be imminent, therefore take this as your FINAL warning to GET OUT of Tether before it is too late!

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, June 22, 2021

Stock Market Correction Starting / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX Long-term trend:  There is some evidence that we are still in the bull market which started in 2009 and which could continue into 2021 before major cycles take over and it ends.  A move up to ~4500 is possible before the current bull market makes a final top and SPX corrects into its next major cycle low due in 2023.

SPX Intermediate trend:  SPX Fell short of its base projection and turned down from 4257

Analysis of the short-term trend is done daily with the help of hourly charts. They are important adjuncts to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which determine longer market trends.

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Companies

Tuesday, June 22, 2021

This Green SuperFuel Could Change Everything For the $14 Trillion Shipping Industry / Companies / Energy Resources

By: Submissions

...

 


Personal_Finance

Monday, June 21, 2021

Virgin Media Fibre Broadband Installation - What to Expect, Quality of Wiring, Service etc. / Personal_Finance / ISP's

By: HGR

Here's what to expect when having Virgin Media Fibre Broadband installed in your home in terms of quality of installation including wiring, cable boxes, and hardware, and wether the system is up and runing as expected from the ciustomers perspective. Find out in our comprehensive review and how we rate Virgin Media's fibre broadband installation service.

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Economics

Monday, June 21, 2021

Feel the Inflationary Heartbeat / Economics / Inflation

By: John_Mauldin

Not all inflation is created equal. Peter Boockvar, CIO at Bleakley Advisory Group, has his finger on the economy’s pulse. And for the last year or so, he’s felt an inflationary heartbeat.

Peter, who is the author of The Boock Report, in which he flash-analyzes the latest economic data in handy bite-size multiple emails per day, makes an important distinction between goods inflation and services inflation.

At Mauldin Economics' 2021 Strategic Investment Conference in May, Peter explained that they have been behaving differently. Looking at services inflation (ex-energy) within the Consumer Price Index, he showed that it averaged around 2.8% in the 20-year period leading up to the pandemic.
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