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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Commodities

Wednesday, August 11, 2021

Price Of Silver – 100 Years In The Making / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021

By: Kelsey_Williams

Sometimes fantasy becomes reality. At other times, a dose of reality will temper fantasies of outsized and unjustified proportion.

Some silver investors and analysts could use a dose of reality. Below is a chart of silver prices dating back to 1915…

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Politics

Wednesday, August 11, 2021

Biden’s Infrastructure Bill Part of Green New Deal, Jacks Up Debt / Politics / Infrastructure

By: MoneyMetals

As the U.S. Senate moves closer to passing a trillion-dollar spending bill that includes some infrastructure priorities, critics are warning that the public is being taken for a ride.

President Joe Biden and his allies in Congress have actually claimed that the new spending won’t add to the national debt or increase pressures on inflation. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen pitched the package as an investment in the economy.

It’s certainly true that much of the nation’s infrastructure is badly in need of upgrades. Roads, bridges, pipes, and airports across the country are in poor shape.

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Companies

Tuesday, August 10, 2021

AI Stocks Portfolio Buying and Selling Levels Ahead of a Market CRASH / Correction 2021 / Companies / Tech Stocks

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The US stock market has been content to rally to new highs with many stocks going to the Moon including most of our AI tech giants, a rally that I have been distributing into to the extent that I have now sold 80% of my holdings in the Top 6 AI stocks in my portfolio some of which I have been accumulating for over a decade (Microsoft). The primary objective of this analysis is the determine where we stand in terms of THE TOP, after all, all bull markets eventually do top either ending with a CRASH (1987) or a bear market (2000 and 2007). So what to hold and what to sell is the question I am asking myself, with a view to riding out a potential bear market / crash, where this analysis deploys a new automated metric of individual stock SELLING LEVELs so that one better knows where one stands in terms of ones portfolio, all in just one table. After all the risk we all fear is that of a 2000 style collapse that sends stocks lower for the next 20 years! Remember that bear market bottomed with a 85% collapse for tech stocks! Yes, one could say the likes of Amazon, Microsoft, Apple had become dirt cheap, but that would have been a very painful and prolonged discounting event. So a case of balancing the risks of letting some stocks ride whilst cashing in those that will pay a heavy price for their over exuberance all whilst being aware of the AI mega-trend trundling along in the background.

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Currencies

Tuesday, August 10, 2021

EIP1559 Impact on GPU Ethereum Mining Earnings with Nice Hash, Ravencoin Price Doubles! / Currencies / Crypto Mining

By: HGR

EIP 1559 has arrived! And here is the real world impact on miners, where I should exactly how much of an impact EIP1559 is making on mining Ethereum with Nicehash. as well as the impact on other alt coins such as ravencoin that are benefiting hugely from extra miner attention sending Ravencoin price soaring, doubling within days!

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Companies

Tuesday, August 10, 2021

Debenhams CLOSED Down After 200 Years, Shopping Trip Down Memory Lane at Meadowhall Sheffield / Companies / Retail Sector

By: Eliza_Walayat

Debenhams Britains former biggest high street department store chain is now no more, the it's last stores closed a few weeks ago after over 200 years of retail trading, tracing it's roots back to 1778 when William Clark opened the first shop in London's East End, then some 30 years later William Debenhams' investment was coupled with a name change to Clark & Debenhams.

Here's a shopping trip down memory lane at the Meadowhall Sheffield Debenhams Store where whilst doubts had always remained for many years on the Town Centre stores chances of survival, few took seriously that the Meadowhall store would ever close, but the coronavirus pandemic was the final nail in Debenhams coffin.

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Currencies

Tuesday, August 10, 2021

Bitcoin Black Swan - Will Governments BAN / Regulate Crypto's Out of Existence? / Currencies / cryptocurrency

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Whilst we can all get carried away projecting into the future based on past trends, comfortable in the reliability of calculations. However, there are always black swans lurking out of sight that could result in that panic event that few see coming. And where Bitcoin and the crypto's are concerned is if the Governments decide to BAN trading and investing in crypto's.

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Personal_Finance

Tuesday, August 10, 2021

How To Make the Right Investment Decision – The Ultimate Guide / Personal_Finance / Learning to Invest

By: Mark_Adan

Given the current market events, you're wondering whether to change your investment portfolio or not. It has been a great concern because various investors - including mattress stuffers and bargain hunters - make rapid investment decisions without planning long-term financial goals.

However, we can't tell you how you need to manage your investment - particularly during a volatile market. But we can provide you an alert to help you make an informed decision.

Since the pandemic hit the world, the world of investment has become challenging. So, as an investor, you need to be concerned about consumer demand points to a strong economic recovery.
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Personal_Finance

Tuesday, August 10, 2021

What Are The Benefits Of Dividends? Everything You Must Know / Personal_Finance / Learning to Invest

By: Mark_Adan

What are dividends? And what is the importance of dividends? Or downside?

Dividends paying firms distribute a portion of net income to shareholders of their stock. These are paid yearly, and the remaining amount of profit, the company, reinvests back into the business.

Dividend stocks make regular payments to shareholders, therefore a great way for an investor to earn a passive income. Moreover, dividend stocks have a number of benefits beyond the allure of receiving passive income.

Before buying in, you should understand and examine both the advantages and disadvantages. You can weigh the two and make an informed decision.

Let's explore the benefits of dividend investing:

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, August 10, 2021

Here’s What You Should Do About Inflation / Stock-Markets / Inflation

By: Submissions

By Justin Spittler -  “What should I do about inflation?”

My Uber driver recently asked me this after I told her what I do for a living.

And she’s not the only one asking me this question.

My mom… brother… friends who’ve never bought a stock in their lives… and many of you who read my essays every week want to know the same thing:

Why are pricing soaring? Should I do anything to prepare?

And most importantly…

What should I do with my current investments?
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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, August 10, 2021

Stock Market Dichotomy / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX Long-term trend:  There is some evidence that we are still in the bull market which started in 2009 and which could continue into 2021 until major cycles take over, and it ends.  A move up to ~4500 is possible before the current bull market makes a final top and SPX corrects into its next major cycle low due in 2023.

SPX Intermediate trend:  SPX should now have reached its next intermediate top.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done daily with the help of hourly charts. They are important adjuncts to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which determine longer market trends.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, August 08, 2021

Are Stock Markets Ready For An August Surprise? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021

By: Chris_Vermeulen

One thing that seems to be certain in the markets right now is the past hyper-bullish trending which appears to have weakened since early 2021. As a result, the longer-term Custom Indexes we use to help gauge and understand market trends are showing a very clear weakening of trends.

In this article, we are going to review three of our custom index charts on a weekly chart basis, the Custom US Stock Market Index, the Smart Cash Global Market Index, and the Custom Volatility Index.  Each of these charts highlights something unique related to current market trends.

Use this information to read between the line and to help establish your own expectations for the markets going forward.  We’ll provide our conclusion near the end of this research article.

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Commodities

Sunday, August 08, 2021

Going for the Gold: Building a Winning Investment Portfolio / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021

By: MoneyMetals

While Olympic athletes in Tokyo are going for the gold, investors are going for anything that might provide positive real returns.

In a yield-starved environment where bonds and cash are returning less than inflation, there are no guarantees. But there are certainly opportunities outside of fixed income instruments.

Investors who try to sprint their way to success risk hurting themselves in the process. Going for fast-moving penny stocks or cryptocurrencies can lead to ruin just as quickly as it can lead to riches.

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Companies

Sunday, August 08, 2021

Tesla and Amazon are all in on this emerging tech / Companies / Tech Stocks

By: Stephen_McBride

Ready to have your mind blown?

LEGO just launched an app that transforms your smartphone camera into the world’s most accurate “eye.”

Start by spreading a box of LEGOs on the ground. Open the app… and point your camera at the bricks.

“Brickit” scans the messy pile and instantly recognizes every random piece. It knows each LEGO brick ever made
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Currencies

Sunday, August 08, 2021

World Trade – Currency Movements in the Near Future / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Russell_Fenton

Nowadays, when talking about world trade and currency movements, there’s more than the actual currency that we have to take into account. Naturally, we have to keep in mind that cryptos are also currencies now – and they shouldn’t be ignored!

Certain countries, cities, and industries now accept crypto payments, and the very CEO of Tesla claimed that people will be able to pay for their Tesla cars with Bitcoin in the future. In short, you can now see why forex brokers decided to implement more than just currencies into the pool of trading instruments that they have available for their clients.

Let’s take a look at the potential currency movements that we might experience in the near future!

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Companies

Thursday, August 05, 2021

Netflix - FAANG a Buy, Sell or Hold?, CME Black Swans Chasing Value in Biotech Stocks / Companies / Investing 2021

By: Nadeem_Walayat

I am often asked to take a look at Netflix as being one of the FAANG stocks. However Netflix the streaming service that has made it into many households during the pandemic including our own has never been on my radar because it is not an AI stock, Nevertheless enough patrons have requested I take a look at it then so I will starting with the fundamental state of the corporation that has seen huge growth during the pandemic though despite this growth in revenues and earnings the stock still trades on a lofty PE of 53.4! Whilst it is the beyond the scope of this analysis to generate a EC ratio, nevertheless the PE of 53.4 IS VERY HIGH!

The key metric where Netflix is is concerned is how fast it's subscriber base is growing for it is that which will generate future revenues and profits growth as new subscribers pay their monthly fees and for that we have this chart generated by Netflix themselves -

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, August 05, 2021

We Will See SPX 4600 In 2021 / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021

By: Avi_Gilburt

As we came into 2021, I outlined to those willing to listen that I expected at least a 20% continuation rally in the SPX, and I would prefer for us to strike at least the 4600SPX region this year. And, at the time, the SPX was in the 3750SPX region.

Thus far, the market has provided us with an 18% rally in 2021, and I still expect us to rally to 4600SPX this year. The question that we are answering over the coming weeks is simply a matter of the path to 4600SPX.

Now, as usual, I take the time to read other articles on Seeking Alpha to glean some of the thinking within the market. And, amongst the articles calling the market a “bubble” or “wrong,” as well as several others attempting to call the top yet again, there are a few issues I would like to address.

First, I have been reading many analysts viewing this rally as the Covid “recovery” rally. And, it really makes me scratch my head.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, August 05, 2021

Revisiting The Excess Phase Stock Market Peak Pattern / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021

By: Chris_Vermeulen

The setup of the Excess Phase peak pattern consists of an exuberant rally to a peak (Phase #1), followed by a moderate price correction that sets up into a sideways flagging pattern (Phase #2).  If the INDU and TRAN continue to move in a sideways flagging formation after recently moving moderately lower, we may start to see a new Excess Phase Peak setup in these two major indexes. This could be a warning of a much bigger breakdown in trends in the near future.

Please take a minute to review our earlier research posts related to the Excess Phase Peak setup (below) and how it related to the current market trend:

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, August 05, 2021

Dramatic Divergence between US and European Stock Markets / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets

By: EWI

This chart shows a "dramatic divergence" between U.S. and European stocks

Cryptocurrencies and so-called meme stocks have certainly received a lot of attention from investors.

Another investment category that has been in favor recently is European equities. No, they may not be quite as "hot" as, say, bitcoin -- but they've been receiving more attention than usual.

Let's start with some recent headlines:

  • U.S. investors are pouring money into European stock funds (Marketwatch, May 27)
  • European Stocks Are Coming In From the Cold (Bloomberg, June 17)
  • It's a Good Time to Invest in Europe (Kiplinger, June 24)
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Economics

Thursday, August 05, 2021

Political Hacks Concoct Excuses for Their Inflation / Economics / Inflation

By: MoneyMetals

Jerome Powell, after last week’s FOMC meeting, said inflation has run hotter than expected. However, he wants to assure Americans that the destruction of their dollars’ purchasing power is temporary.

His diagnosis? Ballooning demand for goods and services when the U.S. economy reopened from COVID shutdowns drove prices higher.

Rest easy, folks. Prices will stop surging as soon as demand moderates and supply catches up!

That’s the official line, anyway.

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Personal_Finance

Thursday, August 05, 2021

Budgie Clipped Wings, How Long Before Flight Feathers Grow Back After Clipping, 4 Week Update / Personal_Finance / Animals & Pets

By: N_Walayat

So you have just clipped your budgies wings or are contemplating clipping it's wings. However, your wondering how long will it take for the budgie to grow new flight feathers and start flying again is answered in our latest budgie / parakeet care video where we have 2 budgies. the Green budgie had a total of 10 flight feathers clipped whilst the Blue budgie had 8 clipped. So lets find out how many have grown back after 8 weeks and what their flying capabilities are.

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