Wednesday, February 24, 2021
Is More Stock Market Correction Needed? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: There is some good evidence that we are still in the bull market which started in 2009 and which could continue into the first half of 2021 before coming to an end.
SPX Intermediate trend: May continue until SPX reaches ~4050-4150 (March 2021).
Analysis of the short-term trend is done daily with the help of hourly charts. They are important adjuncts to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which determine longer market trends.
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Wednesday, February 24, 2021
VUZE XR Camera 180 3D VR Example Footage Video Image quality / Personal_Finance / Computing
Vuze XR VR 180 sample video. Shot around Sheffield at 5.7K in the 180 3D mode. The Vuze XR is a dual 360 and 180 camera.
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Wednesday, February 24, 2021
How to Protect Your Positions From A Stock Market Sell-Off Using Options / Stock-Markets / Options & Warrants
Today we are going to explore how you can use options to hedge against a sudden market reversal. As you know I am going to be launching a new options service with an options specialist, Neil Szczepanski, shortly so you should start seeing more and more research on options from us.
The first question we need to answer is will there be a market sell-off? If we first look at the S&P chart below, we can see that we have had an incredible run. In order to determine if this trend is weakening, we need to look at what is happening with key sectors and sector rotation. Since the beginning of 2021, we have seen a rotation into commodity sectors which is typical of a late-cycle surge. This might give us a hint that higher volatility projections might be realized.
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Wednesday, February 24, 2021
Why Isn’t Retail Demand for Silver Pushing Up Prices? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021
Metals markets continue to diverge this week, with copper and platinum adding to recent breakout gains while gold struggles to find footing.
During this week’s selloff, gold revisited its lows from last November. A support level exists at $1,750, but momentum selling could take prices down a bit further before technical gauges flash deeply oversold signals.
Turning to silver, the white metal continues to show relative strength versus gold, although prices haven’t actually moved much over the past few trading days.
Despite lackluster returns in most of the precious metals so far in 2021, inflation pressures are pointing upward. On Wednesday, the Labor Department reported that U.S. wholesale prices surged by 1.3% in January.
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Wednesday, February 24, 2021
2 Stocks That Could Win Big In The Trillion Dollar Battery War / Companies / Lithium
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Tuesday, February 23, 2021
US Economic Trends - GDP, Inflation and Unemployment Impact on House Prices 2021 / Housing-Market / US Housing
GDP
The US economy is recovering fast from the corona crash with annualised GDP down just 2.8% for Q3, a remarkable performance and far better than most western nations.
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Tuesday, February 23, 2021
Why the Sky Is Not Falling in Precious Metals / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021
Stocks are predictably staging a continued recovery from the mostly sideways correction – a shallow one not strong enough to break the bulls‘ back. Credit markets are largely behaving – with the exception of long-term Treasuries, which I see as highly likely to draw the Fed‘s attention – just as I discussed in detail yesterday.
The S&P 500 keeps doing fine, and so does my open position there – in the black again. On one hand, volatility remains low regardless of intraday attempts to rise, on the other hand, the put/call ratio has risen quite high yesterday – it‘s as if the traders are expecting a shoe to drop, similarly to the end of Jan. Will it, is there any on the horizon?
Treasuries at the long-end are falling like a stone, and those on the short end (3-months) are seeing higher prices in 2021. The bond market is clearly under pressure, and exerting influence primarily upon precious metals (and commodities such as oil, which are experiencing a down day today, after quite a string of foreseeable gains).
The bearish sentiment in gold and miners is running rampant, and it‘s been only yesterday when I answered a question on ominous head and shoulders patterns in the making, at my own site.
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Tuesday, February 23, 2021
7 Things Every Businessman Should Know / Companies / SME
Entrepreneurs are the backbone of a thriving economy. They create solutions, jobs, and a better standard of living. However, it is not easy to find success as an entrepreneur, and the primary reason for that is a lack of proper mentors. So, here are a few tips that you could use to become a successful entrepreneur that could come in handy until you find a mentor or unleash the secrets of the business world yourself!
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Tuesday, February 23, 2021
For Stocks, has the “Rational Bubble” Popped? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021
Matthew Levy writes: In keeping with last week’s theme, the market has mainly traded sideways this week. However, that correction I’ve been calling for weeks? We have potentially started.
While I don’t foresee a crash like we saw last March and feel that the wheels are in motion for a healthy 2021, I still maintain that some correction before the end of Q1 could happen.
Bank of America also echoed this statement and said last week that “We expect a buyable 5-10% Q1 correction as the big ‘unknowns’ coincide with exuberant positioning, record equity supply, and as good as it gets’ earnings revisions.”
Yes, the sentiment is still positive. That won’t change overnight. Vaccines seem more effective than we thought, especially against other variants of the virus. All that extra stimulus money and record low-interest rates could keep pushing stocks to more records and stimulate pent-up consumer spending. It’s not like the Fed is going to switch this policy up anytime soon, either.
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Tuesday, February 23, 2021
Will Biden Overheat the Economy and Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021
Under the Biden administration the economy could overheat, thereby increasing inflation and the price of gold.In January, Biden unveiled his plan for stimulating the economy, which is struggling as the epidemic in the U.S. continues to unfold. Pundits welcomed the bold proposal of spending almost $2 trillion. Some expenditures, especially on vaccines and healthcare, sound pretty reasonable. However, $1.9 trillion is a lot of money! And a lot of federal debt , as the stimulus would be debt-funded!
So, there is a risk that Biden’s package would overheat the economy and increase inflation . Surprisingly, even some mainstream economists who support the deficit spending, notice this possibility. For instance, former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers, said that Biden’s stimulus could lead the economy to overheat, and that the conventional wisdom is underestimating the risks of hitting capacity. Although he doesn’t oppose the idea of another stimulus, Summers noted that “if we get Covid behind us, we will have an economy that is on fire”.
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Tuesday, February 23, 2021
Precious Metals Under Seige? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021
Lets start with the daily bar combo chart for the PM complex which shows the August trading range still under construction making lower lows and lower highs for the most part.
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Tuesday, February 23, 2021
US House Prices Trend Forecast Review / Housing-Market / US Housing
Did the coronavirus pandmeic deliver the perma bears their US house prices crash that they have been crowing so loudly for for over a decade now?
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Tuesday, February 23, 2021
Lithium Prices Soar As Tesla, Apple And Google Fight For Supply / Commodities / Lithium
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Monday, February 22, 2021
Stock Markets Discounting Post Covid Economic Boom / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021
The stock market has continued to confound all of the doom merchants out there who blindly continue to point to the worst economic contraction since the great depression if not in history for most western economies. All whilst the Dow pushed its way to a new all time high into the end of 2020 and has continued to march ever higher during 2021 in response to which most investors have faced a barrage of that messages that the bubble is always about to burst, whilst my Patrons have received an unequivocal consistent message that this bull market has a long ways to go and that investors should not look a gift horse in the mouth when all of the stocks on my AI list were typically marked down by over 1/3rd against their Pre pandemic trading levels during March 2020.
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Monday, February 22, 2021
Economics Is Why Vaccination Is So Hard / Economics / Coronavirus 2021
When a house burns down, it affects more than just the owner, occupants, and even the neighbors.
Quick, efficient firefighting is a public good. Stopping contagious diseases is another public good. The public interest demands all fires—in all forms—be extinguished before they spread.
Now we have COVID-19 vaccines that, while imperfect, are generally safe and effective. We should deliver them with the same urgency with which we send fire trucks to every blaze.
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Monday, February 22, 2021
Pivotal Session In Stocks Bull Bear Battle / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021
Wednesday’s session was more of the same as it was another expected consolidation. If you recall, it was only day #2 of the pattern so patience Is needed given the past 2 weeks’ V-shape performance totaling +8% from the 3650s low to the 3950s high on the Emini S&P 500 (ES).
Today should be an pivotal session given that both sides are trying to win the battle here. Bulls are trying to stabilize a temporary low so the train can finalize a route towards new all time highs again. Bears are trying to break below last week’s low and below the trending daily 20EMA to cause a derailment.
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Monday, February 22, 2021
Gold’s Downtrend: Is This Just the Beginning? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021
With the yellow metal just posting its lowest close since June and a bearish pattern forming, how vulnerable is gold to a further decline?
Gold and mining stocks just broke to new yearly lows – as I warned you in my previous analyses. And that’s only the beginning.
Let’s jump right into the charts, starting with gold.
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Monday, February 22, 2021
The Most Exciting Commodities Play Of 2021? / Commodities / Lithium
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Monday, February 22, 2021
How to Test NEW and Used GPU, and Benchmark to Make sure it is Working Properly / Personal_Finance / Computing
Here's how to quickly test to make sure your NEW GPU be it a RTX 3060ti, 3070, 3080 or 3090 (if you have money to burn) is working or maybe you bought second hand off ebay, note I don't mention AMD 6000 series GPU's because their availability is so poor that the chances of being about to buy one are near zero. Nevertheless here is what you need to do to test your NEW GPU to make sure it is working properly in terms of operating temps and any screen artifacts.
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Sunday, February 21, 2021
US House Prices Vaccinations Indicator / Housing-Market / US Housing
In my opinion one of the primary indicators for economic recovery for the US and the rest of the world is the percentage of the the adult population that has been vaccinated, and especially the segment of the population at highest risk of hospitalisation and death from covid-19 i.e. the over 50's. In which respect US vaccinations currently stand at 6.2 million with approx 1 million americans being vaccinated per day (1st dose) or about 0.3% of the population. Which frankly is just not good enough. So unless things step up a gear perhaps after Biden takes office then under the current pace the US is not going to have vaccinated 50% of the population until late May and that is just with the first dose!
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