Tuesday, October 02, 2018
China Is a Growing Force That Many Grossly Underestimate / Economics / China Economy
By: John_Mauldin
We hear a lot about the China’s vast problems. They are very real and could have major consequences. But economic reality isn’t black and white.At any given time, both good things and bad things are happening. Ignoring one side because it doesn’t fit your preferred outlook is an excellent way to go badly wrong.
This article is my attempt to demonstrate that China has good news, and even some fabulously great news, much of it quite compelling.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, October 02, 2018
The Silver Exclamation Mark / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: P_Radomski_CFA
Rallying mining stocks? Forget about them. Silver is the new cool kid in the neighborhood. Having rallied by almost 50 cents in just one day, silver stole the spotlight and seems to be ready to move much higher… Or much lower. Does anyone still fall for silver’s fake rallies? Based on the size of the rally and the corresponding volume, it certainly seems to be the case. But you don’t have to fall for it – that is if you prefer to analyze the market’s emotionality instead of acting on it. It’s not an easy thing to do, because each silver rally seems to be “it”. But what’s easy and what’s profitable is rarely the same thing.
Today’s analysis will be quite specific, because we already wrote about “the silver signal” several times in the past several days. We did emphasize our take on the silver market more than once, because the market itself provided us with the signal more than once.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, October 02, 2018
IKEA Flat Pack Wardrobe vs Land Rover Discovery Sport Boot / Personal_Finance / Motoring
By: N_Walayat
Whilst shopping at IKEA to buy a TV stand on the spur of the moment I also bought a large wardrobe because it was cheap (£65). However, I had not measured whether the two big flat pack boxes at 1.89 metres long and 60 or so cm wide would fit in the Land Rover Discovery Sport. I hoped they would, anyway watch the video to see what happened which acts as a good guide as to how long an object one can get into a Land Rover Discovery Sport.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, October 02, 2018
Expect Stock Market Q3 Earnings Price Surprises / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Our focus is on developing and deploying very specialized price modeling and predictive analysis systems. Our objective is to inform our members of these potential price moves and to assist them in finding successful trading opportunities. We are alerting all of our followers of a potential move today, because we believe this move could frighten some investors as we expect price rotation as Q3 earnings data is released just before the November 2018 mid-term elections.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, October 02, 2018
Global Central Banks Enter the Danger Zone / Interest-Rates / Central Banks
By: Michael_Pento
Investors are experiencing huge moves in commodities, currencies, equities and in sovereign debt across the globe. And now the fall has arrived. Expect the volatility currently witnessed in markets to only surge.
This is because global central banks have overwhelmingly turned hawkish in a vain attempt to gradually let the air out of the massive bubbles they have spent the last decade recreating. Unfortunately, that is not the nature of asset bubbles—they don’t end with a whimper--and they are about to burst in violent fashion.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, October 02, 2018
Dow Stock Market Analysis / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Austin_Galt
Previous analysis updated – price traded higher as outlined, however, the expectation of a secondary high was wrong. On the plus side, this move to record highs has provided clarity going forward and the expectation of a significant decline remains unchanged.
Tuesday, October 02, 2018
The ETNA Broker Back Office / Stock-Markets / Learn to Trade
By: Sumeet_Manhas
The Broker Back Office is essentially a web-based platform that brokers, dealers and designed to help automate the business processes that involve client interfacing, compliance reporting, and account custodian to regulatory requirements. The Broker Back Office essentially offers the broker-dealers more control over the regulatory authority and ease operations of the online brokerage and investment firms.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, October 01, 2018
Will Stock Market Uptrend Continue? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Paul_Rejczak
Stocks were virtually flat on Friday, as investors continued to hesitate following the recent record-breaking rally. The S&P 500 index remains close to its September the 21st record high, but will it resume its uptrend?
The U.S. stock market indexes were mixed between 0.0% and +0.1% on Friday, as investors sentiment remained basically unchanged following some economic data announcements along with the third quarter's ending. The S&P 500 index has reached the new record high of 2,940.91 more than a week ago on September the 21st. It currently trades 0.9% below that high. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 0.1% and the technology Nasdaq Composite gained 0.05% on Friday.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, October 01, 2018
Gold and Silver: Bottoming is a Process / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
Last Friday we examined the fact that gold has now fallen 6 months in a row. Historically, this suggests that gold is at a short term bottom.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, October 01, 2018
Crude Oil Price Trend Forecast 2018 Current State / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Here is an update to my crude oil price trend forecast for 2018.
Firstly a recap of my forecast for the crude oil price for 2018 which since the start of this year has been for the oil price to target a trend to $80.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, October 01, 2018
Predicting Markets is Like Forecasting the Weather / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Brad_Gudgeon
Last week, my forecast was for a dollar rally, (which we are in the midst of) a drop in the mining indexes into around Oct 4/8 (going down since Tuesday) and a top on Sept 21 on the SPX and down into around Oct 8th.The lack of any real selling on the stock market since the Sept 21st top leads me to believe the bottom is going to be further out than I thought. Now my forecast is for a bottom around Oct 17th (based on the 4 year cycle Oct ’14). I still think we hold to a 5-6% decline on the S&P 500 (SPX 2792).
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, October 01, 2018
Gold: New Bull Or Same Old Bear? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Gary_Savage
There are two schools of thought right now, and both sides are firmly convinced they are correct.
The bullish case: Gold started a new cyclical bull market in late 2015.
The bearish case: The bounce out of the 2015 bottom was just a counter trend bear market rally, and at best gold is stuck in a long sideways channel similar to the 1980-2001 period.
While I have to admit there is a lot of compelling evidence to support the bearish scenario I’m not convinced that is correct.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, October 01, 2018
Stock Market On the Cusp / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Andre_Gratian
SPX: Long-term trend – The bull market is continuing with a top expected in the low 3000s.
Intermediate trend – Breaking to a new high has only delayed the anticipated correction into mid-October.
Last week’s action suggests that it may have already started.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, October 01, 2018
The Cannabis Arbitrage Deal of the Decade / Commodities / Cannabis
By: OilPrice_Com
....
Monday, October 01, 2018
Why Gambling on Gambling Stocks is Really Just Like Gambling / Companies / Gambling
By: Submissions
...
Sunday, September 30, 2018
Will Stocks Keep Their Upward Momentum in October / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
VIX closed beneath Short-term resistance at 12.60, leaving it on a sell signal for a third week in a row. It appears to be in a holding pattern for the end of the quarter. However, the Cycles Model shows a likely surge in strength for the VIX through late October.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, September 30, 2018
Gold And Silver – Still Weak, Qrtly, Mthly, Wkly Charts / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Michael_Noonan
We did an interview with Rory from The Daily Coin, last week, and we mentioned how crypto currencies could be problematic for gold and silver. Their existence could replace the massive fiat debt and preclude any reason for gold and silver to rally. You can find the interview here.
There has been a lot of discussion of a possible reset whereby gold and silver would eventually replace the failing fiats, and that potential scenario was how $10,000/oz gold and $400/oz silver came about, for the most part.
The pertinent question is, which country would want to have a gold and silver backed currency which would severely restrict the ability to issue increased amounts of the currency? Also, every other nation would want to buy and take delivery of any and all available gold and silver. That would not fly, at all. Recall how Nixon closed the gold window back in the 1970s.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, September 30, 2018
Sheffield Secondary School Place Applications Over Subscription Fraud Crisis / Local / Sheffield
By: N_Walayat
Despite the construction of several new schools and expansion of many others the crisis in school places continues where one of the primary reasons for which exploded across the mainstream press this week as parents and students of Firvale School went on the rampage as a mass brawl broke out resulting in the deployment of dozens of police officers, a police helicopter and a dog team all to bring the situation back under control as the following video from a popular Sheffield facebook page illustrates.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, September 30, 2018
Forex and Crypto Market Forecasts / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: EWI
Dear Reader,
It might not feel like it, but you only have a couple of months left to hit your 2018 trading goals.
Our friends at Elliott Wave International (EWI) can help you get there. Free.
In fact, their Forex FreeWeek event is worth your time even if you’re not actively trading forex.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, September 29, 2018
The US Dollar Not the IMF Can Save Argentina / Economics / Argentina
By: Steve_H_Hanke
The International Monetary Fund’s $50 billion agreement with Argentina is failing. Earlier this month a scheduled $3 billion payment was postponed while the IMF and the country’s government continued to haggle in Buenos Aires. The peso extended its precipitous fall against the greenback.
The backdrop to this misery is President Mauricio Macri’s weak reform program combined with the IMF’s misdiagnosis of Argentina’s problems. Mr. Macri replaced the left-wing populist Cristina Fernández de Kirchner in December 2015. He inherited a rapidly growing public sector, huge fiscal deficits due to massive subsidies for key products, annual inflation of more than 30%, capital controls, and a dual exchange-rate system. With a slim majority in the National Congress, and facing midterm elections in October 2017, Mr. Macri adopted a gradualist approach to reform.
Read full article... Read full article...