Monday, July 22, 2019
What Could The Next Gold Rally Look Like? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
I have been going over the past data to attempt to identify future price targets and to help traders understand the true potential for the current precious metals price rally. We’ve been sharing our data and research with you for many months are pleased to continue to share our predictive modeling system’s outputs and data. Today, we wanted to play a bit of “what if” with the data in an attempt to relate just how explosive this move in precious metals may be over the next 6 to 12+ months.
Given our belief that precious metals prices will hold last weeks breakout to the upside and that Gold will rally in a parabolic price mode, we have attempted to identify how Silver would react given the price advance of Gold and the historic price ratio between Gold vs. Silver.
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Monday, July 22, 2019
Stock Markets Setting Up For A Volatility Explosion – Are You Ready? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Today, we are going to share with you some incredible charts that highlight why we believe all traders and investors need to stay keenly aware of the potential for very explosive moves over the next 6 to 12+ months. We’ve authored a number of articles about super-cycles, Gold, Oil and dozens of other symbols suggesting that a deeper and more complicated economic shift is taking place throughout the world. We’ve been following the trail of money and investments for many months and attempting to map out what we believe will happen in the future with our proprietary predictive modeling systems and adaptive learning utilities. Get ready for some crazy price ranges and a big move in the markets over the next 30+ days.
Right now, we believe the US stock market is poised for another attempt to move briefly higher as a flood of earnings hits the news wires next week. We are confident that the US stock market will attempt a move higher based on our predictive modeling systems and other technical analysis tools. We want to warn you that this upside move will likely become a “wash-out high” price rotation where price rallies briefly, stalls, then reverses back to the downside fairly quickly. We believe this “wash-out high” price pattern will set up and execute before August 5th or so. Be prepared as this move may sucker in a number of new long traders just before it breaks lower.
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Monday, July 22, 2019
Anatomy of an Impulse Move in Gold and Silver Precious Metals / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Rambus_Chartology
A big impulse move that we are currently experiencing right now in the PM complex is separated by several small consolidation patterns that make up the entire impulse leg. Its these small consolidation patterns that give life to a big impulse move because without these little rest stops along the way the impulse move would burn itself out. One should welcome and anticipate these small consolidation patterns as they will help you understand where you maybe within the impulse move. I’ve seen as few as one and as many as four buildout during a strong impulse move.
Below is a daily chart for the first two impulse moves that formed at the beginning of the HUI’s bull market run that started in 2000. The very first impulse move formed 3 small consolidation patterns, two triangles and one H&S consolation pattern which led to the first top in May of 2001. At that point it was time for the HUI to consolidate its gains and begin to buildout the much larger black triangle. After the completion of the black triangle it was time for the second major impulse move up in the HUI’s still new bull market. As you can see the second major leg up formed three more consolidation patterns before exhausting itself. The second impulse move almost doubled the first one as the new bull market was gaining strength.
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Monday, July 22, 2019
What you Really need to Know about the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Troy_Bombardia
If you read financial news & market analysis from pundits every day, it’s easy to be overwhelmed by countless charts, data, indicators, opinions, etc. In this post, I’m going to focus on what I think really matters for the stock market right now. A quick recap:
- Long term risk:reward does not favor bulls
- Fundamentals (next 6-9 months): favors bulls
- Technicals (next 6-9 months): favors bulls (i.e. late cycle rally)
- Short term: mixed/bearish
Sunday, July 21, 2019
Has Next UK Financial Crisis Just Started? Bank Accounts Being Frozen / Companies / Financial Crisis 2019
By: Nadeem_Walayat
This is how the next banking crisis starts - Customers day starts normally with little warning in the mainstream media about banking access issues, but customers trying to transact online find their accounts are no longer able to transfer funds out of their bank, instead are met with a message to call the bank, so begin tweeting about their limited online facilities.
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Sunday, July 21, 2019
Silver to Continue Lagging Gold, Will Struggle to Overcome $17 / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: MoneyMetals
Welcome to this week’s Market Wrap Podcast, I’m Mike Gleason.
Coming up Craig Hemke of the TF Metals Report joins me for a very interesting discussion on how a myriad of problems are really starting to show up in the all-too-important banking sector, explains the recent move in the precious metals and gives some very key price levels for gold and especially silver that he’s watching very closely.
Craig also addresses the recent silver underperformance to gold in recent years and what’s behind that. So, stick around for an in-depth conversation with our friend Craig Hemke, coming up after this week’s market update.
Well, silver has finally made its move! After languishing and lagging over the past several months, silver prices broke out in a big way this week.
The white metal rallied to a one-year high on Thursday. As of this Friday recording, silver is packing a hefty weekly gain of nearly a dollar or 6.3% to bring spot prices to $16.25 an ounce.
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Sunday, July 21, 2019
What’s With all the Weird Weather? / Politics / Climate Change
By: Richard_Mills
In January 2018, something strange happened in the Sahara Desert: it snowed. The Algerian town of Ain Sefra, named the “Gateway to the Sahara”, reportedly received up to an inch, barely enough to get the average North American out of bed early to scrape the car, but for North Africans, the outlier snowfall would have been magical; it was only the third time in 40 years that the Sahara Desert, one of the hottest places on earth, has received snow. (the desert gets very cold at night but even if it dips below freezing, any precipitation that crystallizes to snow usually melts right away)
A year later, extreme heat and cold were experienced in Australia and Russia. Temperatures at Port Augusta, South Australia, shot up to 49 degrees Celsius, on the same day, Jan. 7, as the mercury plunged to -56 in parts of Russia. That’s numbingly cold, but not as bone-chilling as in January 2018, when a blast of -67 cold air hit Russia’s remote Yakuta region - low enough to freeze eyelashes.
Can these outlier weather events be explained by climate change?
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Sunday, July 21, 2019
Halifax Bank Branch Staff Shockingly Incompetent / Companies / Financial Crisis 2019
By: N_Walayat
Bank with the Halifax? Then If for whatever reason you find that your access to online banking has been limited or even blocked, then on calling the requisite number are asked to pop down to the local branch with ID.
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Sunday, July 21, 2019
Halifax Stopping Customers Withdrawing Funds Online - UK Brexit Banking Crisis Starting? / Companies / Financial Crisis 2019
By: Nadeem_Walayat
At least some customers attempting to transfer funds OUT of the Halifax are being met with automatic rejections of their transfer requests in apparent attempts by the Halifax to hold onto customer funds which could be an early sign that the UK is experiencing a new banking crisis starting in the tax payer bailed out bank.
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Saturday, July 20, 2019
US House Prices Trend Forecast 2019 to 2021 / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: Nadeem_Walayat
This is the final analysis in my US housing market series that concludes in a detailed multi-year trend forecast.
- Current State
- Momentum Analysis
- US ECONOMY - GDP
- Unemployment
- Inflation
- Producer Prices Index
- Yield Curve
- US Debt
- QE4EVER!
- DEMOGRAPHICS
- US Home Builders Index (XHB)
- US Housing Market Real Terms BUY / SELL Indicator
- US House Prices 2019 to 2021 Trend Forecast Conclusion
- Peering into the Mists of Time
Saturday, July 20, 2019
MICROSOFT Cortana, Azure AI Platform Machine Intelligence Stock Investing Video / Companies / Microsoft
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Are you ready for the exponential machine intelligence mega-trend?
In this series of videos I present my Top 10 AI stocks to invest in to profit from the exponential machine intelligence mega-trend.
My Top 10 AI stocks are ranked in terms of risk vs reward and volatility. So I consider my Top 5 stocks as primary, then the next 3 as secondary and the last 2 as far more risky tertiary stocks. And remember that when investing in the stock market that your capital is at risk. There are NO SURE BETS!
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Saturday, July 20, 2019
Africa Rising – Population Explosion, Geopolitical and Economic Consquences / Politics / Africa
By: Richard_Mills
A lot of resource investors stop listening to corporate presentations when they learn the company’s project is in Africa.
More often than not the country risk of exploring for minerals in the “dark continent” (as Africa was known to 19th century European explorers) is just too big a gamble for retail investors’ hard-earned capital.
Development projects are hi-jacked by rebels, or over-run by artisanal miners. Operating mines get expropriated by governments that can’t resist the temptation to raid a foreign company’s coffers. And African miners frequently see their profits reduced by corrupt officials intent on re-negotiating royalty contracts.
All of these things are true, yet in the long run, Africa cannot be ignored. The hammer-shaped continent is expected to drive global growth over the next several decades, as populations there climb, but dwindle elsewhere.
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Saturday, July 20, 2019
Sahm Unemployment Index and Gold / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
What is the difference between a recession and a depression? When your neighbor loses their job, it’s a recession. When you lose your job, that’s a depression! Not funny? Do not worry, we won’t make more jokes. Instead, we’ll analyze a new, but very important and powerful recessionary indicator. We invite you to read our today’s article, which discusses the Sahm Unemployment Index, and find out what does it say about the US economy and the gold market.
What is the difference between a recession and a depression? When your neighbor loses their job, it’s a recession. When you lose your job, that’s a depression!
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Saturday, July 20, 2019
Gold Mining Stocks Q2’19 Results Analysis / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2019
By: Zeal_LLC
The gold miners’ stocks continue to rally on balance, after a major upside breakout extended their strong upleg. That’s driving mounting interest in this recently-forsaken sector. With the latest quarterly earnings season underway, traders will soon enjoy big fundamental updates from the gold miners. They are likely to report good Q2 results, with improving operational performances supporting further stock-price gains.
Four times a year publicly-traded companies release treasure troves of valuable information in the form of quarterly reports. Companies trading in the States are required to file 10-Qs with the US Securities and Exchange Commission by 40 calendar days after quarter-ends. The gold miners generally release their quarterly reports in the latter half of that window. So Q2’19’s will arrive between late July to mid-August.
After spending decades intensely studying and actively trading this contrarian sector, there’s no gold-stock data I look forward to more than the miners’ quarterly financial and operational reports. They offer a true and clear snapshot of what’s really going on, shattering the misconceptions bred by ever-shifting winds of sentiment. Nearly all fundamental analysis is based off the data gold miners provide in quarterlies.
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Friday, July 19, 2019
This Is Your Last Chance to Dump Netflix Stock / / Corporate News
By: Stephen_McBride
As you may have heard, Netflix (NFLX) bombed on earnings results this week.The company fell short of its growth target by more than two million subscriptions. And for the first time in eight years, it reported a subscriber loss in the US.
The stock plunged more than 10% on the news.
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Friday, July 19, 2019
XAU, Newmont, Dollar, DOW RTT Charts / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019
By: readtheticker
The magic of support and resistance channel lines and how they direct price. Here are some chart disclosed to members via the RTT Plus service. All charts are a few weeks old.
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Friday, July 19, 2019
Gold and US Stock Mid Term Election and Decade Cycles / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Recently I have been trying to show all the different angles to look at and analyze the US stock market and the precious metals sector. At the end of this report, I will share with you several crucial angles and charts you must see for our self. There are several very intriguing things unfolding right now which are interconnected in ways you may not have known.
Gold Midterm Years and Seasonality
Let’s start off with the price of gold and what it typically does each month during the presidential midterm year, which is this year 2019. The graph below shows the average price movement during the midterm election since 1971 and I think the chart speaks for its self.
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Friday, July 19, 2019
Silver Seems To Shock The Market / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Avi_Gilburt
This article was first written for members on Tuesday July 16: The talk of the metals market on Tuesday was silver. It seems many were shocked and surprised by this rally in silver on Tuesday. And, I am sitting here scratching my head as to why all the shock.
Well, as I think about it, I am starting to understand the shock if you had been reading what everyone has been writing about silver. Whereas the rest of the complex has already moved strongly higher, silver has been significantly lagging. And, I have been hearing one excuse after another as to why it is lagging, such as silver “has been acting as an industrial metal.”.
But, last I looked, the economy was humming along. So, why would an industrial metal be lagging? Moreover, it certainly did not act like an industrial metal on Tuesday.
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Friday, July 19, 2019
Precious Metals Big Picture, as Silver Gets on its Horse / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Gary_Tanashian
While many are talking about major new bull markets in gold, silver and the miners I find it safer to set realistic goals within a still very bullish outlook. After all, we became bullish in November, had to retrench due to over-bullish sentiment and fading fundamentals in February (both situations linked here) and then have been back in the bull seat since the gold stock launch as noted on June 3rd.
The point being, I have nothing to prove to you; nothing to woo you and tempt your greed impulse about. NFTRH has simply called the sector in line with its fundamentals and technicals, and that is what we continue to do as of this day. We chart 20 quality miners () each week and note short-term targets, resistance, etc. for the miners, gold and silver routinely.
The other priority is to stay on top of the still-bullish fundamentals. Most recently silver joined the party and is probably slamming our favored theme into gear, which is for it to take over leadership from gold and potentially lead the macro to a future inflationary cycle. Easy now, that is still in the realm of potential, not yet reality. But all of this fun – and it has obviously been fun lately – takes place against a big picture that is lumbering along at its own pace.
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Friday, July 19, 2019
This Technology Everyone Laughed Off Is Quietly Changing the World / Companies / 3d Printing
By: Stephen_McBride
One of my most painful memories as a kid was having my braces tightened.
The orthodontist would grip his pliers, clamp down on the metal wire cemented to my teeth, and crank.
I’m happy to have straight teeth today... but man did those things hurt.
And they were embarrassing too. Especially during those young teen years when self-confidence is fragile. There was just no good way to hide a mouthful of metal...