Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Friday, July 02, 2010
Gold Quarterly Bullish Trend / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
The gold market has had a lot of publicity and been under intense scrutiny lately as investors, both conservative (Glenn Beck) and liberal (George Soros), are weighing in and recommending a position in gold.
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Friday, July 02, 2010
Strong Coffee Rouses Market Bulls from Slumber / Commodities / Coffee
Until recently the 2010 price action in ICE Coffee was relatively uninteresting, with bears looking a real threat. However, the recent surge upwards has brought the chart to life, with the probability of higher values to come.
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Friday, July 02, 2010
Double Dip Recession Consquences for Gold and Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
Mr Bernanke and his close allies at the Fed in Washington are worried by signs that the U.S. recovery is running out of steam. The ECRI leading indicator published by the Economic Cycle Research Institute has collapsed to a 45-week low of -5.7 in the most precipitous slide for half a century. Such a reading typically portends contraction within three months or so. Today we saw the sad employment and housing figures appearing to add to this picture.
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Thursday, July 01, 2010
The Hungry Dragon: China's New Crude Oil Market / Commodities / Crude Oil
By Marin Katusa, Chief Investment Strategist, Energy Division writes: If you ever happen to eavesdrop on a conversation between energy investors, two words are sure to crop up – China and oil. Usually, they’re used together and usually, it’s about China’s increasing presence on the global oil scene.
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Thursday, July 01, 2010
Central Banks Pushing Up the Gold Price / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
By David Galland, Managing Director, Casey Research writes: For some years now, Doug Casey has gone on record with his view that we’ll know the gold bull market is really picking up steam when central banks stop selling their reserves of gold and begin buying the stuff.
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Thursday, July 01, 2010
Asian Stampede Into Gold Safe Haven Hedge Against Government Debt Devaluations / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
What’s behind the Global Flight into Gold?
The value of Gold has been subject to intense debate for centuries. Nathan Mayer Rothschild was once the richest man in Britain and probably in the world. In 1840, his company, - NM Rothschild was appointed as the bullion broker to the Bank of England and went on to operate the Royal Mint Refinery in 1852. When asked what the value of the barbaric metal was worth, Nathan used to reply, “I only know of two men who really understand the true value of gold – an obscure clerk in the basement vault of the Banque de Paris and one of the directors of the Bank of England. Unfortunately, they disagree.”
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Thursday, July 01, 2010
Gold Falls with Dollar But "Way Under-Owned" as Euro LIBOR Rates Rise / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
THE PRICE OF GOLD fell hard alongside the Dollar early Thursday in London, dropping to $1235 for US investors but losing more than 2% vs. the Euro as the single currency jumped on the forex market.
"Gold was [already] weakened by sporadic selling from Chinese dealers," says one Hong Kong trader in a note.
Thursday, July 01, 2010
Gold 2010 YTD Up 13% in USD, 19% in GBP and 24% in EUR / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
Gold rose again yesterday in dollars and other currencies, especially sterling which fell against nearly all currencies (see chart below). Gold is currently trading at $1,244/oz and in Euro, GBP, CHF, and JPY terms, gold is trading at €1,008/oz, £830/oz, CHF 1,328/oz, JPY 109,574/oz respectively.
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Thursday, July 01, 2010
‘New’ Energy Sector Windfall Profits for Investors, Energy Independence for U.S. Economy / Commodities / Energy Resources
William Patalon III writes: The BP PLC (NYSE ADR: BP) oil spill has been a wakeup call for energy-sector regulators. But it's been an even bigger wakeup call for investors.
Years from now, investors will look back at this period as a turning point - the start of the greatest profit opportunity of this generation. And that's not all. The post-oil-spill period will go down in history as the period during which the United States was finally able to break its dependence on foreign oil, says Dr. Kent Moors, a career energy-sector consultant who works with governments and corporations throughout the world.
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Thursday, July 01, 2010
Gold Heading for $2000+, Hunting for Gold Mining Stock Treasures / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
Financial Commentator and Market Analyst Peter Grandich, who sees no end in sight to the "mother of all gold bull markets," expects the price of the yellow metal to climb past $2,000+ before the ride eventually comes to an end. But while gold has been riding high, its glitter isn't blinding Peter to the opportunities others may be overlooking. In this exclusive Gold Report interview, he shares some of his favorite gold juniors, as well as a mix of players in the cobalt, lithium, uranium and iron ore niches.
The Gold Report: Peter, you accurately forecast the market crash of 1987, the peaks of 2000 and 2007 and the bottom in 2009. Where is this volatile market headed now?
Wednesday, June 30, 2010
Gold Market Trend Review, The Bull Bear Debate / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
There’s a lot of buzz about whether the gold market continues higher, or whether it’s time for a correction. The short answer is both are still a viable option.
Below is the daily chart of GLD. It’s grinding higher within a narrowing band of resistance and support trend lines. It looks tired based on divergences on both the RSI and MACD.
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Wednesday, June 30, 2010
Is the Gold Bull Market Complete? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
Is it conceivable, is it even possible that the gold bull market is complete, finished, and over for this cycle? This REPORT presents evidence that suggests we maintain a cautious attitude towards the gold complex. We know that gold bugs rant and rave about the price exceeding $3,000, $6,000, and now $10,000 an ounce. However, there may, at the very least, be somewhat of a delay and decline before the price of gold reaches those levels (if ever).
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Wednesday, June 30, 2010
Gold Mining Stocks on Verge of Breaking Out! / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
The long-term story for a gold and a gold mining stocks bull market is clear and easy to grasp: Dubious monetary policy and irresponsible fiscal policy with government debt rising all over the world are a surefire recipe for a surging demand in gold.
Toss in stagnant or even declining supply, and you have all the ingredients for much higher gold prices.
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Wednesday, June 30, 2010
Gold Consolidates Near Record Highs Up 12% in Quarter; Silver Up 6% / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
Risk aversion led to falls in equity and commodity markets yesterday but gold again managed to eke out a 0.5% gain. The complacency of recent months is being challenged by a raft of negative data and by increasingly precarious fundamentals. Concerns about Chinese and global economic growth and about the European banking system and sovereign debt are leading to continuing diversification into gold.
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Wednesday, June 30, 2010
Gold Adds 12% for Q2 as S&P Drops 11%, Forex "Echoes 2008" Meltdown / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
THE PRICE OF BOTH gold and silver bullion ticked higher from yesterday's sell-off early in London on Wednesday, rising as Asian stocks caught up with Wall Street's sharp losses but European shares rallied.
Recording an AM London Gold Fix of $1240.50 per ounce, gold stood almost 12% higher in Dollar terms for the second quarter of 2010.
Wednesday, June 30, 2010
Commodities Are Key as China Continues to Call the Shots / Commodities / Investing 2010
Jon D. Markman writes: China ended up being the big story this month, as investors looked past Europe to the Far East for clues about what shape the global recovery - if you can even call it that - is taking.
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Wednesday, June 30, 2010
Gold, Silver and Austerity Versus Growth / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
We will kick off with a look at gold as she dances and teases her way around the previous record highs in a ‘will she or will she not’ frame of mind, as analysts wait patiently for a sign to hit the button. Is that a buy button or a sell button you ask? Austerity versus Growth is now the order of the day.
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Tuesday, June 29, 2010
Gold, Oil, Spills and Chills / Commodities / Crude Oil
On the rare occasions that political rhetoric seems to understate a problem, it’s big. BP has a big problem in the Gulf of Mexico, which they are now properly laying out. Blaming the company for the spill is possibly a bit overdone since it was after all an accident. However, claiming they and by extension the industry haven’t been responsible enough with the work seems to be on the mark. This spill is going to impact deep water oil exploration and extraction for years to come. The cleanup will continue through the year, as will discussion of alternate energy sources.
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Tuesday, June 29, 2010
Gold and the G20 Summit / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
World leaders met at the G20 in Toronto to discuss how they will work to get the global economy moving again. If you're new to the global economic forums like these, you might think that they're actually productive. However, if you've been around long enough to follow them for a few years, you'd realize that politicians from the top 20 economic countries show up just to lay out their idealistic plans that they'll never really complete.
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Tuesday, June 29, 2010
Gold Price Sizzles As the U.S. Economy Fizzles / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
Chris Blasi writes: The straight-faced dissemination of transparently amateurish "official analysis" these days loudly proclaiming that an economic rebound is underway is so blatantly short on truth that it reveals a disturbing level of desperation to raise confidence.
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