Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Tuesday, November 04, 2008
Commodities, Slowing Economies= Lower Prices / Commodities / CRB Index
KEY POINTS:• Cooling global economies chilling growth prospects for commodity prices until 2010
• Oil remains pinned under $100 over next 18 to 24 months. Downside target revised to $50 to $63 by business-cycle finish
• Downward pressure holds in November for gold, as global funds run to U.S. dollar treasuries; price target lowered
• Natural gas seasonal strength; still waiting for advance. Lowering target
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Tuesday, November 04, 2008
Gold Jumps as America Votes / Commodities / Gold & Silver
THE PRICE OF GOLD jumped into the Wall Street opening on Tuesday, adding to an overnight rally and touching a 5-session high of $745 an ounce as European stock markets rose for the seventh-day running.The US Dollar slipped back ahead of today's presidential election, losing 2.5¢ to the Euro and reversing half of Monday's gains vs. the Pound Sterling.
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Tuesday, November 04, 2008
Gold Holds Steady Amidst Continuing Deflationary Pressures / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Gold was up marginally yesterday despite further strength in the dollar and a further sharp fall in the oil price. Deflationary pressures continue to be prevalent and central banks internationally continue to aggressively cut interest rates in an effort to stimulate credit growth and inflate their way out of a possible Depression.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, November 04, 2008
Governments Attempting to Rule Over Bankers / Commodities / Credit Crisis Bailouts
The events of the last two weeks have presented enormous ‘moral' hazards for governments and the banking industry. When we call them moral hazards we are not talking about biblical morality, but the principles behind government [Democracy] and banking [Profit and Prudence].Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, November 04, 2008
Gold and Silver Mining Stocks Time to Buy? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
PERFORMANCE: ONE MONTH / TWELVE MONTHS
% CHANGE | PRICE OCT. 31 | 1 MONTH | 12 MONTHS |
THE TIMELESS PRECIOUS METAL FUND (EUR) | 3.58 | -40.5% | -77.6% |
THE TIMELESS PRECIOUS METAL FUND (USD) | 4.57 | -46.6% | -80.2% |
GOLD | 723.20 | -16.6% | -8.4% |
SILVER | 9.81 | -18.3% | -31.5% |
PLATINUM | 824.00 | -18.4% | +43.0% |
PALLADIUM | 199.00 | -0.2% | -46.6% |
GOLD & SILVER INDEX - PHILADELPHIA ($XAU) | 81.08 | -38.2% | -56.2% |
AMEX GOLD BUGS INDEX ($HUI) | 193.87 | -38.3% | -54.8% |
GOLD MINERS INDEX - AMEX ($GDM) | 574.84 | -38.6% | -57.5 % |
Monday, November 03, 2008
Gold Mining Stocks Base Building / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
My near-term pattern and momentum work in the Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (AMEX: GDX) suggests strongly that the gold miners ETF has some unfinished business on the upside prior to the completion of the upleg off of the 10/24 low at 15.83. At this juncture, I am expecting a pop to the upside out of the 3-day sideways congestion area into new recovery high ground, which projects into the 23.50-24.50 target zone, after which I will be looking for a significant pullback to set up a much more potent buying opportunity.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, November 03, 2008
Gold Rally Stalls Despite Bail-Outs Sparking Huge Monetary Inflation / Commodities / Gold & Silver
THE PRICE OF GOLD rose 2% early Monday, briefly touching $739 an ounce before slipping back as world stock markets continued to struggle after suffering their worst month in 21 years.Crude oil slipped again, while the US Dollar and Japanese Yen held steady on the currency markets after October's record surge, when "all the trades that worked well for the past five years went badly very quickly," as one Citigroup strategist put it to Reuters this morning.
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Monday, November 03, 2008
Gold Near Low as Massive Physical Demand Continues / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Gold and silver have risen in Asian and early trading in Europe today. Last week saw gold fall some 1.4% while silver rose 4.9%. The performance of the precious metal mining shares may be an indication that we are at or near a low in this sell off as the HUI and XAU mining indices were up sharply last week - up 14.4% and 14.95% respectively. They tend to be a leading indicator of a trend reversal in the precious metals.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, November 02, 2008
U.S. Money Supply Growth to Lead to Higher Inflation and Gold Price / Commodities / Money Supply
In the past few weeks, U.S. Federal Reserve has joined with U.S. Treasury in an attempt to remedy the financial fiasco. In that effort, the Federal Reserve's balance sheet has ballooned by more than 50%. Never in peace time history has the central bank for the world's reserve currency so intentionally implement policies that will destroy the value of that reserve currency .Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, October 31, 2008
Eric Lemieux: Gold's Behavior Flies in the Face of Every Theory / Commodities / Gold & Silver
In an exclusive interview with The Gold Report, Eric Lemieux, metals and mining analyst with Laurentian Bank Securities, describes gold's inexplicable descent as a violation of market fundamentals. Eventually the worsening supply deficit will energize the precious metals sector and when it does, he believes the junior explorers will be well positioned to benefit. He focuses on the emerging mineral wealth of the James Bay area of Quebec and discusses his favorite explorers.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, October 31, 2008
Commodities Bull Market? / Commodities / CRB Index
The face of today's mainstream financial media has gone from meaningful analysis and commentary to constant tub-thumping between undisciplined Main Streeters, overambitious Wall Streeters, and ignorant bureaucrats. It has turned into a showcase of the blame game, everyone looking for a scapegoat to shoulder the iniquities of the masses.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, October 31, 2008
Gold and Stocks End October With Huge Loss of Value / Commodities / Gold & Silver
SPOT GOLD BULLION PRICES bounced from $725 an ounce early Friday, nearing the month's end nearly 10% down against most major currencies – including the Dollar – as world stock markets reversed this week's rally.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, October 31, 2008
Gold Falls on Comex and Futures Selling Despite Huge Demand / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Gold continues to surprise to the downside on the Comex and the futures markets in spite of huge physical demand, increasing supply issues and surging premiums on bullion products.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, October 31, 2008
Silver Investing When Everyone Else is Panicking-Party Time…. Let's Celebrate! / Commodities / Gold & Silver
When it comes to investing, does the title “Party Time…. Let's Celebrate!” sound counter intuitive right now? This title is the most opposite/contrarian and therefore it is likely the most appropriate title we could think of at this time. Why?Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, October 31, 2008
Silver Production Falls by 70%? / Commodities / Gold & Silver
This headline should grab anyone's attention, especially those interested in the silver market. Before going forward, let me explain that fully 70% of silver is produced as a result of mining other metals, mostly base metals. Copper mining, for example, is responsible for 28% of the silver mined in 2007. Lead/Zinc mining yielded 32% of the silver mined in 2007. Finally, gold mining brought about 10% of the silver mined, again in 2007. All data is from GFMS World Silver Survey 2008, page 31.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, October 30, 2008
Comex Gold and Silver Markets Hurtling Towards Default / Commodities / Market Manipulation
The COMEX gold & silver markets are each hurtling down a dangerous path toward default. The artificial paper price has created enormous physical demand, and hampered supply production, if not delivery. The gap between the JPMorgan-led corrupted phony paper price and the legitimate physical price in actual trading markets has grown sharply, enough to force a breakdown like in any distorted market. When December contracts in gold & silver are demanded to be satisfied via delivery of the metal, it will be clear that the COMEX is running a scam. A default is highly likely. Of course, they can continue to deny contract holders the right to benefit from delivery, as they have been doing for months to ‘Non-Economic Customers' but soon the ‘Commercial Customers' will be defrauded. Arrests are warranted. We will see how this corruption unfolds.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, October 30, 2008
Gold to Explode Higher Following Mutual Debasement of World Currencies / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Despite the fact that the governments of the G-7 nations have injected some $3.5 trillion into their financial systems to prevent a meltdown of the world's financial system, stock markets are still reeling. With some stocks down by over 60 percent, many investors already have been through a disastrous erosion of wealth. The declines have not occurred in just a few days as they did in 1929. Rather, Government interventions, regulatory changes and bailouts have drawn out the fall in prices over a long enough time period to make it feel like a slow water torture.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, October 30, 2008
Gold Dips, Stocks Jump Despite US Recession Data / Commodities / Gold & Silver
THE SPOT PRICE of physical gold slipped from a seven-session high for Dollar and Yen investors at the New York opening on Thursday, as world stock markets extended a four-day rally despite confirmation that the US economy has joined the UK in sliding towards recession.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, October 30, 2008
U.S. Inflationary Interest Rate Cut Bullish for Gold / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Gold rose nearly 2% yesterday as the Federal Reserve decreased the fed funds rate by 50 basis points to 1.00%. Other central banks internationally are also slashing interest rates and there is increasing speculation that the Bank of England and the ECB may cut interest rates aggressively as early as this week and possibly even today in an effort to prevent international financial contagion causing a sharp global recession.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, October 30, 2008
Gold Insurance Against Continuing Financial Meltdown / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Wow! Are you excited?
The entire world is going through a generational and even a once in a hundred year cyclical change right before our eyes and we are witness to these historical events. All of these gold and financial sites for over 10 years have been predicting that this financial meltdown was coming.
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