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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Friday, June 20, 2008

Gold BREAKOUT! / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Peter_Degraaf

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGold is breaking out on the upside today, after having been contained in a bullish pennant formation for the past 93 days. This 93 day period satisfies the time element, (referring to the average of the late spring – early summer pull-backs in gold), since the current bull market began, in 2001.

Virtually every year we witness a Christmas rally in gold, with the seasonal lows coming in the spring, following a correction towards the 200DMA.

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Commodities

Friday, June 20, 2008

Investors Reallocate from Oil to Gold as Inflation Defense / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

SPOT GOLD PRICES ticked higher from an overnight lull early Friday, recording the highest Morning Fix in London since June 9th at precisely $900.00 per ounce.

Crude oil futures bounced more than 1% from Thursday's sudden $4 sell-off to $131 per barrel, while European stock markets dropped towards a three-month low, led by banking shares.

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Commodities

Friday, June 20, 2008

Metals Market Trend Analysis 2008 to 2009- Part 1 / Commodities / Metals & Mining

By: John_Lee

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOftentimes I talk to investors, even sophisticated ones, and I realize that they treat metals as a group. Particularly in the subset of base metals, most point out the price action of copper and conclude that all base metals are in a raging bull with no signs of slowing down.

Close examination of correlation between various metal prices reveals a very different story, as we shall illustrate. (most charts here are from my friends at Kitco.com)

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Commodities

Thursday, June 19, 2008

South African Gold Production Slumps by 10% Driving Gold Price Higher / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Mark_OByrne

Gold closed at $891.30  in New York  yesterday and was  up $6.90  and silver closed at $17.31,  up 26  cents.  Since then g old has again traded in a range between $88 5 and $89 5 in Asia n and in  early European trading this morning .

Gold rose in early trading in Europe when oil prices rose on news that Anglo-Dutch oil giant Shell  had halted production at a major offshore oil facility in Nigeria because of a militant attack . It has since given back those early gains and dollar strength this morning seems to have led to a sell off in gold.

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Commodities

Thursday, June 19, 2008

Gold Leaps to $905 as FBI Arrests Bear Stearns Hedge Fund Managers / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

SPOT GOLD PRICES leapt against all currencies at the US open on Thursday, surging to a four-week high above $905 per ounce on what looked to be one or more large New York orders amid an otherwise quiet market.

Crude oil bounced from an overnight dip as the US Dollar ticked gently lower on the forex market and energy-giant Shell closed 200,000 barrels of daily production in response to militant attacks in Nigeria .

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Commodities

Wednesday, June 18, 2008

Solar Sun Spot Cycles Impact on Crop Yields, Energy Use and Weather Patterns / Commodities / Energy Resources

By: Joseph_Dancy

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLast month we listened to Donald Coxe's weekly presentation to institutional investors. Coxe is the Chairman and Chief Strategist of Harris Investment Management. He has been a bull on the commodity markets for some time now and has correctly pointed out numerous investment opportunities in the energy, metals, and grain markets.

We were surprised when he mentioned the historical nature of the solar cycle and its' potential impact on global weather patterns and the agricultural sector. Most of the time Coxe he restricts himself to ‘worldly' indicators of supply and demand. Apparently an article on the subject recently appeared in Investor's Business Daily.

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Commodities

Wednesday, June 18, 2008

Gold Wedged Between Support and Resistance / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Very interesting situation developing in spot gold -- and by extension, the GLD (streetTRACKS Gold Shares). Let's notice that the price structure is wedge-in between the rising 200 DMA (support at $859), and the 50 & 21 DMAs (resistance) as well as the March-June resistance line all clustered around $900. My sense is that if gold hurdles and sustains above $900, gold prices could rocket towards $1000 again.

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Commodities

Wednesday, June 18, 2008

Smart Money Heading Back into Gold? / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

"...The current lull in the gold market may signal a great chance to buy before the price moves sharply higher once more..."

WHAT YOU MAKE of the gold market right now depends on what you make of the kind of data UBS's precious metals team follow.

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Commodities

Wednesday, June 18, 2008

Energy Sector Strong Bullish Trends Due to Demand Growth Fundamentals / Commodities / Energy Resources

By: Joseph_Dancy

The price of crude oil hovered around $100 a barrel last month, while natural gas futures pushed toward $10 per thousand cubic feet. Both are impressive due to the fact we are in ‘shoulder season' – a time when moderating weather tends to weaken prices. Long term demand and supply trends remain powerfully bullish. Last month the following events occurred in the energy sector:

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Commodities

Tuesday, June 17, 2008

Gold Cheap on Oil Ratio Basis / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Mark_OByrne

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGold closed at $883.20  in New York  yesterday and was  up $13.30  and silver closed at $1 7.24 up 67 cents. Gold traded in a range between $880 and $890 in Asia n and in European trading this morning prior to selling off at the open on the NYMEX . 

With oil selling off and the dollar stronger versus the euro today, gold has come under pressure. But the inflation genie is well and truly out of the bottle and central banks internationally are in an extremely difficult situation. Unfortunately, present macroeconomic conditions look set to worsen (possibly considerably) in the coming months before they get better. Stagflation is increasing by the day and this will result in gold outperforming other asset classes in the coming months as it did in the 1970's.

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Commodities

Tuesday, June 17, 2008

Western Policy-Makers Refuse to Raise Interest Rates to Combat Surging Inflation / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

SPOT GOLD PRICES slipped out of a tight range just before the US open on Tuesday as strong volatility hit bonds, commodities and currency markets worldwide.

Shanghai stocks dropped almost 3% on average, while crude oil slid $7 per barrel from Monday's new record highs near $140.

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Commodities

Monday, June 16, 2008

New Socio-Economic Era Dawning Out of Credit and Fuel Crisis / Commodities / Energy Resources

By: Brian_Bloom

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSeveral weeks ago this analyst expressed the view that the US Equity markets were in the early stages of a Primary Bear Market and that investors should be more focused on capital preservation than on capital growth.

In hindsight, I continue to hold this view.  The core issue seems to be that banks (led by Citigroup), in moving to bring off-balance-sheet items back onto their balance sheets, will likely expose the weaknesses in those balance sheets in the process; and there will likely be a deterioration in their ability/willingness to lend. Additionally, for reasons set out in the body of this article, it seems that the US Fed's ability to create money “out of thin air” is also waning. On balance, it seems that a higher reliance will be placed on equity than on debt in the capital markets. Where will this equity come from?  Between them, the BRIC countries and OPEC may have up to $5.8 trillion to invest.

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Commodities

Monday, June 16, 2008

Gold Jumps on Strong European Inflation Data / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

THE SPOT PRICE OF GOLD jumped almost 1.3% from an early dip in London on Monday, rising above $879 per ounce as the latest European inflation data showed the cost of living rising at a 16-year record.

"Everywhere I turn, inflation is out of control," said Peter McGuire of Commodity Warrants Australia to Bloomberg TV overnight.

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Commodities

Monday, June 16, 2008

Changes- Living in the Last Days of Cheap Resources and Cheap Commodities / Commodities / Resources Investing

By: David_Vaughn

Went to the store and paid 7 bucks for 2 pounds of fresh North Carolina blueberries. Does that sound like a good deal? Milk was close to 5 dollars a gallon. Evidently, trying to compete with gas prices. Anyone confused where things are headed? Need tech support on your PC and you will find yourself talking to someone in India .

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Commodities

Sunday, June 15, 2008

Global Economic Growth Drives Energy Sector Demand Upward / Commodities / Energy Resources

By: Joseph_Dancy

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAs the cost of crude oil has soared in recent years, the amount produced hasn't kept pace with demand. Worldwide oil production has barely budged, despite record prices. Since 2004 the price of oil has gone from $33 per barrel to $132 – meanwhile production has risen just 1.8 percent, to 84.6 million barrels per day.

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Commodities

Saturday, June 14, 2008

Gold Longterm Trend Turns Bearish / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Merv_Burak

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThese $10 and $20 moves are quite frustrating, especially those on the down side, BUT if one looks closely on a chart there might be things that may be encouraging (or not). So, let's look at some charts.

GOLD: LONG TERM - What we have here is a long term point and figure chart of the gold price movement since 1987. The red lines are bear trend or resistance lines while the blue lines are bull trend or support lines. The thickest lines are primary lines while the thinner lines are secondary.

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Commodities

Saturday, June 14, 2008

Black Swans and Gold / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: John_Needham

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhile it is all white swans and their cygnets on the common at this time of the year in London , black swan events are a very real possibility as John Needham explains in the following article. - Yvonne Lundon-Marchant - The Daniel Code U.K. and Europe

With Fed chief Bernanke trumpeting that the credit crisis is abating, a postscript to his promise that “the subprime problem is contained”, and asserting that the US will not see recession, punters are feeling warm and fuzzy about US markets and apart from an occasional frown about gasoline prices, generally the thrust is that the worst is over. If you are in that camp you may have to think again. As our theme photo shows, tree climbing skills come in handy when bears are on the loose.

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Commodities

Friday, June 13, 2008

The Danger of Government Intervention in the Commodity Markets / Commodities / Government Intervention

By: Clive_Maund

Just a week ago gold and silver were well placed to begin a new uptrend and while they are still are, we have over the past week witnessed severe testing of - and erosion of - support at a critical level that is leading to rapidly increasing downside risk.

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Commodities

Friday, June 13, 2008

How Will the Oil Market Drive Gold and Silver? / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Julian_DW_Phillips

The oil price rose to $139 on Friday and looked like it was 'spiking' to over $150. But is it? That's a rise of 44% this year. A great deal more than technical chart pointers will be needed to understand where oil, food, gold and silver are headed in this environment. If this is the time when consumer and investor demand will rise beyond supply's ability to provide enough, then this is not a 'spike' but a structural change in the market. It will produce a systemic crisis that has to be resolved in collaboration by the world's governments. Are they capable of such cooperation? The prospect of $200 oil then comes into view.

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Commodities

Friday, June 13, 2008

Energy Stocks that Will Profit from Widening of the Crude Oil Crack Spread / Commodities / Energy Resources

By: Keith_Fitz-Gerald

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleHere at Money Morning over the past six months, we've talked a great deal about oil and gasoline prices. We've offered our predictions about how high those prices were going , and have detailed a number of investment opportunities - chosen as much for their margins of safety as for their profit potential.

This time we're going to detail three energy stocks with the potential for double-digit - or even triple-digit - profit gains. Admittedly, these are longer-shot, speculative plays. But we used a special energy indicator to help ferret out these energy plays.

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