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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Friday, November 06, 2015

Does Bond Market Drive the Gold Price? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

Many gold market analysts focus on irrelevant, but catchy factors, such as mining production or jewelry demand. Others think gold is a simple inflation or stock market hedge. It is a bit strange that the relationship between the bond and gold markets is not commonly examined, given that bond market is much bigger than stock market, while real interest rates are one of the main drivers of the price of gold. The negative relationship between gold and interest rates imply positive correlations with bond prices, since the price of bonds is negatively related to the yields they offer.

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Commodities

Friday, November 06, 2015

Oil Megaprojects Won't Stay On The Shelf For Long / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: OilPrice_Com

One casualty of the oil price downturn could be the megaproject.

For years, as conventional oil reserves depleted and became increasingly hard to find, oil companies ventured into far-flung locales to find new sources of production. Extracting oil from these frontier areas required more advanced technology and a lot more capital: Ultra deepwater, Arctic offshore, heavy oil sands, and increasingly, the Lower Tertiary.

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Commodities

Friday, November 06, 2015

Silver Prices and Options Expiration / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

Notes on what we covered…

  • Review of the where we are in the series
  • What are options?
  • Life options versus financial options
  • Options and derivatives
  • Who writes the majority of options?
  • Options Leverage
  • OTC options
  • Incentive for expiring out of the money and their influence on price.
  • The set up for silver price volatility around options expiration
  • Commercial shorts versus managed money traders.
  • Being prepared for options expiration, and what you can do.
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Commodities

Thursday, November 05, 2015

Crude Oil Price More Weakness In Sight / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Gregor_Horvat

Crude oil has turned up in September when price broke out of a triangle placed in wave (b) so wave (c) was final with wave 4 pullback that reached 50.50 resistance from where sell-off occurred in October. As such, we suspect that WTI made a new swing now that will send price down into wave 5 back to 37.70. Broken corrective channel also suggests more weakness ahead,but after wave (ii) is complete.

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Commodities

Thursday, November 05, 2015

The Discipline of Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: DeviantInvestor

Consider these round number costs in digital (dishonest) dollars:

1,000 ounce Silver Bar                                                                   $17,000

or         Hillary Clinton speech                                              $300,000

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Commodities

Thursday, November 05, 2015

Gold Showing Signs of Final Degree Bloodbath Phase / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Gary_Savage

While everyone is getting more and more bearish gold is showing all the signs of being in a final intermediate degree bloodbath phase. Notice the similar 5-7 day capitulation to the last 4 ICL's. Notice the extreme oversold oscillators indicative of a major intermediate degree bottom approaching.

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Commodities

Thursday, November 05, 2015

Day Follows Night : Gold Follows US Bonds / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Dan_Norcini

For the same reason as the Euro was sharply lower today, so was gold, namely, a hawkish Yellen testimony in which see used the words, "living possibility" when referring to a potential December rate hike.

With interest rates moving higher on the Ten Year Treasury once more today, ( at 2.23% as I type this), gold simply cannot compete with better returns on interest bearing assets such as notes and bonds as it casts off no yield whatsoever and depends completely on capital gains to produce any sort of increase for its owners.

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Commodities

Wednesday, November 04, 2015

Don’t Trust Gold Here / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Bob_Loukas

Just when the short-term prospects for Gold were looking good, precious metals reversed lower this past week. It could be that Gold was surprised by last week’s FOMC minutes, which signaled a potential December rate hike. When the minutes were released, Gold dropped immediately, and it’s been straight downhill for the metals since.

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Commodities

Wednesday, November 04, 2015

Gold Price Cycle Low Friday Morning With U.S. Employment Report / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Gary_Savage

The most likely timing band for the daily cycle to bottom is on the employment report Friday morning. There should be a short term tradable rally even if its's only for 4-8 days as gold should try to break the cycle down trend line. Stay patient for a few more days. Wait for gold to form a swing low before trying to buy.

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Commodities

Wednesday, November 04, 2015

Marc Faber “Great Optimist” Says “I Added To My Gold Position” / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: GoldCore

Marc Faber, Swiss economist, forecaster, renowned investor and the original Dr. Doom, may need a new nickname.

In an interview on CNBC’s “Trading Nation,” the Gloom, Boom & Doom Report editor revealed he may not be as bearish as some may think and that he is actually a “great optimist.”

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Commodities

Tuesday, November 03, 2015

Hedging HAL With Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Michael_J_Kosares

In the month of October, there were thirteen two hour blocks during which gold traded in a range greater than $10 – not an alarming price range to be sure, but collectively, these high activity moments represent the most volatile trading periods for the gold price all month – by far.  What’s more interesting is that a whopping ten of the thirteen occurred well within the first hour of trading on the COMEX (6AM MST), frequently on little to no news of any consequence, at a time when most normal people are barely making their way to the coffee machine.  By contrast, only three occurred later in the trading day – the first corresponded with the release of the Fed Minutes (Oct 8), the second with an important numbers miss, and the third the release of the Fed policy statement (Oct 28) – in other words, during times when price volatility was justified, reasonable, and expected.  Welcome to the world of algorithmic trading – the new normal for all financial markets.

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Commodities

Tuesday, November 03, 2015

The Circle of Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: DeviantInvestor

A – 1913:  Gold was money in the United States.  Double eagles ($20.00), Eagles ($10.00), and Half-Eagles ($5.00) circulated freely.  Silver dollars and smaller coins were common  and used for commerce.  And then the bankers created “The Federal Reserve.”

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Commodities

Tuesday, November 03, 2015

Gold Price Getting Very Deep / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Gary_Savage

Gold is getting very deep in its daily cycle. One requirement to confirm a daily cycle low is a break do the cycle downtrend line.

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Commodities

Monday, November 02, 2015

Will The Fed Hike In December & What Does This Mean For Gold Prices? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Bob_Kirtley

The October statement from the Fed made one thing very clear; December is a live meeting and Fed is ready to hike rates if it sees fit. Yellen was more hawkish than the market was expecting, sending gold prices lower and bond yields higher. The critical focal point from here will be if the Fed’s hawkish stance will be validated by the upcoming economic data, most importantly the two employment releases we get between now and the December FOMC.

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Commodities

Monday, November 02, 2015

Gold Selling “Malevolent Force”? – Dennis Gartman / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: GoldCore

Dennis Gartman, author of the institutionally well followed ‘The Gartman Letter,’ has asked questions about gold’s peculiar price action last week and raised the question as to whether there was official central bank manipulation of gold prices.

Gold was 2.4% higher in October but fell 2% last week as the Fed again suggested they may soon increase interest rates. Gartman’s assertion is significant as he is no so-called ‘goldbug’. In fact, he is the darling of Wall Street, Bloomberg, CNBC and is highly respected and followed by large hedge funds and financial institutions.

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Commodities

Monday, November 02, 2015

Gold Price Testing Triangle Trend Line / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Gary_Savage

We've known all along that gold was going to test the triangle trend line during this daily correction. Yet now that it's happening everyone seems surprised.

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Commodities

Monday, November 02, 2015

Silver and COMEX Inventory Part 1 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

During our recent Q&A interview with silver analyst, Ted Butler, the issue of frantic in and out movement of physical silver within the COMEX warehouse system came up more than a few times.

We asked Ted if he could describe how this movement literally works…

"Are these literally trucks?

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Commodities

Sunday, November 01, 2015

Crude Oil Price Set For Big Rally / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Austin_Galt

The oil price has had a nice rise in the past week so let’s see just what is going on using the weekly and daily charts.

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Commodities

Sunday, November 01, 2015

Will Gold Bulls Finally Hit The Panic Button? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Submissions

Nicholas Kitonyi writes: The commodities market has been on the spot for the last 12 months and by extension over the last three years, if you include Iron, Copper and Aluminum. However, the most notable developments have come in the precious metals category and Oil and gas.

Specifically the prices of Gold and Oil have fluctuated extensively with Oil settling on a range of about $43 to $50 per barrel, while the price of gold has oscillated between $1,110 and $1,190 over the last two months. The price of oil is down 12% this year after making massive dips and spikes over the last 12 months, while gold remains barely unchanged.

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Commodities

Saturday, October 31, 2015

Gold And Silver - Month-End Technical Review / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Michael_Noonan

A proverbial picture [chart], being worth 1,000 words, we will let the charts speak for themselves, with observations/comments attached to each one.

From our perspective, the charts are saying, irrespective of what anyone is reading or following regarding gold and silver, there appears to be no change in trend for the near term. The state of China's economy; possible confrontation between China and the US now sending ships to irritate/challenge China's control over it part of the ocean where she is building new bases; flagging response to the Fed's ongoing failure of injecting more and more fiat in an already over bloated fiat economy, in fact, world-wide; Russia's ongoing embarrassment of Washington with Russia's pinpoint air force accuracy bombing ISIS terrorists, and commensurate challenge of taking control of the Mid East from the flailing Sunni Arab coalition, Western political disarray, etc, etc, etc.

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