Wednesday, November 09, 2016
US Presidential Election Betting Markets Odds Now Forecast Trump Could WIN - BrExit Factor! / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Observing extreme volatility on Election night as we countdown to the critical too close to call Florida result! For instance the betting markets an hour before the US polls closed had Trump trading at 6.6 - That's at about 11pm UK Time.
Tuesday, November 08, 2016
Hillary Clinton Wins US Election 2016 According to Pollsters, Bookies and Stock Market, BrExit? / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Nadeem_Walayat
As we count down the close of the polls virtually every opinion pollster analyst, book makers and the financial markets are strongly discounting a Hillary Clinton election win. So is America ripe for its very own BrExit moment? When the polls turn out to be WRONG as they were for Brexit.
Tuesday, November 08, 2016
This Election Marks the Beginning of Market Volatility / Stock-Markets / Volatility
By: John_Mauldin
BY JARED DILLIAN : Volatility is high going into this election (because nobody knows what will happen, and there is a lot at stake). People think that after the election, the uncertainty will be out of the way, and volatility will subside.
Will it?
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Tuesday, November 08, 2016
US Election 2016 - Small-town America Will Decide the Fate of Everyone / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: John_Mauldin
One congressional district in a state that nobody pays attention to could find itself at the center of American politics. That district’s single electoral vote could spell the difference between a razor-thin win and a tie. Seriously.
Maine is one of just two states that apportion electoral votes by congressional district and not by the total state count. The state has four total votes. Two go to the statewide winner, and one each goes to the winners in the two congressional districts.
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Tuesday, November 08, 2016
Neither Election Candidate Has the Character to Govern the US / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: John_Mauldin
BY GEORGE FRIEDMAN : This year’s campaign has got to be one of the strangest of all time. We have two major candidates running for president. One says strange things. One does strange things.
Donald Trump has been accused of collaborating with the Russian president and his intelligence service. He is on tape claiming that he can have sex with anyone he wants.
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Tuesday, November 08, 2016
The 2000 Election Sell-off Might Repeat—Here’s How to Profit / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: John_Mauldin
Perceptions about the US presidential election have a major impact on markets. The recent news about the FBI not probing Clinton’s emails any further drove US equity markets up by 1% to 2%. Over the last couple of months, stock markets have moved down when Trump is gaining in the polls and up when there’s good news for Clinton.
But what happens if there is no clear winner in the 2016 US presidential election? Jared Dillian, ex-head of ETF trading at Lehman Brothers, says a delayed outcome is the most likely result of the election. Beyond that, this delay will lead to volatility in the markets.
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Tuesday, November 08, 2016
Trump's Top 5 Target States: Florida, Michigan, North Carolina, New Hampshire and Nevada in Rigged Election / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Nadeem_Walayat
There's about 5 hours to go until the polls start to close in the craziest, zaniest Presidential election in living memory, that which pitted reality TV star 'billionaire' Donald Trump against career Washington insider Hillary Clinton. With Hillary being the clear favourite to win, so here are what I deem to be Trumps Top 5 target swing states based on the last 72 hours of Trump campaigning, those states he has been targeting in an attempt to flip to red and win the US Presidential election.
Tuesday, November 08, 2016
Credibility – Confidence – Chaos and GOLD! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: DeviantInvestor
The corrupted Republican and Democratic parties in the U.S. have put forth two of the most despised candidates – ever. One candidate is probably more corrupt than LBJ and both parties are rapidly losing credibility. Ask yourself, does either party speak for anyone but the political and financial elite?
Tuesday, November 08, 2016
US Election Whatever the Outcome, all Stock Market Paths Appear to Lead Down / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
The SPX Premarket is down this morning, having broken beneath Short-term support at 2129.10. Since it is election day, there is no telling what events or outcomes will affect the markets. There are a couple of alternate paths that SPX may take, but they all lead down at this time.
Tuesday, November 08, 2016
Uncertain US Election Outcome and Uncertainty After Bodes Well For Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: GoldCore
- Polls suggest Clinton to win but as with Brexit is chance of surprise
- PredictWise gives Clinton an 89% chance of becoming President-elect, giving just Trump just an 11% chance.
- Gold price may move about 1.8% to 4% if result is uncertain
- Demand for gold and silver is up this week by a factor of 25 percent
- Sales of American Eagle gold coins have climbed 23%
- Gold to benefit from ‘Punch and Judy’ election
Tuesday, November 08, 2016
The Rise Of Eurasian Silk Road / Economics / Asian Economies
By: Dan_Steinbock
Premier Li’s Eurasian tour heralds the new future of Eurasia that will be based on regional economic integration.Last Wednesday, Premier Li Keqiang began a week-long trip in Kyrgyzstan, Kazakhstan, Russia and Latvia seeking to promote China’s relations with the four countries, and boosting regional development and cooperation.
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Tuesday, November 08, 2016
Washington’s Post-Election Gridlock and Africa / Politics / US Politics
By: Dan_Steinbock
After the bizarre 2016 election, Washington faces a slate of legal investigations, a massive political gridlock, the threat of new Cold Wars and possibly a contested election. What does it mean to Africa?Last July, FBI Director James Comey closed the probe of Hillary Clinton’s emails and decided not to pursue charges, which resulted in broad criticism. Recently, Comey re-opened the case following a discovery of new emails. In addition to the Benghazi and FBI debacles, these efforts are likely to include some 50,000 emails from Wikileaks, particularly those of John Podesta, Clinton campaign manager and chair of the Center of American Progress (CAP).
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Tuesday, November 08, 2016
Paranoia Deepens in US as Cyber-attacks Prepare Post-Election Tumult / Politics / Cyber War
By: Jeff_Berwick
Paranoia makes whole populations manipulable. Over time, crisis after crisis, it builds globalism and creates cultural homogenization.
Just today, WikiLeaks claimed it had been hit with a Distributed Denial of Service (DDoS) attack, supposedly to prevent it from distributing additional information that would prove negative to the Clinton camp.
This is part of a much larger paranoiac atmosphere. Paranoia is running rampant in US federal elections. We recognize the paranoia because we’ve covered the trends that cause it for years.
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Tuesday, November 08, 2016
Watch The EU Banks After The US Election Gyrations Are Over / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Gordon_T_Long
We may not know for a fact who will win the US election, but what we do know is that the Credit Cycle has turned. This will turn out to be more important in the near term, once the expected US Election market gyrations have subsided!
Credit Cycle Has Turned
It's time for investors to refocus on the banks who live via the credit cycle, and specifically the troubled EU Banking sector.
When the Credit Cycle turns, those banks most over-extended always "pay the piper"!
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Tuesday, November 08, 2016
FBI Clears Hillary Rodham Clinton...Uncertainty Removed.... Stock Market Explodes... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jack_Steiman
For a few weeks now, I have been updating everyone on what I thought the market was doing with regards to the elections. It appeared to me the market was making it known it wanted HRC to win the election due to a few things, but due mostly to wanting to keep the fed head in office. It wants Yellen in the worst way, because the market is enjoying the inflation she's created, and apparently will keep creating in the years ahead. If Trump were to win the election, it would likely bring about a change at the fed to a more hawkish person. That's the last thing this market wants. It wants inflation and nothing but that.
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Tuesday, November 08, 2016
Dome Forces US Stock Market Lower / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: The_Gold_Report
Technical analyst Clive Maund takes a look at the current state of the U.S. stock market, and reflects on how the outcome of the impending election might steepen a decline.
A number of subscribers have written in asking about the technical state of the broad U.S. stock market, which we haven't looked at for a while. With the failure of an important support level a few days back and the election drawing near, it's certainly a timely question.
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Tuesday, November 08, 2016
Hillary Clinton Is Spirit Cooking The US Before WW3 / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Jeff_Berwick
I heard the term “spirit cooking” for the first time a few days ago. At first I assumed it was some form of culinary style that was done in a spiritual way.
Boy was I wrong.
Reports on the internet are actually referring to a meal involving “blood, sperm and breastmilk.” The term was mentioned in an invitation to John Podesta, chairman of the Clinton campaign. Podesta didn’t go to the dinner involved, apparently, but the term and its ingredients made considerable news on the internet.
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Tuesday, November 08, 2016
US Economy Q3 GDP Was Hogwash / Economics / US Economy
By: Michael_Pento
Since most everyone is focused on the upcoming U.S. elections, many investors may not have had the time to peel back the onion on the third quarter U.S. GDP report. So, if you just glanced at the headline GDP number of a 2.9% annualized growth rate, you may have concluded that the U.S. economy was finally on its way to sustainable growth.
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Tuesday, November 08, 2016
US Election Trump Season Finale! Hillary Latino Army vs BrExit Swing States, End of White Power? / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Finally it's the Trump show season finale! And were all wondering what the cliff hanger will be after having watched a year long worth of crazy swings and turns, from the republican nomination to the debates, to gropergate, to missing tax returns, and finishing off with thousands of deleted emails. So will Trump accept the result if Hillary Clinton wins? Or Could Trump still on the back of a BrExit style anti-establishment vote that won't show up in the polls, or will Hillary's newly formed Latino army bring home the vote in Florida amongst other Brexit swing states?
Tuesday, November 08, 2016
Forecast summary: Commodities, Forex and Stocks / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Ken_Ticehurst
Our forecast down phase for WTI has now begun, we warned that $50 would be the top and that we would descend in to 2017 with a potential major low to come. Our forecast has not changed and we could easily see price back down to $30 early in 2017. We expect this weakness to be reflected in many other parts of the commodity sector.