Tuesday, September 13, 2016

Gold and United States Imported Oil / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: DeviantInvestor

The US has imported crude oil for many decades. The following data (1970 – 2015) comes from the Energy Information Administration of the US government. This data shows reported barrels of crude oil imported into the US.

(Note: This is not a comprehensive analysis of imported energy, nor does it compensate for exports of crude oil, imports or exports of coal, natural gas or other energy sources.)

Tuesday, September 13, 2016

Silver Will Be A Top Performing Asset In The Next Financial Crisis / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Chris_Vermeulen

The much awaited Jackson Hole speech by the Fed Chair Janet Yellen – and the subsequent nonfarm payrolls data failed to ignite the prospects of a rate hike this September of 2016. The market now forecasts only a 21% probability of a rate hike in this month, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. The probability of a rate hike in December of 2016 stands at just above 50%.

Time and again, I have explained why the Fed cannot hike rates in 2016. Contrary many market experts, my view has stood the test of time and has come to fruition. According to my research, the chances of a rate hike in December of 2016 are also very bleak. Nonetheless, the Fed speakers will continue to “jawbone” the dollar, the way they have been doing for the whole year.

Monday, September 12, 2016

The Donald Versus Killary: War or Peace? / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016

By: Antonius_Aquinas

Although history does not exactly repeat itself, it does provide parallels and sometimes quite ominous ones.  Such is the case with the current U.S. Presidential election and the one which occurred one hundred years earlier.

The dominating question which hung over the 1916 campaign was whether the country would remain neutral in regard to the horrific slaughter which was taking place on the European battlefields in probably the greatest act of mass insanity ever recorded, World War I.

Monday, September 12, 2016

Global Stocks, Bonds Fall Sharply - Gold Consolidates After Two Weeks Of Gains / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: GoldCore

Global stocks and bonds fell the most since the Brexit panic today as recently dormant volatility came back with a vengeance.  There are deepening concerns that global central banks’ ultra loose monetary policies have been ineffectual and may indeed be creating asset bubbles in stock, bond and indeed property markets internationally.

Monday, September 12, 2016

Why the Greater Recession Will be Dollar Bearish / Economics / Great Depression II

By: Michael_Pento

The Great Recession of 2008 provided markets with an interesting irony: As the US economy was collapsing under the weight of crumbling home prices, investors curiously flocked to the US dollar under the guise of “The Safety Trade.” 

But the truth is that investors weren’t running into the dollar for safety, what they were actually doing was unwinding a carry trade. In a carry trade an investor borrows a depreciating currency that offers a relatively low interest rate and uses those funds to purchase an appreciating currency that offers the potential for higher returns on its sovereign debt and stock market. The trade’s objective is to capture the difference between rates, while also benefitting from the currency that is rising in value against the borrowed (shorted) funds.

Monday, September 12, 2016

Stocks Break Below Their Two Month Long Consolidation - New Downtrend? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,210, and profit target at 2,050, S&P 500 index).

Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook is now neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral

Monday, September 12, 2016

The Fed Plans for the Next Crisis / Politics / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: Dr_Ron_Paul

In her recent address at the Jackson Hole monetary policy conference, Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen suggested that the Federal Reserve would raise interest rates by the end of the year. Markets reacted favorably to Yellen's suggested rate increase. This is surprising, as, except for one small increase last year, the Federal Reserve has not followed through on the numerous suggestions of rate increases that Yellen and other Fed officials have made over the past several years.

Monday, September 12, 2016

Moneyfacts UK Mortgage Trends Treasury Report / Personal_Finance / Mortgages

By: MoneyFacts

Moneyfacts UK Mortgage Trends Treasury Report data, not yet published, highlights that borrowers who took out a two-year fixed rate mortgage will have less incentive to switch from their Standard Variable Rate (SVR) to a new deal. The graph shows the difference between the two rates, which is the lowest it has been for six months.

Monday, September 12, 2016

Forecast Summary WTI, EURUSD, USDJPY / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Ken_Ticehurst

WTI now appears to be forming a top, it would appear as though the dead cat bounce is running out of steam and we should see the push for lower lows over the next couple of months.

We expect to see some increased volatility and could even see $50+ over the coming weeks.

Monday, September 12, 2016

North Korea Rocks Wall Street / Stock-Markets / Investing 2016

By: ....

U.S. stocks are falling like crazy in the aftermath of the latest of North Korean nuclear tests, sending traders into the state of frenzy. It even seems to have nudged Fed officials towards an interest rate increase, albeit only a little. It appears there is no shortage of market capital news this week.

Monday, September 12, 2016

Stock Market Intermediate Correction Has Started / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX Long-term trend: The long-term trend is up but weakening.  Potential final phase of bull market.

SPX Intermediate trend:  The uptrend from 1810 continues, but it has entered a corrective phase.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.

Monday, September 12, 2016

Gold, Stock Market Down: Now What? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Brad_Gudgeon

Last I wrote, I was expecting a stock market top early in the week with the late week dropping. We had gone short on Thursday, but late screwy wave action had me pull out to neutral (to my chagrin). I had been looking for a 10 week low within this general time frame and I believe we are there. A move down to challenge the SPX 1994-2100 area would not surprise me on Monday. This should be a great buying area for one more move to new highs by early October at the latest before we see the expected autumn swoon.

Sunday, September 11, 2016

A Little Perspective and Stock & Bond Market Notes / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Gary_Tanashian

The opening segment of this week’s Notes From the Rabbit Hole (NFTRH 412) was intended to be a quick blurb but went on to become a five page exercise. It is shared publicly not so much because it is hard core analysis (which the rest of the report took care of), but because after a week like last week I think being a little wordy can be for the better.

I had a difficult week last week; a couple things had gone wrong and my schedule was just ridiculous. On Wednesday I was feeling pretty stressed out and wondering why I just can’t seem to catch a break. Then I looked up and saw a man with two hooks for hands walk by. It was almost as if he were sent into my view to straighten me out.

Sunday, September 11, 2016

The Meaning of 911 Fifteen Years After / Politics / War on Terror

By: BATR

What kind of an American are you? Will you mourn the dead or will you celebrate the government as protector of national security? For thoughtful and historically balanced realists the correct reaction is that the last remnants of the Republic collapsed with the twin towers and burned with the response from the Pentagon fire. Most docile and obedient subjects of the despotic regime that has morphed into outright tyranny still believe the official report from The National Commission on Terrorist Attacks Upon the United States, provides the definitive details on the 911 investigation.

Sunday, September 11, 2016

Gold vs Stocks: The New Normal / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Nicholas_Kitonyi

Stock prices have always been deemed to have an inverse relationship with the price of gold mainly because unlike the yellow metal, investors tend to fancy them when global economies are doing well. Gold is often seen as a fallback plan when things go caput in the stock market.

Stocks are income driven and if the economy is doing well, then equity prices are likely to improve to mirror the change in the overall economic outlook. Income driven investments tend to provide better returns than currency investments in a strong economy.

Sunday, September 11, 2016

Cheap Toddler Swing Chair Review - Buy Online from Amazon, EBay or Tesco stores / Personal_Finance / Reviews

By: Anika_Walayat

Find out how Toddler swing chairs are a cheap, cost effective way of keeping your toddler entertained during the summer months, at the very least save time on driving or walking to the local park, and then without waiting for an occupied swing to become vacant. This is a review of the cheap plastic toddler swing chairs typically sold on amazon, ebay and at supermarkets such as Tesco. So find out what you need to know before buying one.

Sunday, September 11, 2016

Stock Market Predicts Donald Trump Victory / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Austin_Galt

Some of you know that I like to forecast fundamentals based on my view of the technicals. We have had success with this in the past predicting a No vote in the Greek referendum on the EU bailout when polls suggested the Yes vote would prevail and also recently predicting a Brexit Leave vote when a vote to Remain was clearly favoured by the polls.

I believe the markets have a sixth sense and wrote an article about this titled The Sixth Sense of Markets, produced on the 14th April 2016, which is available to view on my website.

Sunday, September 11, 2016

Gold and Gold Stocks Correction Continues / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

The failure of Gold and gold stocks to sustain recent gains coupled with a strong selloff to close the week dashes any hope that the correction ended last week. The charts and probabilities argue that the sector remains in a larger correction and perhaps has started the C portion of a typical A-B-C (down-up-down) correction.

Saturday, September 10, 2016

GDX Stocks Update.. : Welcome to “The Zone” / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016

By: Rambus_Chartology

Welcome to PM Trader’s Nightmare.

We’ve been following the GDX as a proxy for the rest of the PM stock indexes which is showing the on going correction or consolidation phase of the first big move up off the January low. This first daily chart shows the unbalanced double top which is the first reversal point in this new consolidation phase. The double top has a price objective down to the 24.50 area which was almost touched late last week. As you can see the double top trendline has held resistance on two separate occasions with the second one taking place this week. At this point we still don’t have a confirmed low which could launch the second reversal point to the upside yet. The price action is in the middle of no man’s land presently.

Saturday, September 10, 2016

Stock Market SPX Downtrend Underway / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Tony_Caldaro

Another boring week until Friday. The market started the week at SPX 2180. After opening at SPX 2184 on Tuesday, it dropped to 2175 in the first hour of trading, then hit a higher high at the close. On Wednesday the SPX hit the high for the week at 2188. After that it declined into the close on Friday. For the week the SPX/DOW lost 2.3%, and the NDX/NAZ lost 2.4%. Economic reports for the week were light and slightly positive. On the downtick: ISM services and the Q3 GDP estimate. On the uptick: consumer credit, investor confidence, and weekly jobless claims improved. Next week, another options expiration week, reports will be highlighted by industrial production, the CPI/PPI and retail sales. Best to your week!